09/02/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.every trophy going has regained full fitness after an horrendous injury.

:00:00. > :00:14.All coming up in Sportsday in the next 15 minutes.

:00:15. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

:00:18. > :00:22.With me are political analyst and journalist Mina Al Oraibi

:00:23. > :00:24.and Rob Merrick, the Westminster correspondent

:00:25. > :00:34.The Guardian shows a picture of the German train collision.

:00:35. > :00:36.The paper also reports that David Cameron has been accused

:00:37. > :00:39.of buying off Conservative MPs who are threatening to block local

:00:40. > :00:45.The Mirror says Mr Cameron's own auntie has come out against cuts to

:00:46. > :00:59.The i leads with tomorrow's strike by junior doctors in England,

:01:00. > :01:01.after last-ditch talks failed to reach an agreement.

:01:02. > :01:03.The Telegraph says ministers may lower the drink-driving limit

:01:04. > :01:06.in England and Wales, bringing it in line with Scotland.

:01:07. > :01:12.The same story is on the front page of the Times.

:01:13. > :01:15.The FT reports Germany's biggest bank, Deutsche,

:01:16. > :01:19.could buy back several billion euros of its debt amid market fears over

:01:20. > :01:23.The Daily Mail says official figures show Britain's trade with EU

:01:24. > :01:26.countries has lagged behind exports to the rest of the world, giving

:01:27. > :01:33.And according to the Express, Britain is now on snow alert,

:01:34. > :01:36.with temperatures in some parts of the UK expected to fall to

:01:37. > :01:49.Beginning with the penultimate paper that I mentioned, The Daily Mail.

:01:50. > :01:55.Why don't you kick us off with a reference to Britain's trade

:01:56. > :01:58.slumping? We will expect many more Europe front pages to come in the

:01:59. > :02:04.next few weeks. This focuses on these statistics. The Mail says

:02:05. > :02:07.Britain's exports to Europe are lagging behind exports to the rest

:02:08. > :02:14.of the world and focuses on the cup between what Europe sells and the

:02:15. > :02:19.initial amount we managed to sell them. The conclusion is it's a boost

:02:20. > :02:23.for the Leave campaign because the rest of Europe is so desperate for

:02:24. > :02:30.us to carry on buying their stuff that they will offer us favourable

:02:31. > :02:36.trade deals if we offer to leave. We thought it wasn't much to boast,

:02:37. > :02:42.which may not be the case. The Mail is splashing on this tomorrow. There

:02:43. > :02:47.have been a series of very pro Brexit front pages. Very influential

:02:48. > :02:51.newspapers. We assume it will all be for coming out of Europe, but it

:02:52. > :02:59.hasn't done that yet. This front pages suggest it might. Is that your

:03:00. > :03:05.reading? Yes. Within the story, and it in the headline, they've brought

:03:06. > :03:10.in completely different angles. They say Turkey's Foreign Minister warns

:03:11. > :03:13.1 million more refugees could flee Syria if President Putin continues

:03:14. > :03:16.his bombing campaign. New figures show ten times as many migrants

:03:17. > :03:20.arrive in Europe. It has nothing to do with the trade issue. They are

:03:21. > :03:25.trying to say that if we leave the EU we leave these problems, which is

:03:26. > :03:29.not true. If you leave the EU you will change certain aspects but not

:03:30. > :03:35.geography. They are trying to link these issues but haven't. On the

:03:36. > :03:40.trade slump is interesting because they save Britain's love buying

:03:41. > :03:46.French wine, German cars. -- say Britons. We know that. But we are

:03:47. > :03:51.propping up a struggling economy, is what it says. There is a quote, EU

:03:52. > :03:55.nations would be happy to strike trade deals following the Brexit,

:03:56. > :04:01.adding they would not want to impose trade barriers because it is so

:04:02. > :04:04.profitable. I can hear what the PM would say, he isn't arguing that we

:04:05. > :04:09.can't be a successful trading nation outside the EU. The argument put

:04:10. > :04:15.forward is that we would be better off inside the EU, not that it would

:04:16. > :04:19.be a disaster if we left. I don't see those sorts of statistics as the

:04:20. > :04:27.clinching argument, but clearly if you are John River End you would be

:04:28. > :04:38.-- gone you would we wanted to push the line. Internationally speaking,

:04:39. > :04:42.people think that British economy is more attractive being part of the

:04:43. > :04:47.EU, even though it isn't part of the eurozone, which is a good balance to

:04:48. > :04:50.strike. Who wants to take us to this cartoon which is striking a similar

:04:51. > :04:56.note? I think it is a brilliant cartoon on the Telegraph front-page

:04:57. > :05:01.about the Brexit. Now we have the angel of death coming to visit us.

:05:02. > :05:05.Clearly a political note, saying we are sick of the scaremongering.

:05:06. > :05:14.Presumably that's David Cameron? Well, it is the Angel of death. It

:05:15. > :05:20.could be this thing off them refusing this idea... Still four

:05:21. > :05:28.months to go! Staying with the Telegraph. This is the story about

:05:29. > :05:33.Deutsche bank. Significant falls in their shares. We spoke about this

:05:34. > :05:36.earlier. The Financial Times has this as their lead story as well.

:05:37. > :05:41.This is written from the point of view of trying to make us believe

:05:42. > :05:50.that it's a threat to all of our financial health, not just joined

:05:51. > :05:52.the bank. I'm not an expert on what they're falling share price means

:05:53. > :05:59.for the rest of us. -- Deutsche bank. There have been stories about

:06:00. > :06:03.gathering economic dark clouds. I think when the FTSE falls it

:06:04. > :06:08.normally comes back and it doesn't necessarily point to some sort of

:06:09. > :06:14.fresh economic crash. It depends how far it falls. Obviously that they

:06:15. > :06:18.will one day come but in recent weeks the FTSE has fallen and gone

:06:19. > :06:20.back up again and got a less attention when it did, but

:06:21. > :06:25.economists will tell us we are closer to the next recession. We

:06:26. > :06:30.look at the German economy and what it means, the fact that this story

:06:31. > :06:40.and that this story and Batty the FT finance minister coming out and

:06:41. > :06:46.saying Deutsche bank is OK. -- the fact that. 80,000 staff got a letter

:06:47. > :06:51.saying they are rocksolid. It is indicative of the fact that they

:06:52. > :06:56.don't want jitters. We had the shares falling over 40% of the

:06:57. > :07:01.beginning of the year, which is indicative of the price fall. But it

:07:02. > :07:06.could be propping up again soon and we are all just getting nervous. But

:07:07. > :07:12.with everything happening on the markets, I think there is some

:07:13. > :07:16.concern to be had. Because people's pensions are wrapped up in the FTSE.

:07:17. > :07:23.One of the points the Telegraph is making. Yesterday when I sat here we

:07:24. > :07:27.had a brief conversation with my two reviewers about David Cameron's

:07:28. > :07:37.Mahbub. Now the Mirror, and it was the Mirror then, talks about his

:07:38. > :07:44.arms. -- mother. She also lives in Oxfordshire and is very worried

:07:45. > :07:46.about cuts being imposed by Oxfordshire council because funding

:07:47. > :07:55.has been cut so dramatically by Mr Cameron. She goes further than

:07:56. > :08:01.Cameron's mother. The story yesterday was that his mother signed

:08:02. > :08:06.a petition. Here's aunt says it is shortsighted, a great error. I am

:08:07. > :08:09.pretty sure she directly blamed the government and said it was a matter

:08:10. > :08:13.for the government rather than purely for a council, which is of

:08:14. > :08:19.course embarrassing for the Prime Minister. It is trying to calculate

:08:20. > :08:24.where it might rank on the list of political leaders embarrassed by

:08:25. > :08:31.their relatives. Tony Blair's father-in-law was always popping up.

:08:32. > :08:35.It isn't as bad as that, I think, as Margaret Thatcher's son who was so

:08:36. > :08:38.embarrassing he had to be banished from the country and later got

:08:39. > :08:42.involved in a military coup. I think Cameron has some way to go before he

:08:43. > :08:47.reaches that. Interesting, we were discussing this earlier, David

:08:48. > :08:53.Cameron's Mum was a trending hashtag on Twitter. This is also about

:08:54. > :08:57.children's centres that are being threatened in Oxfordshire. This is

:08:58. > :09:02.about families and an impact they have on either care homes or

:09:03. > :09:06.children's centres. The fact that it is his family commenting on it is

:09:07. > :09:11.interesting. It does affect people's lives. It is politically

:09:12. > :09:16.embarrassing. David Cameron has written his own letter. Some Labour

:09:17. > :09:19.MPs call it the lead of the anti-austerity movement in

:09:20. > :09:25.Oxfordshire. Maybe tomorrow they will ask if that's a title held by

:09:26. > :09:31.his mum. Go into the front of the Times. The Telegraph has this as

:09:32. > :09:37.well. Drink-driving limit facing first cut in a generation. Yes. This

:09:38. > :09:44.is a story about the possibility of this cut. There is still no serious

:09:45. > :09:48.consideration about it, however, Andrew Jones, the Roads Minister,

:09:49. > :09:52.said he plans to discuss with the Scottish minister of the experience

:09:53. > :09:58.of lower limits, which they did in Scotland. I have to say Scotland has

:09:59. > :10:04.cut the limit from 80 mg to 50 mg, which brings it in line with France,

:10:05. > :10:09.Italy, Germany. It is actually more Europe wide. So, this is important

:10:10. > :10:14.in the sense that for those who drink and possibly drives this is

:10:15. > :10:19.going to be the lowest... The first revision in about 50 years. I don't

:10:20. > :10:24.drink, so for me it looks very interesting because I think... I

:10:25. > :10:27.always consider how people measure what they drink. It is serious

:10:28. > :10:31.because of the impact it has on road safety and apparently in Scotland

:10:32. > :10:39.drink-driving offences have dropped from 4200 to about 3600 since they

:10:40. > :10:44.imposed this new limits. I think we felt the story didn't quite

:10:45. > :10:50.deliver, in that it is based on a written parliamentary answer, rather

:10:51. > :10:54.than an interview with the minister. And of course you would expect him

:10:55. > :11:00.perhaps to have talks with neighbouring country, Scotland,

:11:01. > :11:07.which has made this change. I will call it a country! Apologies.

:11:08. > :11:14.Obviously it will be a significant change. It hasn't happened yet. It

:11:15. > :11:17.has a certain logic because we have had restrictions on mobile phone use

:11:18. > :11:21.when driving a car, so I suppose that the direction it is going in.

:11:22. > :11:25.It's something safety campaigners have talked about and been pushing

:11:26. > :11:33.for for some time. Staying with the Times. I think it is mentioned on

:11:34. > :11:39.the front and covered inside. Wealthy towns urged to take their

:11:40. > :11:42.share of asylum seekers. This is the story the Times has led on, in

:11:43. > :11:48.exposing how unfair the disposal of asylum seekers around the country

:11:49. > :11:54.has been. In terms of the poor areas, they've taken very large

:11:55. > :11:59.numbers. No area is supposed to take more than one asylum seeker per

:12:00. > :12:05.200, but Middlesbrough has taken on to 180. That has increased tensions

:12:06. > :12:09.in the local community. There could be a shortage of housing. That's why

:12:10. > :12:15.they should try to do it more fairly. David Cameron's area has

:12:16. > :12:23.zero, the Home Secretary's area has five, the Chancellor's two. Today

:12:24. > :12:29.they say they will try to or intended to spread their more

:12:30. > :12:36.effectively. But in these areas housing is cheaper and more

:12:37. > :12:42.available. Clearly there is some effort to put the asylum seekers in

:12:43. > :12:52.Britain are part of the -- parts of the country is, -- country. Easier

:12:53. > :12:55.to say than do. Thank goodness this is talking about housing them in

:12:56. > :13:00.towns rather than detention centres. We have seen some of the events that

:13:01. > :13:04.have happened. For people seeking asylum there is a mixup in some of

:13:05. > :13:07.the language used here. We talk about migrants and they talk about

:13:08. > :13:13.asylum seekers and they talk about those coming from Syria as migrants,

:13:14. > :13:16.whereas in reality they are refugees. There has to be some

:13:17. > :13:20.sensitivity. But it goes back to the point of when local councils are

:13:21. > :13:24.facing cuts, when it is a time of austerity, then it has to be equal

:13:25. > :13:30.burden sharing. That's what this is leading to. But there's a report

:13:31. > :13:34.mentioned here by the overseas development institute about what is

:13:35. > :13:38.important. You want to put people where there is work and if they have

:13:39. > :13:41.family and friends you want to bring them into society and make sure that

:13:42. > :13:46.if their asylum application is accepted that they are integrated

:13:47. > :13:56.one way or another. The point made here, just looking at the Times'

:13:57. > :14:00.take on it, migrants were influenced by the presence of friends and for

:14:01. > :14:10.the already in Britain or in other EU states, dictating where they want

:14:11. > :14:15.to go. The other part of the story is we will have many more asylum

:14:16. > :14:19.seekers arriving in the country because we reluctantly were forced

:14:20. > :14:23.to accept a larger number coming from a Syrian region. Small, in

:14:24. > :14:26.comparison with the European countries, but more than they

:14:27. > :14:30.currently are, so the pressure of finding them somewhere to live will

:14:31. > :14:34.grow. On that note, thank you both very much. Coming up next, it's time

:14:35. > :14:36.for