:00:18. > :00:24.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be
:00:25. > :00:28.With me are Matthew Syed, who is a columnist for the Times,
:00:29. > :00:31.and Charlie Wells, who is European features reporter at the Wall Street
:00:32. > :00:36.We will try and find some things not to do with Mr Trump, but there is
:00:37. > :00:37.rather a lot of it. Once again Donald Trump dominates
:00:38. > :00:40.many of tomorrow's front pages. The Mirror says more videos are set
:00:41. > :00:43.to come to light to shame In other news, the Financial Times
:00:44. > :00:47.says Germany is stepping up attempts to lure banks away from
:00:48. > :00:49.London to Frankfurt. And the top story in the Times
:00:50. > :00:53.is a warning to Theresa May from business leaders
:00:54. > :00:55.on the possible impact The Metro lampoons
:00:56. > :00:58.the Home Secretary, calling her Amber Rudderless,
:00:59. > :01:00.after she ditches plans to make companies list their
:01:01. > :01:02.foreign workers. The Guardian says the UK is planning
:01:03. > :01:05.to move immigration controls to the Republic of Ireland,
:01:06. > :01:08.to avoid a hard border between north The Daily Telegraph leads
:01:09. > :01:12.on comments by the Housing Minister, who suggests grandparents
:01:13. > :01:14.should leave their homes to their grandchildren to help
:01:15. > :01:27.ease the housing crisis. Gideon Ruckman, the chief foreign
:01:28. > :01:32.affairs commentator at the FT, says he is looking forward to tonight's
:01:33. > :01:39.edition of the Jerry Springer Show. More bombshells to come as his own
:01:40. > :01:44.party disavows him. Apparently there is more damning evidence out there.
:01:45. > :01:47.There is this idea in American politics called the October
:01:48. > :01:50.surprise, Americans vote on the first Tuesday in November and the
:01:51. > :01:54.October surprise is something that comes in that month before and
:01:55. > :01:58.fundamentally reshaped the election. This is starting to look like it
:01:59. > :02:01.might be that October surprise. Because the controversy is
:02:02. > :02:06.snowballing. There was that video which was released on Friday, the
:02:07. > :02:09.promise of more videos to come, and of course, Republican politicians
:02:10. > :02:15.moving away from Donald Trump. Why leave it until now? Are stuffed with
:02:16. > :02:20.WikiLeaks about Will Hillary Clinton, they have only just come
:02:21. > :02:26.out and very recent, they have had months to dish the dirt. I don't
:02:27. > :02:30.know why it has come out at this moment but what has astonished me as
:02:31. > :02:33.that it has taken so long for the Republican establishment to come out
:02:34. > :02:41.against Donald Trump. He has comments much worse about -- he has
:02:42. > :02:44.made comments much worse about immigrants, about his opponents.
:02:45. > :02:50.Anybody who gets in his way he lashes out. So for me the question
:02:51. > :02:54.isn't so much whether or not the liberal establishment in America is
:02:55. > :03:00.against Trump, it is how this plays amongst people in the base who had
:03:01. > :03:04.or already come out and said... I think they had priced this end. And
:03:05. > :03:09.if more seats, along the same line, it may bubble up the controversy but
:03:10. > :03:11.a lot will hinge on what could become an electrifying debate
:03:12. > :03:17.tonight where two candidates are going to go in and I suspect Donald
:03:18. > :03:24.Trump is going to be hostile. The Guardian says Trump hits out at
:03:25. > :03:27.Republican hypocrites. This is from Missouri where the televised debate
:03:28. > :03:33.is taking place tonight, and a different kind of debate, town hall
:03:34. > :03:36.style. I think it will be interesting to all kinds of reasons,
:03:37. > :03:41.tactically, psychologically. Trump is cornered. I think his team are
:03:42. > :03:46.saying that he has to be contrite. He has to say I am sorry, draw the
:03:47. > :03:50.line, and as it were trained to insinuate that he is a changed man.
:03:51. > :03:54.To what extent he is able to get that across, I don't know. I suspect
:03:55. > :03:59.if Hillary Clinton goes after him he will not be able to resist fighting
:04:00. > :04:03.back and then it will be a race to the bottom and I suspect Trump could
:04:04. > :04:06.be defeated in this debate. He talks about Republican hypocrites,
:04:07. > :04:10.suggesting they are abandoning him now because they are seeing that
:04:11. > :04:14.their own polling won't do well. That is an issue. And part of the
:04:15. > :04:18.reason why it may have taken so long for the Republican leadership the
:04:19. > :04:23.sort of back away is because there are a number of Republicans in hotly
:04:24. > :04:27.contested seats right now who are nervous. They need to be very
:04:28. > :04:34.careful. How much worst is that need to be before he... He is under so
:04:35. > :04:38.much pressure that he has got to stand down. I think this is one of
:04:39. > :04:42.the most interesting phenomena in modern political discourse, is that
:04:43. > :04:47.to all intents and purposes it seems obvious that Trump should never have
:04:48. > :04:50.secured the Republican nomination. I mean, that was an impossibility.
:04:51. > :04:53.That this man could get the Republican nomination, he completely
:04:54. > :04:57.subverted the expectations of the pundits and the experts. The
:04:58. > :05:02.forecasters have got it wrong as they did with Brexit, Jeremy Corbyn
:05:03. > :05:05.becoming leader of the Labour Party. I think politics is becoming almost
:05:06. > :05:10.inherently unpredictable. I hope and pray and think that this could be a
:05:11. > :05:13.major problem for Donald Trump I can't say that with any certainty.
:05:14. > :05:18.The Daily Telegraph has another picture of him with his daughter
:05:19. > :05:23.Ivanka, on the left, and how he made lewd remarks to Howard Stern, the
:05:24. > :05:28.shock jock, the DJ, about his own daughter. Donald Trump has been
:05:29. > :05:32.struggling with suburban women, they have proven to be a key demographic
:05:33. > :05:37.in this election, in places like Pennsylvania, Florida. I don't think
:05:38. > :05:40.a father talking in this way about his daughter is going to play
:05:41. > :05:43.particularly well with that demographic. Let's move on, shall
:05:44. > :05:51.we? The Financial Times has Frankfurt's stepping up a bid to woo
:05:52. > :05:55.London banks after Brexit, as Germany consider changing the Labour
:05:56. > :05:59.laws. It is about being able to move across borders easily for bankers,
:06:00. > :06:03.and we are going to have this passport, which they may not have,
:06:04. > :06:07.after we leave the European Union. Whatever that means, whether it is a
:06:08. > :06:12.hard Brexit or a soft Brexit. One of the ideas was that upon Brexit
:06:13. > :06:16.London could become less attractive to banks as a headquarters and
:06:17. > :06:21.launchpad into Europe. But one of the points the article makes that I
:06:22. > :06:26.think is fascinating is that low living in London and would favour
:06:27. > :06:31.Amsterdam or Paris over Frankfurt. And New York could benefit, how so?
:06:32. > :06:36.You can imagine the executive saying I don't care where you want to live,
:06:37. > :06:40.if it is tax advantageous, you will go there. They say in this piece
:06:41. > :06:44.that German ministers have been going to leaving bankers and talking
:06:45. > :06:47.up some of the changes in the Labour laws. One of the key ones as a
:06:48. > :06:52.minimum statutory redundancy terms that is twice as generous in Germany
:06:53. > :06:56.as in the UK. That is a problem for tanks which often hire and fire at
:06:57. > :06:59.quite a fast rate. So they start changing the rules and inducing
:07:00. > :07:06.banks to go to Frankfurt, I agree that not all bankers will want to
:07:07. > :07:09.live there. It is worth saying loud and clear that this will massively
:07:10. > :07:13.hit the British exchequer. Huge amounts of money are paid by people
:07:14. > :07:20.who may hate the city but it is a very big cash cow. The times says
:07:21. > :07:24.this is a stark message to the Prime Minister from business. This is all
:07:25. > :07:29.to do with this immigration clampdown. Carolyn Fairburn, the
:07:30. > :07:33.director-general of the CBI, this is quite a stark interview where she
:07:34. > :07:37.has reacted with shock to the policy, saying they regard it... She
:07:38. > :07:41.is talking about business leaders and CBI members, as an indication
:07:42. > :07:44.that is somehow a shameful thing to be attracting the best talent from
:07:45. > :07:48.around the world, rather than a source of pride. This fits I think
:07:49. > :07:52.in the wider debate about what the conservative government is going to
:07:53. > :07:56.be like under Theresa May. She started as all new leaders do under
:07:57. > :08:01.a bit of a honeymoon, but the speech last week was a bizarre synthesis
:08:02. > :08:05.between Nigel Farage with an anti immigrant rhetoric on the one hand,
:08:06. > :08:08.and Ed Miliband with slightly anticapitalist sentiment on the
:08:09. > :08:12.other. That I don't think is what people were expecting and there is
:08:13. > :08:17.no doubt at all that the business community are concerned. There is a
:08:18. > :08:21.tension also between economic than politics, with Brexit negotiations,
:08:22. > :08:26.focusing on the economic benefits, or will we go the political rout and
:08:27. > :08:32.focus again on immigration? -- political route. The UK seeking to
:08:33. > :08:37.move the border into Ireland. The idea that immigration controls in
:08:38. > :08:46.the written would happen when you arrive potentially in Ireland. --
:08:47. > :08:54.Britain. Because of course the land border between Northern Ireland and
:08:55. > :08:59.the Republic of Ireland would be a border into the EU. And if the UK
:09:00. > :09:03.and is leaving the single market and a wall is built, the article talks
:09:04. > :09:10.about how that could be a breach of the Good Friday Agreement is,
:09:11. > :09:15.bringing back those tensions. And Southgate has tweeted from County
:09:16. > :09:19.Antrim, and they won't want the border any more than we do with the
:09:20. > :09:24.North, because they do most of their trade with the UK. You wonder what
:09:25. > :09:27.is in it for Ireland. It is a lot of work. It is a lot of work, but
:09:28. > :09:32.relations with the UK government are of great importance and the
:09:33. > :09:37.precedent exists for this model, where visitors are subject to a
:09:38. > :09:40.system where they apply for a single these are valid for travel both in
:09:41. > :09:44.Ireland in the UK. You mentioned Southgate, I think I had about eight
:09:45. > :09:58.tweets from her. She is prolific, Lisa is. If only she were here. The
:09:59. > :10:03.Metro, Amber Rudderless. The Home Secretary being ridiculed by Labour
:10:04. > :10:07.after a U-turn on plans to make all firms with their foreign workers. Is
:10:08. > :10:11.it fair to ridicule her if she is just listening to business saying
:10:12. > :10:17.that they don't want to declare how many employees they employ publicly.
:10:18. > :10:23.Yes, it is fair to ridicule her. It was a ridiculous concept and it is
:10:24. > :10:29.not just Labour going after her. One speaker came out today against
:10:30. > :10:35.naming and shaming, and Michael Fallon has as well. To play devils
:10:36. > :10:39.advocate, it is early on in this government, we are floating ideas to
:10:40. > :10:43.see what takes off on what doesn't. That really seems to be what she was
:10:44. > :10:48.doing at the conference. Can I change my mind? I think it is OK to
:10:49. > :10:52.say something, realise it is not a good idea and change your mind. I
:10:53. > :10:56.think we should give politicians more scope to flip-flop. Isn't
:10:57. > :11:01.success about adapting? It is a discourse. You have just done the
:11:02. > :11:07.very thing that you have criticised the Home Secretary for! It took a
:11:08. > :11:11.great deal of subtlety to do that. Backpedalling furiously underneath
:11:12. > :11:15.the desk. The argument is that they will still collect the data so that
:11:16. > :11:19.they can work out where the skills gap is. Will a Mac yes, and we
:11:20. > :11:25.should potentially be identifying our skills gap, to be encouraging
:11:26. > :11:31.people to get the jobs that foreigners have. Shall we go to the
:11:32. > :11:35.Times? Happiness is the best medicine, grumpy doctors and nurses
:11:36. > :11:40.are told. USENET awful being told to cheer up when you are feeling blue?
:11:41. > :11:47.They are being told to be more positive at work. Why? That could
:11:48. > :11:52.potentially lead to less mistakes -- isn't it awful. And this hormone
:11:53. > :11:57.oxytocin can make people a lot happier, get along better, and not
:11:58. > :12:05.make so many mistakes. I have some oxytocin right now. Surrounded by
:12:06. > :12:14.love? This is something that makes people happy. The Beatles disagree
:12:15. > :12:19.on this sentiment. It is easy for them to say. There is an important
:12:20. > :12:24.issue, which is protection for whistleblowers who want to speak up
:12:25. > :12:27.about bad practice, and often that is quite difficult to do if they
:12:28. > :12:30.don't feel empowered within the environment in which they are
:12:31. > :12:34.working, and so there are a number of important policies to make it
:12:35. > :12:38.easier for doctors to admit to adverse events. Once you admit and
:12:39. > :12:41.are open about errors, medication errors, surgical errors, you can
:12:42. > :12:46.change the procedures and protocols to make them less likely to happen
:12:47. > :12:50.again. I agree that joy and happiness and finding meaning in
:12:51. > :12:53.your work is an important part of performance, but I think there are
:12:54. > :12:56.some important institutional mechanisms surrounding the
:12:57. > :13:01.whistleblowing, that will make a difference. And this is coming from
:13:02. > :13:06.the new whistleblowing chief, who is Doctor Henrietta Hughes, a GP. She
:13:07. > :13:13.says it is her job to create a really positive culture in the NHS.
:13:14. > :13:16.The question of culture is a really interesting thing, Google and other
:13:17. > :13:20.companies talking about creating these new cultures and happy places
:13:21. > :13:23.to work and it tends to be trickling into other sectors that you don't
:13:24. > :13:28.necessarily think about. Cultural change is some of the hardest to
:13:29. > :13:32.bring about. But it is very rigorous. Some of the changes at
:13:33. > :13:35.Google, Amazon and others, success and innovation comes from quite
:13:36. > :13:41.specific internal dynamics and if you can get that right, growth
:13:42. > :13:47.mindset, resilient cultures, openness and there are metrics that
:13:48. > :13:53.can track how that changes over time and interventions which can make it
:13:54. > :13:59.happen. You should write a book about it. I have done already. I
:14:00. > :14:03.should have read it. You haven't? Not yet, is on my list.
:14:04. > :14:05.Coming up next, it is The Film Review.