20/07/2016

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:00:17. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:20. > :00:22.With me are Colleen Graffy, a former US State Department

:00:23. > :00:24.official and now law professor, and Jason Beattie,

:00:25. > :00:27.Let's have a look at tomorrow's front pages.

:00:28. > :00:40.TheFinancial Times leads with an HSBC trader charged

:00:41. > :00:47.The Guardian saying that the investigation into payment of

:00:48. > :00:47.workers at Sports Direct is being expanded.

:00:48. > :00:49.The Financial Times leads with an HSBC trader charged

:00:50. > :00:53.The Metro reports that scientists have found a way

:00:54. > :00:57.The Express says the Bank of England is claiming the British

:00:58. > :00:58.economy is "booming", after the vote to leave

:00:59. > :01:02.The Telegraph leads with the same story, along with German Chancellor

:01:03. > :01:05.Angela Merkel's warning that the UK should not hurry the Brexit process.

:01:06. > :01:08.The Times reports that Theresa May will delay the talks for leaving

:01:09. > :01:22.The male leads on the banker charged with fraud in New York reporting the

:01:23. > :01:26.amount involved is over two and a half billion pounds. That's begin.

:01:27. > :01:34.Let's kick off at the Financial Times. It has Angela Merkel and

:01:35. > :01:38.Theresa May at the first meeting between the two leaders, the two

:01:39. > :01:42.women. They made reference to that in the news conference. Some nice

:01:43. > :01:47.pictures of the both of them unsurprising they hadn't met for,

:01:48. > :01:53.they have a lot in common, they are both long married, both daughters of

:01:54. > :01:58.clergyman, I think Theresa May speaks some Germans which is

:01:59. > :02:04.wonderful and Theresa May gave Angela Merkel some guides for

:02:05. > :02:10.Snowdonia and the Lake District and they are both avid hikers. That is

:02:11. > :02:14.important that they have this compatibility and personal regard

:02:15. > :02:19.for one another. And that spills over into some of the negotiations

:02:20. > :02:23.which is that Angela Merkel has clearly said, take it slow, no rush,

:02:24. > :02:29.no need to rush which I think she probably is welcoming. This was

:02:30. > :02:35.characteristically like Angela Merkel, I've seen her do this

:02:36. > :02:38.before, she can be extraordinarily equivocal in everything she says,

:02:39. > :02:45.take your time, but... Don't leave that to long. From tomorrow, Theresa

:02:46. > :02:50.May goes to France to Francois Hollande, he will be slightly more

:02:51. > :02:56.direct and say we want you to get on with that, Angela Merkel does this,

:02:57. > :02:59.she played Cameron, trying to get the negotiations, showing him a

:03:00. > :03:02.little bit of space and just as he thought he got to the door she

:03:03. > :03:08.slammed it shut, she is a difficult customer, I don't think I should be

:03:09. > :03:15.to harden. But it was an important meeting because this was Theresa

:03:16. > :03:18.May's first trip abroad. For all new leaders, when we get the new

:03:19. > :03:23.President in November, the first foreign trip, it speaks volumes

:03:24. > :03:27.about their priorities on the international stage... It was a key

:03:28. > :03:34.meeting and also her first visit with an international... Do you

:03:35. > :03:40.think she looks statesman-like? Absolutely, great picture, thought

:03:41. > :03:42.she looked great, they are also very much down-to-earth, result

:03:43. > :03:47.orientated women and I think they will get along famously. The Times

:03:48. > :03:53.saying post Brexit, the Bank of England reporting no Brexit slump.

:03:54. > :04:02.Dismiss as usual, says the Times. It has a picture of the leaders in

:04:03. > :04:05.Berlin. It is notable that all the pro-Brexit papers have gone bigger

:04:06. > :04:09.than us, they will want to prove themselves right and prove the doom

:04:10. > :04:17.mongers wrong. Some people would say this is... Didn't the Times come out

:04:18. > :04:20.for a main, in the end? We were looking at the express and the

:04:21. > :04:26.Telegraph... This is partly how people thought it would layout, the

:04:27. > :04:29.pain does not start until we start looking at the negotiations in

:04:30. > :04:34.detail. We trigger article 50 and then we see what sort of trade deals

:04:35. > :04:39.we can get. If those trade deals are not satisfactory, anyway punitive to

:04:40. > :04:41.Britain or we end up being under World Trade Organisation rules venue

:04:42. > :04:51.was taught to see the damage to the economy, possibly. We were told the

:04:52. > :04:55.damage would be done immediately... The pound has rallied, the housing

:04:56. > :04:59.market more resilient than they feared, there is notice about

:05:00. > :05:06.unemployment fallen to 4.9%, the lowest in a decade. This is pretty

:05:07. > :05:09.impressive and for Hammond to go in with this in his back pocket is

:05:10. > :05:15.pretty good. What we need is for Liam Fox to come up with the trade

:05:16. > :05:19.deal and if they can get trade deals in the works as soon as possible,

:05:20. > :05:27.that would be very good but... The figure from the Treasury said we

:05:28. > :05:31.would be worse off by ?4300 every household by 2030, that's the

:05:32. > :05:38.important thing to remember. We have to wait to 2030! Quite a long way

:05:39. > :05:44.off but let's talk about the independent online. They have taken

:05:45. > :05:50.Theresa May... Cruel picture, come on! A lot of commentators said she

:05:51. > :05:55.sounded like Maggie Thatcher. Why would you go with a picture like

:05:56. > :06:02.that? A grotesque image of the ghost of Thatcher... Spitting blood. I

:06:03. > :06:05.think Theresa May did a good performance today, helped by quite a

:06:06. > :06:11.weak performance... Her first PMQs... There was this one moment

:06:12. > :06:16.when we watched it on screen and she leaned forward and her voice lowered

:06:17. > :06:21.and she said... Remind you of anybody? And the whole of us went...

:06:22. > :06:29.Thatcher! It was chilling, she is back. She has not been like Thatcher

:06:30. > :06:35.so far... Absolutely. I can see why the cartoonist would exaggerate it.

:06:36. > :06:38.Quite a clever front page, isn't it? Remind you of anybody and has

:06:39. > :06:42.something looking like... But that is just grotesque... They could have

:06:43. > :06:48.done it a little nicer, you know where they stand. Cartoonists aren't

:06:49. > :06:51.usually very nice. While we are on politics let's talk about the

:06:52. > :06:56.Guardian... The whole Labour Party fight for the leadership. Owen Smith

:06:57. > :07:01.and Jeremy Corbyn and the Guardian says nobody quite knows what

:07:02. > :07:04.activists all their actually think about Jeremy Corbyn, all of these

:07:05. > :07:10.reports that perhaps they have gone off on a little and the reports that

:07:11. > :07:15.they are cooling on him. Then they say party officers report he remains

:07:16. > :07:19.ahead and is likely to win which is stunning with the view that most

:07:20. > :07:26.people take of him, but I don't want to intrude on your private grief...

:07:27. > :07:31.But... If Corbyn wins again, this will be disaster for the Labour

:07:32. > :07:34.Party. But it doesn't look like people really understand or no Owen

:07:35. > :07:39.Smith, they haven't gotten enough about him... He has a bit of time to

:07:40. > :07:45.make his pitch, Jason? You could come through, could he conceivably

:07:46. > :07:50.be to Jeremy Corbyn? I think there's an outside chance but I wouldn't put

:07:51. > :07:53.it stronger than that. We talked a lot to Labour MPs about this and

:07:54. > :07:58.they said long-standing members, a lot of them who voted for Corbyn

:07:59. > :08:02.last year, they started to come back and they are turning their back on

:08:03. > :08:07.him, the problem they have is these new registered supporters... And

:08:08. > :08:13.there's been a surge in the last 48 hours. 180,000, staggering, they

:08:14. > :08:16.think the majority of those for Corbyn, there was a parallel

:08:17. > :08:23.campaign called saving labour, trying get the moderates to get them

:08:24. > :08:26.to sign up as well. But the power Corbyn house to motivate and

:08:27. > :08:30.mobilise his activists and has better use of social media suggests

:08:31. > :08:34.the majority are supporters. And then the problem is they then seem

:08:35. > :08:40.to be like sleepers, they sign up, they don't do much activism, much of

:08:41. > :08:46.doorknocking except they wake themselves up when they need to save

:08:47. > :08:49.Corbyn in the leadership contest. You have this appalling, very

:08:50. > :08:55.depressing division between the Parliamentary party and its elected

:08:56. > :08:59.base. Also, he did superbly with remaining Europe, even if some

:09:00. > :09:03.people tended to like Jeremy Corbyn, the fact that he really did not

:09:04. > :09:07.think to try and promote the remain and I think a lot of people hold him

:09:08. > :09:17.is possible for that. Do the party activists hold him the sponsor book?

:09:18. > :09:21.-- hold him responsible? Jason, do you think you'll win? At the moment,

:09:22. > :09:26.given the avalanche of numbers coming in I think he is the firm

:09:27. > :09:29.favourite. I think Owen Smith is charismatic, a very genial guy, on

:09:30. > :09:35.the left of the party, but I think his supporters say it will be tough.

:09:36. > :09:40.I will put you on the spot and dusky by Donald Trump, will he win the

:09:41. > :09:44.White House? The New York Times has a picture of his children as the

:09:45. > :09:52.Republican nomination. I would like to adopt the comment of Kissinger

:09:53. > :09:59.that he made about the Iran Iraq war both can't lose. That is the way I

:10:00. > :10:03.would look at it. Donald Trump... It is like Corbyn, he has captured the

:10:04. > :10:06.Republican channel but many Republicans don't feel he is a

:10:07. > :10:12.Republican or Conservative. But, the people have spoken and it looks like

:10:13. > :10:16.he will be the nominee. Has he got a chance of beating Hillary Clinton?

:10:17. > :10:19.He has a chance of winning but the international New York Times

:10:20. > :10:24.coverage talks about the support from black Republicans and blacks

:10:25. > :10:31.where we look at last time, President Obama had 95% of the black

:10:32. > :10:35.vote, Mitt Romney had 5%, Donald Trump is pulling at 0%, similarly

:10:36. > :10:42.with Hispanics and women, the demographics don't allow someone to

:10:43. > :10:47.be elected President with just one demographic group so how he's going

:10:48. > :10:50.to win with those polling numbers, things could change, he has been is

:10:51. > :10:57.a prize candidate but... It is going to be tough. OK, Jason, the same

:10:58. > :11:00.paper has a story about Turkey and of course that extraordinary

:11:01. > :11:05.aftermath to the failed coup attempt in Turkey which is this huge

:11:06. > :11:12.crackdown, this purge by President Erdogan. In the last couple of hours

:11:13. > :11:15.he declared a state of emergency and he has come purge his state of

:11:16. > :11:19.emergency to the one Francois Hollande implemented in France after

:11:20. > :11:25.the Bataclan attacks, I think it will be different, this will be more

:11:26. > :11:34.trick only on. And it is because of the strategic importance of Turkey.

:11:35. > :11:38.-- it will be more trick only on. The West is the ball work in the

:11:39. > :11:49.edge of the Middle East, it's so important. And suddenly, the New

:11:50. > :11:56.York Times story he once the... Extradited. At what point does

:11:57. > :12:00.Turkey become not a democracy any more, when you have this huge purge

:12:01. > :12:05.and people being kicked out of their jobs? Tens of thousands? It's been

:12:06. > :12:11.frustrating for the United States because we want a strong, robust

:12:12. > :12:14.accreditation in Turkey, they are an important ally in an important place

:12:15. > :12:20.but Turkey keeps asking for the extradition of this cleric but they

:12:21. > :12:25.have not handed over evidence and there is concern, initially, he was

:12:26. > :12:28.a good body of Erdogan and they were both very pro-democratic, interfaith

:12:29. > :12:32.dialogue on these important things but what has happened is that there

:12:33. > :12:37.is a view that there has been some... When Cameron said during the

:12:38. > :12:41.EU referendum campaign that turkey's members above the EU wouldn't happen

:12:42. > :12:48.I think he's been proved right. Just if you seconds to talk about the

:12:49. > :12:52.Sun, really important news, Sam Allardyce... A terrible pun on the

:12:53. > :12:58.front page. They think it's all over... I don't want to knock a

:12:59. > :13:03.rival to much but the Sun is usually pretty good at these headlines, it

:13:04. > :13:07.may have let itself down, whether England has let itself down by

:13:08. > :13:13.appointing big Sam, I am it. Is he the man? Never won a major trophy,

:13:14. > :13:17.the highlight he got Notts County promoted, he has done quite well,

:13:18. > :13:24.saving Sunderland last season. But it's a big step up. Is he the man to

:13:25. > :13:30.win England World Cup? Well... He's not as cute as Jose Mourinho, I just

:13:31. > :13:34.want to make that point. At least he is from this country so that's a

:13:35. > :13:40.start. A step in the right direction, not that it matters, but

:13:41. > :13:44.that is a change. Not as cute as Jose Mourinho row! OK... LAUGHTER

:13:45. > :13:46.thank you both very much. The weather is coming up and then the

:13:47. > :14:03.headlines. Good evening. Thankfully things

:14:04. > :14:06.quieting down for the second part of the evening, frequent thunderstorms

:14:07. > :14:07.across Scotland and then England earlier, some