:00:14. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
:00:18. > :00:19.With me are The Times columnist, Matthew Syed,
:00:20. > :00:30.and The Daily Telegraph's political correspondent, Ben Riley-Smith.
:00:31. > :00:34.The only one that matters tonight, don't tell Christopher Hope.
:00:35. > :00:36.Tomorrow's front pages, starting with...
:00:37. > :00:38.The Times reports on the financial deficit facing the NHS,
:00:39. > :00:42.claiming up to 50 hospitals face losing A departments as a result.
:00:43. > :00:45.The i focusses on the anguish of the families affected
:00:46. > :00:49.The Telegraph says the BBC could avoid disclosing the salaries
:00:50. > :00:51.of some of its higher paid actors, because of a loophole
:00:52. > :00:54.regarding the terms of their employment.
:00:55. > :00:57.Hidden charges that can claim more than a third of people's pension
:00:58. > :01:03.The Mirror leads on the security alert at Buckingham Palace.
:01:04. > :01:09.And the Express focuses on the same story.
:01:10. > :01:16.Asking how a convicted murderer was able to get into Palace Grounds? The
:01:17. > :01:36.Sun also leading on that story. Let's begin with the i. And that
:01:37. > :01:40.Egypt-Air crash, family sold to inspect the survivors because of the
:01:41. > :01:47.age of the wreckage, also finding human remains. A very moving account
:01:48. > :01:54.by Chris Green in the i. Gives you an idea of the scale of the tragedy.
:01:55. > :02:00.Passengers and debris strewn across the Mediterranean. We're still no
:02:01. > :02:04.closer to working out what happened. Could have been on terror incident.
:02:05. > :02:11.None of the passengers whereon the terror list. Committing 25,000 feet
:02:12. > :02:17.into the sea, wildly swerving from side to site, really horrific.
:02:18. > :02:23.Brings out the emotional side of the story. The thinking is, I was
:02:24. > :02:29.reading, because the crew did not contact the ground, the control, it
:02:30. > :02:34.must've happened really fast. That is probably something that, in
:02:35. > :02:39.difficult circumstances, will be of comfort to the families. One can
:02:40. > :02:45.only imagine how horrible that is being on a plane knowing death is
:02:46. > :02:53.imminent, having time to contemplated. Aviation is still the
:02:54. > :02:58.safest form of transport. The method that they use from learning about
:02:59. > :03:04.near misses, planes almost hitting in midair. Both pilots submitting
:03:05. > :03:10.reports. The totality is analysed to figure out the weaknesses are what
:03:11. > :03:14.we can reform. When an accident happens, these are very infrequent.
:03:15. > :03:20.Two indestructible black boxes, often recovered, that can tell the
:03:21. > :03:24.air accident investigation Branch, they build up the data, telling them
:03:25. > :03:31.exactly what went wrong, so reforms can be made so the same mistake
:03:32. > :03:38.cannot happen again. 2014, one crash for every 8.3 million take-offs.
:03:39. > :03:41.Impressive safety record. It surprises me the speed in which some
:03:42. > :03:50.authorities in certain countries are prepared to say what the cause was,
:03:51. > :03:54.or what was more likely. More likely terrorism than a technical failure,
:03:55. > :03:58.when it was so early on. People waking up on Thursday morning to
:03:59. > :04:03.this news, surprising how quickly people were reaching that idea, a
:04:04. > :04:08.sad reflection on how frequent these things were becoming. This was a
:04:09. > :04:14.flight from Paris. We have no idea what the causes were, but Paris has
:04:15. > :04:22.seen terrible terrorist attacks. The Charlie Hebdo shootings, Bataclan,
:04:23. > :04:29.the Stade de France. This is becoming increasingly common. We
:04:30. > :04:34.have no idea. Funny, as you say, plane crashes happen so rarely, yet
:04:35. > :04:39.it does feel like we have had some extremely big stories around planes
:04:40. > :04:46.coming down for one reason or another, disappearing, explosions.
:04:47. > :04:49.For a very long time, the problems with most formal trance fought, not
:04:50. > :04:54.sabotage, technical problems, human error. A luck to do with humans
:04:55. > :05:03.deliberately bringing the planes down. The two big incidents in 2015,
:05:04. > :05:08.an act of sabotage by the pilots, the Russian flight out of Egypt,
:05:09. > :05:12.almost certainly an Isis bomb. Aviation has major issues trying to
:05:13. > :05:16.address. That is why they have a good record. Now it is deliberate
:05:17. > :05:20.sabotage. Not the problem that has been familiar over so many decades
:05:21. > :05:25.up until recently. Completely different phenomenon, most easily
:05:26. > :05:30.mitigated through additional security, which we have to admit is
:05:31. > :05:36.massively costly, in terms of wasted time for passengers across the
:05:37. > :05:39.world. One of the ways that the terrorists, although we will not let
:05:40. > :05:43.them win, they are making small gains in our daily lives, through
:05:44. > :05:51.the security apparatus we have to endure. After September the 11th,
:05:52. > :05:58.they put the additional security in the cockpit, as I remember part of
:05:59. > :06:01.the German Wings, people were hammering on the door once they
:06:02. > :06:04.realise it was the person on the other side, and there was nothing
:06:05. > :06:09.they could do. Interesting, when accidents happen, there is a
:06:10. > :06:13.plausible interpretation of why, before they wrote it out across the
:06:14. > :06:18.industry, they try to work out whether the relevant reforms will do
:06:19. > :06:24.what they want by trialling it in simulators. There is a good
:06:25. > :06:30.systematic way of trying to avert that kind of mistake. The Times,
:06:31. > :06:37.record NHS deficit putting emergency care at risk. Accident and emergency
:06:38. > :06:42.phase closures. You wonder whether you can afford to lose that many
:06:43. > :06:56.centres, when a unique are on the front line. -- accident
:06:57. > :07:05.and emergencies are on the front line. We're not offering any
:07:06. > :07:11.additional resources, that will make this problem go away. You either say
:07:12. > :07:15.we are going to give up a higher proportion of GDP to the National
:07:16. > :07:21.Health Service, higher taxes, people will not vote for that. How do you
:07:22. > :07:27.get the resources you have to go further. There is a culture in the
:07:28. > :07:31.NHS, there are massive variations in efficiency between all the
:07:32. > :07:35.hospitals. If all the hospitals came up to standard, it would save ?5
:07:36. > :07:41.billion a year. In the way they order supplies, agency staff, the
:07:42. > :07:46.way they learn, what aviation does, learning from near misses, avoidable
:07:47. > :07:50.harm. So they reduce litigation costs, other sorts of things. Not
:07:51. > :07:59.doing that are not. We were talking to a journalist from the health
:08:00. > :08:02.service Journal. He said where hospitals are running up large
:08:03. > :08:08.deficits, the care is generally worse. Not spending it to give you
:08:09. > :08:14.better care. Part of the general malaise within the whole Trust.
:08:15. > :08:18.There are questions about efficiencies, there could be a link
:08:19. > :08:21.that the most inefficient hospitals, the one running up the biggest debts
:08:22. > :08:27.are the ones providing inefficient care. The political angle, reading
:08:28. > :08:37.down into the Times story, so Simon Stephens came up with a plan saying
:08:38. > :08:43.we need 30 billion by 2020 20 make sure we get we need. The politicians
:08:44. > :08:48.needing to come up with 8 billion. The Tories eventually coming up with
:08:49. > :08:51.it. Chris Hanson, the head of NHS providers saying some of these
:08:52. > :08:58.issues are too big. We cannot make these efficiencies so suddenly. The
:08:59. > :09:08.funding crisis, why four fifth of hospitals are in the red. The Tories
:09:09. > :09:15.may have to stump up more cash. Whether official hospitals provide
:09:16. > :09:19.better care, absolutely they do. Preventable medical incidents,
:09:20. > :09:23.killing about a year. People in hospitals say if we have to learn
:09:24. > :09:27.about mistakes, it costs money to reduce avoidable mortality. The
:09:28. > :09:32.hospitals that do have the best balance sheets. They comes from the
:09:33. > :09:35.culture being efficient in all the different dimensional they are
:09:36. > :09:40.involved with. The question of how much of our GDP we give to the NHS,
:09:41. > :09:44.there is the absolute imperative to improve the culture, so they are
:09:45. > :09:49.learning all the time, deploying resources in the most efficient way
:09:50. > :09:57.to protect patients. How do you remember those statistics? I don't
:09:58. > :10:08.know. Good question. It is extraordinary. I am not very good at
:10:09. > :10:16.sincerity. The FT, the Telegraph and the Daily Mail looking at what with
:10:17. > :10:22.Brexit mean for house prices? There is George Osborne bricklaying in his
:10:23. > :10:27.spare time, saying they would be a 10% house price fall. Where has he
:10:28. > :10:39.got this from? Critics would say he has plucked it out of the air.
:10:40. > :10:45.Extraordinary claim. Quite interesting. The message that the
:10:46. > :10:48.government want every voter to have when their pen is wavering over both
:10:49. > :10:56.ballot boxes, is that this is going to hit you economically. Tomorrow
:10:57. > :11:00.George Osborne will say between ten and 18% of the value of your house
:11:01. > :11:05.could go. About 50 grams to the average house. Critics are pointing
:11:06. > :11:09.out, this is not from the Value currently, this is projected growth,
:11:10. > :11:15.value don't have, but you will have by 2030. You could imagine the
:11:16. > :11:19.specifics will be lost in the simple fact people will wake up one month
:11:20. > :11:24.from now and remember what is going to happen with my house. The Daily
:11:25. > :11:37.Telegraph saying it will be worse than that. Once this. 20%. -- one
:11:38. > :11:41.fifth. Is this such a smart thing? If house prices go down, is this not
:11:42. > :11:47.good for first-time buyers. This is one of the thing haunting the
:11:48. > :11:52.British economy. High house prices create inequality between the haves
:11:53. > :11:57.and the have-nots. Except people who were already homeowners. They could
:11:58. > :12:03.backfire. The younger voters in favour of remaining, they may be
:12:04. > :12:08.alienating some of the base. Two points. He tries to get around that
:12:09. > :12:13.saying it is a double whammy, mortgage rates will also rocket,
:12:14. > :12:18.because interest rates will sort, hitting first-time buyers. Secondly,
:12:19. > :12:25.who gets out to votes, the older voters? Britain won't rebalance, it
:12:26. > :12:34.could push people into negative equity. You are able to get 95%,
:12:35. > :12:40.100% mortgages. We are saying he's right. Let's a grip. I am broadly in
:12:41. > :12:48.favour of remaining in the EU. Broadly? You don't have the option
:12:49. > :12:56.in the ballot box. The proviso. Does this make you want to stay in? The
:12:57. > :13:00.level of desperation on both sides, Boris Johnson comparing the EU to
:13:01. > :13:05.Hitler, Osborne saying the economy is going to pot, interest rates
:13:06. > :13:10.going sky-high, alienating me from both arguments. I want to see a more
:13:11. > :13:15.rational debate. Their arguments on both sides, you can leave one way or
:13:16. > :13:22.another. Demonising from each side alienating. The gamble is that fear
:13:23. > :13:32.motivates people to the ballot box. Daily Mail, Osborne saying Brexit
:13:33. > :13:38.will hit the value of your home. There is an extraordinary quote, the
:13:39. > :13:46.perilous state of the euro is the biggest threat. Blue on blue.
:13:47. > :13:54.Honestly. They love to come up with ludicrous, often warlike tags. Long
:13:55. > :13:58.time since Tory attacking Tory. When you unwind the pathway, Cameron
:13:59. > :14:02.calling the referendum trying to call off the Ukip threat. Now he
:14:03. > :14:08.would definitely lose the Premiership if we vote Brexit. I
:14:09. > :14:12.think he's vulnerable even if we stay in, he has alienating so much
:14:13. > :14:15.of the party. Given he has said he will resign before the next
:14:16. > :14:22.election, there could be a critical mass. A slight irony, he did it to
:14:23. > :14:30.head off Ukip. In Scotland they voted no, a surge of Scottish
:14:31. > :14:35.nationalism. If we vote yes, there could be a surge in English
:14:36. > :14:48.nationalism. We will see. The Telegraph. Pay of BBC's top actors
:14:49. > :14:51.to stay secret. Earning ?450,000, they would have to devise the
:14:52. > :14:59.earnings. My question is, what are you earning? I would gladly tell you
:15:00. > :15:05.if I were. What is the loophole? If it is an actor, appearing on the
:15:06. > :15:09.BBC, hired by an independent production company, not a member of
:15:10. > :15:17.staff, they will not have to die vaults. For me, if there is a
:15:18. > :15:22.genuine talent, worth to the BBC paying a lot of money, I don't have
:15:23. > :15:29.a problem with that. I don't. I know people are scared. These things are
:15:30. > :15:34.licence fee funded, should anyone be earning that kind of money from a
:15:35. > :15:39.publicly funded organisation like the BBC? Which is having to make
:15:40. > :15:43.savings? The people who do not want to reveal it by the unnamed
:15:44. > :15:50.household presenters, kicking open the Telegraph. One calling it a
:15:51. > :15:54.cheap hit. A mystery why these actors are getting away with it,
:15:55. > :15:59.while they stump up. A third kicking off, saying the small thing. When
:16:00. > :16:04.you look at the small details. Clearly some people wound up by the
:16:05. > :16:11.new change. Fairly annoyed. I don't know what taxpayers think. Licence
:16:12. > :16:20.fee payers. Not a tax. Licence fee payers, my gut feeling... Straight
:16:21. > :16:24.off-the-cuff. What is the difference between tax payers licence payers?
:16:25. > :16:29.Doesn't go to the Treasury, comes to us. People who pay the licence fee
:16:30. > :16:35.don't necessarily pay tax. I don't want to get bogged down. I want to
:16:36. > :16:50.talk about the cartoon. Muirfield toilets. Two doors, caddie, men on
:16:51. > :16:56.one door, men in kilts on the other. He nails it every time. Brilliant.
:16:57. > :17:05.Mind-boggling. This club which hosts one of the great golfing
:17:06. > :17:08.competitions, the Open Championship for jeopardising the hosting of this
:17:09. > :17:13.to prevent women joining the club. Why would they be so anti-women?
:17:14. > :17:18.Brilliant golfers, wonderful company, what is going on? They
:17:19. > :17:28.needed two thirds, they almost got it. Not quite. Over 50%. Almost two
:17:29. > :17:31.thirds. It seems in 2016, having a debate about whether women can
:17:32. > :17:39.engage in certain parts of Scotland, partaking in a game 150 years old.
:17:40. > :17:47.It seems bizarre. Golf is struggling in participation. Going down, a lot
:17:48. > :17:58.of debate about why. Stop it. Often perceived as trustee.
:17:59. > :18:05.This is going to play into that, in my opinion. Goal. Or as a
:18:06. > :18:11.consequence. They need to revolutionise the image. I quite
:18:12. > :18:26.like the plus fours. Lovely to see you.
:18:27. > :18:27.That is it from us. We will have a look at the weather,