11/06/2016

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:00:00. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:20. > :00:27.It's curtailed with forces beyond our control again.

:00:28. > :00:29.With me are Sian Griffiths, the education editor

:00:30. > :00:31.of the Sunday Times, and the political

:00:32. > :00:41.We have some of tomorrow's front pages in, starting with the

:00:42. > :00:48.Observer. There could be an end to increases in the states pension and

:00:49. > :00:52.ring-fenced spending on the NHS. There's a picture of the Queen's

:00:53. > :00:55.90th birthday celebrations. The Mail on Sunday leads with the referendum,

:00:56. > :01:00.the Archbishop of Canterbury's announcement that he is voting to

:01:01. > :01:04.remain in the EU. We will start with the referendum, of course, and here

:01:05. > :01:08.it is on the Sunday Telegraph, they are saying they have an exclusive

:01:09. > :01:11.with the Prime Minister, telling the elderly their special protection

:01:12. > :01:17.from cuts is at risk if they vote to leave. PM's Brexit pensions warning,

:01:18. > :01:23.it says. Some of the other claims as well, will they be enough to

:01:24. > :01:26.concentrate people's minds, you wonder, bus passes, TV licences,

:01:27. > :01:29.retirement income no longer funded by the government, handing license

:01:30. > :01:34.fees to the BBC anyway. I think what's happening here is another day

:01:35. > :01:37.and it's another scare story if you vote for Brexit. The Prime Minister

:01:38. > :01:39.has done an article for the Sunday Telegraph and this time he is

:01:40. > :01:44.targeting particularly pensioners, because they are seen as the people

:01:45. > :01:55.most likely to vote in favour of Britain leaving Europe. He is

:01:56. > :01:57.targeting them, saying if you vote for Brexit things like you're

:01:58. > :02:01.guaranteed pension rights, a minimum of 2.5% a year, free TV licences,

:02:02. > :02:04.could be at risk if you vote for Brexit. These are people more likely

:02:05. > :02:08.to turn out, but how much of a scare story is it? He says there will be a

:02:09. > :02:11.?40 billion black hole in public spending should we leave. Yes, and

:02:12. > :02:17.it's coming obviously as these polls are starting to show a significant

:02:18. > :02:21.lead for Brexit. There's a ten point lead for Brexit over Remain, I think

:02:22. > :02:24.in the Independent they have a special poll, so the whole thing is

:02:25. > :02:30.really hotting up now, the stakes are getting higher. ?40 billion

:02:31. > :02:37.black hole in public finances and this warning to the over 65 is is

:02:38. > :02:41.obviously a major attempt now by the Remain campaign to try and claw back

:02:42. > :02:46.and reduce the size of that lead that the Brexit team now have. But

:02:47. > :02:50.we know, Vincent, that polls don't tell us the whole story. In fact,

:02:51. > :02:54.they often get it very wrong and they are an indicator on that day,

:02:55. > :02:57.and it relies on people telling the truth about what they are going to

:02:58. > :03:01.vote. We saw last year at the general election everyone was

:03:02. > :03:04.expecting there to be some kind of need for a coalition, not an

:03:05. > :03:08.outright win by the Conservatives. That's right, at the election the

:03:09. > :03:11.pollsters have more information to go on with general elections. This

:03:12. > :03:16.is such a rare, unique vote that they don't have a lot of data to go

:03:17. > :03:18.on and there's no guarantee, although the pollsters all say they

:03:19. > :03:21.have upped their game and changed their methodologies and the way they

:03:22. > :03:24.try to score people to make sure they are more accurate but there a

:03:25. > :03:28.huge range in the polls at the moment, an awful lot of people who

:03:29. > :03:31.are undecided and really I don't think there's any way people can

:03:32. > :03:35.rely on the polls, not so soon after the general election where we saw

:03:36. > :03:38.how far out they were. There have been other very recent polls that

:03:39. > :03:43.have shown they are neck and neck, it would be difficult to call, the

:03:44. > :03:45.margin and of error. The Mail on Sunday says the Archbishop of

:03:46. > :03:51.Canterbury is voting in, he's backing Remain. With the background

:03:52. > :03:55.of the Prime Minister talking about all those cuts to public spending. I

:03:56. > :04:00.don't suppose it's that much of a surprise, do you think, that Justin

:04:01. > :04:04.Welby is voting to stay in? He has also written an article for the Mail

:04:05. > :04:08.on Sunday and he says that he's going to vote Remain because leaving

:04:09. > :04:13.the EU would harm the economy, but also because Britain's Christian

:04:14. > :04:15.heritage was founded on peace and reconciliation, building bridges,

:04:16. > :04:19.not barriers. From that point of view it's not really a surprise, one

:04:20. > :04:23.would expect him, one would be very surprised if he joined the Leave

:04:24. > :04:28.campaign. Both sides are always keen to have somebody who is very well

:04:29. > :04:31.known on their side. You wonder whether this will make much

:04:32. > :04:37.difference. I think we have seen earlier in the week, the Archbishop

:04:38. > :04:41.Justin Welby's criticism of Nigel Farage's remarks, so I think it was

:04:42. > :04:45.pretty clear that the line about bridges not barriers is going to be

:04:46. > :04:48.one that the Church of England will put out there. What's important

:04:49. > :04:51.about this is both sides have their key endorsers if you like. They have

:04:52. > :04:56.a grid of announcement they are planning day by day and Sunday, what

:04:57. > :04:59.better day, it's the day to roll-out the Archbishop of Canterbury, on

:05:00. > :05:04.Monday it could be a football or pop Star, we have had several of those,

:05:05. > :05:12.and we will see this until the 23rd of June. Is the Mail on Sunday which

:05:13. > :05:15.has chosen to put a Remain name on their front page. The Observer,

:05:16. > :05:19.McDonnell, the XP HBOS was -- must lose his knighthood, the Shadow

:05:20. > :05:22.Chancellor is saying if Sir Philip Green refuses to speak to MPs next

:05:23. > :05:30.week at the joint select committee he is going to be called to attend,

:05:31. > :05:33.he should lose the Sir. Perhaps unreasonably, the Daily Mail has

:05:34. > :05:37.been saying he should be stripped of his knighthood, there is no question

:05:38. > :05:41.that Sir Philip Green has an awful lot of questions to answer and if he

:05:42. > :05:46.doesn't turn up, as he is threatening next week, he will have

:05:47. > :05:51.to turn up. Mike Ashley Sports Direct try this trick of saying, I'm

:05:52. > :05:56.not going to go, in the end they always go. Frank Field has been so

:05:57. > :05:59.outspoken before he has got to the committee. I'm sure he will get a

:06:00. > :06:03.fair hearing if he turns up. Frank Field could I guess have waited, he

:06:04. > :06:06.could have said these things on Wednesday and not said them in

:06:07. > :06:11.advance, but that is not an excuse for Philip Green not turn up on

:06:12. > :06:16.Wednesday. What Field said was quite understandable. He was saying that

:06:17. > :06:19.what he said to the FT was his committee would laugh if Philip

:06:20. > :06:25.Green were to offer less than ?600 million to settle BHS's pension

:06:26. > :06:29.debts. When he gives evidence on Wednesday to the work and pensions

:06:30. > :06:34.committee. And for all these people, whose jobs are at risk and whose

:06:35. > :06:39.pensions are now going to take a cut, this is very, very important

:06:40. > :06:43.stuff. He always says he's done nothing wrong. The that's right, but

:06:44. > :06:48.everybody wants to hear the answer as to why it was a good decision to

:06:49. > :06:53.sell a company for ?1 to a thrice bankrupt. I don't think anybody

:06:54. > :06:55.think that was the most strategic of business decisions. Let's look at

:06:56. > :07:02.the Observer, Wales versus Slovakia, they won 2-1 after 58 years in the

:07:03. > :07:06.wilderness, Sharm is very pleased. I'm extremely pleased because I'm

:07:07. > :07:09.from Wales. I'm not really a football fan, but I did watch the

:07:10. > :07:13.match and it was exciting. I thought what was lovely about it was we have

:07:14. > :07:19.seen the treble in Marseille, there was no cab -- there was no trouble

:07:20. > :07:23.in Bordeaux. It was a civilised affair. There's a lot of singing,

:07:24. > :07:27.because we like singing. There were hymns and arias and land of my

:07:28. > :07:31.Fathers, and that was lovely, and there was such a fantastic team

:07:32. > :07:34.spirit as well. That's what you want because tonight it has felt in

:07:35. > :07:37.Marseille, what happened on the pitch was absolutely secondary to

:07:38. > :07:43.what was going on before the match Matt and then inside the stadium.

:07:44. > :07:47.This is before the game even started, this incredible violence

:07:48. > :07:51.out on the streets between three different groups of fans, we

:07:52. > :07:54.understand. The that's right, a lot of front pages will change by

:07:55. > :07:59.tomorrow morning to reflect those awful images. This seems to be an

:08:00. > :08:02.unholy cocktail of incidents. You have English football thugs, French

:08:03. > :08:06.hooligan, Russian hooligans, and questions of how the police and

:08:07. > :08:10.security and -- are handling it. It's a confluence of those things.

:08:11. > :08:13.It's making what looks like it could be a very dangerous situation out

:08:14. > :08:19.there. It could get worse potentially later tonight, let's

:08:20. > :08:23.hope not. The important thing to remember, a lot of it was people who

:08:24. > :08:26.go out there, it's in their social calendar of fights to go to. These

:08:27. > :08:30.are people who go out looking for trouble rather than looking for

:08:31. > :08:34.football. But many thousands of people go and it's the last thing

:08:35. > :08:38.they want. That's right, it's a tiny minority. It looks like a lot of

:08:39. > :08:42.people in these pictures. Back to the Telegraph, happy 90th birthday,

:08:43. > :08:47.your Majesty. Have we not got that, do you want me to show you? There

:08:48. > :08:51.you go. The Queen looks like she is wearing the same colour outfit has

:08:52. > :08:57.made! On the television earlier it looks more vivid, didn't it? Have a

:08:58. > :09:01.photo shopped it? It did, it looks darker green than on the very livid

:09:02. > :09:05.green that we saw on television all day today. Slightly strange. A

:09:06. > :09:10.lovely picture of all the royals there. A very odd green on that

:09:11. > :09:15.Sunday Telegraph picture. We are matching, and amazing turnout,

:09:16. > :09:19.wasn't it, Sian. I think it's lime green. Its emerald, there. Enough of

:09:20. > :09:24.the Queen's outfits. That's the papers for this hour but Sian and

:09:25. > :09:30.Vincent will be back at 11:30pm. Normal time. I know it annoys you.

:09:31. > :09:33.Coming up next, it's time for Reporters.