03/02/2016

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:00:17. > :00:20.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:21. > :00:26.Lots of politics, so two likely people with me.

:00:27. > :00:28.Our guests are Chris Hope, Chief Political Correspondent

:00:29. > :00:30.of the Daily Telegraph, and the political commentator

:00:31. > :00:40.It is all Europe. Let's start with the Metro. Last night, the headline

:00:41. > :00:43.was, you must be joking. Today, the best of both worlds? Well, all of

:00:44. > :00:46.the headlines last night could not the headlines last night could not

:00:47. > :00:51.really have been worse for poor David Cameron. Today, yesterday, the

:00:52. > :00:55.focus was on the deal he brought back from the EU, today the focus is

:00:56. > :01:00.very much about Cameron against his own party. Today was the day when he

:01:01. > :01:05.presented the deal to Parliament and then had to endure two hours of

:01:06. > :01:07.every backbencher, pro and against, standing up and saying their piece.

:01:08. > :01:10.He's got to go through this, because He's got to go through this, because

:01:11. > :01:16.the relationship with his own party on Europe, the issue that divides

:01:17. > :01:20.them, it is a bit of internal family therapy that he has to do over the

:01:21. > :01:24.next few months if he has any chance of winning the referendum. As he

:01:25. > :01:30.scored some points, given that it is a slightly more mellow headline on

:01:31. > :01:34.the one we got last night? Possibly. He has a period of about two weeks

:01:35. > :01:39.and is insisting the negotiation with our European partners is not

:01:40. > :01:43.over. That his party, his MPs and his cabinet ministers should give

:01:44. > :01:48.him that two week grace period to go back and get some more, but this is

:01:49. > :01:54.the basis of a good deal, he says. He is being given the benefit of the

:01:55. > :01:57.doubt, probably by enough backbenchers, and therefore the mood

:01:58. > :02:02.today has been that he looks like he might be getting away with it. That

:02:03. > :02:08.is probably why the headlines are less bad than there were 24 hours

:02:09. > :02:14.ago. But the ghosts of Europe row's past are coming to haunt him. Fury

:02:15. > :02:20.of the Tory grassroots? It's the of the Tory grassroots? It's the

:02:21. > :02:25.same story, differently told. This is a two our debate. One exchange

:02:26. > :02:35.that has been highlighted, we have written this in the Telegraph, David

:02:36. > :02:39.Tennant -- David Cameron got them to agree on this slightly watered-down

:02:40. > :02:45.deal, don't take a view because of what your constituency association

:02:46. > :02:51.might say, or if you are worried about a boundary review. It is a red

:02:52. > :02:54.rag to a bull, given that most people believe that Tory activists

:02:55. > :02:59.at the right of the leadership, as are many of the Tory base. Here we

:03:00. > :03:04.have a Prime Minister who is due to leave in three years' time, telling

:03:05. > :03:14.his MPs, you need to get re-elected, ignoring those that vote for him? He

:03:15. > :03:20.will not be there, he will not need to win the support of the people

:03:21. > :03:24.that won the support of activists in 2015. Line taken by this campaign

:03:25. > :03:27.you have on the left-hand side of the front page. We have not heard

:03:28. > :03:32.anything about the live debate, one of the most crucial things in a

:03:33. > :03:35.generation, why have we not heard about a live, televised debate?

:03:36. > :03:39.There is still a lot of uncertainty about whether we will have a

:03:40. > :03:46.referendum in June. It is pencilled in for June the 23rd. There has been

:03:47. > :03:50.so much focus, the energy of the principal players in the government,

:03:51. > :03:54.Cameron and Osborne, has been on this renegotiation and trying to get

:03:55. > :04:00.a deal that they can put to the country. How the campaign will be

:04:01. > :04:04.fought has become a bit secondary to that. The thing Cameron has on his

:04:05. > :04:08.side is that at least the stay in campaign, the remained campaign,

:04:09. > :04:13.seems to be relatively unified. When the deal is done coming two weeks'

:04:14. > :04:16.time, even the those on the remain in side, who have been taking

:04:17. > :04:19.potshots at David Cameron about the way he has conducted the

:04:20. > :04:25.negotiations, they will have to come in behind him. At the moment, the

:04:26. > :04:29.leave campaign has some very strong arguments and very encouraging signs

:04:30. > :04:33.in the opinion polls, but it is very divided. At the moment, this problem

:04:34. > :04:36.they are having is that David Cameron has told other Cabinet

:04:37. > :04:42.ministers, you can't come out publicly for out yet. They have no

:04:43. > :04:45.figurehead. On this point, Cameron said he would be on the TV during

:04:46. > :04:51.debates. We are trying to make sure we hold him to that. What sort of

:04:52. > :05:00.debate? There is only Nigel Farage that would stand there and say that.

:05:01. > :05:06.Our idea is a good one, put Cameron against the best no campaign person

:05:07. > :05:13.they can find. May be the campaign has somebody? It could be a business

:05:14. > :05:19.leader, hopefully David Cameron will feel secure in his arguments and

:05:20. > :05:24.have a proper debate. In the election last year, he did not want

:05:25. > :05:30.to debate Ed Miliband head to head. I am sure Nigel Farage would give

:05:31. > :05:33.him a run for his money. The Guardian, there are people within

:05:34. > :05:37.the Cabinet, particularly the big beasts, feeling a little bit

:05:38. > :05:39.uncomfortable. We know they are Eurosceptics, and yet they are

:05:40. > :05:46.making tactical decisions about whether they will, indeed, be in the

:05:47. > :05:55.campaign? Theresa May yesterday, Michael Gove not sure. Is Boris the

:05:56. > :05:59.game changer? Seems to be, the dance of the seven veils, as I heard it

:06:00. > :06:06.described. I heard a Boris Ally saying, you know, are we going to

:06:07. > :06:12.win? They are looking at the polls? It is all about the future. This is

:06:13. > :06:17.your point, David Cameron has told us he's going to stand down. A lot

:06:18. > :06:20.of the power that the Prime Minister has is keeping their party onside,

:06:21. > :06:26.through the fear of not being preferred to minister ships. Why

:06:27. > :06:30.can't he have an honest debate? This is what the public complain about.

:06:31. > :06:34.Why can't you say, I am a Eurosceptic, you know that, we will

:06:35. > :06:38.have an honest debate. If you vote to stay in, that is democracy? That

:06:39. > :06:45.would be an honest way to go forward? This is the other

:06:46. > :06:49.complicating factor. All of these people being lined up as potential

:06:50. > :06:53.successors, if the vote goes against David Cameron and the British people

:06:54. > :06:56.vote to leave the EU, the next few years will be dominated by a

:06:57. > :07:10.horrendous wrangle over how we come out. For me, and horrendous wrangle.

:07:11. > :07:15.For others, an exciting journey. There will be thinking, if I want

:07:16. > :07:18.the top job, how will I want to spend the next few years? I reckon

:07:19. > :07:27.zombie-like Theresa May, who has hummed and hard -- somebody like

:07:28. > :07:33.Theresa May, she will be thinking, do I want to do that? She could be

:07:34. > :07:39.the most powerful Prime Minister for many years. We're nearly at the end

:07:40. > :07:48.of this hour, let's look at the story in the Guardian. Lord Lucan,

:07:49. > :07:53.he was called George Bingham yesterday. The guy in the picture is

:07:54. > :07:59.now officially dead, according to the High Court, which allows George

:08:00. > :08:08.Bingham to have the title. We are fans of Downton Abbey. Will she be a

:08:09. > :08:18.dowager? Presumably it is all about the title. It marks a point on a

:08:19. > :08:26.story that has obsessed viewers in Britain for decades. I think it will

:08:27. > :08:33.continue to. The evidence might be emerging next year, says one of the

:08:34. > :08:36.reports. If he re-emerges alive, he is back as Lord Lucan. For now, it

:08:37. > :08:41.looks like a line has been drawn under this situation. One of the

:08:42. > :08:46.families members of the victim was not happy. The son of the nanny and

:08:47. > :08:50.the son of Lord Lucan have become good friends over the years. We will

:08:51. > :08:53.get into more of that in the next hour. We will have more to go

:08:54. > :09:07.through it. Coming up, time for Sportsday. And

:09:08. > :09:11.apparently we will have more on the Prime Minister's attempts to win

:09:12. > :09:15.backing from MPs for his deal on reforming Britain's place in Europe.

:09:16. > :09:19.He has been facing some criticism today from some in his own party. I

:09:20. > :09:31.have talked to the pictures. It is time for Sportsday.

:09:32. > :09:33.Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me, Ore Oduba.

:09:34. > :09:38.Coming up tonight: Runs, more runs and a lot of rain.