:00:00. > :00:00.another Australian appointment in English rugby and a look at the
:00:00. > :00:08.first of 51-day internationals for English cricketers in South Africa.
:00:09. > :00:27.-- five, one-day internationals. Welcome to our look ahead. With me
:00:28. > :00:31.are Emily Ashton, and Dan Gillespie from the New York Times.
:00:32. > :00:38.Let's take a look at the front pages. We will start with the FT, I
:00:39. > :00:44.think. No, we will start with the metro. Do we have some papers? No,
:00:45. > :00:49.we don't. Let's just dive into it then. Let start with the
:00:50. > :00:57.Independent, the headline is the question of the day? Deal, or no
:00:58. > :01:05.Deal? We have been hearing from the EU for a long time and finally we
:01:06. > :01:08.get this draft proposed deal. Yes, this is the question, does it do
:01:09. > :01:15.what David Cameron has promised it would do? No, not quite. He wanted
:01:16. > :01:20.one of the key parts of it, was that he wanted and out right about the
:01:21. > :01:27.four years on benefits for EU migrants. That is not in this draft
:01:28. > :01:32.deal. In fact, benefits will gradually be given to migrants over
:01:33. > :01:35.those four years. But he is claiming it as a victory, as we thought he
:01:36. > :01:40.would. It is a bit like the Emperor's new clothes. He went out
:01:41. > :01:49.into the sticks today to Chippenham to sell this deal, or talk about it,
:01:50. > :01:52.instead of going to Westminster. He was out of the traps quite quickly,
:01:53. > :01:59.to the frustration of those in his own cabinet. There is a lot of focus
:02:00. > :02:07.on the papers today about what this deal says. David Cameron decided to
:02:08. > :02:12.back the UK remaining in Europe and go full force behind the referendum.
:02:13. > :02:13.That is why this is meaningful. The fact he went outside of Westminster
:02:14. > :02:18.is sending a strong symbol, he is is sending a strong symbol, he is
:02:19. > :02:22.ready to campaign and put his full force behind that. We have had an
:02:23. > :02:29.ambivalent David Cameron until now. On the other hand, the European
:02:30. > :02:33.Union have offered concession on the other point he wanted and at a time
:02:34. > :02:38.when the EU is buffeted by a migration and economic crisis, the
:02:39. > :02:43.sending a strong message, we want Britain inside. Some of the papers
:02:44. > :02:51.are taking a harder line. The metro, you are joking! There are other
:02:52. > :02:54.papers who have similar headlines. It is a pale imitation of what was
:02:55. > :03:00.promised in the Conservative manifesto? Yes, and that four-year
:03:01. > :03:04.ban was in the manifesto, it fell short of that. We have heard so much
:03:05. > :03:09.from David Cameron over the years and it might not have been in the
:03:10. > :03:13.manifesto, but last January he was talking about the need for treaty
:03:14. > :03:20.change. That is not part of it. A couple of years ago, he was talking
:03:21. > :03:28.about changing the working Time directive and agricultural policy,
:03:29. > :03:33.and none of that was in there. It was obvious he was going to claim it
:03:34. > :03:38.as a victory. He hasn't gone that far yet. Even though there are gaps
:03:39. > :03:42.and a lot of details to be hammered out in a couple of weeks, already
:03:43. > :03:46.some of the back benches and some of the ministers nailing their colours
:03:47. > :03:52.to the mast. I wonder what is going on in these circles in the cabinet
:03:53. > :03:54.because there is a lot of banks about whether they follow the
:03:55. > :04:02.convictions of whether they keep their jobs. Prankster. It feels like
:04:03. > :04:08.that. We are already hearing Theresa May is giving it a cautious
:04:09. > :04:13.advocacy. But we hearing, depending on what paper you are reading, we
:04:14. > :04:19.are hearing there is active rebellion already. This debate is
:04:20. > :04:24.already coming along ideological lines, depending what paper you
:04:25. > :04:28.read. According to these papers, it is almost like a different use of
:04:29. > :04:35.end. The Telegraph, ministers to defy the Prime Minister and Europe.
:04:36. > :04:41.Sajid Javid, Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, of course. These are the
:04:42. > :04:48.sort of people he fears could lead a middle of the road out campaign?
:04:49. > :04:52.Yes, there are the Eurosceptics, but it is likely he comes out that the
:04:53. > :05:04.out come pain. They don't want to back the losing side. Some of the
:05:05. > :05:07.Leave campaigners say it will give them a boost. No cabinet minister
:05:08. > :05:13.wants to be on the losing side. Iain Duncan Smith, Theresa Villiers will
:05:14. > :05:19.be on the outside and they haven't got the big East of Boris and
:05:20. > :05:24.Michael Gove. How does this play in the United States? We know what
:05:25. > :05:30.Barack Obama thinks, he would prefer Britain in? I think it is fair to
:05:31. > :05:39.say, Americans want Britain within the European Union because the UK in
:05:40. > :05:42.the European Union is a stronger transatlantic partnership. At a time
:05:43. > :05:47.when the EU is a disaster zone with the migration and economic crisis,
:05:48. > :05:53.there is a feeling if Britain leaves, that prices could turn into
:05:54. > :05:56.an implosion in the United States could use a strong partner across
:05:57. > :06:00.the Atlantic. It Barack Obama could come out and say that, he would. It
:06:01. > :06:05.all depends on whether his friend, David Cameron, wants him to.
:06:06. > :06:10.Washington wants Great Britain in the European Union. Crispin Blunt
:06:11. > :06:15.said, it is not just about what Britain once, it is how this affects
:06:16. > :06:20.the running of the EU. It is our biggest market. I guess the United
:06:21. > :06:23.States thinks that as well? If it is going to shackle the EU for a
:06:24. > :06:27.generation so it doesn't run properly, that is a reason in itself
:06:28. > :06:34.to vote against this deal? The European Commission, you can see,
:06:35. > :06:37.the Leave campaign are bending over backwards to help Britain stay in.
:06:38. > :06:41.They think they are not going to be able to go forward and the mission
:06:42. > :06:46.in the EU, if written leaves. So they have done a lot to help him
:06:47. > :06:49.secure this deal. The migration crisis and everything else is
:06:50. > :06:55.happening in Europe, to take the time to help us and our concerns, is
:06:56. > :06:58.quite remarkable. It is worth remembering there are many countries
:06:59. > :07:01.in the European Union that see things in a similar way to the UK.
:07:02. > :07:06.The Netherlands and countries in northern Europe, people want
:07:07. > :07:10.pragmatism in the European Union. They will be devastated if the UK
:07:11. > :07:15.leaves. It is seen as a moderating force when it comes to economics,
:07:16. > :07:18.the free market and when it comes to having less Europe, rather than more
:07:19. > :07:23.Europe. If it leaves, other countries will be upset. In essence,
:07:24. > :07:30.what has been agreed in the deal, might used against UK anyway. And
:07:31. > :07:34.also, let's have a look at the cartoon in the Telegraph. It is pure
:07:35. > :07:40.genius. If we sneaked onto a lorry, we can get out of the country for
:07:41. > :07:44.the referendum. A lot of people feel that way with six months of it still
:07:45. > :07:47.to come. Let's talk about Iowa, since you are here. What a
:07:48. > :07:52.performance by Bernie Sanders gesture marked I think we are seeing
:07:53. > :07:58.something we have seen in this country where people are attracted
:07:59. > :08:01.to these ageing hippies, the far lefties like Jeremy Corbyn. It is
:08:02. > :08:09.young people attract it to them. So you have Bernie Sanders edging
:08:10. > :08:14.Hillary Clinton by a small margin. You have a picture of her on the
:08:15. > :08:18.front page. She didn't put the mustard, she said it is a huge
:08:19. > :08:24.relief to sneak home? She lost Iowa last time so this is a seminal
:08:25. > :08:28.moment for her in some ways. But the margin is so small, they cannot
:08:29. > :08:33.declare victory. The Clinton camp is trying to put a positive spin on it.
:08:34. > :08:37.She is potentially in trouble. A lot of people had discounted Bernie
:08:38. > :08:42.Sanders, but he keeps doing better. His message is resonating with young
:08:43. > :08:45.people, in the same way Jeremy Corbyn has resonated with young
:08:46. > :08:54.people in the UK. The question is, before it goes to the entire letter,
:08:55. > :09:02.or people still be boating the Bernie Sanders? It is doubtful. They
:09:03. > :09:06.said that about Jeremy Corbyn! The Hillary camp will be worried
:09:07. > :09:12.tonight. She has a lot of other big seeds sown up. It is early days. New
:09:13. > :09:18.Hampshire and Iowa are small. Iowa is conservative and small, lot of
:09:19. > :09:22.Evangelicals. It is not a barometer for the rest of the country. But it
:09:23. > :09:26.is the first time we have seen these electorates put in front of the
:09:27. > :09:31.electorate in a meaningful way, so it is a snapshot and I think Hillary
:09:32. > :09:41.will be worried tonight. I will be talking a bit tonight about this
:09:42. > :09:47.thing in Buzzfeed, the prices that women have to pay for the same
:09:48. > :09:51.things men by, razors and deodorant. A study a couple of weeks ago,
:09:52. > :09:58.analysing hundreds of products that women pay more for. Razors and
:09:59. > :10:01.creams. Boots the chemist has announced it is going to change the
:10:02. > :10:07.prices of two products following this. There was also a debate in
:10:08. > :10:11.Westminster this afternoon with a fair few MPs getting involved. It
:10:12. > :10:16.does seem outrageous. This bit at the bottom, and Amazon claim to be a
:10:17. > :10:25.pirate ship and equivalent Faerie Queene ship is dearer. It is
:10:26. > :10:30.staggering. Women get paid less and now paying more for their products,
:10:31. > :10:35.it is a good campaign. It is quite eye opening. We will talk about it
:10:36. > :10:40.again in the next hour. You are coming back at 11:30pm so thank you
:10:41. > :10:44.very much indeed. We will be back at 11:30pm, coming up it is now the
:10:45. > :10:53.sport.