19/04/2016

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:00:17. > :00:20.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:21. > :00:23.With me are Fay Schlesinger, head of news at The Times,

:00:24. > :00:25.and Kiran Stacey, the energy correspondent at

:00:26. > :00:30.The Guardian has a picture of Prince Harry's meeting

:00:31. > :00:35.with Chewbacca today and also reports on the General

:00:36. > :00:39.Medical Council intervening in the junior doctors dispute.

:00:40. > :00:44.The Mirror reports on UK intelligence agencies breaking up

:00:45. > :00:47.a plot by so-called Islamic State, to attack beaches that are popular

:00:48. > :00:52.The Financial Times leads on Saudi Arabia

:00:53. > :01:00.to help cope with the slump in oil prices.

:01:01. > :01:03.accused of murdering his six-year-old daughter, Ellie.

:01:04. > :01:06.A new image of the four generations of the House of Windsor dominates

:01:07. > :01:12.The Mail has the same picture, and also reports on comments made

:01:13. > :01:15.by Jean-Claude Juncker on what he thinks is wrong

:01:16. > :01:25.there's an almost identical front page from the Express.

:01:26. > :01:34.Lots to discuss. Let's start with your paper, the Times, an

:01:35. > :01:39.eye-grabbing headline, dementia rate falls as men behave themselves.

:01:40. > :01:43.Whoever heard of men behaving themselves! And men behaving

:01:44. > :01:47.themselves because they're apparently behaving more like women.

:01:48. > :01:51.You're getting this effect where women as they become more

:01:52. > :01:55.independent, more economically independent are catching up with

:01:56. > :01:58.men, but in some bad behaviours. Women started smoking later than

:01:59. > :02:05.men. You're seeing a good fall off in men smoking. Women's falloff will

:02:06. > :02:10.come later. Men were traditionally fatter, for example. So therefore

:02:11. > :02:14.the impact of exercise is having a positive impact. This is a story

:02:15. > :02:18.about how dementia is on the rise. There is no sense that dementia is

:02:19. > :02:21.falling. We have an ageing population. It comes with age. We

:02:22. > :02:26.know little about what causes dementia. What is increasingly

:02:27. > :02:31.evident is that general good health seems to be a way to stave it off.

:02:32. > :02:35.That seems really obvious, but it's incredibly important. If we can get

:02:36. > :02:39.the message through to people, getting a bit of exercise, walking

:02:40. > :02:44.30 minutes a day, makes a difference. It will have an impact.

:02:45. > :02:47.That interested me, it is suggesting that it's possible to take

:02:48. > :02:54.preventative action. Did we even know that? You say it seems obvious,

:02:55. > :03:00.in a way it does, because we're always told to eat better and

:03:01. > :03:06.exercise more. Having seen family members go through dementia, you

:03:07. > :03:10.feel powerless during that process. Because there's a hereditary aspect

:03:11. > :03:15.as well, I feel this, lots of people in families across the country feel

:03:16. > :03:19.this, that it's something that might be coming towards you and is there

:03:20. > :03:23.anything you can do? If exercise helps and if eating better helps and

:03:24. > :03:29.if stopping smoking helps, that's fantastic news. You can take action.

:03:30. > :03:35.At the age of 70 or 80 start taking action then, we don't have a single

:03:36. > :03:39.drug to reverse dementia. We're heading towards one that might slow

:03:40. > :03:43.it down and an NHS that is totally tripled. We need to take this

:03:44. > :03:47.action. It's important to say that dementia cases are on the rise

:03:48. > :03:52.because we're getting older. They're just not on the rise as much as we

:03:53. > :03:57.thought. We will now turn to your paper the FT. You're leading with

:03:58. > :04:02.the headline, Saudi Arabia boar rows $10 billion as oil slump drains

:04:03. > :04:08.reserves. This is significant because this is the world's richest

:04:09. > :04:11.country in serious trouble. Yeah essentially anybody who's wondering

:04:12. > :04:15.whether the price of petrol or the price of goods in their supermarkets

:04:16. > :04:18.will go up or down over the next few months, pay attention to stories

:04:19. > :04:22.like this. Saudi Arabia is the one country beyond any other that can

:04:23. > :04:27.actively do something to change the oil price. What's happened so far is

:04:28. > :04:31.the reason that oil has fallen off a cliff and the reason that petrol

:04:32. > :04:34.prices have come down and the price of goods in supermarkets and various

:04:35. > :04:38.things have got cheaper, the reason that's happened is because demand's

:04:39. > :04:42.come down from places like China, because their economies have slowed

:04:43. > :04:45.down. Saudi Arabia has carried on pumping out the oil, watching it get

:04:46. > :04:50.cheaper and cheaper as supplies flood the market. The reason it's

:04:51. > :04:54.done that is to try and kill off some of the other producers,

:04:55. > :04:58.particularly the US, which has had an eenterprisous shale oil and gas

:04:59. > :05:01.boom. It hopes, right, drive the price down, let the shale companies

:05:02. > :05:06.go out of business, then we'll turn off the taps, watch the price spike

:05:07. > :05:09.up again and we'll benefit. Even to its own detriment at this stage.

:05:10. > :05:14.Even though they've been hurt. Now they have to go to the bond markets

:05:15. > :05:18.and raise money. They're essentially borrowing for the first time since

:05:19. > :05:24.1991. There's a staggering figure that Saudi Arabia has got through

:05:25. > :05:31.$120 billion in reserves since 2014. They have literally turned the tap

:05:32. > :05:35.on. We are all - their will is able to entirely shape our economy. The

:05:36. > :05:38.power is in their hands at the moment. That's been scrrd near

:05:39. > :05:45.seeing it. They have crippled American fracking for example. By

:05:46. > :05:48.turning the tap on like this, they've crippled economies. What's

:05:49. > :05:51.interesting is the extent to which they're damaging themselves with a

:05:52. > :05:55.view to wiping out their enemies in the world of oil, such that they

:05:56. > :05:57.think that going forward they will be totally dominant. That's quite

:05:58. > :06:02.possible. There's nothing to indicate that they won't win at this

:06:03. > :06:07.game. Absolutely. If they can hold on longer than other producers can

:06:08. > :06:11.they could well win. They've also got Iran coming bark on stream.

:06:12. > :06:14.Sanction -- back on stream. Sanctions have now been lifted.

:06:15. > :06:18.Iranian producers are back in the mark. That provides a challenge,

:06:19. > :06:23.which is why they haven't turned off the tap yet. They're trying to ep

:06:24. > :06:27.coot Iranians in their place. It's amazing how these geopolitical

:06:28. > :06:35.concerns play out down to the price of a pint of milk. Let's move to the

:06:36. > :06:39.EU referendum. How could we not! Today has been dominated by Michael

:06:40. > :06:44.Gove's speech. The FT has chosen to go with the headline that he's

:06:45. > :06:53.holding up the Albanian model for post Brexit future. Explain why that

:06:54. > :06:57.model? Gove's speech is being characterised as the definitive

:06:58. > :07:01.Brexit speech. He's the biggest voice in the Out campaign and this

:07:02. > :07:08.was his moment, saying these are my reasons. He is saying the whole

:07:09. > :07:12.notion that we would be frozen out in terms of trade and we would have

:07:13. > :07:17.enormous tariffs to deal with outside the EU is poppy clock,

:07:18. > :07:22.because we, like Bosnia, Serbia, Ukraine and Albania would all have a

:07:23. > :07:28.trade dole whereby we could do positive trade with the EU. He's

:07:29. > :07:32.arguing on a macroscale is that you can't judge the climate post Brexit

:07:33. > :07:36.against the climate now. He's saying it would be a wholesale change to

:07:37. > :07:42.the way that countries define themselves. When we Brexit, in his

:07:43. > :07:47.world, other Cannes trips would follow suit. Others would feel

:07:48. > :07:52.sympathetic to Britain's demands and our woes in the EU. Thicks would

:07:53. > :07:57.change. -- things would change. It was interesting the speech, because

:07:58. > :08:03.it was confirmation that if Britain votes to leave the EU, it will leave

:08:04. > :08:07.the single market. That was probably the most interesting thing Michael

:08:08. > :08:10.Gove said today. We've heard from the Brexit campaigners, we can leave

:08:11. > :08:15.the EU and stay in the single market. Today we heard for the first

:08:16. > :08:19.time, no, we need another deal. They've accepted to stay in the

:08:20. > :08:23.single market you still need free movement, most importantly but

:08:24. > :08:27.things like you need to pay your dues and you probably feed to be

:08:28. > :08:30.under the European Court of Justice, which Michael Gove particularly

:08:31. > :08:34.doesn't like. This is a real change of policy. The problem is, if you're

:08:35. > :08:40.saying right, we're not going to do that, it's difficult to say what you

:08:41. > :08:42.are going to do. We've heard of the Norwegian and Swiss model, Canadian

:08:43. > :08:48.model, each of which has a draw back. I don't think the Albanian

:08:49. > :08:51.model will be a vote winner, one of the poorest countries in the EU. But

:08:52. > :08:57.you never know. Interesting story in the Mail. EU boss, "We do meddle too

:08:58. > :09:04.much." This is Jean-Claude Juncker. Where has he said this? He said to

:09:05. > :09:07.the Council of Europe today to a section of MPs from different

:09:08. > :09:12.countries. It's interesting the language that he's used. You're

:09:13. > :09:16.seeing not just in Britain, in places like Holland, where this

:09:17. > :09:22.wholesale rejection of the EU Treaty with Ukraine, a lot of anti-EU

:09:23. > :09:26.sentiment at the moment, this is Juncker acknowledging that. He's

:09:27. > :09:33.saying, we have in the past meddled too much. We've allowed the ECJ to

:09:34. > :09:35.override national legislation. He's basically admitted we shouldn't

:09:36. > :09:40.necessarily do that. There's references to the more quirky side

:09:41. > :09:43.of EU rules like I think there was an attempt to control the height of

:09:44. > :09:49.heels on hairdressers and things like this. It makes everyone laugh

:09:50. > :09:54.but those things stick in people's crew. He is basically acknowledging

:09:55. > :09:58.we have gone too far. He doesn't climb down from the EU ideal as he

:09:59. > :10:02.calls it. He says, we must stick together. We're losing economic

:10:03. > :10:10.clout. I'm not sure that's going to really play to his game. A lot of

:10:11. > :10:17.Brexiteers will say great. I want to move on to squeeze in a couple more

:10:18. > :10:20.stories. Let's move to the Guardian. GMC doctors strike will put patients

:10:21. > :10:24.at risk. This is in advance of the doctors strike planned for next

:10:25. > :10:29.week. Yeah next Tuesday and Wednesday between 8am and 5pm we are

:10:30. > :10:33.supposed to have, we don't know how many, but there are 45,000 junior

:10:34. > :10:37.doctors around the country who might go on strike, including in emergency

:10:38. > :10:42.wards. The GMC has made an intervention today warning doctors

:10:43. > :10:45.that look, if all the hospitals in you're area look like they're not

:10:46. > :10:50.going to be staffed properly, think about coming in. That sounds like an

:10:51. > :10:53.obvious thing to say, in such a heated climate that feels like quite

:10:54. > :10:56.a political intervention on the side of the Government. I don't know if

:10:57. > :11:00.the British Medical Association will see it like that. Very quickly,

:11:01. > :11:03.we're so short of time, I think we've got to make mention of this

:11:04. > :11:08.picture on the front of the Daily Express, it's on the front of all

:11:09. > :11:13.the papers, picture of four generations of the Royal Family to

:11:14. > :11:16.mark the Queen's 90th birthday. You're a former Royal Correspondent.

:11:17. > :11:22.Everyone's going to love this picture. It is gorgeous. Only the

:11:23. > :11:25.second time we've seen all four heirs to the throne. He's standing

:11:26. > :11:29.on the foam blocks to reach the height of daddy next to him. It's a

:11:30. > :11:34.very cute picture. The Royals are in a very happy period at the moment.

:11:35. > :11:39.They're incredibly popular. The Queen is incredibly popular. Others

:11:40. > :11:43.possibly less so. They've cut out Charles and William entirely on the

:11:44. > :11:48.Daily Mail. Unfortunately, that is it for the papers tonight. But

:11:49. > :11:52.before you go, here's a few more of tomorrow morning's front pages that

:11:53. > :11:57.have come through this evening: That new image of the four generations of

:11:58. > :12:01.the house of Windsor on the Telegraph. The paper is launching a

:12:02. > :12:05.campaign alongside security specialists to help tighten

:12:06. > :12:09.Britain's borders against terrorism. More Prince George on the front of

:12:10. > :12:12.the Sun, as well a story on children as young as four being encouraged to

:12:13. > :12:16.choose the gender they most identify with.

:12:17. > :12:22.And the New Day leads on the investigation into the murder of

:12:23. > :12:27.Ricky Neeve in 1994 following the arrest of a man in Peterborough

:12:28. > :12:30.earlier. All the front pages are online, on the BBC News website,

:12:31. > :12:35.where you can read a detailed review of the papers. It's all there for

:12:36. > :12:39.you, seven days a week, at bbc.co.uk/papers. You can see us

:12:40. > :12:44.there too, with each night's edition of the papers being posted on the

:12:45. > :12:48.page shortly after we've finished. Thank you again to my guests. Great

:12:49. > :12:59.that you were here. Thanks so much. From all of us, goodbye.

:13:00. > :13:04.Hello there. A couple more days of warm, spring sunshine before the

:13:05. > :13:06.weather changes. Let's set the scene,