04/03/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.defence of the Davis Cup off to a good start. And we will be the

:00:00. > :00:00.result from a host of Rob the matches from both codes. That is

:00:00. > :00:16.after the Papers. Hello and welcome to

:00:17. > :00:18.our look ahead to what the papers With me are the

:00:19. > :00:22.Mirror's Deputy Political Editor Jack Blanchard and the Daily

:00:23. > :00:28.Telegraph columnist Tim Stanley. The Independent claims that Facebook

:00:29. > :00:30.may pay little or nothing in additional tax for

:00:31. > :00:33.the next few years, despite today's The Culture Secretary John

:00:34. > :00:40.Whittingdale tells the Telegraph that the Prime Minister should

:00:41. > :00:42.release figures that show the true number of European Union

:00:43. > :00:48.migrants living in the UK. A Home Office Minister tells

:00:49. > :00:51.the Daily Mail that human rights laws mean some illegal immigrants

:00:52. > :00:54.can't be deported from the UK. Meanwhile the Express says

:00:55. > :00:56.the number of new asylum applications lodged across the EU

:00:57. > :00:59.last year rose to 1.2 million. The Times reports that

:01:00. > :01:01.George Osborne has abandoned an overhaul of pension tax

:01:02. > :01:06.after a revolt from Tory MPs. And, 20 years since 16 pupils and

:01:07. > :01:09.a teacher were killed at Dunblane primary school, the headteacher back

:01:10. > :01:24.in 1996 has given an emotional We start with pensions and how the

:01:25. > :01:29.Guardian is looking at it. George Osborne forced to give up radical

:01:30. > :01:33.reforms in the budget. I wonder how much of this is because he doesn't

:01:34. > :01:42.understand any more than anyone else does. The tax on pensions is

:01:43. > :01:47.graduated, which means if you are high earner you end up saving a

:01:48. > :01:52.great deal of money. The idea was that that would be replaced with a

:01:53. > :01:55.flat tax of around 20%. It was suggested the Chancellor would then

:01:56. > :01:58.make up for any losses that people might have suffered while they were

:01:59. > :02:03.paying into their pension by saying that when you came to take money

:02:04. > :02:06.out, it wouldn't be taxed. So, a kind of neat way round the problem.

:02:07. > :02:10.The problem is that it would have put people off from investing in

:02:11. > :02:14.their pension, which is what the government should be encouraging

:02:15. > :02:18.people to do, but also, would anyone trust a future government not to tax

:02:19. > :02:24.pensionable income? So he has backed down. It is a sign that the proposal

:02:25. > :02:29.is flawed, but also that he feels politically weak. The government is

:02:30. > :02:34.facing a referendum on the EU, is desperate not to alienate the Tory

:02:35. > :02:38.grassroots, and they probably calculated that this person would

:02:39. > :02:44.have done exactly that. It might surprise some that he is feeling

:02:45. > :02:48.weak, given some of the changes he has managed to get through. He

:02:49. > :02:54.hasn't had the best year, and he is making a bit of a habit of this. Is

:02:55. > :03:01.2012 budget, he had to rewrite a lot of it, with U-turns on various

:03:02. > :03:07.taxes. His budget last year, the first one as in all Tory Chancellor,

:03:08. > :03:10.he had to do a U-turn on the tax credit cards that he had just

:03:11. > :03:14.announced. Now he is you turning on his budget before he has even

:03:15. > :03:18.announced his budget, which is a new record to him and not a good look.

:03:19. > :03:21.He has tried to slip it out on Friday night in the hope it wouldn't

:03:22. > :03:30.make the front pages, but that didn't go too well. How much do you

:03:31. > :03:36.think, Jack, is down to the fact that he has leadership aspirations,

:03:37. > :03:42.and if he upsets the voters or his own backbenchers that might thwart

:03:43. > :03:47.him. I think everything George Osborne does is down to the fact

:03:48. > :03:51.that he has leadership aspirations. He is trying to fight his own party

:03:52. > :03:54.on too many fronts. The last thing he needs to do is go picking a fight

:03:55. > :04:00.with them on pensions as well as Europe. As soon as we saw the scale

:04:01. > :04:07.of the opposition from the press, who should be his allies, from the

:04:08. > :04:10.MPs standing behind him, to the grassroots, as soon as he realised

:04:11. > :04:13.what he was getting himself into, he has gone straight back. How much is

:04:14. > :04:18.down to the fact it was a flawed policy rather than political

:04:19. > :04:23.expediency? Who knows. The fact that it was trailed and then withdrawn is

:04:24. > :04:26.suspicious. George Osborne is a Chancellor who is very good at

:04:27. > :04:30.pulling rabbits out of hats. He surprised everyone with his living

:04:31. > :04:36.wage announcements, and the changes to pensions he made before the

:04:37. > :04:39.election with annuity reforms. Having made us all think he is weak

:04:40. > :04:42.and you turning right now, when it comes to the budget he could do

:04:43. > :04:49.something incredible that makes us all think he is absolutely amazing

:04:50. > :04:55.again. We all know how that feels, performance and sleight of hand!

:04:56. > :05:00.Facebook to pay its fair share of tax, but not yet. We had only just

:05:01. > :05:04.got used to the idea that this was actually happening today, and now we

:05:05. > :05:09.are told not to be too excited about it. Yes, because they are sitting on

:05:10. > :05:12.?21 million worth of deferred tax relief, which means they could end

:05:13. > :05:18.up not paying the money until quite sometime in the future. So on the

:05:19. > :05:25.face of it it looked like they were doing the right thing, but we're not

:05:26. > :05:28.going to any money yet. There is method in their madness. There is a

:05:29. > :05:36.new tax system coming in saying that if you don't pay your 20% corporate

:05:37. > :05:40.tax, we will charge a 25%. It is not clear whether that will have caught

:05:41. > :05:45.them in the way that they were using pirated to pay their taxes. I don't

:05:46. > :05:48.know. They have certainly moved before they were taken out. The

:05:49. > :05:52.problem is that they haven't given us any real detail of exactly how

:05:53. > :05:57.they will do it. They say they will put more of their UK profits through

:05:58. > :06:00.the UK tax revenues, which is good news, but what is interesting is you

:06:01. > :06:04.don't see anything from the government today saying this is a

:06:05. > :06:07.huge success. If you think back to the Google success a few weeks ago,

:06:08. > :06:11.when the Chancellor came out saying this was a huge success of the

:06:12. > :06:15.government, and it turned out most people didn't see it that way. They

:06:16. > :06:18.are saying nothing about this, they are being completely quiet, they

:06:19. > :06:25.want to see the details about getting caught up. Let's look at the

:06:26. > :06:30.Telegraph. A cabinet minister has warned that Britain's public

:06:31. > :06:36.services are creaking at the seams. This is coming from the culture

:06:37. > :06:39.Secretary. And not just from John Whittingdale, but it is something

:06:40. > :06:43.that the eurosceptic side of the referendum debate have been saying

:06:44. > :06:47.for some time. Part of what looks like a co-ordinated attack on David

:06:48. > :06:52.Cameron. He was ambushed at PMQs on Wednesday by David Davis, a

:06:53. > :06:56.prominent Eurosceptic, who asked why there is this difference between the

:06:57. > :07:00.official number of people who have moved to the country, and the number

:07:01. > :07:03.of national insurance numbers that have been registered by people

:07:04. > :07:12.abroad. The difference is extraordinary. 257,000 EU migrants

:07:13. > :07:15.last year. Over the same time, 630,000 EU citizens registered for a

:07:16. > :07:18.national insurance number. That is a huge difference. What they are

:07:19. > :07:24.trying to suggest is that a lot more European migrants are coming to work

:07:25. > :07:28.than statistics would suggest. But those statistics might also be

:07:29. > :07:34.wrong. We don't know how many people have got a national insurance number

:07:35. > :07:39.who aren't here. Yes, you can get one, and hold it for a few weeks and

:07:40. > :07:42.then go back. I think they are trying to prove a point that they

:07:43. > :07:48.are coming to work, rather than claim benefits. That shoots the Fox

:07:49. > :07:53.when it comes to the Brussels summit deal. David Cameron said he had

:07:54. > :07:58.stopped the issue of benefits, and that would stop people from coming.

:07:59. > :08:04.They are trying to shoot at. It is a pity that the EU debate has become

:08:05. > :08:09.harder about internal Tory propping or about immigration. -- plotting.

:08:10. > :08:13.It should be about sovereignty and issues of trade and things like

:08:14. > :08:17.that. But I think this will be the issue it keeps coming back to. If

:08:18. > :08:20.you think the Eurosceptics are playing this card too strongly,

:08:21. > :08:24.don't forget the government has tried it by claiming that if Britain

:08:25. > :08:30.leaves the EU, migrants will stream across the Channel and set up camp

:08:31. > :08:35.in Dover instead of in Calais. Everyone is playing the migrant

:08:36. > :08:41.card. There is also talk of the migrants issue and Europe on pages

:08:42. > :08:52.eight and nine of the Daily Mail. Tory civil war erupts. We rather

:08:53. > :08:58.like these pictures of Francois Hollande and Angela Merkel cosying

:08:59. > :09:02.up. Who would want to leave the EU when you can see how happy they can

:09:03. > :09:07.be as part of it? It is a glorious thing. The more serious story

:09:08. > :09:11.alongside the pictures are the plotting against David Cameron, the

:09:12. > :09:16.open plotting against David Cameron, that is now starting to happen among

:09:17. > :09:19.his own party. We are two weeks into a four-month campaign, and already

:09:20. > :09:23.very senior Conservatives are starting to say David Cameron will

:09:24. > :09:28.have to go if he loses the referendum. Some are starting to him

:09:29. > :09:34.that he might have to go if he wins it. How bad will this get? We have

:09:35. > :09:42.weeks of this! Why would he have to go if he wins? He would have to go

:09:43. > :09:46.if he won Andy that wasn't large. -- and the gap wasn't large. Also at

:09:47. > :09:50.the party felt that he had been bullied or the campaign had been

:09:51. > :09:55.very acrimonious. The EU referendum is on one hand about a

:09:56. > :09:59.straightforward policy choice to be in the EU or not. On another level

:10:00. > :10:04.it is about so much more. For the Tories it is a generational battle

:10:05. > :10:11.between Thatcherites and Liberals, and people are settling old scores

:10:12. > :10:15.with this. That is what we are seeing. The irony is that this could

:10:16. > :10:20.end up damaging the PM and encouraging a lot of Labour voters

:10:21. > :10:24.to join in with the league side. If they calculate that the EU

:10:25. > :10:32.referendum is evolving into a vote of confidence in David Cameron, a

:10:33. > :10:36.lot of centrist and centre-left voters don't like David Cameron, and

:10:37. > :10:39.they might come out and vote was to damage him. A lot of this might

:10:40. > :10:45.deflect the debate away from the EU and towards domestic issues. But a

:10:46. > :10:48.lot of people will look at that and wonder what people are talking

:10:49. > :10:53.about, with wet and dry and generational, I understand that for

:10:54. > :10:57.the conservative movement it is important. But for most people it is

:10:58. > :11:01.about jobs, people moving to the country, will my business be

:11:02. > :11:07.stronger or more secure part of the union or not? They will be looking

:11:08. > :11:09.at it in a hardheaded way. They see the Conservative Party tearing

:11:10. > :11:13.itself apart over Europe yet again, and it will only end up damaging one

:11:14. > :11:19.thing, and that is the Conservative Party. That is indisputable, but

:11:20. > :11:23.just to add, if you look at the polls what is really interesting is

:11:24. > :11:26.that if you simply ask people how they will vote, it is close. If you

:11:27. > :11:30.distinguish between those who are definitely going to vote and those

:11:31. > :11:37.who aren't, leave has a significant majority. If people judge this whole

:11:38. > :11:41.debate as an intra- Tory spat, a lot of people will stay at home. I

:11:42. > :11:45.suspect it will be the Europhiles who stay at home. I think this all

:11:46. > :11:51.works to the advantage of the leave campaign. The more toxic the debate

:11:52. > :11:59.becomes, I think it helps the Tory right. So, possibly the complete

:12:00. > :12:09.opposite. I am relieved, that allows balance! The Express, OJ Simpson.

:12:10. > :12:12.This story never seems to go away. A nice that has been found in the

:12:13. > :12:17.house that formerly belonged to OJ Simpson has been discovered, but

:12:18. > :12:22.apparently it had been in the possession of a police officer for a

:12:23. > :12:25.long time, and we are hearing that he intended to put it on display

:12:26. > :12:32.somehow. We don't even know whether it has anything to do with the death

:12:33. > :12:36.of his wife. The details still need to come out in the wash, but as a

:12:37. > :12:41.headline, how eye-catching was at this afternoon when we saw, knife

:12:42. > :12:44.found that OJ's house. Anyone who was old enough to remember the mid-

:12:45. > :12:48.90s and what happened will be interested in this story. I believe

:12:49. > :12:51.there is a TV show at the moment going over the old ground in some

:12:52. > :12:57.detail, that a lot of people are watching. It is a real revival. They

:12:58. > :13:01.might have to make another episode of the TV show! It is a fantastic

:13:02. > :13:05.archaeological find, and I understand that they also found the

:13:06. > :13:16.part of the covenant and the holy Grail nearby. -- the Ark of the

:13:17. > :13:23.covenant. I was at work, and somebody asked who OJ is. I said,

:13:24. > :13:32.don't lie, you are not that young! Someone who is feeling very young

:13:33. > :13:47.despite his venerable years. Rupert Murdoch has married Jerry Hall. I

:13:48. > :13:50.don't understand why people are not happy about this. People have a lot

:13:51. > :13:53.of reasons why they have relationships, and people see things

:13:54. > :13:57.in each other that we can't seen each other, and I am very happy that

:13:58. > :14:04.these two have found each other. You are romantic, I love it. I can think

:14:05. > :14:09.of a few veteran journalists who will see some irony in Rupert

:14:10. > :14:13.deciding to exchange vows on Fleet Street, the street he destroyed 30

:14:14. > :14:22.years ago almost single-handedly. Yes, he didn't choose to get married

:14:23. > :14:27.in Wapping. No, and who would? It is an awful place, no one would want to

:14:28. > :14:30.go work there. If you live in Wapping, we apologise. Thank you

:14:31. > :14:45.both for coming. Hello and welcome to

:14:46. > :14:47.Sportsday, I'm Azi Farni. Coming up, Great Britain

:14:48. > :14:51.win gold at the World Track