12/04/2016

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:00:00. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:18. > :00:23.With me are Josie Cox from the Wall Street Journal and Pippa Crerar,

:00:24. > :00:26.Political Correspondent from The Evening Standard.

:00:27. > :00:30.Let's have a look at some of those front pages.

:00:31. > :00:32.The Guardian, which leads with those IMF warnings

:00:33. > :00:40.The EU referendum leads the Telegraph too.

:00:41. > :00:43.It reports a ?5 million push to leave, by a new group set up

:00:44. > :00:47.as a response to the government's pro-EU leaflets.

:00:48. > :00:53.to the stars' is the top story for The Times.

:00:54. > :00:56.It says tiny spaceships will be 'blasted' to distant stars by laser

:00:57. > :00:59.The Daily Mail has the migrant crisis on its front page.

:01:00. > :01:01.It reports that criminals are offering migrants passage

:01:02. > :01:06.to increase corporate tax transparency is the lead

:01:07. > :01:10.for the Metro, it says it's intended to shame big companies out of moving

:01:11. > :01:14.reports speculation about the end of the slump in oil prices,

:01:15. > :01:16.which have risen to their highest level this year.

:01:17. > :01:20.says Prince William ignored protocol to talk to India's Prime Minister

:01:21. > :01:32.that the financial crisis has caused delays to retirement for millions.

:01:33. > :01:38.Josie, let's start with The Guardian, the IMF raises stakes with

:01:39. > :01:45.warning a Brexit would hit global growth. The league campaign saying

:01:46. > :01:52.hang on, this is Project here again. -- the league campaign. They are in

:01:53. > :01:55.cahoots with the EU, and it is linked by the umbilical cord of

:01:56. > :02:00.Christine Lagarde, the former interior finance minister for

:02:01. > :02:06.France, and therefore this should be ignored -- Leave Campaign. Yes, we

:02:07. > :02:10.have to remember that it is not a huge surprise the IMF has said this,

:02:11. > :02:14.we knew that the report was coming out about the state of the economy

:02:15. > :02:22.and we have known her stance for a long time. The section where the IMF

:02:23. > :02:25.spoke about exit was pretty small. It could just be seen as a case of

:02:26. > :02:30.people paying attention to what they want to. In the grand scheme of

:02:31. > :02:36.things, the economic outlook that the IMF has issued for global and

:02:37. > :02:43.for Britain, they've cut it for the fourth time this year. In the grand

:02:44. > :02:46.scheme of things, it is looking relatively robust compared to a lot

:02:47. > :02:52.of economies. Of course, the government have seized on it and

:02:53. > :02:56.said look, this is proof the IMF, a respected organisation, have said it

:02:57. > :02:59.would be a catastrophe if there is a Brexit. But they forecast for the

:03:00. > :03:05.British economy and what would happen to this country, they got it

:03:06. > :03:10.wrong in the past? It does not stop George Osborne et al leaping on the

:03:11. > :03:18.reports, and talking about the mere risk of the fact that the UK economy

:03:19. > :03:22.had been tipped off and the impact on jobs would be worse of the Brexit

:03:23. > :03:27.happen. George Osborne and Christine Lagarde are old pals, he was one of

:03:28. > :03:32.the first finance ministers, Noble finance ministers to nominate her

:03:33. > :03:37.for her role in the IMF in 2011, -- global. He did the same earlier this

:03:38. > :03:41.year. The Brexit campaigners are saying that it is Christine Lagarde

:03:42. > :03:44.getting her organisation in line and doing the British governor and a

:03:45. > :03:51.favour by coming out and injecting a degree of warning in their report

:03:52. > :03:54.this time around. Brexit campaigners pointed out that Cameron himself

:03:55. > :04:00.insisted the referendum itself would not unsettle the UK economy. They

:04:01. > :04:02.are trying to discredit this is Christine Lagarde doing her mates a

:04:03. > :04:08.favour. The Financial Times," traders call

:04:09. > :04:13.into slump as oil price hits its highest level of the year".

:04:14. > :04:18.Interesting, the suggestion that this is why there has been a global

:04:19. > :04:22.downturn in oil prices? Yes, we are back at a level that we've not seen

:04:23. > :04:29.for some weeks or months. It would be quite easy to say that this is

:04:30. > :04:34.the era of sub $40 per barrel of oil, that is over. We have to

:04:35. > :04:39.remember the fundamentals of white oil fell so low over a short period

:04:40. > :04:43.of time, that is in place. Oil markets are in supply, there is a

:04:44. > :04:51.glut. The share industry is doing well. There are many different

:04:52. > :04:56.factors in place. The Doha meeting of the weekend could be a good

:04:57. > :05:00.start, and could be a good thing to get Opec members like Saudi Arabia

:05:01. > :05:04.and Venezuela around the table and talking about a concerted effort to

:05:05. > :05:07.cut production. At the end of the day, we've seen this before and have

:05:08. > :05:15.heard this rhetoric before. Whether it will lead to $50 per barrel of

:05:16. > :05:20.oil again is yet to be seen. Why would it be good for all of us of

:05:21. > :05:22.the prices are going up? Is it good for all of us could mark if oil

:05:23. > :05:28.prices are lower committee would think it would be better? The key

:05:29. > :05:32.economies that are going to benefit are the Opec members. Countries like

:05:33. > :05:36.Nigeria have been devastated by this slump in the price of oil, and

:05:37. > :05:43.Venezuela. For them it will be a good thing. And big corporations,

:05:44. > :05:47.like BP and Shell, they have had a tough few quarters, for then this

:05:48. > :05:53.will come as a relief. We have seen the effect on the Scottish oil

:05:54. > :05:56.industry. Jobs and big problems? In terms of Scottish politics and

:05:57. > :06:02.domestic invocations, this will give hope. Maybe not much more than hope

:06:03. > :06:05.at the moment but will give hope to support Scottish independence. The

:06:06. > :06:09.oil revenue they could raise from the North Sea was a key fundamental

:06:10. > :06:12.when it came to the economic case for independence. It has been

:06:13. > :06:17.devastated in recent times because of a collapse in the oil price.

:06:18. > :06:22.Staying with The Financial Times, consumers warned of weeks either

:06:23. > :06:26.defences on leading retail websites? This is worrying stuff, it is

:06:27. > :06:37.reminiscent of the Tour Talk data leak of a few months ago. -- Talk

:06:38. > :06:42.Talk. Hackers broke into the websites of and that resulted in the

:06:43. > :06:47.loss of customer data. What they are mentioning are household names like

:06:48. > :06:57.Waitrose, top shop, Debenhams... I do my fortnightly shop from Tesco. I

:06:58. > :07:01.happily tap in my home address and details, goodness knows what else

:07:02. > :07:07.they know about me from my shopping habits -- bank details will stop

:07:08. > :07:09.cyber security experts have warned that British consumers should

:07:10. > :07:16.reconsider interacting with some of these affected websites. Matt Elan

:07:17. > :07:21.denies that they have poor cyber security in place -- Matalan. They

:07:22. > :07:32.say they invest heavily in making sure their customers data is safe.

:07:33. > :07:36.Be of e-mails coming from these businesses, they could be from

:07:37. > :07:40.hackers. And other technical flaws, private information like bank

:07:41. > :07:47.details could be hacked into and used. These are websites millions of

:07:48. > :07:51.people use? Yes, and regularly. If you go on the Tesco website every

:07:52. > :07:54.weekend, you are not going to look every single time at whether it

:07:55. > :08:01.looks like it did last week. You might not pay attention to that kind

:08:02. > :08:05.of detail. On top of it, a lot of the retailers are having quite a

:08:06. > :08:09.tough time more generally in terms of competition in the market, price

:08:10. > :08:12.cuts, and prize was going on. Any kind of reputational damage that

:08:13. > :08:17.this could incur could be really make or break for them. It could be

:08:18. > :08:22.difficult for them. As you were saying, pepper, Matt Elan made it

:08:23. > :08:26.clear that in their case, they have strict measures to deal with this

:08:27. > :08:30.kind of thing -- Matalan. In the Daily Mail, migrants

:08:31. > :08:34.apparently smuggled to the UK for just ?100? At first glance, it looks

:08:35. > :08:41.like a classic Daily Mail immigration story. The scandal,

:08:42. > :08:45.people could arrive on our shores for only ?100, how easy it must be

:08:46. > :08:49.to get here. Looking more deeply, the report is an update given by the

:08:50. > :08:56.National crime agency. Every camera last year set up a group of about 90

:08:57. > :09:00.officers -- David Cameron. A new task force to look at the migrant

:09:01. > :09:06.crisis. This is the first report back. While there were some

:09:07. > :09:10.eye-catching figures like, you can get to the UK for just ?100, stuck

:09:11. > :09:17.into the back of a lorry from Calais. ?13,500, you can fly from

:09:18. > :09:25.Iraq with high-quality false papers. Or take a speedboat from Dunkirk for

:09:26. > :09:30.?12,000. The fundamentals of this are quite worrying. Because, what

:09:31. > :09:34.the report and update talks about is how the Aegean route, many refugees

:09:35. > :09:40.and migrants are taking it to come to Europe, from Greece and Turkey,

:09:41. > :09:46.because of that crackdown, people are going back to the previous most

:09:47. > :09:49.popular route, Libya to Italy. -- to Greece and Turkey to stop Austria

:09:50. > :09:56.have said they will build a wall on the border between the places

:09:57. > :10:07.migrants intend to cross. We know that Islamic State, they control a

:10:08. > :10:11.Libyan port, they have vowed to send fighters across the Mediterranean

:10:12. > :10:15.disguised as migrants. There is a terror concern that will only make

:10:16. > :10:20.the plight of genuine refugees and migrants worse. We have all been

:10:21. > :10:23.shocked by these pictures of poor souls coming across on these

:10:24. > :10:30.dilapidated craft, many of them drowning. These figures, 100s and

:10:31. > :10:42.thousands migrants travelled from Libya to Italy in 2014. It was the

:10:43. > :10:44.most popular route. It was 885,000 the following.

:10:45. > :10:51.Inevitably, those travelling this summer will lose their lives.

:10:52. > :10:54.Wales, save our steel. Prince ignores protocol to tackle

:10:55. > :11:02.the Indian Premier Mr over petition jobs axis? -- Indian Prime Minister.

:11:03. > :11:09.It is one of those issues that affect our lives. It is a political

:11:10. > :11:14.and economical subject. It is a people subject, about livelihoods.

:11:15. > :11:19.I'm not that surprised to see this out while he is over there. And that

:11:20. > :11:23.he said something. As we've seen in the past, he has to be careful with

:11:24. > :11:29.these things. That he does not overstep the mark and say anything

:11:30. > :11:35.that is not in line with the official line that Buckingham Palace

:11:36. > :11:40.is taking. People get angry about him allegedly breaking protocol, to

:11:41. > :11:46.say, you know what, help us save British Steel? Will people complain?

:11:47. > :11:52.It is such a political topic it is a hot potato in the sense of taking

:11:53. > :11:57.sides. It will be interesting to see what the responses to this. The

:11:58. > :12:03.Royals are absolutely loved in certain parts of India. On trips

:12:04. > :12:08.that I've been on, with various seedier politicians in

:12:09. > :12:14.-- senior politicians in India, there are always questions about

:12:15. > :12:18.what the Queen said that Buckingham Palace for her tea, and what he

:12:19. > :12:30.called these are called! Kate Roxette

:12:31. > :12:36.-- Corgis. This is a headline. She charmed the kids in Delhi. They are

:12:37. > :12:47.drumming trade Up? We had a bit of an issue with

:12:48. > :12:52.the ?50 dress, it is from temporally. As you know, because you

:12:53. > :13:01.are over say with your designers, you are regularly looking the racks

:13:02. > :13:04.at Selfridge's, unless she has got it in a sale or off the back of a

:13:05. > :13:11.lorry... It is more like ?500! We will knock

:13:12. > :13:22.a few more quid off for you! There is the uncomfortable, nation of Kate

:13:23. > :13:27.and her sparkling jewels and the street kids in New Delhi --

:13:28. > :13:32.uncomfortable contrast. They live lives of pure deprivation.

:13:33. > :13:38.We have two ended there. Thank you both of you for coming in.

:13:39. > :13:42.Don't forget, all of the front pages are online on the website. You can

:13:43. > :13:42.read a detailed review of the newspapers.

:13:43. > :13:57.It is their seven days a week. As I say, many thanks to our guests.

:13:58. > :14:03.That's all, goodbye.