02/10/2016

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:00:14. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:18. > :00:22.With me are the political commentator James Millar

:00:23. > :00:29.Tomorrow's front pages: Theresa May's speech dominates

:00:30. > :00:36.The Financial Times says Mrs May has given the clearest indication yet

:00:37. > :00:39.that Britain will break away from the EU single market.

:00:40. > :00:41.The i says the speech was a hard Brexit plan,

:00:42. > :00:44.representing an end to the UK's single market membership.

:00:45. > :00:47.The Metro also leads on Brexit, and Mrs May's promise to push

:00:48. > :00:49.for continuing free trade with the bloc.

:00:50. > :00:52.The Telegraph focuses on Mrs May's pledge to look beyond Europe

:00:53. > :01:00.to China and India, as well as a policy announcement

:01:01. > :01:06.tomorrow to invest ?5 billion to build new homes.

:01:07. > :01:10.And the Guardian notes the pointed response to Mrs May

:01:11. > :01:12.from the European Council, which said it would prepare

:01:13. > :01:17.to safeguard the EU's interests in the negotiations next year.

:01:18. > :01:21.The Daily Mail says Mrs May's speech was a message to remainers that

:01:22. > :01:29.The Mirror says Sam Allardyce could move to a new job in America.

:01:30. > :01:33.And the Times says EU leaders have rejected the Prime Minister's appeal

:01:34. > :01:35.for immediate talks about Britain's new deal, heightening fears

:01:36. > :02:01.OK, so let's begin. Welcome to you both. And that 10:30pm we focused a

:02:02. > :02:10.lot on Brexit and Theresa May's speech and we will turn to the Sun,

:02:11. > :02:15.and it is their march to freedom, as they call it. Obviously different

:02:16. > :02:24.papers are going to receive Theresa May's talk about Brexit differently,

:02:25. > :02:30.and the Sun is seeing it as Theresa May setting March 21 2019 as the

:02:31. > :02:37.date of our independence from the EU, perhaps becoming a national

:02:38. > :02:41.holiday if the Sun has anything to do with it. For a paper that wanted

:02:42. > :02:45.to leave they seem quite happy with the terms of a Brexit which she

:02:46. > :02:49.clearly set out today, which is for a hard Brexit. It seems that she is

:02:50. > :02:59.saying that Britain should exit the single market, and that the freedom

:03:00. > :03:05.that we would gain from that would outweigh the financial difficulties

:03:06. > :03:09.of doing so. Welcoming this hard Brexit, there are different opinions

:03:10. > :03:14.on hard and soft Brexit but they are very keen. I like it because there

:03:15. > :03:17.is a skill in summing up the story in four paragraphs, which is what

:03:18. > :03:24.they have done. One of the quotes says Mrs May says let's show the

:03:25. > :03:32.country we mean business, which alongside Brexit means Brexit, what

:03:33. > :03:37.does that actually mean? Did we not mean business before? She has done a

:03:38. > :03:41.fine line in soundbites so far. This is the first time we have heard her

:03:42. > :03:45.speak on this, and she warned she wasn't going to be pushed into

:03:46. > :03:50.making further comment until she was ready, until she got closer to the

:03:51. > :03:54.day and things firmed up as well. But the EU also responded. What do

:03:55. > :04:00.you think they were saying when they will safeguard their interests is?

:04:01. > :04:07.That is the most telling part of the four paragraphs, the one in which

:04:08. > :04:10.the EU Council chief, Donald Tusk, says they will safeguard their

:04:11. > :04:13.interests. Inevitably they will do what is best for them. That is what

:04:14. > :04:18.happens in negotiating situation. There is no reason to be nice to us,

:04:19. > :04:23.and no reason to expect that they will. They are taking the shine off

:04:24. > :04:27.that idea that the UK will have some sort of special status or magic

:04:28. > :04:34.capacity to get a deal that it wants. For some time now the EU has

:04:35. > :04:40.been saying, well, no, you won't. You can't, we are not going to do

:04:41. > :04:45.that. It seems like today they are really just reiterating. It is not

:04:46. > :04:49.everyone in the Conservative Party who are saying, it is the people who

:04:50. > :04:55.wanted to stay in saying maybe we need to pedal back of it. No, a lot

:04:56. > :05:01.of people who... I think even for the people who want to leave, there

:05:02. > :05:06.are different ways of leaving. What Mrs May has done today is outline a

:05:07. > :05:11.version of leave that is going to upset a lot of people, and not just

:05:12. > :05:15.the people who wanted to remain. It has upset a lot of business

:05:16. > :05:20.sections, it is going to upset people within her own government and

:05:21. > :05:25.what worries me about this style of Brexit is that, actually, a

:05:26. > :05:28.Conservative MP wrote today in the Guardian that it was Brexit

:05:29. > :05:32.fundamentalism. He talked about it being a romanticised vision of

:05:33. > :05:40.Britain, a country of imperialist chauvinism. What worries me about

:05:41. > :05:44.this is that it is almost as though the leavers have become a little bit

:05:45. > :05:48.drunk on free-market fundamentalism which they always wanted. Because

:05:49. > :05:53.actually what they could do is make business even more deregulated that

:05:54. > :05:57.is at the moment, and that is kind of what we always wanted. That is

:05:58. > :06:00.what I am worried about with this kind of hard Brexit, that that is

:06:01. > :06:03.the vision that they want, a much more deregulated version which is

:06:04. > :06:08.going to be worse for small businesses, for... And others have

:06:09. > :06:13.been speaking on this as well. It is a fundamental problem with

:06:14. > :06:16.referendums, there was nothing about immigration or staying in the single

:06:17. > :06:21.market or all these major issues. As you say it is an opportunity for

:06:22. > :06:25.people to start projecting what they think people are voting for on to

:06:26. > :06:31.whatever will happen next spring in the negotiations. The Times's

:06:32. > :06:38.headline is the rejection by EU leaders of the hard Brexit talks.

:06:39. > :06:43.Who exactly are they referring to hear? The Sun has given the positive

:06:44. > :06:47.take, this is a more negative approach. They claimed that Angela

:06:48. > :06:57.Merkel and other EU leaders have offered instant opposition to this

:06:58. > :07:01.hard Brexit idea. Again, it comes back to what Donald Tusk said, which

:07:02. > :07:04.is we will look after our interests, and Angela Merkel is the bigger

:07:05. > :07:10.player there. One of the fascinating things in this is that Mrs May says

:07:11. > :07:13.she wants to give British companies the maximum freedom to trade and

:07:14. > :07:17.operate in the single market. That would involve staying in the EU,

:07:18. > :07:22.that would be the maximum freedom, isn't it? There are not really any

:07:23. > :07:27.clear answers, it is fair to say. The Telegraph also leading with

:07:28. > :07:34.Europe, we must look beyond Europe and looking to China and India. At

:07:35. > :07:42.that is the thing. You know, they are going to have to find some way

:07:43. > :07:47.to reassure British businesses, how far trade is in the European single

:07:48. > :07:50.market -- half our trade is in the European single market and for

:07:51. > :07:54.companies based here they will be worried about how that will be

:07:55. > :07:58.replaced and how it can be replaced quickly enough for them to actually

:07:59. > :08:02.make up the loss that they would presumably in curb by being taken

:08:03. > :08:06.out of the single market. And so far we haven't seen any signs from any

:08:07. > :08:10.other country that we would be given any kind of preferential treatment,

:08:11. > :08:17.or that there would be any sort of fast track negotiation with them.

:08:18. > :08:20.Well, no, hang on. We have already agreed to start scoping discussions

:08:21. > :08:26.with Australia and New Zealand, the mighty power houses that and New

:08:27. > :08:32.Zealand. That is 2% our trade. And the scoping out is really... That is

:08:33. > :08:38.a done deal, isn't it? Makes it so much better. The key headline is we

:08:39. > :08:42.must look beyond Europe, she is talking about trade and also talking

:08:43. > :08:48.to the party, saying we must shut up about Europe. That is why she had to

:08:49. > :08:52.make the speech at the first-ever conference, telling the party to

:08:53. > :08:55.stop speaking about Europe but that is never going to happen because

:08:56. > :08:59.stories like nothing more than assessing about Europe. Another

:09:00. > :09:05.announced that we heard was the ?5 billion, it looks like we are going

:09:06. > :09:09.to get more building, new houses, a possible solution to the housing

:09:10. > :09:14.crisis. I don't think it is a solution to the housing crisis.

:09:15. > :09:19.25,000 homes by 2020. I am no expert in building houses but that is 8000

:09:20. > :09:31.houses a year. I don't know how long it takes to build a house. I like to

:09:32. > :09:37.-- the line that there will be 200,000 houses in the longer term.

:09:38. > :09:40.It is a daft promise. What's interesting about this is it seems

:09:41. > :09:44.very clearly to be following the Labour Party lead on this because

:09:45. > :09:49.Jeremy Corbyn's main platform was housing. They have pledged to build

:09:50. > :09:53.1 million homes in five years and make half of them council houses. I

:09:54. > :09:58.think when it comes to evidence talk about building houses, the first

:09:59. > :10:02.thing you think is are they going to be affordable? The ones we are

:10:03. > :10:06.seeing built at the moment clearly are not, for one, and your

:10:07. > :10:11.definition of affordable is completely out of range for most of

:10:12. > :10:15.the population. Getting on the housing ladder is impossible,

:10:16. > :10:21.whether it is a new house or current stock. Which is why the Labour Party

:10:22. > :10:24.are saying half of our homes will be social housing, which makes more

:10:25. > :10:32.sense in terms of solving the crisis pulls up the communities Secretary,

:10:33. > :10:39.Sajid Javvid, says it is a community concern. He clearly wants to tackle

:10:40. > :10:47.this. -- Sajid Javid. And Donald Trump is looming yet again, the gift

:10:48. > :10:51.that keeps giving. He is apparently a genius, according to his

:10:52. > :10:55.republican backers. Having not paid any tax for a long time, they are

:10:56. > :10:59.not denying this leads to the New York Times that he hasn't paid any

:11:00. > :11:06.tax but he is a genius for avoiding tax. Rudy Giuliani has gone on TV to

:11:07. > :11:10.say he is a genius for not paying his taxes. It is incredible how this

:11:11. > :11:14.plays out. You would think people would be incredibly annoyed with

:11:15. > :11:20.millionaires evading tax or avoiding tax, sorry, not evading. But to be

:11:21. > :11:24.able to spin it as a great thing, you know, our potential future

:11:25. > :11:28.president... He doesn't pay tax, what a genius! They have decided

:11:29. > :11:32.that they will vote for him and nothing is going to change their

:11:33. > :11:35.opinion, supporters of Trump. But we have until November so let's see

:11:36. > :11:36.what transpires between now and then.

:11:37. > :11:40.Thank you, James Millar and Rachel Shabi.

:11:41. > :11:43.Coming up next, it is The Film Review.