:00:00. > :00:16.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
:00:17. > :00:20.With me are the political commentator Lance Price,
:00:21. > :00:31.and the Times columnist Matthew Syed.
:00:32. > :00:34.Tomorrow's front pages starting with:
:00:35. > :00:37.The Observer's main story is a poll it carried out on the EU referendum,
:00:38. > :00:41.which suggests the Out camp is leading.
:00:42. > :00:44.The Sunday Express claims police have been given six more months
:00:45. > :00:46.to find out what happened to Madeleine McCann,
:00:47. > :00:50.who went missing from a holiday apartment in Portugal nine years
:00:51. > :00:55.The Mail on Sunday alleges the government overspent its foreign
:00:56. > :00:57.aid budget by some two-hundred-million
:00:58. > :01:01.The Sunday Times carries an investigation into doping
:01:02. > :01:03.in sport, and claims one doctor has prescribed banned performance
:01:04. > :01:07.enhancing drugs to 150 well-known sporting figures.
:01:08. > :01:09.British aid to Tanzania is the headline on the Sunday
:01:10. > :01:12.Telegraph, which suggests the Foreign Office should suspend
:01:13. > :01:16.aid to East African nation of Zanzibar, following disputed
:01:17. > :01:21.elections there.And the Simpsons characters Smithers and Mr Burns
:01:22. > :01:24.are pictured on the front page of the Independent.
:01:25. > :01:27.Smithers is due to declare his love for his boss Mr Burns
:01:28. > :01:45.We'll get to that if we have time. We start the Sunday Times and doping
:01:46. > :01:57.scandal story. A British doctor claims he gave 150 sports stars...
:01:58. > :02:02.Quite an extraordinary admission. He used secret filming. He didn't say
:02:03. > :02:07.it, thinking it would become public. This hinges on the credibility of
:02:08. > :02:12.the doctor. He was talking to somebody who were saying they were a
:02:13. > :02:16.sprinter, who was in need of help, and he was using these names as a
:02:17. > :02:20.way of conveying his credibility and the idea that because the other
:02:21. > :02:25.stars are taking drugs, it might be a good idea for you to do so and any
:02:26. > :02:29.money for it. There is a lot of coverage on the inside pages and one
:02:30. > :02:37.would need to deconstruct it to see whether there is sufficient evidence
:02:38. > :02:40.to take this seriously. The wider context, very serious issues over
:02:41. > :02:46.the Tour de France the number of years ago. It seems to me as a
:02:47. > :02:50.sports journalist, I spend so much time talking about corruption,
:02:51. > :02:56.drugs, Fifa, people in suits leeching money, and it is a terrible
:02:57. > :03:01.shame for the people who are clean, which as many athletes and many
:03:02. > :03:06.officials. This doctor says he has never met a clean athlete. For the
:03:07. > :03:10.Times to go with this story, we have to stress we are the BBC cannot
:03:11. > :03:16.substantiate it. They must be fairly confident. You would think so, and
:03:17. > :03:22.they have got pages and pages of it. There is an awful lot of copy inside
:03:23. > :03:27.the paper about it. To put it on the front page suggests they have got
:03:28. > :03:30.confidence. But right there on the front page, it says even the Sunday
:03:31. > :03:38.Times has no independent evidence that this guy did treat the players.
:03:39. > :03:42.Or that the clubs were aware of it or anything else. So it is really
:03:43. > :03:49.just based on the secret recording of him. He may have been bragging,
:03:50. > :04:01.who knows. Let's talk about the observable stop the young hold the
:04:02. > :04:04.key to Briggs said. Brexit. It is whether the young people are
:04:05. > :04:11.actually going to turn out and vote at all. Whether or not you can rely
:04:12. > :04:15.on an opinion poll so early in the campaign, a lot of people have made
:04:16. > :04:19.up their minds, and they do say the report that when the do not knows
:04:20. > :04:22.are pushed, most of them said they were leaning towards staying in
:04:23. > :04:29.there that changes the poll somewhat. The interesting point is
:04:30. > :04:33.this one, that it seems the headline is the young hold the key to Brexit.
:04:34. > :04:37.It does seem that the young are broadly speaking more in favour of
:04:38. > :04:42.staying within the European Union than the older generation. This is
:04:43. > :04:47.fact, the older generations are those that are more likely to vote.
:04:48. > :04:51.If you cannot get the younger people who perhaps travel more, I'm
:04:52. > :04:57.familiar with European Union, have a less sort of... A different
:04:58. > :05:00.perspective, if you cannot get them to the ballot box when the
:05:01. > :05:06.referendum is held, then the main campaign have got a problem. This is
:05:07. > :05:12.an online poll, some are done by phone, they can give different
:05:13. > :05:14.results. I read a story about sampling techniques and polls and
:05:15. > :05:21.whether they take into account some of the anomalies you describe. And I
:05:22. > :05:28.fell asleep... No, I didn't, I found it very interesting! Opinion polls
:05:29. > :05:32.have come in for a real hard time since the general election. And I
:05:33. > :05:40.suspect that these will change all the way through to the boat itself.
:05:41. > :05:43.Young people are more in favour of staying in,/ the broader outlook on
:05:44. > :05:51.the world, and they are less likely to turn out to vote. But they are
:05:52. > :05:54.also not the people who voted for and European Community in the 70s,
:05:55. > :05:58.and a lot of people think, this is not what I voted for back then. The
:05:59. > :06:04.number of people voting for the second time in the EU referendum is
:06:05. > :06:09.actually relatively small. The key to whether we stay in not rest on
:06:10. > :06:12.those people who have grown up with the European Union, they don't ram
:06:13. > :06:17.begging before that, they don't remedy EC, they certainly don't
:06:18. > :06:23.remember Britain when it was outside any kind of European co-operation.
:06:24. > :06:27.So, for them, the EU is normal. The people who are the strongest views
:06:28. > :06:33.about pulling out, they still have a nostalgic view about what Britain
:06:34. > :06:37.used to be. The German firm offers steel plant hope. This is talking
:06:38. > :06:40.that the future of the Tata Steel plant in Port Talbot, Matty. A
:06:41. > :06:46.suggestion that there might be a lifeline coming. If that is true. It
:06:47. > :06:55.is to double to know, given that tartar have been looking for a buyer
:06:56. > :07:00.for a long time.... -- Tata Steel. This will be a real lifeline. It is
:07:01. > :07:04.not just an economic scenario, this is a community. People pot-macro
:07:05. > :07:09.lives, families, and the knock-on effect of other industries which
:07:10. > :07:13.rely on this. This will give some hope and I don't think there will be
:07:14. > :07:17.taking it terribly seriously just yet. Other commentators suggest, why
:07:18. > :07:23.would you keep paying more than steel then you need to? If you can
:07:24. > :07:29.have cheap steel from Sweden and China, why would you do that? And
:07:30. > :07:33.also if you take on the British steel plants, you have this an
:07:34. > :07:36.enormous pension liability as well. You have to wonder about the timing
:07:37. > :07:40.of all this. The government was clearly taken by surprise by the
:07:41. > :07:43.Tata Steel announcement. If this deal was already a positivity,
:07:44. > :07:48.perhaps there is something about them trying to put Russia on the
:07:49. > :07:53.government to make a deal. Let's move the Mail on Sunday. 100 of them
:07:54. > :07:57.and T ?2 million is what we overspent on foreign aid last year
:07:58. > :08:02.by mistake. That is enough to keep poor Albert alive for six months
:08:03. > :08:11.which shows how much money it is losing every week. -- Port Talbot. I
:08:12. > :08:16.have to declare an interest in the Mail on Sunday a week ago ran a
:08:17. > :08:20.story that involved me with my picture in the paper, about the
:08:21. > :08:30.foreign aid budget, and how I was paid as a media consultant to go to
:08:31. > :08:35.Armenian... I would pay you two. I am pleased to hear that, added
:08:36. > :08:40.people want my e-mail address... The point was they got the figures wrong
:08:41. > :08:45.by 100% and they didn't check with me. They did not check details with
:08:46. > :08:52.me. So, I'm afraid when I read stories in the Mail on Sunday, I
:08:53. > :08:57.treat it all with a bit of a pinch of salt. That is not to say they
:08:58. > :09:02.haven't got a point, which is we are spending a lot of money on foreign
:09:03. > :09:04.aid. The vast majority of it is extraordinarily well spent and there
:09:05. > :09:08.are some very difficult decisions to be made and it is easy to criticise
:09:09. > :09:14.the few things here and there go wrong. I have suspicions about that.
:09:15. > :09:18.It is not just the fact that there was evidence that some of the money
:09:19. > :09:22.gets siphoned off in corruption, it is also the lack of evaluation that
:09:23. > :09:28.even in those schemes and about a nation that look good, they have
:09:29. > :09:30.glossy brochures, it looks like the narrative is very good, when
:09:31. > :09:36.randomised controlled trials evaluate that inflation to a
:09:37. > :09:42.controlled good, -- group, it is not doing any good at all. There is not
:09:43. > :09:45.enough rigour to test out whether these projects are making a
:09:46. > :09:50.difference in education, in terms of food and all the other things,
:09:51. > :09:55.disease and malnutrition. There was a great deal more than you give them
:09:56. > :09:59.credit for. It has got tighter and tighter in recent years. I have been
:10:00. > :10:03.involved through a charity in making applications for the money. The
:10:04. > :10:09.amount of evidence you have to give for the genuine impact that your
:10:10. > :10:13.schemes will have is considerable. The impact, unless it is assessed
:10:14. > :10:17.relative to a proper controlled trial, it is very doable to know
:10:18. > :10:23.whether it is making any difference because it is just observational
:10:24. > :10:27.data. Yes, but you have to see what difference it is making on the
:10:28. > :10:32.ground. Some of that Caley will be observational, does it look like
:10:33. > :10:36.they are better schools, a better assessment of the ability of
:10:37. > :10:40.journalists to hold governments to account, which is the sort of thing
:10:41. > :10:45.I was involved in, but it isn't possible to run controlled tests
:10:46. > :10:52.against every single foreign aid... If you did, your budget will be
:10:53. > :11:02.spent on that. The Telegraph, the anger of middle-class savers. 40,000
:11:03. > :11:12.family estates will have to pay in inheritance tax this year, which to
:11:13. > :11:15.us seems quite low. You would have thought it would be more. They are
:11:16. > :11:22.getting more money from the number of homes taxed. I think people get
:11:23. > :11:27.upset. They think they have paid VAT and everything else, and now one of
:11:28. > :11:31.my memory -- family members died and I have to pay tax again. But this
:11:32. > :11:38.hits much wealthier people. The idea that this is a middle-class tax, it
:11:39. > :11:43.is 40,000. But it hits more people this days. The threshold has gone
:11:44. > :11:48.up. But the body prices as also gone up. A lot of this is about a
:11:49. > :11:52.property, it is about the value of people pot-macro is. Clearly it is
:11:53. > :11:57.unfair whether value of people pot-macro has gone up and what
:11:58. > :12:01.started off as a rotary modest assets by the time they come to the
:12:02. > :12:05.end of their lives, has turned into a huge one. But if you think of the
:12:06. > :12:09.value of properties in London and the south-east, it is only 40,000
:12:10. > :12:15.families that appeared to be affected. Finally, another sports
:12:16. > :12:26.story. Fun and games with the Windies but England aim for the last
:12:27. > :12:33.laugh. West Indian women meeting Australia, too. Who is your money
:12:34. > :12:37.on? I heard someone say this is a good news story, no drugs, no
:12:38. > :12:42.corruption, it has a terrific competition. The bookies say even
:12:43. > :12:49.money, 11 to ten on the favourites but I am going to go for England. I
:12:50. > :12:58.haven't got a clue. No point sitting there and pretending. That is it
:12:59. > :13:01.bought this evening. But because it is Saturday, Matthew and love are
:13:02. > :13:07.staying and will come back later and I know you will be as pleased as we
:13:08. > :13:10.are. Coming up next, it is time for Reporters.