03/08/2016

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:00:19. > :00:25.Welcome to our look ahead to the papers.

:00:26. > :00:32.Let's have a look at some of the front pages. Financial Times leads

:00:33. > :00:36.with a survey that suggests is the Brexit vote business activity has

:00:37. > :00:40.experienced its sharpest drop in at least 20 years. The Telegraph says a

:00:41. > :00:44.human rights solicitor is facing a criminal enquiry after pursuing

:00:45. > :00:49.abuse cases against British soldiers who served in Iraq. On the front of

:00:50. > :00:53.the Metro, a story of a woman who survived a life-threatening Schumer

:00:54. > :00:58.and in the same week a won ?61 million on the lottery with her

:00:59. > :01:02.family -- life-threatening tumor. The claim that Staton 's fuel the

:01:03. > :01:06.rise in the number of people developing diabetes. The Guardian

:01:07. > :01:10.leads on claims from readily -- Labour leadership contender Owen

:01:11. > :01:13.Smith that the party could bust apart and disappear if Jeremy Corbyn

:01:14. > :01:15.remains as the leader. The announcement armed police will be

:01:16. > :01:21.deployed on foot patrols across London for the first time is the

:01:22. > :01:27.main story in the Times. More on David Cameron's lead to resignation

:01:28. > :01:31.honours list after a Tory donor rules himself out of consideration.

:01:32. > :01:36.Plunging out but piles pressure on Bank of England to head off

:01:37. > :01:41.recession, everyone is expecting a rate cut tomorrow. Yes.

:01:42. > :01:47.Everyone is also expecting it to have quite a significant effect.

:01:48. > :01:52.This is a headline that doesn't pull its punches, the pressure is now on

:01:53. > :01:57.for the Bank of England and its governor, Mark Carney, to head off a

:01:58. > :02:00.recession. The problem is, we have had historically low rates of

:02:01. > :02:06.interest rates for seven years. His hands are tied. Probably he will

:02:07. > :02:11.announce quite a small cut. Because, they are already so low, will have

:02:12. > :02:15.quite a small effect. And yet everybody is now looking at the man

:02:16. > :02:20.who, two months ago, warned a Brexit vote could take us into recession,

:02:21. > :02:24.to try to get us out of it. Turning, part of the problem is, interest

:02:25. > :02:29.rates are so low, people are talking about getting too negative interest

:02:30. > :02:32.rates -- Tony. If the economy is not stimulated enough through monetary

:02:33. > :02:37.policy measures. Maybe the pressure is going to be on fiscal policy, tax

:02:38. > :02:43.cuts, great investment, maybe that is where we will have to head. That

:02:44. > :02:47.makes sense. The reality is since the credit crunch in 2008, they have

:02:48. > :02:51.been fighting off a recession all the time and keeping interest rates

:02:52. > :02:57.low. It is time for investment to pump some money into the economy. To

:02:58. > :03:00.try to build some confidence. Unfortunately with the Brexit thing,

:03:01. > :03:07.people are still nervous. I don't think Brexit will happen. Really?

:03:08. > :03:13.They will back away from it. Every indication is... Brexit means

:03:14. > :03:17.Brexit. She might find there is no definition of Brexit if she looks in

:03:18. > :03:20.the dictionary. Let's go to the Telegraph.

:03:21. > :03:27.Dramatic picture on the front page, armed and ready, the new face of

:03:28. > :03:30.Britain's anti-terror police. This is the first lot of 600 armed to the

:03:31. > :03:39.teeth police marksmen, Tony. This all stemming from what has been

:03:40. > :03:44.going on across Europe in the last couple of weeks. We live in a

:03:45. > :03:47.climate of fear where people now think it is acceptable but police

:03:48. > :03:52.armed to the teeth walk the streets. I'm not so sure it is a good thing.

:03:53. > :03:56.We should be looking to get guns off the streets. I am reading the story,

:03:57. > :04:01.the Times gives more detail, some of the things they are talking about,

:04:02. > :04:08.armoured BMW motorbikes that can get to the scene of the action. It

:04:09. > :04:15.sounds a bit like Robocop Bond, to me. I am not so sure it will enhance

:04:16. > :04:19.our safety. It will encourage the nightmares, the climate of fear.?

:04:20. > :04:26.You think it will have the opposite effect of reassuring the public?

:04:27. > :04:31.People will be scared. The reality is, because this is an island

:04:32. > :04:34.nation, despite what people think about immigration, because of the

:04:35. > :04:38.way we are set up at the board of control, there is less opportunity

:04:39. > :04:44.for outrages we have seen in Belgium and France to happen in Britain. We

:04:45. > :04:48.all feel under threat, now. We will feel even more under threat. I don't

:04:49. > :04:52.feel reassured by senior policeman with a gun on the street. If you

:04:53. > :04:57.look to France, Kate, they have been under a state of emergency for

:04:58. > :05:02.almost a year. The police are routinely armed. They have different

:05:03. > :05:05.levels of armed capability as far as different forces are concerned in

:05:06. > :05:08.France. The police are routinely armed in Germany yet this is where

:05:09. > :05:12.the terror attacks have been taking place. The police are also routinely

:05:13. > :05:17.armed in Northern Ireland where I grew up and I have to say I agree

:05:18. > :05:22.with Tony. It didn't do much to reassure people. I think what it

:05:23. > :05:27.did, it was a constant reminder of the terrorism we were facing. The

:05:28. > :05:31.express is very interesting with its headline, describes these cops as

:05:32. > :05:36.protecting us from terror. That's the problem. Terror is a feeling.

:05:37. > :05:42.This is absolutely what the terrorists want to do. They don't

:05:43. > :05:46.just to take our lives. They want to take our life, quality of life, they

:05:47. > :05:51.want to change how we live our lives. I am very sympathetic to what

:05:52. > :05:55.the police are trying to do. I think they trying to do two things, one of

:05:56. > :06:01.which is ace show of strength, to the terrorists. On that, they might

:06:02. > :06:03.be successful -- a show strength. But for the public to be reassured

:06:04. > :06:10.by this, that is mistaken. The key to a successful

:06:11. > :06:16.anti-terrorist campaign is intelligence. I think that is what

:06:17. > :06:20.we have in this country we had of parts of Europe. There is much more

:06:21. > :06:24.of a working relationship between the police, those in law enforcement

:06:25. > :06:31.and the public here. Certainly weigh more than in France or Belgium. In

:06:32. > :06:34.intelligence is important. -- certainly weigh more. Look at the

:06:35. > :06:40.root of why the potential terrorists come for. In Northern Ireland, the

:06:41. > :06:43.Catholic population at the lowest crime rates in Britain, before the

:06:44. > :06:49.troubles. They became the most politicised. In fact share's terms,

:06:50. > :06:55.criminalised community. They did not see it that way -- in Margaret

:06:56. > :06:58.Thatcher's terms. You need to stop the dissatisfaction, the alienation.

:06:59. > :07:04.You do that through education and investment. The people that were

:07:05. > :07:08.most at danger in this community is radicalised Britain's. We need to

:07:09. > :07:16.stop that, that is the most important thing -- Britain's

:07:17. > :07:21.population. Guardian, Labour on edge of a split that would finish the

:07:22. > :07:26.party says Owen Smith. Is this just rhetoric? "Vote For me and the party

:07:27. > :07:31.would split" or does he genuinely think this might happen? A

:07:32. > :07:35.combination of the two. An awful lot of Labour MPs now fear that the way

:07:36. > :07:40.they put it is that Labour doesn't have the God-given right to exist.

:07:41. > :07:45.They have seen what happened to the Democrats in the south of America.

:07:46. > :07:52.Only a couple of decades ago. They realise that you can lose millions

:07:53. > :07:57.of voters. They are very worried about this. At the same time, one of

:07:58. > :08:02.the rows within the leadership is about who is causing the split. Both

:08:03. > :08:06.sides are accusing each other. That cannot be denied that that is part

:08:07. > :08:13.of what is happening. Owen Smith is presenting himself as the unity

:08:14. > :08:17.candidate. He is the saviour. He will save the party. They reckon

:08:18. > :08:20.Hillary Clinton could win Texas, this year. LAUGHTER

:08:21. > :08:25.So, the Democrats will come back in the south. It starts in one state.

:08:26. > :08:29.It starts in one state and let's see how far it goes.

:08:30. > :08:38.Tony, it will be difficult for 170 odd MPs, Labour frontbenchers, who

:08:39. > :08:41.walked away from Mr Corbyn. If he wins, and it looks like he will

:08:42. > :08:49.probably win, it will be difficult for them to go back to the benches,

:08:50. > :08:53.isn't it? This party is in disarray, it is in meltdown. Corbyn appeals to

:08:54. > :08:56.the rank and file but he is not a leader. You can admire his

:08:57. > :09:02.convictions, you can admire his political views. But the Labour

:09:03. > :09:06.Party needs someone to grab them and say, OK, on the morning of the

:09:07. > :09:12.Brexit referendum, this is our best opportunity since the Tony Blair

:09:13. > :09:15.era. He says he did that. He didn't, he should have called a general

:09:16. > :09:18.election that morning, he should have made sure every one of those

:09:19. > :09:22.Labour MPs the night before were behind him, were going to stand and

:09:23. > :09:26.say the same thing, to say that they would need a general election and we

:09:27. > :09:31.needed now. The problem is Corbyn is not a leader. The worst problem is,

:09:32. > :09:36.I don't see a single Labour MP that is a leader. I wouldn't trust any of

:09:37. > :09:42.them. Is that the problem. We saw the line-up running against Jeremy

:09:43. > :09:45.Corbyn the time of the leadership campaign ten, 11 months ago and they

:09:46. > :09:50.didn't get a look in, did they? No, they didn't. There was a feeling

:09:51. > :10:01.among a lot of Labour voters that they were very... Dispassionate. No

:10:02. > :10:05.fire in their belly. And Jeremy Corbyn have that and he has

:10:06. > :10:09.galvanised tens of thousands of young people to join the party. But

:10:10. > :10:14.the problem is, you can follow a leader and be behind him and throw

:10:15. > :10:17.everything into him. If it is a bad leader, he will take you down a bad

:10:18. > :10:22.alley. I am sympathetic for Jeremy Corbyn, more than most, I am a

:10:23. > :10:27.traditional Labour heartland voter. Liverpool. I look at it and say,

:10:28. > :10:31.this is a party that is devoid of leadership it is untrue. People have

:10:32. > :10:36.rejected Jeremy Corbyn, their image of what a Labour leader image should

:10:37. > :10:44.be -- they have projected their image. Unfortunately he is not bad

:10:45. > :10:48.leader. The Guardian, Mr Murray. He has cheered us up over the last few

:10:49. > :10:53.weeks in this pretty wet and soggy summer and the horrible stuff as far

:10:54. > :10:56.as terror attacks are concerned. He will carry the flag for Great

:10:57. > :10:59.Britain during the Olympic opening ceremony.

:11:00. > :11:08.Four years ago, he has talked about Scottish independence, he was in

:11:09. > :11:12.favour of Scottish independence. At the next Olympics, would he be...

:11:13. > :11:17.Carrying the flag for Scotland? Which flag would he carry? That is

:11:18. > :11:21.not going to be happening in four years' time? I am not making any

:11:22. > :11:26.bets about that whatsoever. This is a great choice. Since then, Andy

:11:27. > :11:31.Murray has worked very hard on the Davis Cup team for Great Britain.

:11:32. > :11:37.That's true. Probably what he shows is maybe that kind of line from Walt

:11:38. > :11:42.Whitman, he is large, he contains multitudes. Not just one thing at

:11:43. > :11:46.any time. Especially given his Wimbledon win, he is a very good

:11:47. > :11:49.choice. One of the greatest British sports men ever. People don't warm

:11:50. > :11:54.to him and I don't understand why. I don't understand it either. They are

:11:55. > :11:58.getting warmer to him, don't you think? As time passes and he has

:11:59. > :12:03.chilled out, comes across as a little less surly, we have taken him

:12:04. > :12:09.to our hearts, haven't we? We have had to. He has pick so many. He is

:12:10. > :12:13.wonderful. Maybe he has a bit of... What appeals about Jeremy Corbyn. --

:12:14. > :12:18.he has won so many things. And Donald Trump. There is now a move

:12:19. > :12:24.towards authenticity. Andy Murray has never pretended as well. That is

:12:25. > :12:28.very true. Talking about the Olympics, the Games' legacy on the

:12:29. > :12:30.front page of the Guardian, odd suburb but nice park, the legacy for

:12:31. > :12:40.London. As always, the problem is hyping up.

:12:41. > :12:43.We were promised quite a lot. In order to build the political

:12:44. > :12:48.consensus, to spend quite so much money. As you remember. Billions.

:12:49. > :12:51.And then it was a more billions because it went over budget.

:12:52. > :12:55.You could argue with hindsight this is what politicians always have to

:12:56. > :13:03.do to get these big things through. The legacy questions are pretty

:13:04. > :13:05.serious. That will hang in the air for a long time. Same with the

:13:06. > :13:18.Telegraph. Mr Trump. The suggestion, Tony, that

:13:19. > :13:24.he might want to, possibly, if he ever became the leader of the United

:13:25. > :13:28.States, use nuclear weapons. He asked three times, why can't we use

:13:29. > :13:34.them? I think a little physics lesson might help. LAUGHTER

:13:35. > :13:41.What you mean, mass casualties? It will affect global weather, that

:13:42. > :13:45.sort of thing. He is very much... He is a can-do kind of guy. We got

:13:46. > :13:52.these were pinned in the locker... Come on, why not?! -- these kind of

:13:53. > :13:56.weapons. You hope Americans vote for him because certainly in the last

:13:57. > :14:02.few days, he has had a bad few days. It is beyond parody. If you made a

:14:03. > :14:06.film about this campaign, people will say that is ridiculous. I am

:14:07. > :14:11.sure someone will. That is the thing, isn't it? There are a lot of

:14:12. > :14:14.people, now, in the United States... Even the Republican party, they

:14:15. > :14:18.think he might even drop out. That is the suggestion. On the flip side,

:14:19. > :14:23.in the past couple of weeks, there have been a an awful lot of people

:14:24. > :14:30.in America saying, yes, well, that he won't be able to... -- there have

:14:31. > :14:35.been an awful lot. He will be curtailed by... Officials. Someone

:14:36. > :14:40.will stop him. He will be the president but you don't get to just

:14:41. > :14:46.run around and do all these things. There are officials. There is the

:14:47. > :14:51.Senate, there is Congress. Every time he opens his mouth, he suggests

:14:52. > :14:53.that argument. The brief going into the convention was that they had to

:14:54. > :15:01.act more presidential. He passed the period where he could

:15:02. > :15:03.be the wild outsider. He has to act presidential. "Why Can't we bomb

:15:04. > :15:14.everyone?" Interesting question. Brexit. It can help us transform our

:15:15. > :15:18.countryside, Kate. A fabulous story on the front of the Telegraph. A

:15:19. > :15:24.suggestion from the head of the National Trust that it the UK's

:15:25. > :15:28.farmers, who are a little bit nervous at the moment in the wake of

:15:29. > :15:34.the Brexit vote about what exactly will happen to their EU subsidies

:15:35. > :15:41.should do less food production and open up the countryside to more wild

:15:42. > :15:46.flowers, bees and butterflies. I just cannot see that going down

:15:47. > :15:50.particularly well. Not really. We will ruin the economy but get the

:15:51. > :15:53.English meadow back. It works for me. The head of the National Trust

:15:54. > :15:55.has been talking to Andrea Leadsom about this, stay tuned for your

:15:56. > :16:05.daisies and wild flowers. Don't forget, the front pages are

:16:06. > :16:11.online on BBC News, the website where you can read a detailed review

:16:12. > :16:16.of the papers. It is there, seven days per week. You can see us there

:16:17. > :16:20.with each night's edition being posted on the page shortly after we

:16:21. > :16:23.finish. Goodbye.