20/01/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.been banned for ten weeks. Including the latest of the FA Cup third

:00:00. > :00:15.coming up in sports day after The coming up in sports day after The

:00:16. > :00:18.Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:19. > :00:22.With me are Pippa Crerar - the political correspondent

:00:23. > :00:29.from the London Evening Standard - and the broadcaster John Stapleton.

:00:30. > :00:31.Many of the front pages are already in.

:00:32. > :00:33.The Independent's main story is the possible discovery

:00:34. > :00:36.of a new planet, ten times the size of Earth,

:00:37. > :00:42.The Financial Times says the falling FTSE means we're on the brink

:00:43. > :00:48.The Telegraph reports on a ruling that means migrants stranded

:00:49. > :00:52.in Calais can use European human rights laws to join relations living

:00:53. > :00:59.Falling global stock markets make the front page of the Guardian.

:01:00. > :01:01.And The Times also leads with fears over the economy,

:01:02. > :01:11.caused by volatility in world markets.

:01:12. > :01:19.We will go to the markets in a moment. First, the Telegraph. Human

:01:20. > :01:25.rights ticket to Britain is the headline. Four young men in the

:01:26. > :01:30.notorious jungle camp in Calais have gone through the British courts, and

:01:31. > :01:37.being ruled they can join their siblings who are already legal. They

:01:38. > :01:47.have been granted asylum status in the UK. These for are 316-year-olds,

:01:48. > :01:50.and a man in his 20s, who is apparently seriously mentally ill.

:01:51. > :01:55.The British court has ruled they have a right to a family life, and

:01:56. > :02:01.this opens the doors to many other claimants in Calais, refugees,

:02:02. > :02:07.joining their family members in the UK for similar reasons. The UK

:02:08. > :02:12.government is likely to challenge this. It raises a spectre of

:02:13. > :02:17.possibly thousands more refugees coming to the UK. David Cameron

:02:18. > :02:20.announced that written was going to take 20,000 refugees over the course

:02:21. > :02:28.of four years. There could be many, many more. The key thing is, they

:02:29. > :02:33.hadn't been granted asylum in France, which was the first country

:02:34. > :02:37.they arrived in. Normally they would have to do that initially. The

:02:38. > :02:42.centres have given them the way round that. This feeds into the

:02:43. > :02:48.bigger picture. Depending on what side of the fence you for on, some

:02:49. > :02:52.Eurosceptics are claiming Brussels bureaucrats are trying to bully the

:02:53. > :02:57.government. Others will say that they are trying to get Britain to

:02:58. > :03:01.take their fair share of refugees. But there is something called the

:03:02. > :03:08.Dublin Regulation, which means that if people arrive, people have too

:03:09. > :03:14.seek asylum in the first country they reach in the EU. If they come

:03:15. > :03:21.to the UK and try to seek asylum there, they can be deported as a

:03:22. > :03:32.result. Unless you take more refugees, the figure of 90,000,

:03:33. > :03:43.which is a quota. They say, unless we take 90,000, we will not be able

:03:44. > :03:49.to apply the Dublin Regulation. There are implications for the

:03:50. > :03:52.referendum. They are quite severe, potentially, because this could

:03:53. > :03:56.overshadow David Cameron's overshadow David Cameron's

:03:57. > :04:01.negotiations in Europe, and possibly lead to the referendum not being in

:04:02. > :04:05.the summer, but maybe as late as October, which the government

:04:06. > :04:11.doesn't want. The last thing David Cameron wants now is an issue as

:04:12. > :04:15.emotive as immigration clouding the final weeks of negotiation with his

:04:16. > :04:21.partners in Europe. There is a key summit in the next few months, where

:04:22. > :04:26.we will be able to make a decision whether he has been successful in

:04:27. > :04:30.his renegotiations, and then the government will press on with the

:04:31. > :04:37.referendum. The key thing is when it happens. The Telegraph suggests it

:04:38. > :04:43.may happen in June. The word is, he would like it in June. But there are

:04:44. > :04:49.other factors in play. The London mayoral elections are coming on, and

:04:50. > :04:53.it will be bad news for Zac Goldsmith, the Conservative

:04:54. > :04:57.candidate, if he were to find his base preoccupied with campaigning

:04:58. > :05:04.elsewhere. It is also bad news for those who want to stay in Europe. My

:05:05. > :05:10.own suspicion is, if the British public decided in the end,

:05:11. > :05:16.immigration would play a key factor in their thinking. If immigration

:05:17. > :05:22.was in the headlines all summer... If you went from June to October,

:05:23. > :05:27.the levels of migration would be highest in the summer months. It

:05:28. > :05:31.depends which way it goes. You will remember the heartfelt outpourings

:05:32. > :05:38.from newspapers, public and politicians when the bodies of

:05:39. > :05:43.children who drowned trying to cross the sea into Europe were found. You

:05:44. > :05:48.do not see the papers reporting so much now on the drownings, which

:05:49. > :05:53.continue to this day. If you have a summer of drownings, public mood

:05:54. > :06:00.could shift. Or it could harden people's resolve. Something else

:06:01. > :06:04.that is hard to read is the state of the global economy. Particularly for

:06:05. > :06:09.those of us who have a pension that depends on the stock market. It

:06:10. > :06:18.depends what paper you read. I am reading two. It reminds me of the

:06:19. > :06:21.quote, if you ask to lawyers question, you will get three

:06:22. > :06:27.opinions. There are varying views about the state of the economy. The

:06:28. > :06:32.Financial Times talks about the slowdown of the Chinese economy, the

:06:33. > :06:40.falling oil price, and the prospect of rises in the US, causing near to

:06:41. > :06:46.a bear market. That is defined as when prices fall is 20% below their

:06:47. > :06:55.last peak, which is where we are now. My advisor says, you start

:06:56. > :07:04.panicking when FTSE is down to around five. It is on 5.6. There is

:07:05. > :07:11.real concern being felt in the UK and around the world. The Guardian

:07:12. > :07:14.covers the same story, but the headline is about panic selling,

:07:15. > :07:20.fears that the global economy growing. There is a motivation of

:07:21. > :07:25.having a go at George Osborne and the government in charge of the

:07:26. > :07:32.economy. George Osborne warned us about the threats that Britain faced

:07:33. > :07:37.a few weeks ago, and warned not to allow creeping complacency to creep

:07:38. > :07:41.in. It is worrying for the economy and for the government, because he

:07:42. > :07:46.is building his reputation as someone who has fixed the roof while

:07:47. > :07:52.the Sun is shining. He has made us suffer this austerity in order to

:07:53. > :07:56.improve the economy, but it is a very difficult -- very different

:07:57. > :08:04.tone from his Orton statement. We are getting conflicting messages,

:08:05. > :08:11.worst of the effect of, sell everything, the party is over.

:08:12. > :08:16.Chinese growth is not what we expected, it isn't cataclysmic.

:08:17. > :08:21.Falling oil prices mainly affects the suppliers of oil. A slight

:08:22. > :08:26.growth in the world economy by the end of the year was predicted, so

:08:27. > :08:32.don't panic, was the view. We have had predictions of oil prices going

:08:33. > :08:36.back by the end of the year. Which one of you is most fascinated by the

:08:37. > :08:45.world of the space industry? It isn't me. It is so out of this world

:08:46. > :08:49.that I cannot get my head round it. I am probably a more regular visitor

:08:50. > :08:56.to the Greenwich Observatory venue, given that I have young children who

:08:57. > :09:00.are obsessed with the planets. A ninth planet has been found,

:09:01. > :09:07.according to the California Institute of technology. This planet

:09:08. > :09:14.is a gas giant, but not a very original name. It is believed to be

:09:15. > :09:20.ten times as big as Neptune, the eighth this planet from the Sun. I

:09:21. > :09:27.found myself getting confused with how many planets thereafter. I

:09:28. > :09:32.thought Pluto was a dwarf planet. I thought it was something to do with

:09:33. > :09:36.the mass of the planet. I recall an argument about whether it was a

:09:37. > :09:43.dwarf planet, when we had the mission that flew past it last year.

:09:44. > :09:50.Scientists have the criteria, I suppose. Even sophisticated

:09:51. > :09:54.telescopes have not spotted this for donkeys years. This is an

:09:55. > :10:00.astronomical day, because there has been this once in a lifetime

:10:01. > :10:05.alignment of planets that means that if you stand at the top of a hill in

:10:06. > :10:13.the countryside with a telescope, you might just be able to see it. I

:10:14. > :10:18.memorised the order of the planets after I interviewed an astronomer

:10:19. > :10:22.earlier on! That picture on the front of the Independent is an

:10:23. > :10:28.artists impression, it is important to point out. The scientists have

:10:29. > :10:37.described it as the most planet like planet in the solar system! If they

:10:38. > :10:41.had that photograph, why didn't they find it before? John, the poppy

:10:42. > :10:49.seller story from the Telegraph. This is rather sad. This little old

:10:50. > :10:55.lady, Liz Cooke, a 92-year-old poppy seller in the West Country who took

:10:56. > :11:07.her own life. -- Liz Cook. She had been swamped by egging letters --

:11:08. > :11:14.begging letters. There has been an investigation into this by a

:11:15. > :11:20.fundraising watchdog. In one year, she received 3200 mailings from

:11:21. > :11:28.charities. We worked that out to be 62 a week. They were all begging

:11:29. > :11:32.letters. The vast majority for them were unsolicited, sent by groups who

:11:33. > :11:35.had obtained the address from third parties. I think this really is

:11:36. > :11:45.terrible. It drives us nuts. very upset indeed about this. And

:11:46. > :11:50.she was a passionate supporter of good causes. She found it very hard

:11:51. > :11:58.to say no, so she felt totally overwhelmed by it.

:11:59. > :12:02.important questions to ask about data protection and who you pass

:12:03. > :12:06.your address on to. We have all received junk mail, and we might be

:12:07. > :12:10.able to dismiss them, but if you are sat at home and you receive eight or

:12:11. > :12:15.nine of the midday, and you are the type of person who feels compelled

:12:16. > :12:21.to help, these are pretty graphic images of starving children around

:12:22. > :12:25.the world, and it very sadly drove her to her death. And once you

:12:26. > :12:31.password details on, it is very hard to stop it. That's it for the time

:12:32. > :12:36.being. Thank you very much to John and pepper. We will be back at

:12:37. > :12:38.11:30pm with another look at the stories making the news.