12/07/2016

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:00:17. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:20. > :00:22.With me are the Senior Political Correspondent

:00:23. > :00:24.for the Daily Telegraph, Kate McCann, and the

:00:25. > :00:25.Deputy Political Editor of the Sunday Times,

:00:26. > :00:37.Let's have a quick look at the front pages, starting with the daily

:00:38. > :00:39.Mirror. Jeremy Corbyn dominates many of the papers. The daily Mirror has

:00:40. > :00:45.him on the front page, smiling. He him on the front page, smiling. He

:00:46. > :00:49.describes a leadership battle as an uncivil war. The Metro also has him

:00:50. > :00:53.on the front page was he mentions how the rules have changed for those

:00:54. > :00:58.who want to take part in the ballot. The Financial Times leaves with the

:00:59. > :01:03.ruling about Chinese claims for large parts of the South China Sea.

:01:04. > :01:08.The Daily Mail looks forward to the likelihood that Theresa May will

:01:09. > :01:15.appoint female MPs to many of the Cabinet's top jobs. In the Times,

:01:16. > :01:19.news of the potential Labour split. In the Daily Telegraph, an interview

:01:20. > :01:23.with outgoing Prime Minister David Cameron. He says it has been a

:01:24. > :01:29.privilege to serve the country he loved. We are going to start with

:01:30. > :01:35.the Metro. James, carry on, Corbyn, it is the headline. They are talking

:01:36. > :01:41.about the rule change which will prevent tens of thousands of people

:01:42. > :01:45.voting for him. I think the Metro is speaking for part of the nation

:01:46. > :01:49.still bothering to follow the soap opera, or sitcom, that is the Labour

:01:50. > :01:55.Party at the moment. There has been a vote this evening amongst the

:01:56. > :01:59.party's ruling National executive committee. They have decided that

:02:00. > :02:05.Jeremy Corbyn will automatically go onto the ballot paper and will fight

:02:06. > :02:10.for his job. That is busy not what a lot of the moderates were hoping.

:02:11. > :02:14.They have whisked through one change, or tweak, to the rules at

:02:15. > :02:19.the end of the seven-hour meeting which has been going on. If you

:02:20. > :02:23.joined after January the 12th, you will not get to vote, unless you

:02:24. > :02:31.decide to become a registered supporter. The fee for wanting to

:02:32. > :02:37.vote has gone up to ?25. Is that to keep out those who are not on the

:02:38. > :02:45.left of the party, or is there another strategy behind it? I think

:02:46. > :02:54.that is the intention. What we saw last year, lots and lots of

:02:55. > :03:03.left-wing people signing up. They will have to pay ?25 if they want to

:03:04. > :03:12.take part this time around. Was it 125,000? 120 9000. They will not all

:03:13. > :03:19.pay ?25. There are mixed views about who this will benefit. Spending ?25

:03:20. > :03:24.to have a vote, there will not be a full member still. They will have to

:03:25. > :03:27.pay a membership fee. This is the ballot for the leadership. A lot of

:03:28. > :03:32.supporters of Jeremy Corbyn tended to be young people. You have to ask

:03:33. > :03:38.yourself whether they would be likely to spend ?25, as opposed to

:03:39. > :03:42.?3, to vote for him again this time. Some of them are well heeled older

:03:43. > :03:49.people. There is evidence of support for Jeremy Corbyn not coming from

:03:50. > :03:54.traditional Labour communities, working class communities. It is

:03:55. > :03:59.coming basically from working-class towns up and down the country. Those

:04:00. > :04:05.who are union members were allowed to vote as well. Last time around

:04:06. > :04:08.the unions could sign up for free, or at no cost to the individuals

:04:09. > :04:19.involved. We're not sure what the rules will say. You are an ex-daily

:04:20. > :04:25.Mirror reporter. As RU. As am I. I was struck by this headline. I did

:04:26. > :04:30.not think the daily Mirror would go with this headline, contemplating

:04:31. > :04:37.the fact that the Labour Party could be split. All joking aside, this is

:04:38. > :04:42.a sign of how grave crisis is that some compare it with what happened

:04:43. > :04:49.in the 80s. I think probably this is the biggest crisis to engulf the

:04:50. > :04:53.party in its history. The movable force, an unstoppable force have met

:04:54. > :05:02.an immovable object. Jeremy Corbyn and his allies are giving -- are not

:05:03. > :05:06.giving up but I cannot see the MPs going back to the front bench. We go

:05:07. > :05:10.through this process again and he wins, had been Jeremy Corbyn and his

:05:11. > :05:14.allies think MPs will come back and serve on the front bench and serve

:05:15. > :05:23.as shadow ministers. I do not think they will. One MP said, we will not

:05:24. > :05:26.march back behind the band. When you compare what has been going on in

:05:27. > :05:30.the Conservative ranks, it has been vicious on the Tory side but at

:05:31. > :05:35.least it was quick and vicious. There is one thing that people say

:05:36. > :05:41.about conservatives and it is not only in a positive light. They are

:05:42. > :05:45.intent to govern. The most important thing is to get on with the job.

:05:46. > :05:49.That is why we saw Andrea Leadsom stepped down for that very quickly

:05:50. > :05:53.the party has come together and stand around Theresa May, who will

:05:54. > :06:01.be Prime Minister tomorrow for study need to ask yourself what Labour is

:06:02. > :06:05.doing for the country at the moment. There are serious policy

:06:06. > :06:08.implications. The Government is largely going unchecked in the House

:06:09. > :06:12.of Commons that should be something the Labour Party, particularly at

:06:13. > :06:15.this point in time, whether you are about to see and an elected new

:06:16. > :06:21.promise to take control of the country, it should be something they

:06:22. > :06:28.are focusing on. -- an unelected new Prime Minister. A lot of the Labour

:06:29. > :06:32.MPs were waiting for the results from the NEC. They were reflecting

:06:33. > :06:36.on the fact the meeting today, comparing the seven hours it took

:06:37. > :06:40.compared with the time Andrea Leadsom folded and Theresa May was

:06:41. > :06:46.declared Prime Minister of Great Britain. We are regretting that is

:06:47. > :06:50.macro they do not seem to be able to arrange things in the same fashion.

:06:51. > :06:56.I was struck to like the people we have spoken to who talk on the

:06:57. > :07:04.Momentum sides about deselection. That takes a generation, as a party,

:07:05. > :07:07.to do that. I cannot remember the figures but there are very few

:07:08. > :07:12.deselection is in all of this was going on in the 80s. The point is it

:07:13. > :07:20.creates a climate of fear amongst the others. There are some MPs who

:07:21. > :07:23.frankly take their chances. You must ask yourself, Labour MPs are being

:07:24. > :07:27.intimidated publicly. They are seeing protests outside their

:07:28. > :07:32.offices. Bricks through windows and people are being intimidated in

:07:33. > :07:37.person and online. Only a matter of time that we see this. Pat Glass

:07:38. > :07:41.said she stepped down from her shadow front Branch role. It is only

:07:42. > :07:47.a matter of time before we see more Labour MPs, I think. -- front bench.

:07:48. > :07:54.We see people saying, actually, I am not up to this anymore. You think it

:07:55. > :07:59.would not be a fair contest with this intimidation? What I am saying

:08:00. > :08:05.is, being an MP is a very difficult job. Most people would agree. It is

:08:06. > :08:08.being made more difficult by this climates, and this atmosphere of

:08:09. > :08:13.fear, aggression and intimidation on all sides at the moment. Unless that

:08:14. > :08:20.changes, I cannot see many people becoming an MP. Jeremy Corbyn has

:08:21. > :08:27.said he has had death threats. Perhaps it is not a concern for him.

:08:28. > :08:31.On the right-hand side of the capital Times front page story in

:08:32. > :08:36.number of newspapers picked up on. Theresa May will look at some senior

:08:37. > :08:40.posts for women. She has a long history of trying to promote very

:08:41. > :08:44.good senior women in the Conservative Party. She has done a

:08:45. > :08:51.lot for women to win. She has been very good at taking women under her

:08:52. > :08:56.wing. One of the women she brought on was Andrea Leadsom. I would not

:08:57. > :09:02.be surprised if there were a job for her. We will gloss over that. That

:09:03. > :09:06.may be something that Teresa will focus on now. There are lots of

:09:07. > :09:12.women in the party who are very capable and competent. Who have you

:09:13. > :09:17.picked out? This story in the Times, Amber Road is being suggested is

:09:18. > :09:20.perhaps the new Chancellor. An interesting choice. The former

:09:21. > :09:24.investment banker. She has the background in finance. But she has

:09:25. > :09:29.only been an MP. Cheers, a relatively short amount of time to

:09:30. > :09:32.take on such a big job, often seen as the second biggest job in

:09:33. > :09:46.government. There are other MPs, Justine Greening. Amber Rudd was the

:09:47. > :09:54.pressing the case for Remain. He took the Bart Boris Johnson in the

:09:55. > :09:59.debate. -- he took apart. The other thing to say is, while these women

:10:00. > :10:09.are getting promoted, what about the competent men? Very true. The Daily

:10:10. > :10:14.Express will hold a feature on some of the things that the Leave

:10:15. > :10:19.campaigners wanted, freedom of movement. They think she will crack

:10:20. > :10:23.down on Mount. One of the most interesting outcomes of the fact

:10:24. > :10:27.Andrea Leadsom has stepped down is Theresa May has not been forced to

:10:28. > :10:33.reveal her hand, have bargaining hand, before she negotiates on

:10:34. > :10:37.Brexit. It means she has not had to set up her position on lots of

:10:38. > :10:41.issues. She already has got herself into trouble on what will happen to

:10:42. > :10:44.EU migrants living in this country. She has refused to guarantee they

:10:45. > :10:51.will be automatically allowed to stay here. That is part of a

:10:52. > :10:56.bargaining negotiation tactics. You are right that the Express and lots

:10:57. > :11:00.of Conservative members and MPs will want to hold Theresa May to account.

:11:01. > :11:05.She said Brexit means Brexit that no one knows what that means. Really

:11:06. > :11:10.that statement does not have a lot of clout. In the Daily Telegraph, as

:11:11. > :11:15.I leave today, I hope people will see a stronger country. David

:11:16. > :11:21.Cameron about to check out of Number 10. How will he go down? An

:11:22. > :11:25.interesting question. We kind of saw the first proper verdict of history

:11:26. > :11:31.on Tony Blair last week. There is a danger for David Cameron that he

:11:32. > :11:34.gets a very harsh verdict as well. When he came in, obviously, everyone

:11:35. > :11:39.was very concerned about the economy. They were worried about us

:11:40. > :11:43.losing our triple-A rating and not get the deficit under control.

:11:44. > :11:47.Critics will argue the deficit is not under control and we have just

:11:48. > :11:54.lost our triple-A rating. The jury is out. In terms of a stronger

:11:55. > :11:57.country, we have Scotland threatening to break away. There is

:11:58. > :12:01.probably a lot of truth in what you see in terms of what he has actually

:12:02. > :12:06.achieved. The difference between David Cameron and Tony Blair, David

:12:07. > :12:09.Cameron has the sympathy, largely, of the country. People do quite like

:12:10. > :12:13.him and they have seen him fall on his sword very quickly after the

:12:14. > :12:17.vote. People are quite surprised that Remain did not win and they are

:12:18. > :12:25.surprised by what has happened after that. People do not like big chains.

:12:26. > :12:29.They do not like it when everything is in freefall at once. He was still

:12:30. > :12:34.quite popular when he left, wasn't he? He was quite popular. I want a

:12:35. > :12:47.dog about this story on the front of the Daily Mail. -- I want to talk.

:12:48. > :12:52.The Tory -- Victoria Beckham is kissing her daughter on the lips.

:12:53. > :13:04.Why don't you tell us what this row is? This has come up before. It came

:13:05. > :13:10.up on the only way is Essex. People say it is weird. There has come up

:13:11. > :13:15.again today because the Tory Beckham has kissed her five-year-old. People

:13:16. > :13:18.are saying you should not kiss your kids on the lips because you will

:13:19. > :13:25.give them cold sores or it is not right. Maybe it is just me but I

:13:26. > :13:33.think that is normal. I kiss my parents on the lips. Even now. Even

:13:34. > :13:36.now. I kiss my daughters and sometimes it might be on the lips

:13:37. > :13:43.but probably by accident rather than design. You probably go for this

:13:44. > :13:48.area. Usually the back of the head as they ran away from me. I am not

:13:49. > :13:55.allowed anywhere near my daughter when she is at the school gates

:13:56. > :14:03.because that is to that is a bit too embarrassing.

:14:04. > :14:05.That is the papers. Nick Miller has the weather shortly.