05/09/2016

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:00:17. > :00:20.to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

:00:21. > :00:22.With me are Martin Bentham, Home Affairs Editor

:00:23. > :00:24.of the London Evening Standard and Susie Boniface,

:00:25. > :00:31.The Financial Times leads with upbeat economic figures,

:00:32. > :00:37.which the government says mean Britain can negotiate Brexit

:00:38. > :00:43.The Metro's front page is dedicated to the scandal-hit

:00:44. > :00:51.The Daily Telegraph goes with the news that the first wave

:00:52. > :00:53.The Guardian brings us the news that prosecutions for violence

:00:54. > :00:55.towards women and girls has reached record high levels.

:00:56. > :00:58.The Daily Telegraph goes with the news that the first wave

:00:59. > :01:00.of doctors' strike has been called off.

:01:01. > :01:02.The Daily Express leads with Brexit, and a warning from the former

:01:03. > :01:05.UKIP leader Nigel Farage that he will hold the government

:01:06. > :01:13.to account if it tries to row back on the commitment to leave the EU.

:01:14. > :01:21.The Times front-page features the actress Renee Zellweger at the

:01:22. > :01:25.premiere of the latest bridges -- Bridget Jones film.

:01:26. > :01:31.Let us start with David Telegraph and the top line of David Davis, the

:01:32. > :01:36.Minister for Brexit, writing off the UK 's future the single market. He

:01:37. > :01:42.says it is very improbable that the UK will remain a member of the

:01:43. > :01:46.single market. Susie, thoughts? It is very probable he will get a

:01:47. > :01:49.spanking from Theresa May when she gets back because she has been very

:01:50. > :01:53.careful not to say whether in or out of the single market. She is leading

:01:54. > :01:57.a country into negotiations break said she doesn't want all of her

:01:58. > :02:01.cards on the table but she has one of her ministers say to stuff the

:02:02. > :02:04.single market and throw it out the window. It is not only helpful and I

:02:05. > :02:08.think he would get a telling off. We have had a whole day or Brexit

:02:09. > :02:14.broadcasting and I am sure you have been glued to the TV. Martin, we had

:02:15. > :02:18.Theresa May earlier today saying that the points-based immigration

:02:19. > :02:26.system may not be introduced. How does that fit with what David Davis

:02:27. > :02:30.appears to be saying here? I think it does sit with it because she is

:02:31. > :02:33.talking about controlling immigration in some shape or form

:02:34. > :02:38.and what David Davis is saying is that as the European Union various

:02:39. > :02:42.leaders have made clear, we can't have the single market and no free

:02:43. > :02:46.movement, they are not prepared to trade on that, so David Davis is

:02:47. > :02:50.saying that we need to have some control over immigration policy so

:02:51. > :02:52.we are unlikely to be able to restrict free movement while

:02:53. > :02:58.retaining access to the single market in the way we have now.

:02:59. > :03:02.Theresa May is talking about the mechanism with which to control

:03:03. > :03:05.immigration and she says with a points-based system you don't get

:03:06. > :03:08.control over the numbers that you have people who qualify so you would

:03:09. > :03:14.have something akin to what we already have, which is a Visa system

:03:15. > :03:17.for shortage occupations unskilled labour so that is where this all

:03:18. > :03:20.fits. I don't think you would get into too much trouble because your

:03:21. > :03:28.spelling out the logic of the position. The government... There is

:03:29. > :03:32.no logic to the position! The panellist has made it clear her

:03:33. > :03:35.priority is to deliver our control over immigration said the logic of

:03:36. > :03:41.that is that you will be unlikely to have access to parts of Europe under

:03:42. > :03:45.trade agreements and there will be a specific and as yet undefined

:03:46. > :03:48.steel... You are Theresa May and you are running the country, you want

:03:49. > :03:51.people to not say anything too stupid at the moment because we're

:03:52. > :03:57.only a couple of months in and you need to maintain some kind of

:03:58. > :04:00.access, whatever that is, to millions of customers, 500 million

:04:01. > :04:03.people that all of our businesses want to trade with and we want them

:04:04. > :04:07.to trade with us so she needs things to be open as possible but Davis is

:04:08. > :04:13.shutting something down already, so I think he will be in some serious

:04:14. > :04:18.trouble. Martin, he is not stupid? I don't think you're stupid, I think

:04:19. > :04:21.everything is very unclear at the moment, quite clearly! At the moment

:04:22. > :04:24.there will be a trade-off between free movement or a restriction on

:04:25. > :04:29.free movement and access to the single market as it exists now but

:04:30. > :04:33.it does not mean to say we can't specify deals on financial services

:04:34. > :04:39.and so on which allow free access potentially or some kind of deal.

:04:40. > :04:44.There is another Brexit related story in the Financial Times, the

:04:45. > :04:47.front page, which is also David Davis hailing the robust state of

:04:48. > :04:52.the economy after the Brexit vote and we had a series of bits of data

:04:53. > :04:57.in the last two months or so which have shown are going up and down,

:04:58. > :05:00.and this month it is up. It has been contradictory, but whatever you say

:05:01. > :05:06.about Brexit, leave or remain, whether you think we have not had

:05:07. > :05:09.world for three so everything they have said is wrong or you think that

:05:10. > :05:13.there wasn't a crash so everything is OK, the issue on all of it is

:05:14. > :05:16.yet. We haven't had any of these things yet. The things we were

:05:17. > :05:20.promised or threatened haven't happened yet, it is only been two

:05:21. > :05:25.months you can't judge the robustness of an economy eight

:05:26. > :05:28.weeks. You have to look back over 50 years' time and look back and see

:05:29. > :05:34.whether we did better or worse whether we could the other way. I

:05:35. > :05:38.agree with you on that but actually what is true is that George Osborne

:05:39. > :05:41.was saying there had to be an emergency budget within a week of

:05:42. > :05:44.the vote and that some people were saying that the whole thing was

:05:45. > :05:49.going to be an absolute catastrophe from day one and you would already

:05:50. > :05:53.see investment decline in so one and it is quite true that on the figures

:05:54. > :05:56.since the vote, they have been relatively positive and consumer

:05:57. > :06:00.confidence and spending has been pretty good after the initial dip,

:06:01. > :06:03.but as you quite rightly say, it is a short-term thing we need to see

:06:04. > :06:08.what the longer term effects are, but the worst warnings have not been

:06:09. > :06:14.realised. Nor have the best ones, the best promises haven't manifested

:06:15. > :06:24.yet. Well, they can't because the best ones can't. Nothing can happen

:06:25. > :06:31.until we leave the EU. Some people were saying it was going to be a

:06:32. > :06:35.very big short-term hit in the first place, never mind the longer term

:06:36. > :06:40.affect so I think that aspect of it hasn't happened and that is what

:06:41. > :06:44.this story is talking about. Clearly where the economy goes in the medium

:06:45. > :06:49.and the longer term is a different issue and it is all to play for,

:06:50. > :06:53.quite clearly. Theresa May herself has said in China that they could be

:06:54. > :06:56.difficult times ahead in the economy. Some of that is nothing to

:06:57. > :06:59.do with Brexit, some of it is factors that were existing before

:07:00. > :07:04.this which are doubts about China and a hole in the budget from George

:07:05. > :07:07.Osborne 's last budget, the financial hole they're needed

:07:08. > :07:30.plugging and was unplugged, so there were certain things

:07:31. > :07:33.that were already problematic about the economy, strong though it

:07:34. > :07:36.appeared to be on the surface, that can still come back and hit off

:07:37. > :07:38.anyway, never mind the impact of Brexit. Brexit makes things more

:07:39. > :07:41.complex. There is an extra degree of complexity on top of everything and

:07:42. > :07:44.one of the things that has happened today, which is not in the paper

:07:45. > :07:46.today, but in David Davis 's speech, he was asked about financial

:07:47. > :07:48.passports, the business of London financial services trading with the

:07:49. > :07:50.EU. His answer was no detail at all. It is ridiculously complicated and

:07:51. > :07:52.he actually said it was straightforward but very complex,

:07:53. > :07:55.which I think tells you everything you need to know about how Brexit

:07:56. > :07:58.and David Davis works. We will park that and return to which week upon

:07:59. > :08:02.week upon week. We will look at the Guardian which has a headline about

:08:03. > :08:06.violent crimes against women hitting a record high. They have an

:08:07. > :08:11.interview with the direct republic because -- prosecutions and looking

:08:12. > :08:15.at the role of social media. When you see that headline and the strap

:08:16. > :08:21.underneath, that bit about social media being used to humiliate, the

:08:22. > :08:23.immediate assumption would be this is people on Twitter complaining

:08:24. > :08:28.about people being mean to them but when you drill down into the story

:08:29. > :08:33.there have been, for example, nearly 13,000 cases of stalking and

:08:34. > :08:38.harassment in 2015 and 16 and 70% of those involved cases of domestic

:08:39. > :08:43.abuse. This is not like some of us all get on social media all the with

:08:44. > :08:47.someone sending a tweet saying they don't like your face or you are a

:08:48. > :08:52.silly cow. This is people who know the person in question and are

:08:53. > :08:55.setting up fake profiles and posting revenge porn being prosecuted for it

:08:56. > :08:59.and harassing and stalking their exes and partners and mothers of

:09:00. > :09:02.their children and this is a new means of doing it and it is making

:09:03. > :09:06.it worse than the figures are going up. Interestingly there are a lot of

:09:07. > :09:11.guilty pleas because they are banks to write some when they get caught

:09:12. > :09:15.out, if anyone at home is thinking of posting revenge porn, it is on

:09:16. > :09:18.your phone or computable and traceable to your address, you can't

:09:19. > :09:22.wriggle out of it, you definitely did it. On the one hand it is

:09:23. > :09:25.terrible that there is a massive increase in these cases of violence

:09:26. > :09:30.and harassment but on the other hand it is great that we can catch people

:09:31. > :09:35.when they are done it. The positive news about this and we ran a front

:09:36. > :09:45.page on our -- ran a story on our front page today about the rapes and

:09:46. > :09:52.murders in violent crimes related to domestic abuse, but the good thing

:09:53. > :09:55.about it is that the figures are horrendous, obviously, but more

:09:56. > :09:58.people are coming forward, which is why to an extent there are more

:09:59. > :10:02.cases coming to court because more people at the competence to come

:10:03. > :10:05.forward and police and prosecutors don't get it right every single time

:10:06. > :10:09.by any means but on the other hand they do take it a lot more seriously

:10:10. > :10:12.and they are more effective at delivering results in these cases

:10:13. > :10:15.than they perhaps once were and they are also responding, as you say

:10:16. > :10:21.here, to some of the evolving techniques that people using social

:10:22. > :10:24.media and so on to harass people. For example, when people have

:10:25. > :10:28.historically was stalking, it would be someone following someone on the

:10:29. > :10:33.street, their ex-boyfriend following their former girlfriend, but now you

:10:34. > :10:38.take that straight into their own by continuing on social media and there

:10:39. > :10:42.is no sanctuary from it. Someone can leave an abusive partner, and it can

:10:43. > :10:46.be men as well as women, they can leave a partner and perhaps even

:10:47. > :10:49.managed to get a bed in one of the increasingly scarce refuges that are

:10:50. > :10:53.available to them, thank you to the coalition for getting rid of them,

:10:54. > :10:56.and once they are there, even though they aren't in physical contact with

:10:57. > :11:00.the person who abuse them, they still have them in the life and they

:11:01. > :11:08.can't escape them because they set up fake profiles and send tweets on

:11:09. > :11:10.Facebook their friends. It is a modern problem, the pervasiveness of

:11:11. > :11:13.social media that they can reach into your private sphere. Let us

:11:14. > :11:16.move into a story that the Guardian and the Telegraph have about the

:11:17. > :11:20.doctor striping called off next week. A big chink appearing between

:11:21. > :11:27.the BMA and the junior doctors themselves? I think so, and I think

:11:28. > :11:31.it is a doubt within the medical profession, there is a split across

:11:32. > :11:33.the medical profession, as to whether this particular first

:11:34. > :11:39.strike, and indeed the length of strikes they are talking about,

:11:40. > :11:41.these five-day strikes, would be counter-productive and actually harm

:11:42. > :11:45.patients, and the fact is that if you are cancelling five days of

:11:46. > :11:49.operations and so on by definition patients will be armed and in this

:11:50. > :11:58.particular case, obviously the doctors, it appears that the junior

:11:59. > :12:00.doctors themselves, some of the doctors themselves are not confident

:12:01. > :12:03.that they can go on strike and other people will cover for them in a way

:12:04. > :12:06.that will protect patients so the whole thing has been postponed a

:12:07. > :12:09.lease for the first strike and then we have to seem really what happens

:12:10. > :12:12.after that. I suspect it could be that the whole thing crumbles

:12:13. > :12:17.because they might lose public support if they go down that road. I

:12:18. > :12:20.don't think the issue is public support, the issue with support for

:12:21. > :12:24.the doctors in the BMA. The problem is initially they had in the same

:12:25. > :12:29.place and they were all against the seven-day contract which dealt me --

:12:30. > :12:33.Jeremy Hunt wanted to bring in and then there were compromises and the

:12:34. > :12:35.BMA said they should accept it but the doctor said it was still a

:12:36. > :12:40.rubbish deal that would affect patient safety so they parted ways a

:12:41. > :12:44.bit but then the BMA has changed its views now and it is trying to use a

:12:45. > :12:48.ballot from last year about strike action to maintain five days of

:12:49. > :12:52.strikes at a time but most doctors think strike action might be just

:12:53. > :12:56.about acceptable but to do it five days will cause harm they can't do

:12:57. > :13:12.that is doctors. The chairman of the BMA was agreeing that the deal which

:13:13. > :13:16.the BMA agreed at arbitration previously was actually a good deal

:13:17. > :13:19.and because there was a vote against it by the junior doctors, which is

:13:20. > :13:21.fair enough if they want to vote against it, but the person who is

:13:22. > :13:24.now leading this was saying that the deal on offer was a good one and

:13:25. > :13:27.acceptable. The separation is between the people at the head of

:13:28. > :13:29.the BMA and the doctors but I think most members of the public, if they

:13:30. > :13:32.ask the medical opinion from Jeremy Hunt or Doctor would go with the

:13:33. > :13:35.doctor. I am not so sure about that. Not on the medical opinion, but as

:13:36. > :13:38.to whether they should have a five-day strike or not, I'm not

:13:39. > :13:45.sure. I think that is a danger for them. Allow to get to stop. That is

:13:46. > :13:46.it for The Papers tonight. Don't forget the front pages

:13:47. > :13:49.are all on the BBC News website, where you can read a detailed review

:13:50. > :13:52.of the papers. It's all there for you

:13:53. > :13:53.at bbc.co.uk/papers. Each night's edition of The Papers

:13:54. > :13:57.is posted there shortly Headlines coming up in a few

:13:58. > :14:17.minutes. Good evening. There's a humid and

:14:18. > :14:21.sticky feel to the weather outside across many parts of the country and

:14:22. > :14:25.it will remain that way for the next couple of days. We have clear spells

:14:26. > :14:27.in the cloud and this was the sunset earlier on in North Ayrshire, by

:14:28. > :14:28.Weather