:00:15. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
:00:18. > :00:21.With me are Tim Stanley, columnist at the Telegraph.
:00:22. > :00:27.And Rowena Mason, political correspondent at the Guardian.
:00:28. > :00:29.We can look at some of the front pages.
:00:30. > :00:31.The I's headline reads 'fracking back on track' -
:00:32. > :00:36.after councillors in North Yorkshire approved plans
:00:37. > :00:38.for the controversial drilling of shale gas, despite fierce
:00:39. > :00:44.The Metro leads with a price war in the budget airline industry,
:00:45. > :00:47.with Ryanair saying it will slash its air fares by 12
:00:48. > :00:55.The FT says Austria's rightwing presidential candidate conceded
:00:56. > :00:57.defeat by the narrowest of margins, the paper highlighted how
:00:58. > :00:59.the immigration crisis has thoroughly upended
:01:00. > :01:02.The Telegraph leads on the EU Referendum, with a poll
:01:03. > :01:05.for the newspaper suggesting for the first time that most men,
:01:06. > :01:08.over-65s and Tory supporters want to stay in the EU.
:01:09. > :01:10.The Guardian says that Christians are now outnumbered in the UK,
:01:11. > :01:15.as more and people say they have no religion.
:01:16. > :01:18.And the Express shows the Queen in full bloom, as she attends
:01:19. > :01:24.this year's Chelsea Flower Show in London.
:01:25. > :01:32.We will start with the Daily Telegraph and older voters turning
:01:33. > :01:37.their backs on Brexit. One poll, we have to be clear, and it is for the
:01:38. > :01:42.paper itself but it is a turned up considering polls we have seen in
:01:43. > :01:46.the past. It is fascinating and of course the caveats about it being
:01:47. > :01:50.one poll and we are meant to be cautious about polling after the
:01:51. > :01:55.disaster predicting the general election last year. This is possibly
:01:56. > :02:05.the moment we are seeing a shift from older voters tending to favour
:02:06. > :02:08.the Leave camp towards moving to the Remain camp. What David Cameron will
:02:09. > :02:12.have been looking out for, hoping there would be a moment when their
:02:13. > :02:17.numerous warnings about the various things Brexit could do to the
:02:18. > :02:23.economy might have started to hit home to the people sitting at home
:02:24. > :02:27.will stop was that it, Tim? Over a period of time aimed nut will
:02:28. > :02:32.eventually crack if you bash it over the head enough? Of course. It is
:02:33. > :02:36.like they grabbed the back of the head of the public and shoved it
:02:37. > :02:42.into a bucket of water and saying you are only coming out when you
:02:43. > :02:45.vote Remain. I would not blame anyone at this stage who is
:02:46. > :02:52.concerned about the economy for shifting the vote. They have had the
:02:53. > :02:55.president, head of the IMF, major economies, the Treasury, every
:02:56. > :03:00.person lined up to say it is a risk to come out and so no surprise there
:03:01. > :03:05.is a shift but a warning, the Telegraph says that when it comes to
:03:06. > :03:10.voting intentions and in these years, there is an advantage with
:03:11. > :03:14.believers. It looks like if turnout is low the Leave campaign could
:03:15. > :03:18.gamble everything on the possibility there people will come out and
:03:19. > :03:23.others won't but the fact over 65s are turning, is never can. Because
:03:24. > :03:29.the government has still not taught pensions and I bet that will be the
:03:30. > :03:33.next big thing. They saving that up? I would not be surprised. It played
:03:34. > :03:39.well in the Scottish referendum and that is the thing to hit next, your
:03:40. > :03:44.pension will be cut. Your assets will be affected. If they can make
:03:45. > :03:48.older people worried about personal finances it will affect a big shift
:03:49. > :03:53.in the vote. What about Nicola Sturgeon today, she wants to remain
:03:54. > :03:59.in the European Union, but she makes it clear you have to be careful in
:04:00. > :04:05.using negative attack in order to drive home your message. She said
:04:06. > :04:09.something quite cutting about George Osborne's Treasury analysis, saying
:04:10. > :04:13.it was insulting to people'sintelligence he made
:04:14. > :04:18.warnings that seen this exaggerated. One of her arguments is it will turn
:04:19. > :04:23.people off but we must remember that Project Fear as it was called in the
:04:24. > :04:29.Scottish referendum was quite effective. Scotland voted to stay
:04:30. > :04:34.within the union. David Cameron and George Osborne might decide not to
:04:35. > :04:38.listen to that advice and carry on with this onslaught of negativity,
:04:39. > :04:45.which will make people afraid of the consequences of leaving. While
:04:46. > :04:49.Project Fear Wigan the battle, the referendum, arguably it lost the war
:04:50. > :04:54.because after the referendum the SNP vote went up and they started to
:04:55. > :04:57.dominate in elections like they had not done before and I am convinced
:04:58. > :05:03.it is a consequence of Project Fear in that referendum and down here, if
:05:04. > :05:08.they pushed too hard on fear they will alienate a group of voters who
:05:09. > :05:14.will go further right. Ukip will not go away after the referendum. It
:05:15. > :05:18.could have if people had peacefully voted to stay, Ukip might have
:05:19. > :05:21.evaporated but not now, because they have a narrative that the
:05:22. > :05:28.establishment ganged up against them will stop I suspect Project Fear
:05:29. > :05:33.will sustain Euroscepticism where is it killed it with kindness. David
:05:34. > :05:38.Cameron was not complacent about winning this. He has had jitters
:05:39. > :05:41.especially over things like turnout and older voters and conservative
:05:42. > :05:46.voters veering towards the Leave camp will stop if he had a more
:05:47. > :05:49.confident maybe he would not have happened to turn to this book
:05:50. > :05:56.Project Fear is what he feels he had to do to win it. The Daily Express,
:05:57. > :06:02.an EU threat to family life with UK mothers set to back Brexit over
:06:03. > :06:08.fears over their children's future. This is based on a poll of net mums
:06:09. > :06:14.and it says Britain's mothers are set to lead the country out of the
:06:15. > :06:19.EU. An online poll of 2000 of them and their does not seem to be a
:06:20. > :06:22.check about who can vote in it. You can find the link on the internet on
:06:23. > :06:29.Twitter and click which side you want. Not particularly reliable? I
:06:30. > :06:34.am not sure the methods will stand up to scrutiny. And a debate about
:06:35. > :06:38.whether online polls tend to attract people who feel strongly about
:06:39. > :06:48.things anyway, they seek out things to click on. Actually, online polls
:06:49. > :06:53.seem to show a bias towards Leave whereas phone polls seem to be
:06:54. > :06:58.tending towards Remain. And they are biased towards people on the
:06:59. > :07:06.internet. Not everyone is on the internet. Fracking. Back on track
:07:07. > :07:10.will stop to start up again in the UK despite opposition. This is the
:07:11. > :07:13.first time in five years I think they will push ahead and give
:07:14. > :07:19.somebody a licence to Frank. There will be more opposition. People will
:07:20. > :07:25.protest. The government must convince people it is safe and there
:07:26. > :07:31.is an economic argument for it. Britain is edging towards a power
:07:32. > :07:34.supply crisis and the problem is if you do fracking there is no
:07:35. > :07:39.guarantee it will lower prices because we are part of the European
:07:40. > :07:43.grid. It will make money for the companies but not necessarily
:07:44. > :07:48.translate into benefit for consumers. Renewable energies are
:07:49. > :07:52.costly and inefficient. Nuclear is very expensive. We would have to pay
:07:53. > :07:56.the Chinese a huge amount to build a new station. The things that are
:07:57. > :08:01.cost effective things like coal and other forms of gas. Britain is
:08:02. > :08:07.edging towards a crisis and I guess if they don't do this, who knows, we
:08:08. > :08:12.will have rolling blackouts. The suggestion then, as in the US,
:08:13. > :08:17.energy prices tumbling because of the fracking revolution there but
:08:18. > :08:22.that would not necessarily apply a? The headline says that fracking is
:08:23. > :08:28.back on track and I think it is overstating it. Likewise when George
:08:29. > :08:31.Osborne promised an energy revolution through fracking and
:08:32. > :08:36.prices could be brought down by Shell gas, it is a bit of an
:08:37. > :08:42.exaggeration. We would have to do it on an enormous scale for that to
:08:43. > :08:47.happen. This is only one case of planning permission being granted in
:08:48. > :08:52.one place. It would have to be all over the country for that to happen.
:08:53. > :09:00.It is a small step forward but by no means this great big revolution and
:09:01. > :09:05.hope for lower energy prices. The person who produces the energy will
:09:06. > :09:09.be freed to sell it across European markets with pipelines going to
:09:10. > :09:17.Holland in Norway and so it might be Norwegian people who benefit. It
:09:18. > :09:23.might be that the economic benefit is to employment. Christians
:09:24. > :09:29.outnumbered as the UK becomes less religious. We are talking about
:09:30. > :09:33.polls but there has been a shift. According to the Guardian, in 2011
:09:34. > :09:40.there was a majority of people calling themselves Christian and in
:09:41. > :09:45.five years, now more people say they have no religion than people who
:09:46. > :09:49.describe themselves as Christian. An extraordinary shift. The Guardian
:09:50. > :09:54.explains it in that the people raise Christian, who are culturally
:09:55. > :09:57.Christian, having recent years stopped describing themselves as
:09:58. > :10:02.Christian will stop an interesting decoupling between one's identity
:10:03. > :10:09.and what you are christened as, what school you went to. People not
:10:10. > :10:14.feeling the distinctive loyalty to Christianity. It is not surprising.
:10:15. > :10:18.Christians do not evangelise in this country. They are not encouraged to
:10:19. > :10:23.talk about their faith and promote it. It is not the done thing in this
:10:24. > :10:28.country. If you look at British history there have been peaks and
:10:29. > :10:35.troughs of Christian identity. In the 18th century it hit a low and
:10:36. > :10:38.churches are under attended and atheism is popular with the
:10:39. > :10:42.Industrial Revolution and people looking at science. It comes back on
:10:43. > :10:47.the 19th century because it is fashionable, because there is a move
:10:48. > :10:50.to evangelise. Until the mainstream churches shake off the nervousness
:10:51. > :10:56.about talking about religion, it is no surprise. The Financial Times,
:10:57. > :11:04.the right wing surge as Hofer suffers wafer thin presidential
:11:05. > :11:07.defeat. Very interesting. Apparently Austrian news websites have been
:11:08. > :11:17.crashing because everybody in the country has been waiting to find out
:11:18. > :11:21.who their new president will be. Amazingly, it is the independent
:11:22. > :11:26.candidate he used to be a Green who has come through narrowly against
:11:27. > :11:34.the Freedom party candidates, Norbert Hofer. None of the main
:11:35. > :11:40.parties got the second round. Like the referendum, as we said, it might
:11:41. > :11:45.be a case of losing the battle and winning the war. The fact they went
:11:46. > :11:53.to the final round and there was 0.4% between the two candidates. The
:11:54. > :11:56.Green guy won postal ballots which will feed conspiracy thinking. I
:11:57. > :12:04.wonder if it might mean those voters living abroad are more liberal and
:12:05. > :12:08.pro-EU, I don't know. One suspects the narrative will emerge that it
:12:09. > :12:14.was stolen from them. The freedom Party is now a big party in Austria.
:12:15. > :12:17.And will play a big role in the general elections of a couple of
:12:18. > :12:27.years. And in the Daily Telegraph, the Queen. She is at Chelsea. She
:12:28. > :12:32.has been given flowers and made a joke about people trying to
:12:33. > :12:37.assassinate her. Only she can make jokes like that by one of them I
:12:38. > :12:42.think is a poisonous lily and she said to the person that gave it to
:12:43. > :12:47.her, I have been given two bunches this week, perhaps they want me
:12:48. > :12:53.dead! She goes her flowers, clearly. And the flowers behind her, the
:12:54. > :12:59.image of her on postage stamps. An extraordinary display. OK. You will
:13:00. > :13:03.be back in an hour and we will look at more stories behind the
:13:04. > :13:06.headlines. Many thanks. Much more coming up stop thanks for watching
:13:07. > :13:21.the Papers. Good evening, tomorrow should be
:13:22. > :13:24.mostly dry with spells of sunshine. Today we started bright and there we
:13:25. > :13:26.saw cloud