:00:00. > :00:00.Leeds and Middlesbrough and we will bring you the controversy involving
:00:00. > :00:14.Ronnie O'Sullivan in the Welsh Open. That, after the papers.
:00:15. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
:00:18. > :00:20.With me tonight our guests are the education editor
:00:21. > :00:23.for the Sunday Times Sian Griffiths and Kiran Stacey, who's
:00:24. > :00:34.Let's have a look at some of the front pages.
:00:35. > :00:36.The Financial Times claims there could be a showdown
:00:37. > :00:38.in parliament between Eurosceptic ministers and David Cameron,
:00:39. > :00:42.NHS funding is the Independent's main story, as a whistleblower
:00:43. > :00:45.claims hospitals are under pressure to underplay the scale
:00:46. > :00:50.The Telegraph quotes new figures, which suggest there's been
:00:51. > :00:53.the biggest rise in annual death rates in England and Wales
:00:54. > :00:58.The wreckage of a hospital in Syria, which was hit with an airstrike,
:00:59. > :01:01.is pictured on the front of the Metro.
:01:02. > :01:03.The Guardian carries comments from a leaked report
:01:04. > :01:06.from the Department of Health, which claims a 7 day a week NHS may
:01:07. > :01:12.Immune cell therapy could be used to help cure cancer,
:01:13. > :01:17.according to research quoted in the Times.
:01:18. > :01:25.And back to the EU with the Express, saying any negotiations by the
:01:26. > :01:33.pro-minister could be changed after the referendum by MEPs.
:01:34. > :01:41.That is our top story, Cameron's EU deal is a con. Are we being sold a
:01:42. > :01:45.dud? That is what the express is suggesting and the Telegraph is also
:01:46. > :01:49.leading on the EU deal. It will be a really interesting week. David
:01:50. > :01:53.Cameron on Thursday is hoping to secure this new deal in Brussels. If
:01:54. > :01:57.he gets that on Thursday, he will then go and take it to the Cabinet
:01:58. > :02:02.on Friday and try to sell the deal. I think there is a last-minute
:02:03. > :02:08.battle going on, with Poland in particular, over these child benefit
:02:09. > :02:12.payments to migrant workers. Cameron wants to link that benefit to the
:02:13. > :02:17.cost of living in their home countries. They want to keep it as
:02:18. > :02:30.the cost of the benefit in Britain. I think this whole idea that it
:02:31. > :02:33.might be a : con, of course they could decide to have another
:02:34. > :02:38.referendum or reverse it, if we decide to come out of the EU and
:02:39. > :02:42.maybe Labour gets in next time round. I don't see why Labour
:02:43. > :02:45.couldn't have another referendum on the whole thing could be reversed
:02:46. > :02:53.and we might go back in. Apart from that, of course, MEPs also have to
:02:54. > :02:58.vote, so even if... They could just reversed it all.
:02:59. > :03:04.What's interesting is the debate, it seems to be revolving around, as far
:03:05. > :03:07.as the renegotiations are concerned, migrants and the migrant question.
:03:08. > :03:11.Yet David Cameron is in France today and it is all about financial reform
:03:12. > :03:14.and the French being worried that apparently the British are going to
:03:15. > :03:20.get a better deal because they are outside the euro zone. David Cameron
:03:21. > :03:23.has to face two directions, a message for the British public who
:03:24. > :03:27.will vote on this one way or another, and I think that will be
:03:28. > :03:30.tendered around migration. That is what the Conservatives feel is the
:03:31. > :03:34.most important issue on people's minds when they think of the EU.
:03:35. > :03:38.There are other things they want to achieve, whether on financial
:03:39. > :03:41.reform, encouraging free trade, other things the Conservatives want
:03:42. > :03:45.to do and other European countries are worried about. He has to go to
:03:46. > :03:52.Paris and say we don't want the City of London to run wild over all your
:03:53. > :03:56.financial sectors, you to other places and reassure them as well.
:03:57. > :04:00.The suggestion in this Express story is it is a con because Parliament
:04:01. > :04:04.could vote it down and the head of the parliament, Martin Schultz of
:04:05. > :04:08.throwing his weight around sometimes when he feels that needs to be done,
:04:09. > :04:11.he has been saying, we as parliamentarians could vote all this
:04:12. > :04:16.down. I'm pretty sure that won't happen. That would be a serious
:04:17. > :04:20.constitutional crisis within the EU and I don't think parliamentarians
:04:21. > :04:23.are likely to turn round their governments who have negotiated this
:04:24. > :04:27.in the first place and a brick it all up, start again or chuck the UK
:04:28. > :04:31.out. They could be it gets renegotiated a bit and I think some
:04:32. > :04:35.of the Eurosceptics who argue that have a point. But basically, if
:04:36. > :04:40.Cameron manages to tie up two things, one being the rule about
:04:41. > :04:44.waiting for years before migrants get benefits, which we thought was
:04:45. > :04:46.going to be the big issue, the one thing that was going to be almost
:04:47. > :04:50.impossible to do. It looks at that has been almost sorted out. One
:04:51. > :04:54.thing I don't think anyone realise that be as big an issue is this
:04:55. > :04:58.issue of child benefits, to migrants who are here but whose children are
:04:59. > :05:02.still back in their home countries. If you are Polish and a parent and
:05:03. > :05:06.your child is in Poland, you are getting a UK rate of child benefit.
:05:07. > :05:10.I think David Cameron thought that would be tidied up quite quickly.
:05:11. > :05:13.The polls are pushing back quite quickly on that. We'll see how it
:05:14. > :05:18.plays out. Downing Street confident they can get a deal by Friday. If we
:05:19. > :05:23.go to the Daily Telegraph, Cameron to call referendum on Friday. And if
:05:24. > :05:28.he does that, as soon as God macro days' time, it means his cabinet can
:05:29. > :05:36.decide which way they want to go on this particular issue. Absolutely.
:05:37. > :05:39.There is a big rally on Friday and there are Cabinet ministers who are
:05:40. > :05:43.keen to start campaigning for Brexit. There some who are sitting
:05:44. > :05:49.on the fence as well, but both Iain Duncan Smith and Chris Grayling are
:05:50. > :05:55.keen to join the Brexit campaign. I think Michael Gove and Boris
:05:56. > :05:58.Johnson, they are your risk acted -- Eurosceptics by think Cameron is
:05:59. > :06:00.hoping he can persuade them to join the campaign to stay in. I think it
:06:01. > :06:06.will be a very interesting weekend for Europe. After all that
:06:07. > :06:12.negotiation it seems nice to have a bit of a lull. You say it is nice...
:06:13. > :06:15.We will have the actual vote and the recriminations after the vote. Do
:06:16. > :06:28.you want a long answer or the short answer? Sticking with the Telegraph.
:06:29. > :06:33.The biggest rise in death rates since the war. Experts blame poor
:06:34. > :06:35.NHS elderly care. This is an interesting story foster when I
:06:36. > :06:40.first looked at the story I thought, is that surprising question that we
:06:41. > :06:44.have an ageing society, more elderly and you would expect the death rate
:06:45. > :06:49.to start to rise. There are some surprising stats here. This is a
:06:50. > :06:53.report from Public Health England, or the advisers to Public Health
:06:54. > :06:59.England. The stats say in one year in 2015 there were 5.4% more deaths
:07:00. > :07:03.in England, equating to nearly 27,000 extra deaths according to
:07:04. > :07:09.preliminary data from the Office of National Statistics. What is
:07:10. > :07:13.interesting about this is a professor at Oxford University says
:07:14. > :07:16.we have an ageing society, but it is even worse than we would expect.
:07:17. > :07:20.Something else is happening here. This is not just the effects of what
:07:21. > :07:26.is happening to our population as a whole. What he says is I suspect the
:07:27. > :07:29.largest factor here is cuts to social services, Meals on Wheels,
:07:30. > :07:33.visits to the elderly. This is the unseen effect of cuts, particular to
:07:34. > :07:37.local government, which has been one area of government spending which
:07:38. > :07:42.has been slashed down. People feel like that hasn't really had a
:07:43. > :07:45.visible effect. Their bins still get connected, the road still get swept
:07:46. > :07:48.most of the time, things are visibly OK, but we are starting to see some
:07:49. > :07:52.of the hidden effects coming through. If you don't have the
:07:53. > :07:58.social services that the impact starts to be felt in A, on
:07:59. > :08:02.hospital wards and on death rates. Doctors say they have felt the
:08:03. > :08:11.effects for a long time. A related story in the Guardian, NHS might not
:08:12. > :08:16.cut deaths. The big key point from Jeremy Hunt, the Health Secretary in
:08:17. > :08:21.train to push through a seven day NHS, and as a result we have had
:08:22. > :08:25.these strikes by junior doctors in relation to this, has been that the
:08:26. > :08:28.whole point of it is to cut the death rates and the high mortality
:08:29. > :08:33.rate that we can. This suggests that is not going to happen anyway. I
:08:34. > :08:38.think the NHS is dominating the papers at the moment. Before we go
:08:39. > :08:44.to the Guardian, there is a picture on the front of the Telegraph, this
:08:45. > :08:48.nurse. This is the human side of what is going on in the NHS. This is
:08:49. > :08:55.a nurse who died waiting for an ambulance. 27 years old, a student
:08:56. > :08:59.nurse, type one diabetes, died of cardiac arrest after an ambulance
:09:00. > :09:06.was delayed by five hours. When things go wrong, people die. So the
:09:07. > :09:12.seven day NHS might not cut deaths, that would be astonishing, after
:09:13. > :09:16.he's brought the duty doctors out on strike for... The whole idea was
:09:17. > :09:23.11,000 people year could be saved if we had weekend working. There was a
:09:24. > :09:27.September 2015 report for the British medical Journal which said
:09:28. > :09:30.that. But I think this now is arguing for people who go in at
:09:31. > :09:35.weekends might be more ill than people who go in during the week.
:09:36. > :09:39.Therefore you cannot just argue if there were more staff, they might
:09:40. > :09:45.have a better chance of being saved. The other point this makes is to
:09:46. > :09:49.deliver this you would need 11,000 more staff to deliver a a week
:09:50. > :09:53.service and it would cost an extra ?900 million a year. Nobody is
:09:54. > :10:02.saying that is going to be put on the table. OK, the Metro. A
:10:03. > :10:05.cessation of hostilities, not the same as a ceasefire apparently, in
:10:06. > :10:10.Syria. This is supposed to be happening at the weekend. And yet
:10:11. > :10:15.the bonds are still falling in the run up to that and hospitals are
:10:16. > :10:20.being hit. Yes, this is a really tragic story from Syria. As you say,
:10:21. > :10:23.there is supposed to be a cessation of hostilities, but the Russians
:10:24. > :10:28.said during that time they will still continue to bomb targets they
:10:29. > :10:35.see as terrorists. And the Americans as well, attacking Islamic State.
:10:36. > :10:38.The question has always been if the Russians are attacking Islamic State
:10:39. > :10:45.or the moderate rebels to help President Assad. I think there are
:10:46. > :10:50.two strikes, which were suspected of having been carried out by the
:10:51. > :10:54.Russians. Tensions now, it has become such a global crisis, it is
:10:55. > :10:58.not just something about Syria, although what is happening to Syria
:10:59. > :11:04.is of course tragic, but now having this turn into a proxy war between
:11:05. > :11:08.the US, Russia, Turkey, Europe, all these various powers. It's almost
:11:09. > :11:13.impossible now to track who is allied with whom. Russia, Turkey,
:11:14. > :11:21.backing separate groups of rebels. The US and Russia both backing
:11:22. > :11:25.Kurds. Turkey shelling the Kurds but Russia and the US don't agree on the
:11:26. > :11:30.strategy to bomb the rebels in other areas. It's an absolute mess. You
:11:31. > :11:33.think, if we're going to get a cessation of violence, which
:11:34. > :11:35.involves two the main players still bombing, are we any further than we
:11:36. > :11:42.were last week? Absolutely. It doesn't make any sense, does it? I
:11:43. > :11:47.did not understand a word of that, did you? I did. It is confusing but
:11:48. > :11:52.the headline is slaughter of the innocents. I kept thinking, I
:11:53. > :11:56.understand all this but at the end of the day... 50 people were killed
:11:57. > :11:59.including sick children and a pregnant woman. One of these
:12:00. > :12:04.hospitals was Medecins Sans Frontier. They have come out and
:12:05. > :12:10.said this is a breach of international law. This is a
:12:11. > :12:12.terrible tragedy. Potentially a war crimes.
:12:13. > :12:14.Thank you Sian and Kiran, you'll both be back at 11.30pm
:12:15. > :12:17.for another look at the stories making the news tomorrow.
:12:18. > :12:33.But coming up next it's time for Sportsday.
:12:34. > :12:37.Hello and welcome to Sportsday with me Will Perry, the headlines