17/04/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.impeach their President, Dilma Rousseff.

:00:00. > :00:00.She's been accused of fiscal impropriety in concealing the scale

:00:00. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:20. > :00:24.With me are the former Sunday Express editor,

:00:25. > :00:26.Eve Pollard, and columnist for The Telegraph, Tim Stanley.

:00:27. > :00:33.The Daily Telegraph headlines a warning from the Chancellor that

:00:34. > :00:36.public services including the NHS would suffer if there

:00:37. > :00:43.The FT says there's evidence of a slowdown in hiring

:00:44. > :00:49.and investment because of uncertainty over whether the UK

:00:50. > :00:53.The Metro reports on the 14-year-olds charged with a double

:00:54. > :01:00.The Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt is to take a U-turn in the dispute

:01:01. > :01:02.with junior doctors, says the Guardian.

:01:03. > :01:05.The i leads with a fierce condemnation of Europe's

:01:06. > :01:09.policy towards Syrian refugees in a recent report.

:01:10. > :01:12.The Daily Express headlines a survey on migration into the UK.

:01:13. > :01:17.71% of those asked thought migration has been too high.

:01:18. > :01:21.The news that a drone hit a plane on its approach to Heathrow

:01:22. > :01:30.And it's back to the EU referendum on the front of the Times,

:01:31. > :01:32.with the Chancellor saying households will be over ?4,000 worse

:01:33. > :01:47.So, plenty to talk about. Things being dominated by Brexit but let's

:01:48. > :01:53.start with the Guardian, claims that Jeremy Hunt is in a U-turn over his

:01:54. > :01:57.threat to junior doctors. Two different words, talk of an

:01:58. > :02:00.imposition of a contract but now talk of an introduction of a

:02:01. > :02:06.contract. Extraordinary because we've been hearing Jeremy Hunt

:02:07. > :02:12.saying that he will impose the contract on doctors and now it seems

:02:13. > :02:16.that the government lawyers, what have they been doing for the last

:02:17. > :02:21.three months? They have said that legally he can't do that. He can

:02:22. > :02:26.introduce the idea of a contract, he can't impose it. The whole point of

:02:27. > :02:30.them going on strike was that he said he could impose it and the

:02:31. > :02:36.government lawyers, it has gone to some kind of court, there is a

:02:37. > :02:40.letter from government lawyers seen by the Guardian, confirmed by the

:02:41. > :02:45.department, saying he can only introduce it. Strange way of running

:02:46. > :02:50.things. There isn't long because the fifth strike will be on the 25th of

:02:51. > :02:54.April. Yes, most people will be wondering why the strike is going

:02:55. > :02:58.ahead, not just why are the doctors doing it, different issue, but why

:02:59. > :03:02.the government is pursuing this line, if it didn't have the

:03:03. > :03:06.authority to impose the contract. From what position is the government

:03:07. > :03:11.arguing and negotiating? It isn't clear. If he can't impose it, what

:03:12. > :03:15.authority does the government have? It has given into most of the

:03:16. > :03:20.demands by the doctors, it has met most of the demands they've made. By

:03:21. > :03:26.the time the strike comes around, if it goes ahead, it will affect all

:03:27. > :03:28.services including maternity, accident, services affecting

:03:29. > :03:31.children and the public are going to be wondering why the doctors are

:03:32. > :03:36.doing it and why the government has allowed things to go this far. If

:03:37. > :03:41.that's the case, as the Guardian says, it may mean that he has misled

:03:42. > :03:46.Parliament. He might have misled all of us because he said that he's not

:03:47. > :03:51.going to discuss it, he's going to impose it, if they can't agree, he

:03:52. > :03:54.will impose the rules. Now he's going to introduce them. You wonder

:03:55. > :03:58.why nobody spoke to the government lawyers at the beginning of this.

:03:59. > :04:05.We'll wait and see what the response is. Quite scary if you have somebody

:04:06. > :04:09.about to have an operation. We are going to go into the Brexit

:04:10. > :04:14.argument, starting with the Times, the long-awaited report from the

:04:15. > :04:20.Treasury about how much leaving the European Union is calculated, it is

:04:21. > :04:26.alleged, to cost Britain and according to the Times, 4300 pounds

:04:27. > :04:30.a household. Based on the idea that the economy would shrink because

:04:31. > :04:35.things like trade and investment with the EU would be affected.

:04:36. > :04:39.George Osborne is claiming that by 2030 the economy would shrink by 6%,

:04:40. > :04:44.the equivalent of each household losing up to ?4300. Of course that

:04:45. > :04:50.is a projection, the worse case scenario. It may be the thing that

:04:51. > :04:55.this entire argument may be what wins the referendum for the

:04:56. > :04:59.remaining campaign because economic risks and fear is their strongest

:05:00. > :05:05.card but many people are going to be asking themselves why is it that the

:05:06. > :05:08.government has pushed for renegotiation, why has it used such

:05:09. > :05:12.Eurosceptic language if, having called the referendum, it is

:05:13. > :05:18.throwing everything, the Treasury, the civil service, against leaving?

:05:19. > :05:23.So you are sceptical? The other thing I would like to ask, if Mr

:05:24. > :05:27.Osborne was here, why is it that the Prime Minister before he entered

:05:28. > :05:31.negotiations told the public that he thought Britain could flourish

:05:32. > :05:35.outside the EU and after the negotiation and he has decided he's

:05:36. > :05:42.against leaving, he says it will sink? Do you buy this? I think that

:05:43. > :05:49.4300 does not seem a lot. I've come back from America and for ages,...

:05:50. > :05:53.At the moment, you get $1 for ?1 40. You don't feel rich in the States,

:05:54. > :05:59.it used to be a much better deal and I think the same is true for the

:06:00. > :06:04.Euros, you get far fewer euros to the pound and the Financial Times

:06:05. > :06:08.has a story that hiring and investment have dropped a lot.

:06:09. > :06:14.Seamlessly going the next headline. The Financial Times head page that

:06:15. > :06:21.FrontPage, another Brexit story. Says there is a 20% fall in hiring

:06:22. > :06:25.in financial services. Why would be the -- why would we be the centre of

:06:26. > :06:31.finance if we are not in the EU? The City would vanish. 20% of European

:06:32. > :06:36.groups say they are not investing in Britain at the moment, they are

:06:37. > :06:41.waiting to see what happens. It's quite interesting. In London, which

:06:42. > :06:44.is different from the rest of the country, houses are not selling,

:06:45. > :06:49.everyone is waiting to see what happens. One of the Sunday papers

:06:50. > :06:52.today in the business section says that two large companies are looking

:06:53. > :06:55.to float in London next year and they don't give a hoot about

:06:56. > :07:02.uncertainty. It seems to depend on what you read. And what business you

:07:03. > :07:05.are in. Why is there any surprise that there is uncertainty? There is

:07:06. > :07:09.always risk involved in any kind of political decision, there is risk

:07:10. > :07:14.when there is an election, there is an effect on the currency markets

:07:15. > :07:20.when there is a threat of the Labour Party winning the election. What are

:07:21. > :07:23.we supposed to do, not have a referendum? Our decision-making

:07:24. > :07:30.should be entirely decided by this kind of calculation? I think that

:07:31. > :07:35.families are right to decide, I mean, a lot of us don't approve of

:07:36. > :07:39.the way the EU is run, thinking it is too large, overly bureaucratic,

:07:40. > :07:42.we spend too much money on it, it isn't what we signed up to, but on

:07:43. > :07:49.the other hand, the idea that the next ten years, perhaps, are going

:07:50. > :07:53.to see us poorer, I think that the EU will be very angry with us if we

:07:54. > :07:58.pull out. It will be very hard to negotiate deals. If they wanted to

:07:59. > :08:01.enter that kind of game, if they are going to threaten us, we can

:08:02. > :08:05.threaten them back. The idea that Europe wouldn't want to trade with

:08:06. > :08:10.us, that they would stop investment if we left, it is nonsense because

:08:11. > :08:17.we could respond and not invest in them. Staying with Brexit in the

:08:18. > :08:22.Telegraph, George Osborne saying that because the country would

:08:23. > :08:28.supposedly be worse off, it would lead to NHS cuts. The NHS has become

:08:29. > :08:32.the eternal political football. You had those in favour of leaving

:08:33. > :08:36.saying that we should take the money we give to Europe and put it in the

:08:37. > :08:39.NHS, but they weren't entirely accurate about how much money we

:08:40. > :08:44.give to Europe and how much money we get back. Lovely idea but I think we

:08:45. > :08:49.have to stop dealing with the NHS as a political football. Would you

:08:50. > :08:55.agree? Not the first headline linking the NHS to it. The EU

:08:56. > :09:00.referendum may turn into a debate about something else, about the NHS

:09:01. > :09:03.and priorities, which case the government is on a sticky wicket

:09:04. > :09:13.because if it is going to argue that the NHS is imperilled, many people

:09:14. > :09:19.why ask -- might ask why. Why is the NHS in a bad position, they might

:09:20. > :09:23.ask? The Daily Mail talks about the drone that has been in the headlines

:09:24. > :09:29.that was hit by a plane. They cost as little as ?25 and we are still

:09:30. > :09:34.looking at legislation. Quite scary, isn't it? I bought a little one for

:09:35. > :09:40.my grandson at Christmas, I didn't think it would get very far and

:09:41. > :09:43.high. The idea that they can, bigger ones, more expensive ones than the

:09:44. > :09:50.one I bought, could actually damage a plane, means we should legislate

:09:51. > :09:54.pretty quickly. I think that they are an awful thing, I would ban them

:09:55. > :09:58.all together, I don't like the idea of drones. I think in America they

:09:59. > :10:03.will make you register them so that they know where it came from if it

:10:04. > :10:10.crashes. The idea that it may fall into the hands of extremists, very

:10:11. > :10:15.scary. Back to the Telegraph, Boaty McBoatface, this is what happens

:10:16. > :10:18.when you asked the public what they want and they have said Boaty

:10:19. > :10:22.McBoatface. Isn't it interesting, you ask the public and they don't

:10:23. > :10:30.give you a ratio Nelson or whatever you thought you might have got --

:10:31. > :10:33.Horatio Nelson. Obviously losing a sense of humour in this case because

:10:34. > :10:39.this person says they are going to be looking at it, reviewing it. What

:10:40. > :10:43.does that mean? It probably won't be called Boaty McBoatface. I wouldn't

:10:44. > :10:49.have asked the public in the first place, it shows how immature they

:10:50. > :10:55.have become. The idea of reducing every government decision to a kind

:10:56. > :10:59.of version of the X factor, as if the public would only care if you

:11:00. > :11:03.let them vote on it. This isn't democratic, it is the opposite, it

:11:04. > :11:06.is a display of snobbishness to assume the only way you can in gauge

:11:07. > :11:12.with people is to introduce an element of a talent show contest --

:11:13. > :11:15.engage with people. I think it would have been a good idea to ask

:11:16. > :11:18.children at school because they are the ones you want to interest in

:11:19. > :11:24.science. They are doing the science lessons. Perhaps they might have got

:11:25. > :11:29.a different response. You don't think it will be called Boaty

:11:30. > :11:33.McBoatface? I don't think so. I think there is a horse with a

:11:34. > :11:37.similar name in Australia. I know that Tim is very interested to talk

:11:38. > :11:45.about the last story which is in the the i. Leicester City, what an

:11:46. > :11:49.amazing story if they win the premiership and a late penalty saves

:11:50. > :11:53.them a point, getting a draw. I don't care much about football but

:11:54. > :11:59.this is a Hollywood story, isn't it, and I gather they have had interest

:12:00. > :12:05.from Hollywood. Have they? It is little left of -- Leicester City

:12:06. > :12:11.battling through and you can see it becoming one of those movies that

:12:12. > :12:15.people will go and see. There are none of those six pointer fixtures

:12:16. > :12:21.left. I wouldn't go and see the movie, I'm afraid. I can't pretend

:12:22. > :12:29.to care or know anything about football so I warn people, it is the

:12:30. > :12:33.equivalent of saying I don't do nude, I have a blank thing in my

:12:34. > :12:40.head, when it comes up, I switch off. As an editor of two Sunday

:12:41. > :12:46.papers Island more about football than I ever wanted to. It sells.

:12:47. > :12:57.Thank you for joining us. We will be back at 11:30pm. Shortly we will be

:12:58. > :13:00.having Meet The Author.