25/06/2016

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0:00:00 > 0:00:03The Papers with Martine Croxall and her guests.

0:00:14 > 0:00:17Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

0:00:17 > 0:00:19bringing us tomorrow.

0:00:19 > 0:00:22With me here in the studio is Toby Young, Associate Editor

0:00:22 > 0:00:24for The Spectator, and political commentator, Jo Philips.

0:00:24 > 0:00:28And joining us from Edinburgh is David Torrance

0:00:28 > 0:00:31columnist for The Herald.

0:00:31 > 0:00:34Tomorrow's front pages, starting with

0:00:34 > 0:00:38The Daily Mail front page celebrates the Leave vote -

0:00:38 > 0:00:41their picture has jubilant crowds and the headline "Take a bow

0:00:41 > 0:00:43Britain."

0:00:43 > 0:00:45The Express has more on the resignation of David Cameron

0:00:45 > 0:00:47and names Boris Johnson as the favourite to take over

0:00:47 > 0:00:48as prime minister.

0:00:48 > 0:00:51The Times describes today's events as a "Brexit Earthquake."

0:00:51 > 0:00:53It also features a picture of David Cameron and his wife

0:00:53 > 0:00:55outside 10 Downing Street.

0:00:55 > 0:00:58The Telegraph describes yesterday's vote as the "Birth

0:00:58 > 0:00:59of a New Britain."

0:00:59 > 0:01:02It says Boris Johnson and Michael Gove are preparing a bid

0:01:02 > 0:01:04to take control of the Conservative party.

0:01:04 > 0:01:08The Guardian simply says: "Over and Out" as it wraps up key events

0:01:08 > 0:01:10from today's decision to leave the EU.

0:01:10 > 0:01:14The Daily Mirror has a picture of an anguished looking

0:01:14 > 0:01:25Samantha Cameron as she watches her husband resign -

0:01:25 > 0:01:27asking "So what the hell happens now?"

0:01:27 > 0:01:30The Sun focusses on the career of David Cameron and why he has

0:01:30 > 0:01:31decided to quit.

0:01:31 > 0:01:33And the Scottish Daily Mail has the headline: "Disunited Kingdom."

0:01:33 > 0:01:36It says the result of today's referendum has torn Britain apart.

0:01:36 > 0:01:40Last night, about 10:00 o'clock, Nigel Farage called it for Remain,

0:01:40 > 0:01:45then changed his mind, when we you convinced?

0:01:45 > 0:01:49Well, I suppose the first indication that the exit poll and the poll that

0:01:49 > 0:01:54Ipsos MORI had done on the day - both of which indicated that Remain

0:01:54 > 0:01:56win quite comfortably - the first indication

0:01:56 > 0:01:58that they were wrong was the result from Sunderland.

0:01:58 > 0:02:01I mean, first the result from Newcastle in which Remain won

0:02:01 > 0:02:04but not by the margin it was expected to and then

0:02:04 > 0:02:07the result from Sunderland in which Leave won by a far greater

0:02:07 > 0:02:10margin than it needed to if Leave were to win overall.

0:02:10 > 0:02:13Let's look t The Times, one of our first front pages,

0:02:13 > 0:02:15"Brexit Earthquake" - there's a picture of the Camerons

0:02:15 > 0:02:17outside Number 10.

0:02:17 > 0:02:19The Prime Minister announces his resignation.

0:02:19 > 0:02:21Vote to leave threatens break-up of the UK.

0:02:21 > 0:02:24David, I want to come to the idea of a second independence referendum

0:02:24 > 0:02:29a little bit later if we can, but the fact is, the UK is massively

0:02:29 > 0:02:36divided and Scotland already looks like another country?

0:02:36 > 0:02:42Yes, this is part of an ongoing process.

0:02:42 > 0:02:44I have covered all these elections and referendums for the past few

0:02:44 > 0:02:47years - it's all catching up with me tonight,

0:02:47 > 0:02:48I can tell you.

0:02:48 > 0:02:49CHUCKLES.

0:02:49 > 0:02:52It doesn't feel like another country in many ways and you cannot argue

0:02:52 > 0:02:55with the differential vote like that.

0:02:55 > 0:02:59The fact remains that Scotland voted overwhelmingly for Remain

0:02:59 > 0:03:03although not to gloss over 38% of Scots who did back Leave -

0:03:03 > 0:03:06not an insignificant minority.

0:03:06 > 0:03:10Northern Ireland backed Remain and yet south, the other two

0:03:10 > 0:03:16quarters of the country, voted decisively for Leave.

0:03:16 > 0:03:18I say decisively but it was quite narrow.

0:03:18 > 0:03:23And that just changes the context completely.

0:03:23 > 0:03:26It changes the frame of reference for all these debates we've had over

0:03:26 > 0:03:30the past few years about Scottish independence, about the future

0:03:30 > 0:03:31of the UK.

0:03:31 > 0:03:35It also makes you question opinion opinion polls again and again?

0:03:35 > 0:03:40Yes, I remember talking not so many days ago, weeks ago,

0:03:40 > 0:03:44about the pressure on the pollsters because they got it so wrong.

0:03:44 > 0:03:50Even the private polling that hedge funds and investment banks

0:03:50 > 0:03:53were doing were still not accurate because we saw that great surge

0:03:53 > 0:03:56yesterday on the money market that then tumbled overnight

0:03:56 > 0:03:58and then came back.

0:03:58 > 0:04:03Clearly, they were banking on Remain, just by a whisker.

0:04:03 > 0:04:07There will be a lot of questions about the polling but I still think

0:04:07 > 0:04:10many, many people went to the polling booth yesterday

0:04:10 > 0:04:13and actually had not made up their mind until they got in there.

0:04:13 > 0:04:17I mean, every conversation that any of us have had -

0:04:17 > 0:04:20and it is fantastic that it has energised people talking

0:04:20 > 0:04:24about politics on something about such huge importance

0:04:24 > 0:04:27for generations to come - but there were still a lot of people

0:04:27 > 0:04:30wobbling on the brink.

0:04:30 > 0:04:34The Daily Mail, says it has published a historic edition,

0:04:34 > 0:04:35"Take a bow Britain."

0:04:35 > 0:04:38It was the day the quiet people of Britain rose up

0:04:38 > 0:04:40against an arrogant, out-of-touch political class

0:04:40 > 0:04:43and a contemptuous Brussels elite.

0:04:43 > 0:04:47It goes on to talk about the tumultuous events of our time.

0:04:47 > 0:04:50Tim Farron, the Democrats leader, talking today about the fact that

0:04:50 > 0:04:54given that this has divided people so deeply, now is the time

0:04:54 > 0:04:59to try to bring everybody together but how do we do that?

0:04:59 > 0:05:01Precisely.

0:05:01 > 0:05:05As Peter Hennessy said earlier today - the constitutional historian -

0:05:05 > 0:05:09this is about resetting the dials and there is a great chance here,

0:05:09 > 0:05:12actually, for the reshaping of British politics.

0:05:12 > 0:05:18It is absolutely ridiculous, with no sense of irony,

0:05:18 > 0:05:22that The Mail talks about the quiet people of Britain rising up

0:05:22 > 0:05:25against an arrogant out-of-touch political class and then goes

0:05:25 > 0:05:30on page after page praising Michael Gove and Boris Johnson

0:05:30 > 0:05:33who are part of the political class.

0:05:33 > 0:05:38It is clear, utter nonsense but what I think is needed is a lot

0:05:38 > 0:05:46less of these jingoistic celebration and a lot of sensible calm

0:05:46 > 0:05:48what happens next, it is about negotiations.

0:05:48 > 0:05:52What is the plan?

0:05:52 > 0:05:57It is true that Michael Gove and Boris Johnson are members

0:05:57 > 0:06:00of the political class but it is also true

0:06:00 > 0:06:06that they managed to harness a popular revolt against

0:06:06 > 0:06:11the establishment and one of the reason Remain did not do

0:06:11 > 0:06:14better is because David Cameron made no attempt to try and dress up

0:06:14 > 0:06:16the Remain campaign as anything other than the establishment

0:06:16 > 0:06:23defending the status quo.

0:06:23 > 0:06:32He made a mistake by lining up the IMF, the Treasury,

0:06:32 > 0:06:36the president of the US and it enabled Boris and Michael to whip up

0:06:36 > 0:06:41popular resentment and it is not just a phenomenon confined

0:06:41 > 0:06:47to Britain, you see it across America and Europe as well.

0:06:47 > 0:06:50How much have the winners been able to celebrate given the fact

0:06:50 > 0:06:58immediately Nigel Farage was asked when does the NHS get the money,

0:06:58 > 0:07:01when does immigration get kerned and the answer is our,

0:07:01 > 0:07:03not yet or maybe not ever.

0:07:03 > 0:07:06Nigel Farage was not part of the official campaign.

0:07:06 > 0:07:08He is not an MP.

0:07:08 > 0:07:14We are not about to find ourselves in Nigel Farage's Britain...

0:07:14 > 0:07:24But a lot of people will actually say that Nigel Farage has dominated.

0:07:24 > 0:07:28He is the person that has energised and that if it was not for him

0:07:28 > 0:07:36we would never have had a referendum.

0:07:36 > 0:07:40Scotland went through this with a close vote with the independence

0:07:40 > 0:07:43referendum, arguably Scotland was very divided.

0:07:43 > 0:08:01How deeply have those divisions remained over the last few months?

0:08:01 > 0:08:06There are two polorised cases.

0:08:06 > 0:08:14People who lost will tell you it was very divisive and nasty

0:08:14 > 0:08:17on the winning side would tell you it was a festival

0:08:17 > 0:08:18of democracy and uplifting.

0:08:18 > 0:08:21The truth is somewhere in between.

0:08:21 > 0:08:23Both accounts are caricatures.

0:08:23 > 0:08:25In a polarised referendum, which is essentially

0:08:25 > 0:08:27about existential question of who you are, your identity

0:08:27 > 0:08:31and the future of the country.

0:08:31 > 0:08:38Of course, it is going to be divisive.

0:08:38 > 0:08:40There is no room for nuance or a middle way.

0:08:40 > 0:08:51My overwhelming sense was deja vu.

0:08:51 > 0:08:58Eve nthe lines were the same.

0:08:58 > 0:09:01The delegitimisation of experts and the media and facts

0:09:01 > 0:09:04was all horribly familiar but they were good signs as well.

0:09:04 > 0:09:10The turnout was high.

0:09:10 > 0:09:13Not as it was a few years ago in Scotland but previously

0:09:13 > 0:09:16it was a much more salient issue but anything that engages

0:09:16 > 0:09:19the proportion of the election...

0:09:19 > 0:09:21The other thing that came out of the Scottish referendum is this

0:09:21 > 0:09:23rejuvenation with new leaders.

0:09:23 > 0:09:26We saw the demise of Murphy but look at Davidson coming out

0:09:26 > 0:09:29as a new superstar.

0:09:29 > 0:09:35It is quite striking that the two most impressive operators

0:09:35 > 0:09:38in the British Isles are Davidson and the First Minister Nicola

0:09:38 > 0:09:45Sturgeon.

0:09:45 > 0:09:47Cast your mind back to 1999 when the devolusion experiment

0:09:47 > 0:09:48was first embarked upon.

0:09:48 > 0:09:53It was said that Scottish politicians will no longer

0:09:53 > 0:09:57have a place in the UK stage but turned out to be far

0:09:57 > 0:09:59from the truth

0:09:59 > 0:10:02Although it looks very different now, we have a very

0:10:02 > 0:10:07high profile figure.

0:10:07 > 0:10:10The Daily Express and The Sun, "We are out of the EU."

0:10:10 > 0:10:13The Express comes to us pretty early on.

0:10:13 > 0:10:14Boris as next PM.

0:10:14 > 0:10:21We do not know.

0:10:21 > 0:10:26And we can gloss over the David Cameron story.

0:10:26 > 0:10:30Why should he hang around?

0:10:30 > 0:10:33Given that he does not believe in Britain's withdrawal from the EU

0:10:33 > 0:10:38and given that there is going to be a lot of hard work to be done

0:10:38 > 0:10:42to work out what the new settlement is, what the new relationship

0:10:42 > 0:10:52is with the EU, it is understandable he did not want to do that.

0:10:52 > 0:10:55But he is the one who is responsible for bringing the referendum

0:10:55 > 0:10:56in the first place.

0:10:56 > 0:11:01He did not need to.

0:11:01 > 0:11:03He could have said, I'm here to govern.

0:11:03 > 0:11:06He may not have won the election if he had not agreed

0:11:06 > 0:11:12to hold the referendum.

0:11:12 > 0:11:14One of the ways the story is reported is slightly

0:11:14 > 0:11:16jumping the gun.

0:11:16 > 0:11:20The headline, we are out of the EU.

0:11:20 > 0:11:30Everywhere it has been reported as a foregone conclusion.

0:11:30 > 0:11:34That has been the will of British people but it is much more likely

0:11:34 > 0:11:37I think that the leaders of the European Union will now come

0:11:37 > 0:11:39back and make a different offer, some form of associate membership

0:11:39 > 0:11:42which is probably what David Cameron should have gone for.

0:11:42 > 0:11:45Surely, if that is the case, people who voted to get out,

0:11:45 > 0:11:53will say that is not what we voted for.

0:11:53 > 0:11:58As of yet, Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty has

0:11:58 > 0:12:03not been invoked.

0:12:03 > 0:12:06It does not have to be triggered for ages and ages.

0:12:06 > 0:12:09We are ready had various European leaders are saying,

0:12:09 > 0:12:23you decided to go so go and you can understand that they want to do it

0:12:23 > 0:12:26and you can also understand the thinking behind making it

0:12:26 > 0:12:33complicated for us.

0:12:33 > 0:12:39In other European countries, as we have seen by the congratulations

0:12:39 > 0:12:42by Le Pen and other right wing parties to sway other right wing

0:12:42 > 0:12:44nations to do the same.

0:12:44 > 0:12:46Of course they want negotiations quite quickly because there are also

0:12:46 > 0:12:49elections coming up in Spain, Holland and France next year

0:12:49 > 0:12:51but this is about who is going to negotiate.

0:12:51 > 0:12:54Clearly, David Cameron who has already said long before this,

0:12:54 > 0:12:57that he would step down before the end of this Parliament cannot be

0:12:57 > 0:13:00in a position to negotiate and it is a two-year minimum deal

0:13:00 > 0:13:01if we use Article 50.

0:13:01 > 0:13:04There is an article in the FT which talks about whether Scotland

0:13:04 > 0:13:13or even Northern Ireland could do what Denmark has done an it stayed

0:13:13 > 0:13:16stayed

0:13:16 > 0:13:18in their EU but parts of his kingdom, Greenland,

0:13:18 > 0:13:19decided to leave.

0:13:19 > 0:13:20The Fera Islands as well.

0:13:20 > 0:13:26That is in a similar situation.

0:13:26 > 0:13:30The point to make is the European Union is a highly

0:13:30 > 0:13:35flexible political organisation and even if we set out...

0:13:35 > 0:13:44And the truth is, I am old enough to remember German reunification,

0:13:44 > 0:13:47it was dealt with ii in a matter of months.

0:13:47 > 0:13:48A newly expanded Germany.

0:13:48 > 0:13:55I think they called it internal enlargement.

0:13:55 > 0:14:02I think, the First Minister spoke about this this morning,

0:14:02 > 0:14:05she is going to engage directly with Brussell and she will seek

0:14:05 > 0:14:10what the mood is there and how willing they are to be flexible

0:14:10 > 0:14:13in their approach to the bits of the UK, and it might even include

0:14:13 > 0:14:14London...

0:14:20 > 0:14:23The Mirror says, what happens now?

0:14:23 > 0:14:27Day one of Brexit Britain.

0:14:27 > 0:14:31Of course the pound fell sharply, but then there was a rally and be

0:14:31 > 0:14:35-- we saw a huge amount wiped off shares and the losses

0:14:35 > 0:14:40were catastrophic, we were told.

0:14:40 > 0:14:46Some people who voted for Leave were surprised that this had

0:14:46 > 0:14:51happene and then they said, if I had known that this

0:14:51 > 0:14:56was going to happen and my vote would actually count

0:14:56 > 0:15:02I would have voted to Remain.

0:15:02 > 0:15:04How naive have some people been?

0:15:04 > 0:15:07I think taking back your democratic rights does take courage

0:15:07 > 0:15:08because there are always risks involved.

0:15:08 > 0:15:11Sometimes, the following day, when you become more aware

0:15:11 > 0:15:18of what those risks are, you get a bit of buyers' remorse.

0:15:18 > 0:15:20But in time I think people won't regret their decision.

0:15:20 > 0:15:23The FTSE 100 did finish 2% up on the week.

0:15:23 > 0:15:26But what is the plan?

0:15:26 > 0:15:29I heard Brexit campaigners saying that what we need to do is gather

0:15:29 > 0:15:33round us some experts, business leaders and lawyers.

0:15:33 > 0:15:37But a lot of people were saying, the reason I voted to leave

0:15:37 > 0:15:41is because I am sick of hearing from experts.

0:15:41 > 0:15:44Well, the plan, as Boris set out in his original column

0:15:44 > 0:15:46in the Daily Telegraph, in which he declared

0:15:46 > 0:15:49that he would be campaigning for Leave, was to try and get

0:15:49 > 0:15:53the British public to reject the EU in the hope that the EU would then

0:15:53 > 0:16:03come back with an offer not just for us but for everyone.

0:16:03 > 0:16:05I think the reason why that would fly is because the result

0:16:05 > 0:16:08was so close and you can't have an outcome which just

0:16:08 > 0:16:09favours one side.

0:16:09 > 0:16:13It has got to be a compromise.

0:16:13 > 0:16:22Because it was so close?

0:16:22 > 0:16:25Yes, there would then be a second referundum on whether to embrace

0:16:26 > 0:16:27the new offer on the table.

0:16:27 > 0:16:30I don't think that Nicola Sturgeon is going to trigger a second

0:16:30 > 0:16:32referendum before she knows what the final agreement

0:16:32 > 0:16:34between Britain and the EU would be.

0:16:34 > 0:16:38Wouldn't that be sensible?

0:16:38 > 0:16:40Of course it would, but it is high stakes.

0:16:40 > 0:16:41It would be high stakes.

0:16:41 > 0:16:42Extremely high stakes.

0:16:42 > 0:16:45And it would be sensible, to go back to your analogy,

0:16:45 > 0:16:47there should be a buyer's cooling off period.

0:16:47 > 0:16:48It is frightening.

0:16:48 > 0:16:50Did you want to take out the extra warranty?

0:16:50 > 0:16:53Not at that price!

0:16:53 > 0:16:56No, alright.

0:16:56 > 0:17:00But in actual fact there will be people who don't realise

0:17:00 > 0:17:02what they voted for, which doesn't mean

0:17:02 > 0:17:04they are stupid or ignorant,

0:17:04 > 0:17:15it just means in the noise over the last few weeks of people

0:17:15 > 0:17:18shouting and counter claims and what has been a very badtempered

0:17:18 > 0:17:21campaign, it's amazing so many people turned out to vote.

0:17:21 > 0:17:23But they do often count on people not turning

0:17:23 > 0:17:27out, don't they?

0:17:27 > 0:17:31Now there needs to be a bit of time and reflection with precisely that,

0:17:31 > 0:17:34but does Europe want us to stay that badly?

0:17:34 > 0:17:36Do they want Jeremy Corbyn or Boris Johnson

0:17:36 > 0:17:40as Prime Minister?

0:17:40 > 0:17:45I think unless they come up with a 2-tiered system EU

0:17:45 > 0:17:48is destined to collapse as there is no appetite among

0:17:48 > 0:17:51the public of so many European countries to be part

0:17:51 > 0:17:52of a united Europe.

0:17:52 > 0:17:56Let's look at pages six and seven of the Mail.

0:17:56 > 0:17:59Will Boris Grab the Crown?

0:17:59 > 0:18:03It talks about who the runners and riders are, the people who may

0:18:03 > 0:18:05or may not want to throw their hat in the ring.

0:18:05 > 0:18:09David, how is this looked upon?

0:18:09 > 0:18:11We know the Conservatives in Westminster elections

0:18:11 > 0:18:16don't do well.

0:18:16 > 0:18:19Who is the money on up there for becoming the Labour leader?

0:18:19 > 0:18:21Because Jeremy Corbyn isn't necessarily looking

0:18:21 > 0:18:25particularly safe, is he?

0:18:25 > 0:18:28Well, yeah, but this again highlights the growing distance

0:18:28 > 0:18:32between Scotland and England.

0:18:32 > 0:18:36Ruth Davidson a few days ago was having a very effective pop

0:18:36 > 0:18:42at Boris Johnson at Wembley Stadium, so I think that is one to watch.

0:18:42 > 0:18:46Does she declare independence effectively from the UK Conservative

0:18:46 > 0:18:48Party, if Boris Johnson, who she clearly doesn't

0:18:48 > 0:18:54like, becomes leader?

0:18:54 > 0:18:56And also from Labour's perspective, Scottish Labour has already been

0:18:56 > 0:19:01making noises about becoming even more autonomous from the UK party.

0:19:01 > 0:19:04But from up here, it simply doesn't matter who becomes the next leader

0:19:04 > 0:19:08of the Conservative party, or the Labour Party.

0:19:08 > 0:19:10The direction of travel in Scotland seems absolutely clear and that's

0:19:10 > 0:19:13not, as some viewers would know, a partisan point on my part,

0:19:14 > 0:19:27it is just how it feels.

0:19:27 > 0:19:31The Daily Record, which we don't have here, a Labour supporting paper

0:19:31 > 0:19:33for decades, is backing a second referendum.

0:19:33 > 0:19:34Which we will come to!

0:19:34 > 0:19:37But it just doesn't matter who the next leader is.

0:19:37 > 0:19:38Does it matter, Toby?

0:19:38 > 0:19:40It might matter for the Scots if it was Michael Gove,

0:19:41 > 0:19:44because he is a Scot.

0:19:44 > 0:19:45Fantasy.

0:19:45 > 0:19:47Sorry.

0:19:47 > 0:19:49It is not fantasy that he is a Scot.

0:19:49 > 0:19:56No, it's a fantasy that it makes any difference.

0:19:56 > 0:20:03Interesting that Boris Johnson has been identified as the bookies'

0:20:03 > 0:20:08favourite.

0:20:08 > 0:20:15At one point you could have been 9:1 against Leave winning last night,

0:20:15 > 0:20:17shortly before the Newcastle declaration.

0:20:17 > 0:20:21But the Conservative party, and we talk about divisions,

0:20:21 > 0:20:23the Conservative party again ripped apart by Europe.

0:20:23 > 0:20:23Exactly.

0:20:23 > 0:20:26Let's rewind to three or four minutes ago when we were talking

0:20:26 > 0:20:29about the sensible option of having a second referendum

0:20:29 > 0:20:30on the sensible associated membership.

0:20:30 > 0:20:33You are then going to have the same anguish in the Conservative party

0:20:33 > 0:20:35about whether you would vote for that.

0:20:35 > 0:20:39I think actually whoever leaves the Conservative Party or whoever

0:20:39 > 0:20:43leads the Conservative Party to heal this hideous rift.

0:20:43 > 0:20:51-- leads.

0:20:51 > 0:20:53As promised, a want to talk quickly about the Disunited Kingdom.

0:20:53 > 0:20:55The Scottish version of The Daily Mail.

0:20:55 > 0:20:58Cameron quits.

0:20:58 > 0:20:59Second referendum battle.

0:20:59 > 0:21:04I mean, what is it necessary for us to do this today?

0:21:04 > 0:21:06We know that she would be thinking about it,

0:21:06 > 0:21:08was she under a lot of pressure to start talking

0:21:08 > 0:21:09about the second referendum?

0:21:09 > 0:21:11Yes, there is certainly pressure within the party.

0:21:11 > 0:21:16Some in the party are very impatient for a second referendum.

0:21:16 > 0:21:18Alex Salmond is clearly one of them.

0:21:18 > 0:21:21Sturgeon is seen as a more cautious figure, but this morning

0:21:21 > 0:21:25she went much further than certainly I expected and many other

0:21:25 > 0:21:28observers, although there were a lot of caveats.

0:21:28 > 0:21:31And it isn't going to happen soon.

0:21:31 > 0:21:40I think what she will do is take that timeframe, the formal

0:21:40 > 0:21:42notification of withdrawal wouldn't be made for some time.

0:21:42 > 0:21:47There's at least two years after that to play with.

0:21:47 > 0:21:50I think what the Sturgeon plan is, and this is just conjecture

0:21:50 > 0:21:53and I often get these things wrong, is that she will aim for another

0:21:53 > 0:21:58independence referendum shortly before the formal point

0:21:58 > 0:22:09of withdrawal with the UK and the timing will be such

0:22:09 > 0:22:11that it allows Scotland, if independence is sanctioned

0:22:11 > 0:22:12in that referendum, to remain a continuing

0:22:12 > 0:22:14member of the European Union.

0:22:14 > 0:22:17I have to emphasise the idea that any of that is straightforward

0:22:17 > 0:22:20or easy is not the case and indeed the First Minister made

0:22:20 > 0:22:21that point this morning.

0:22:21 > 0:22:24I think she will find it quite difficult to do that.

0:22:24 > 0:22:27For one reason, the Prime Minister announced today that she would be

0:22:27 > 0:22:28involved in the negotiation process.

0:22:28 > 0:22:30That makes it easier.

0:22:30 > 0:22:37She has a direct involvement in the process.

0:22:37 > 0:22:40But it makes it harder if she sanctions the final

0:22:40 > 0:22:43settlement, to then urge the Scottish people to reject it.

0:22:43 > 0:22:52Another reason she will find it difficult to call a second

0:22:52 > 0:22:55inde ref is if the choice was between the United Kingdom

0:22:55 > 0:22:59which has a new and better relationship with the EU,

0:22:59 > 0:23:01or Scotland becoming independent and joining the EU,

0:23:01 > 0:23:04it would be like a choice between being part of a democratic

0:23:04 > 0:23:06union and being part of an undemocratic union.

0:23:06 > 0:23:09A democratic union with a hereditary head of state.

0:23:09 > 0:23:14Let us quickly... Just a couple of minutes.

0:23:14 > 0:23:17This French newspaper, Good Luck, it says, with a picture of Boris

0:23:17 > 0:23:19hanging from a zip wire.

0:23:19 > 0:23:20It says...

0:23:20 > 0:23:21I can tell you.

0:23:21 > 0:23:22Stunned?

0:23:22 > 0:23:24Paralysed, actually.

0:23:24 > 0:23:27And many questions.

0:23:27 > 0:23:32Yes many questions in the EU,

0:23:32 > 0:23:36in the countries in the EU after victory, led by Boris Johnson.

0:23:36 > 0:23:44I mean, you could argue whether this is tongue in cheek.

0:23:44 > 0:23:51Good luck, a man on a zip wire, looking like a complete...

0:23:51 > 0:23:53Better Boris Johnson that Marine Le Pen,

0:23:53 > 0:23:55who is the frontrunner to win the election.

0:23:55 > 0:23:56Yes. They are cheering this.

0:23:56 > 0:23:58One comment from each of you.

0:23:58 > 0:23:59Somebody reading the news.

0:23:59 > 0:24:00Good evening.

0:24:00 > 0:24:03Aliens didn't land on Earth and Elvis wasn't found alive.

0:24:03 > 0:24:10But everything else happened.

0:24:10 > 0:24:12It has been monumentally surprising for so many

0:24:12 > 0:24:15people, hasn't it?

0:24:15 > 0:24:16Yeah and to clinch it all, Donald Trump

0:24:16 > 0:24:18was in Scotland today, he arrived this morning,

0:24:18 > 0:24:21seemingly unaware of the fact that different parts

0:24:21 > 0:24:22of the UK voted differently.

0:24:22 > 0:24:29We didn't have aliens or Elvis, but we had Donald Trump.

0:24:29 > 0:24:32I think it has been astonishing.

0:24:32 > 0:24:40I mean, it is nothing like a general election that

0:24:40 > 0:24:43all of us have covered. A staggering day.

0:24:43 > 0:24:48One of the peculiarities to add to the Trump thing

0:24:48 > 0:24:50is the sequel to Independence Day came out.

0:24:50 > 0:24:51That's it for The Papers.

0:24:51 > 0:24:53Thank you, Toby Young, Jo Philips and David Torrance.

0:24:53 > 0:24:55I know you are all rather tired.

0:24:55 > 0:24:58We appreciate you being here.

0:24:58 > 0:25:01Coming up next, it's the weather.

0:25:13 > 0:25:19Hello.

0:25:19 > 0:25:22It's a slightly fresher feel to the weather this weekend,

0:25:22 > 0:25:24as the high humidity moves away,

0:25:24 > 0:25:26which fuelled the thunderstorms over recent few days.