:00:00. > :00:16.Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers
:00:17. > :00:21.With me are the political commentator Jo
:00:22. > :00:27.Phillips, and the political editor of the Sunday People, Nigel Nelson.
:00:28. > :00:33.A different set of papers from the last hour.
:00:34. > :00:36.They are all still dominated by Ian Duncan smith's resignation.
:00:37. > :00:39.The FT says it's sparked a wider row in the Conservative party,
:00:40. > :00:41.over the Prime Minister's and the Chancellor's style of Government.
:00:42. > :00:43."IDS twists the knife" is the Independent's take.
:00:44. > :00:46.Criticisms by Mr Duncan Smith are described as the biggest challenge
:00:47. > :00:49.to Mr Cameron's authority in his six years in Downing Street.
:00:50. > :00:52.The i calls it the "explosive exit of a quiet man".
:00:53. > :00:54.And the Express thinks that Mr Duncan Smith's
:00:55. > :00:56.resignation is a "massive boost" to the campaign for
:00:57. > :01:01.The Metro focuses on the former Work and Pensions
:01:02. > :01:03.secretary's description of the Budget as "deeply unfair" for
:01:04. > :01:07.The Guardian says the Conservatives "descended into
:01:08. > :01:18.civil war" as a succession of MPs came out to support Mr Duncan Smith.
:01:19. > :01:28.We mentioned it a few minutes ago the Times. The headline is Cameron,
:01:29. > :01:33.I blame Osborne. Chancellor messed up cots. The Prime Minister told a
:01:34. > :01:43.colleague, but we don't know which colleague. -- cuts. No, and that is
:01:44. > :01:48.the point of it. This would be very significant because Cameron and
:01:49. > :01:52.Osborne are together, together, together right the way through. This
:01:53. > :01:58.would be, Blair and Brown all over again. It widens the gap into
:01:59. > :02:03.something much more damaging. Damaging for the Prime Minister, but
:02:04. > :02:09.also damaging for the Chancellor, who is already damaged by the
:02:10. > :02:14.allegations from Iain Duncan Smith. Unless we know who said it, and
:02:15. > :02:21.unless we know in what second sciences, it is difficult... --
:02:22. > :02:26.circumstances. I'm not sure it rings true. How secure do you think George
:02:27. > :02:31.Osborne is at number 11? I would think at the moment unity is all.
:02:32. > :02:36.They are under such a cloud that George Cameron and David Cameron
:02:37. > :02:39.have to tackle this head-on and together. The idea they are falling
:02:40. > :02:45.out already would be a real problem I would think. I would imagine they
:02:46. > :02:50.are thinking in terms of the Foreign Office being a good place to him
:02:51. > :02:54.because it was considered before. Clearly George Osborne's chance of
:02:55. > :02:59.becoming Tory leader has almost disappeared on the basis of this. A
:03:00. > :03:03.shift for him might actually rejuvenate party fortunes. The
:03:04. > :03:10.parties are saying civil war within the Tory party, worst in 20 years.
:03:11. > :03:20.You have to feel that. Iain Duncan Smith's twists knife after budget
:03:21. > :03:27.channels. He said it really wasn't to do with the EU, but a lot of
:03:28. > :03:30.people say of course it was. Everything Iain Duncan Smith said,
:03:31. > :03:34.if you take it at face value, is true. Of course he was angry about
:03:35. > :03:42.his budget being raided at the Treasury. Of course he was angry
:03:43. > :03:45.about disability cuts. But against the background of this, what he is
:03:46. > :03:50.even more angry about is Britain staying in the EU. Brexit becomes
:03:51. > :03:55.the most important thing for him, and the whole point of this exercise
:03:56. > :03:58.was to try to inflict as much damage on George Osborne and David Cameron
:03:59. > :04:03.because that is most likely to persuade the voters to vote to leave
:04:04. > :04:08.Europe. Meanwhile in the daily Telegraph, we're told David Cameron
:04:09. > :04:12.is fighting to save his party. We stand for compassion and one nation,
:04:13. > :04:17.Cameron will insist, after Iain Duncan Smith sparks a Tory civil war
:04:18. > :04:22.after accusing him of favouring the rich. He has to pull everyone around
:04:23. > :04:26.him. Again, that is why I am slightly sceptical about the Times
:04:27. > :04:36.story. He can't do this on his own. He has to do it, it is his
:04:37. > :04:41.Chancellor. He might express frustration with George Osborne.
:04:42. > :04:48.Yes, he could have. I am not saying it is not true, but that would be a
:04:49. > :04:51.significant thing. But this is about going out and fighting to get back
:04:52. > :04:58.to the one nation. What is interesting is the Tory party, in
:04:59. > :05:03.fact James Forsyth wrote about this earlier, the Tory party is
:05:04. > :05:07.incredibly united when it feels under threat from the possibility of
:05:08. > :05:10.a Labour win. When they don't feel under threat from the Labour Party
:05:11. > :05:17.or anybody else, the barbarians at the gate, a fracture. And they are
:05:18. > :05:19.fracturing into bits. I suppose the thing is those bits have always been
:05:20. > :05:24.there, but they have melded together. But the referendum is
:05:25. > :05:31.bringing it out into the open. And in the daily Merit, top Tories at
:05:32. > :05:36.all. -- Daily Mirror. Iain Duncan Smith reveals Tories target the
:05:37. > :05:42.poorest because they don't vote for us. That is one of the things he
:05:43. > :05:45.said today. This is crucially important and the point about David
:05:46. > :05:50.Cameron's fightback in the House of Commons. Getting compassionate
:05:51. > :05:56.conservatism back. What happened to big society? It was not a bad idea.
:05:57. > :05:59.But so many of their policies have been divisive, like the bedroom tax
:06:00. > :06:05.which breaks opportunities and therefore is opposite to the big
:06:06. > :06:09.society. If the Tories are to get back on an even keel, that is where
:06:10. > :06:14.they need to go. A lot of people thought the spare room subsidy was a
:06:15. > :06:19.good idea. Why should people live in houses that are too big for them?
:06:20. > :06:23.They know who their electorate is. I don't know how you people actually
:06:24. > :06:30.supported that in the end. But by moving people out of communities,
:06:31. > :06:34.that is anti- big society. That is what they have to get back to. You
:06:35. > :06:40.could argue by moving people into smaller homes that allows other
:06:41. > :06:44.people to move in, families. But you are breaking up communities of 28
:06:45. > :06:49.years standing, and the whole point about big society is to get
:06:50. > :06:53.communities back together. But I think is interesting is the
:06:54. > :06:59.underlining criticism about the pensioners or older people. They
:07:00. > :07:05.still get their non- means tested winter fuel allowance, and it is
:07:06. > :07:10.always been so. Those people, older people, to go out and vote. Whether
:07:11. > :07:18.they voted Tory or Labour, they do vote, and the real question is
:07:19. > :07:24.whether they are not Tory voters, so are they likely to go out and vote?
:07:25. > :07:29.It is quite interesting that we now know Iain Duncan Smith had that
:07:30. > :07:34.argument with the Treasury and with number 10 about not taking too much
:07:35. > :07:40.away from working benefits and going for pensioners. Let's move on. OK!
:07:41. > :07:47.We could carry on with this for the whole review, but we will give you
:07:48. > :07:53.some thoughts about Havana. The Obamas have arrived for this
:07:54. > :08:00.symbolic visit. It is on the Huffington Post with the arriving at
:08:01. > :08:06.force one. 88 years since a sitting American president arrived, at that
:08:07. > :08:09.time by battleship -- Air Force One. You can't even begin to imagine what
:08:10. > :08:16.it must look like to the Cuban people. To actually see Air Force
:08:17. > :08:22.One on their television screens. A lovely photograph because it looks
:08:23. > :08:27.humid and sultry unsexy and all of that sort of stuff. -- and sexy. It
:08:28. > :08:32.is a great thing for him to do. Nothing much will come of it,
:08:33. > :08:36.although one of the leading American hotel chains has already done a deal
:08:37. > :08:41.to move in there. There is stuff going on with business, telecoms and
:08:42. > :08:45.airlines. But it is very symbolic. The question is whether they will
:08:46. > :08:50.dare to mention human rights. Everywhere President Obama goes he
:08:51. > :08:56.is under pressure to raise them in some way. Let's do this
:08:57. > :09:01.step-by-step. The first thing is, it is symbolic and there is great
:09:02. > :09:06.symbolism. Since 1959, America and Cuba have been at odds. The idea
:09:07. > :09:12.baking come together again is fantastic. -- baking come together.
:09:13. > :09:18.Even just being a tourist. And gradually build that up. Some of the
:09:19. > :09:23.streets have been painting and lightbulbs change. They have split
:09:24. > :09:29.the place up a bit. It has to be good for the economy. -- spruced.
:09:30. > :09:37.Public hit by 12 million daily nuisance calls by ambulance chasers.
:09:38. > :09:41.That is a lot. These are solicitors. It is worth pointing out in the
:09:42. > :09:46.interest of objectivity that this survey has been produced by an
:09:47. > :09:50.insurance company, and they are basically saying the ambulance
:09:51. > :09:56.chasing lawyers are pushing up the cost of car insurance, so we have to
:09:57. > :10:01.put it in the context. I should think every single person watching
:10:02. > :10:04.this programme has had one of those irritating calls, all those text
:10:05. > :10:09.messages telling you about an accident you have not yet had. It is
:10:10. > :10:15.all a bit worrying. But flippancy aside, there are rules. There is the
:10:16. > :10:20.Telephone preference service. Referral fees were banned, but what
:10:21. > :10:24.are the insurance companies going to do about it? The Telephone
:10:25. > :10:28.preference service we have heard many times is overwhelmed with
:10:29. > :10:33.people who want to sign up and it is not really very effective. That's
:10:34. > :10:38.right. I do think another book needs to be taken at this. We all get
:10:39. > :10:46.these things, the unsolicited texts, the phone calls. I don't get very
:10:47. > :10:51.many of them, but the important thing is you must look at how you
:10:52. > :10:58.prosecute the phones that do this. These calls have been traced back.
:10:59. > :11:02.There are hefty fines out there. It is a matter of grabbing those
:11:03. > :11:08.people. The easiest thing is to leave your phone off the hook. But
:11:09. > :11:19.it is incrementally pushing up the entrance. -- insurance. These fake
:11:20. > :11:23.claims were pushing up insurance premiums and causing accidents that
:11:24. > :11:27.are very distressing and at setting for people. Finally, the daily
:11:28. > :11:32.Telegraph. Don't bomb terrorists, ask them to come 40. This is the
:11:33. > :11:41.latest joke from the Labour leader's office. --, for tea. If you
:11:42. > :11:46.could have tea with terrorists rather than fighting them it would
:11:47. > :11:49.be better, but of course you can't. This is someone from the ruling
:11:50. > :11:53.National executive who has been dismissed as naive by Labour
:11:54. > :11:58.moderates. But she says the answer is have a hub of tea with Islamic
:11:59. > :12:09.State terrorists and it will all be fine. Would you? Probably not. It is
:12:10. > :12:14.not terribly helpful. This is what Labour is in the paper for. They
:12:15. > :12:19.need to get their act together. Maybe they don't need to bother at
:12:20. > :12:20.the moment because the Conservatives have enough trouble of their own
:12:21. > :12:21.that is self-made. Thank you,
:12:22. > :12:25.Jo Phillips and Nigel Nelson. Coming up next,
:12:26. > :12:28.it's The Film Review.