18/03/2016

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:00:00. > :00:17.career in the fox hunters. We will also have the football and rugby.

:00:18. > :00:23.We thought we would be talking about Paris tonight and the arrest in

:00:24. > :00:30.Belgium, but no, in Duncan Smith has put paid to that. With this is a

:00:31. > :00:35.columnist from the daily Mirror and Tim Stanley, columnist for the daily

:00:36. > :00:41.Telegraph. Welcome to you both. An exciting evening. Front pages. The

:00:42. > :00:47.Telegraph leads on in Devon Smith's resignation, saying it risks from

:00:48. > :00:52.the government into disarray. The Times says he chose to resign

:00:53. > :00:56.despite a U-turn by George Osborne. The FT says in Devon Smith has

:00:57. > :00:59.inflicted serious damage on the Chancellor. The Independent has an

:01:00. > :01:03.image of the arrests in Brussels. The minister is a warning from the

:01:04. > :01:06.Welsh first Minister that an English vote to leave the European Union

:01:07. > :01:11.would prompt a constitutional crisis if the Welsh chose to remain.

:01:12. > :01:28.Carson, the headline on the Daily Mirror next to a picture of Salah

:01:29. > :01:33.Abdeslam. That begin with The Papers that God in Devon Smith on their

:01:34. > :01:38.front page in time. Cabinet minister quits over budget cut. David Smith

:01:39. > :01:41.quits after disability benefit changes. Interesting that they

:01:42. > :01:48.didn't name him because he is a big name. This happened so late in the

:01:49. > :01:53.day. Most newspapers are primping and getting ready for bed at 67

:01:54. > :01:58.o'clock. To suddenly have this kind of stuff that comes through, you

:01:59. > :02:02.have got five minutes to do an entire new leader, A column, a

:02:03. > :02:06.front-page story of 500 words and get a headline bashed out quick and

:02:07. > :02:12.get it to the printers. They have done well to get it on their front

:02:13. > :02:16.page. The significance of this and the background to it. We knew their

:02:17. > :02:22.were cuts that had been announced in the budget on Wednesday and the ones

:02:23. > :02:27.that concerned people, it seemed, were the ones that would affect

:02:28. > :02:31.some, not all, but some, people in receipt of certain disability

:02:32. > :02:37.benefits. This is a disaster for David Cameron and George Osborne. It

:02:38. > :02:44.capped a week of clock ups. It started with a budget that lacked

:02:45. > :02:50.clarity but contained a throw away proposal that was stolen from the

:02:51. > :02:54.DWP to reform benefits which people interpreted as cutting them. The

:02:55. > :02:57.next day, Nicky Morgan, said on BBC question Time that it was only a

:02:58. > :03:04.suggestion as though Parliament was a giant focus group. The next day, a

:03:05. > :03:08.person closed in Devon Smith, said she did not know what she was

:03:09. > :03:13.talking about and later that evening, but is this evening, number

:03:14. > :03:15.ten told newspapers that the entire disability benefit reform package

:03:16. > :03:21.was being kicked into the long grass. Then in Devon Smith resigned.

:03:22. > :03:26.What he said in his letter is that he is angry about two things. One is

:03:27. > :03:31.the ideas he had with welfare reform being stolen from him and put into

:03:32. > :03:35.projects which are all about cutting and, too, he does not like the

:03:36. > :03:40.impression that his welfare reform programme is part of an austerity

:03:41. > :03:44.programme that, to use his words, people perceive as political rather

:03:45. > :03:48.than in the national interest. Duncan Smith is quitting. There will

:03:49. > :03:53.be personal background to this, but he has done so in such a way that

:03:54. > :03:57.casts doubt upon the entire economic programme of George Osborne and will

:03:58. > :04:02.validate in the minds of many voters, the criticisms that Labour

:04:03. > :04:08.has made of the austerity agenda. Why not go on budget day? Why wait

:04:09. > :04:13.until today at the point at which the government is say we are not

:04:14. > :04:17.bothering? If you have a moral objection to cuts or reforms or

:04:18. > :04:24.however you reform edge permit, to welfare programmes and when you are

:04:25. > :04:26.not cutting things like state pensions, then quietly that six

:04:27. > :04:31.years until you decide it is unbearable. One of the most

:04:32. > :04:36.important things today is that there has been a court judgment on an F

:04:37. > :04:40.I/O request made to the DWP asking them to reveal some internal

:04:41. > :04:46.documents about how they assessed Universal Credit, the main reform

:04:47. > :04:52.that in Devon Smith or intimidate. He was told to release these papers

:04:53. > :04:56.three times. The third time is today and he cannot keep appealing it and

:04:57. > :05:01.refusing today. These documents, which are widely expected to show a

:05:02. > :05:07.catalogue of mistakes, are going to have to come out. You have also had

:05:08. > :05:10.the Treasury knifing Duncan Smith today over at this budget. The DWP

:05:11. > :05:15.said they were bounced into producing these figures for the

:05:16. > :05:20.budget. The Treasury and the DWP for making it part of the budget and not

:05:21. > :05:24.think that sums right and now they are rolling back and think they

:05:25. > :05:29.wanted. They have made his position untenable. You have also got to

:05:30. > :05:36.remember, this is someone who is at the centre of the Brexit debate.

:05:37. > :05:40.There is a split party here. Out of the Conservatives want in and have

:05:41. > :05:44.one vote. In Duncan Smith is against the premise to and George Osborne in

:05:45. > :05:48.this matter. Because of the disability reforms which are

:05:49. > :05:51.planned, but has provided a further reason for the party to split and

:05:52. > :05:54.there are Tory MPs saying they will not support the government honoured.

:05:55. > :05:58.It is a way of capitalising on a massive differences they have got

:05:59. > :06:04.and dividing everything thoroughly down the middle. The Telegraph have

:06:05. > :06:08.said IDS quits over fury over welfare cuts. In his statement, he

:06:09. > :06:15.said he is proud of his department and the changes to welfare that they

:06:16. > :06:18.have ushered in. Of course, huge controversy, a couple of people

:06:19. > :06:22.critical about the hardships that has brought the people who

:06:23. > :06:25.previously would have received benefits. Other people are saying it

:06:26. > :06:32.has got more people into work because work now pays. How much less

:06:33. > :06:36.likely it would he have been to have walked at this point if it were not

:06:37. > :06:42.for his views on our future in Europe? I agree with that. Because

:06:43. > :06:46.of the Brexit campaign, in Duncan Smith has somewhere to go when he

:06:47. > :06:50.quits. If he had quit and the campaign wasn't on he would have

:06:51. > :06:53.gone back to the backbenches. Now he can become a leading player in the

:06:54. > :06:57.league campaign and can devote his time to it. The complaint if you

:06:58. > :07:01.weeks ago that the civil service were not allowed access to documents

:07:02. > :07:08.which was a civil service policy. Documents related to Brexit. The

:07:09. > :07:13.defence of in Devon Smith and his record, or to try to explain how he

:07:14. > :07:16.would have said, he has regarded it as a moral thing, as being about

:07:17. > :07:20.taking people out of the trap of welfare and helping them into work.

:07:21. > :07:25.Whether you judge that is accurate or not, he argues that by taking his

:07:26. > :07:31.policies, by stealing them, and putting them into the budget, the

:07:32. > :07:34.Chancellor was reinterpreting in the public imagination, something that

:07:35. > :07:38.was supposed to help people into something that was saving money when

:07:39. > :07:42.the government cut taxes for the rich. There is also a personal

:07:43. > :07:47.dimension. I have a source who has worked with both men and says that

:07:48. > :07:52.the tension between them was extraordinary and, in fact, as he

:07:53. > :07:58.put it, curse words were thrown around in chapters which, in Tory

:07:59. > :08:06.speak, is almost like killing. There is a personal background to this. I

:08:07. > :08:11.think IDS is trying to cast this as a materialistic, libertarian

:08:12. > :08:16.Chancellor stealing his compassionate conservatism agenda

:08:17. > :08:25.and miss using it to make austerity. There is a lot of that in the

:08:26. > :08:30.budget. The stuff on academic -- academies is something that the

:08:31. > :08:33.Education Secretary should announce. Instead it was used in the budget.

:08:34. > :08:38.There were things like policies which would usually go to ministers

:08:39. > :08:43.that they have worked out, they would get credit for, go on the news

:08:44. > :08:48.to talk up and to sell and, instead, Osborne gets the glory. How much

:08:49. > :08:53.will that be a problem for George Osborne because he was talking about

:08:54. > :08:57.other cuts, I'd take that risk? This will turn into something worse than

:08:58. > :09:02.his terrible budget in the early days of the coalition because what

:09:03. > :09:06.this will show is that Osborne will find it difficult now. He has been

:09:07. > :09:09.seen for a while as the natural successor to David Cameron when he

:09:10. > :09:13.steps down and this will be difficult because if he is the

:09:14. > :09:16.person who is accused behind the scenes of stealing everyone else was

:09:17. > :09:24.macro policies, the party will not support him in pushing through to

:09:25. > :09:28.the leader ship. In Duncan Smith is not a potential leader again, he had

:09:29. > :09:32.his chance and he bled. He is outside the tent, he is very, very

:09:33. > :09:38.loose cannon and the chances of knifing Osborne, he has already

:09:39. > :09:43.knifed him today fairly thoroughly and he has blamed the Chancellor for

:09:44. > :09:46.all his problems for six years, now he will like left right and centre

:09:47. > :09:50.as part of the Brexit debate for the 15 months and the next couple of

:09:51. > :09:53.years. The Institute of fiscal studies have said further cuts would

:09:54. > :09:57.be necessary, so there will be more cuts to debate. All of this

:09:58. > :10:01.validates, I cannot believe I am saying this, John McDonald's

:10:02. > :10:04.criticism of the government which is that it insisted austerity was

:10:05. > :10:08.necessary in order to bring the deficit down and that hasn't

:10:09. > :10:12.happened. Given that it hasn't happened, either can make the

:10:13. > :10:15.argument, why don't we invest in infrastructure and now they can

:10:16. > :10:19.point to a letter by a former cabinet minister that says austerity

:10:20. > :10:23.could be interpreted as being political, rather than a necessity.

:10:24. > :10:30.This is a real winner for the Labour Party and we will see if they have

:10:31. > :10:34.got the confidence to use it. We will move on and give another story

:10:35. > :10:44.a begin tonight. We will come back to this at half past 11. World's

:10:45. > :10:49.most wanted man arrested, police finally sees the key Paris attack

:10:50. > :10:54.suspect after four months on the run. This is the 26-year-old Salah

:10:55. > :11:00.Abdeslam who, they think, might have been in the flat that they raided on

:11:01. > :11:03.Tuesday thinking the apartment was empty in another part of Belgium and

:11:04. > :11:14.now come here they were in this district very close to the centre of

:11:15. > :11:20.Brussels. Near his brother's address, which you would think they

:11:21. > :11:27.would check. This is a part of Europe where it feels like Europe is

:11:28. > :11:31.not necessarily represented. There is a gun trade there, there are

:11:32. > :11:36.large communities of Muslims, some of whom appear to have been

:11:37. > :11:41.radicalised. I just think, one thing I hope comes out of this is a --

:11:42. > :11:43.aside from punishment and retribution, which will be

:11:44. > :11:50.necessary, we could to better understand why he did this. They

:11:51. > :11:55.have got him alive. That is rare when dealing with these kinds of

:11:56. > :11:58.terrorists. As well as finding out what he knows and confirming things

:11:59. > :12:03.to Islamic State, we need to know exactly who he is working with, I

:12:04. > :12:07.really hope this will experience can contribute to public understanding

:12:08. > :12:12.of exactly why it is that young men from an immigrant background, he was

:12:13. > :12:16.from Morocco, he was not exactly destitute, he slipped in and out of

:12:17. > :12:21.petty crime, he didn't have much point in his life, why it was that

:12:22. > :12:27.he turned, and his brother turned, into terrorists. I hope that comes

:12:28. > :12:31.out of this. Five people detained today, including three members of

:12:32. > :12:36.one family who seem to have been helping him. Hugely important for

:12:37. > :12:38.Belgium because it is a strained relationship with France,

:12:39. > :12:44.suggestions the Belgian authorities had been lax in their pursuit of

:12:45. > :12:48.terrorist suspects. They got him by accident. If they went after him he

:12:49. > :12:52.would probably be dead. Belgian authorities were found to have left

:12:53. > :12:56.the guns across the border for the Charnley had the attacks at the

:12:57. > :12:59.beginning of last year. By the attacks at the end of last year they

:13:00. > :13:04.were still letting comes across the border. The Belgian police are not

:13:05. > :13:07.exactly the hottest and added to which they have been living for this

:13:08. > :13:13.man for four months and it turns out he was in the suburb he was living

:13:14. > :13:17.in beforehand and people have been saying that everyone in that area

:13:18. > :13:22.knew he was there and the police had not bothered to go down there and

:13:23. > :13:28.make someone tell them where he was. There is another assessment of this

:13:29. > :13:31.that some people thought he might have gone to Syria, other people

:13:32. > :13:35.saying no, if you want to stay hidden, you do not move around too

:13:36. > :13:42.much. You do not create waves. You keep quiet and electronic data as

:13:43. > :13:44.well. That makes sense. You will be noticed crossing borders. That is

:13:45. > :13:51.where they are looking for people. Why on earth did they not check

:13:52. > :13:57.where he had been? We know how it works. Go of grid. He seems to have

:13:58. > :14:00.done that quite well. I would be surprised if, when we look into it,

:14:01. > :14:06.we do not find that he was popping down the newsagents every morning

:14:07. > :14:11.and they should have picked him up a lot sooner. The suggestion is that

:14:12. > :14:15.he will be extradited, the French want him back to put on trial there.

:14:16. > :14:22.How easy will that be? Well Belgium not want to make an example of him?

:14:23. > :14:27.He has not committed any crimes, as far as we know, in Belgium. The main

:14:28. > :14:32.crime he is wanted for his involvement with murders in France.

:14:33. > :14:36.The French will have first chance in terms of the European wristwatch. It

:14:37. > :14:41.is amazing they have a terrorist this important alive. It shows why,

:14:42. > :14:44.going in and killing someone like Osama Bin Laden is not necessarily

:14:45. > :14:50.the best thing to do. The marker of them. It is better to have them and

:14:51. > :14:54.need to look bad. An important date for the family and friends of those

:14:55. > :14:59.who were killed. 130 people died in those attacks. That is it for The

:15:00. > :15:04.Papers this hour. Tim and Susie will be back for another look at the

:15:05. > :15:05.front pages at half past 11. Coming up next it is time for sports