13/10/2016

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:00:19. > :00:22.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:23. > :00:25.With me are Pippa Crerar, political correspondent

:00:26. > :00:27.at the London Evening Standard, and Liam Halligan, economics

:00:28. > :00:36.Before we talk to them, let's have a look at the front pages.

:00:37. > :00:38.The Guardian features a picture of the new Nobel Prize

:00:39. > :00:40.winner for Literature, Bob Dylan, but leads

:00:41. > :00:42.with Michelle Obama's comments condemning Donald Trump's

:00:43. > :00:49.The FT also features Dylan on it's front page,

:00:50. > :00:51.but leads with Tesco once again selling Marmite online

:00:52. > :00:56.after the grocer ended a 24-hour stand-off with Unilever.

:00:57. > :00:58.Following her retirement annoucement, The Metro carries

:00:59. > :01:01.a picture of Jessica Ennis-Hill and claims Donald Trump was caught

:01:02. > :01:11.The Daily Telegraph has an exclusive, saying Britain's most

:01:12. > :01:14.senior police officer has issued an apology

:01:15. > :01:16.to Field Marshal Lord Bramall and admitted it was wrong

:01:17. > :01:22.to raid his home over false paedophile allegations.

:01:23. > :01:25.There's a giant picture of Kumbuka the gorilla in the Mirror,

:01:26. > :01:27.apparently taken minutes before he escaped from his

:01:28. > :01:42.He is also in the Daily Mail and the paper says MPs are told an

:01:43. > :01:47.unprecedented vote on whether the former BHS boss Philip Green should

:01:48. > :01:53.be stripped of his knighthood. Let's go straight to the gorilla! We will

:01:54. > :02:01.save the best for last! It is tempting but let's start... Is the

:02:02. > :02:05.gorilla pro Brexit! Let's start with Nicola Sturgeon and her warning, as

:02:06. > :02:10.it is put in the FT, that she is going to bring forward at least

:02:11. > :02:13.consideration of legislation for a second independent referendum

:02:14. > :02:18.because of the Brexit vote. This is at the SNP conference and she had

:02:19. > :02:23.said that she will consult on a new independent referendum Bill after

:02:24. > :02:29.months of Wilshere, won't she. The key here is just because she is

:02:30. > :02:35.consulting does not mean it is going to happen -- of will she. It is

:02:36. > :02:39.about threatening or putting pressure on Theresa May to make sure

:02:40. > :02:42.that Scotland gets a seat at the table and it's concerned are

:02:43. > :02:50.listened to when it comes to things like access to the single market. If

:02:51. > :02:53.she pursued another referendum, all other polls suggest that Scotland at

:02:54. > :03:00.the moment would vote in a similar way to how did at the referendum. It

:03:01. > :03:05.was said earlier that judging by the current range of opinion polls, for

:03:06. > :03:07.every vote that has shifted as a result of Brexit towards

:03:08. > :03:11.independence, there is another that has gone the other way. There is

:03:12. > :03:17.this mix of people who felt initially that Brexit might make

:03:18. > :03:20.them more inclined to stay within the EU by another means, ie

:03:21. > :03:26.independent Scotland, and for those for whom it meant stability was an

:03:27. > :03:29.even more important factor and they would rather have the Deva -- the

:03:30. > :03:38.devil they know status quo than something uncertain. They did vote

:03:39. > :03:44.62-38 to remain but there is a lot of economic is always here. Scotland

:03:45. > :03:49.have a really big deficit, about 10% of GDP if it left now, without the

:03:50. > :03:54.Barnett Formula money. The polls are against independence. But Nicola

:03:55. > :04:01.Sturgeon is a very shrewd politician. Why is she saying it

:04:02. > :04:05.now? Oil has just gone back up above $50 a barrel. That SNP plan for

:04:06. > :04:10.independence starts to just about make some kind of economic sense.

:04:11. > :04:13.What about the political risk for her? Is Theresa May the kind of

:04:14. > :04:19.politician to respond well to this kind of pressure question at the

:04:20. > :04:24.first thing when Theresa May was by Minister, she went to Scotland and

:04:25. > :04:28.then Wales, very smart thing to do -- became Prime Minister. There is a

:04:29. > :04:32.good connection between them but Nicola Sturgeon will do everything

:04:33. > :04:36.she can to keep the pressure up for this referendum. It will not be the

:04:37. > :04:43.first time we say her on the front pages that she is about to call a

:04:44. > :04:47.referendum on independence. If she can with it, she would call it

:04:48. > :04:51.straightaway. She will not rush into it, she is too cautious for that.

:04:52. > :04:58.And it would finish her if she loses. Not just her, it really would

:04:59. > :05:04.be another generation. There is a reference in the headline to Donald

:05:05. > :05:15.Tusk, the president of the European Council. He will want to stay when

:05:16. > :05:19.the reality of Brexit hits. Boris Johnson, they are becoming the

:05:20. > :05:29.Waldorf and Statler of European politics. They are the two old boys

:05:30. > :05:33.in the box in the Muppets normally commenting negatively on what is

:05:34. > :05:38.going on! Boris took a pop at Donald Tusk in his conference speech,

:05:39. > :05:44.saying a man called Tusk does not even want to save the elephant! He

:05:45. > :05:50.is a heavyweight politician within the European project. He is saying

:05:51. > :05:54.there is either no Brexit or a hard Brexit and it will be painful for

:05:55. > :05:59.Britain, you cannot have your cake and eat it, you will end up with

:06:00. > :06:04.salt and vinegar crisps! That is a reference to Boris's famous phrase

:06:05. > :06:09.of having your cake and eating it. It is rhetorical sparring between

:06:10. > :06:13.two pretty big political beasts. He has this odd job, president of the

:06:14. > :06:17.council which means he chairs the meetings of the different leaders of

:06:18. > :06:20.the EU and technically they also represent Britain at the moment

:06:21. > :06:26.because we are still in the EU. But no doubt that there is growing

:06:27. > :06:30.tension, even though we are months away from the beginning of

:06:31. > :06:34.negotiations. That is absolutely the case. And what is increasingly in

:06:35. > :06:40.parrot -- apparent is that at least publicly the other EU countries

:06:41. > :06:46.don't seem to be wanting to play ball with Britain. They are thinking

:06:47. > :06:50.we wanted to leave, why would will be rewarded for that? And they might

:06:51. > :06:55.fear that others might follow. And in their own countries, especially

:06:56. > :06:58.France, there is a rise in sentiment against the EU with elections also

:06:59. > :07:04.coming up in Germany. A lot of concern among the existing EU

:07:05. > :07:08.leaders that they cannot be seen to give anything to Britain. Whether

:07:09. > :07:12.that is in formal negotiations or behind the scenes talks that are

:07:13. > :07:17.being conducted at the moment, they will not want much to come out that

:07:18. > :07:22.appears favourable to Britain. But Unilever have backed down and

:07:23. > :07:28.Marmite is coming back! This is the best thing in the paper most days,

:07:29. > :07:32.the cartoon from Matt. They went without Marmite so Britain could be

:07:33. > :07:42.free! We will try to show people at home because it is quite small. They

:07:43. > :07:53.went without Marmite so Britain could be free! You can't see it from

:07:54. > :08:01.the glare from your tie! This is one for betting men and women

:08:02. > :08:10.everywhere, this story, rather more interesting in some ways. One of

:08:11. > :08:14.those wonderful geo- economic stories, one of the big American

:08:15. > :08:19.ratings agencies saying that sterling could lose it reserve

:08:20. > :08:21.currency status which means, sterling is the third most important

:08:22. > :08:29.reserve currency in the world after the dollar down the Europe between

:08:30. > :08:35.central banks keep their reserves in those currencies because they are

:08:36. > :08:40.solid. We are about four or 5% of central bank reserves, the dollar is

:08:41. > :08:45.about 65 and the euro is about 20 and emerging markets as well. If we

:08:46. > :08:51.lose that status, that means our borrowing costs will go up and it

:08:52. > :08:58.also means that there is less reason for people to demand sterling so it

:08:59. > :09:02.could lose some value. SMP wheelbase out occasionally, they did the same

:09:03. > :09:07.thing in May ahead of the referendum -- wheel this story out. It is misty

:09:08. > :09:12.vista talk about it now when sterling is clearly on skids --

:09:13. > :09:22.mischievous to talk about it. The pound is down about 6% Saint Theresa

:09:23. > :09:30.May's conference speech. -- since Theresa May's speech. Let's go to

:09:31. > :09:35.the Guardian. This is a terrific photograph on the front. And about

:09:36. > :09:44.Bob Dylan being made Nobel laureate for literature. This is by Richard

:09:45. > :09:48.Williams who was the first presenter of The Old Grey Whistle Test. In the

:09:49. > :09:57.days when Bob Dylan was a young man! On BBC Two! You remember it well.

:09:58. > :10:05.But nonetheless, his view is that this is a good thing. What is yours?

:10:06. > :10:10.I think I agree. Maybe you could give us a musical accompaniment that

:10:11. > :10:15.Liam was threatening to sing along! Many do view Dylan as a poet as much

:10:16. > :10:20.as a musician and certainly his writings have always been as much

:10:21. > :10:25.about the lyrics at anything else. Of course there have been some real

:10:26. > :10:30.anthems, anti-war protests and civil rights movement so it has been

:10:31. > :10:34.political as well and he has always been interested in the human

:10:35. > :10:40.condition. You get people tracing the price today and I think many

:10:41. > :10:49.people would be quite happy with the fact that the committee have decided

:10:50. > :10:56.to go for a rock star. And for the first time. The novelist Irvin was

:10:57. > :11:05.booted it was an ill-conceived nostalgia award even by gibbering

:11:06. > :11:11.hippies -- Irvin Welsh. But is it really literature? People will be

:11:12. > :11:16.listening to Bob Dylan in 50, 100 years, a huge chronicler of American

:11:17. > :11:20.history. The first American to win this since Toni Morrison in the

:11:21. > :11:27.early 90s. That is a good thing given their cultural reach. I was a

:11:28. > :11:32.bit sniffy about it when I first heard them it seemed a bit gimmicky,

:11:33. > :11:37.but he is a towering cultural figure. We have had accusations

:11:38. > :11:40.before, when Obama got the peace prize, sort of in expectation that

:11:41. > :11:44.he might do something and he didn't actually achieve anything. But we

:11:45. > :11:55.cannot let discussion of these prizes pass without, I think in

:11:56. > :12:00.previous years... Last year it went to the woman from Belarus. But

:12:01. > :12:06.across the board there were only two out of 14. And only 48 women have

:12:07. > :12:13.won any of the prices compare to 822 men. -- at the prizes. And surely in

:12:14. > :12:18.2016, if there are not women out there considered worthy of such

:12:19. > :12:22.prizes, there is something wrong. It is clearly not very reflective or I

:12:23. > :12:42.think they need to up their diversity quote a bit. -- quota. The

:12:43. > :12:47.Daily Mail, this is a photograph of the gorilla, Kumbuka, who went for a

:12:48. > :12:57.wander this evening. They gorilla in the mirror! This is newspaper gold.

:12:58. > :13:07.It is in its cage and suddenly he has escaped. Nobody was hurt, unlike

:13:08. > :13:15.in Cincinnati where an unfortunate ruler was shot after a little boy

:13:16. > :13:19.fell into his enclosure. The staff at London zoo used tranquilliser

:13:20. > :13:26.guns, is fine and of course it is a fantastic picture story. I'm a bit

:13:27. > :13:31.ambivalent about zoos in general. This is a magnificent beast and it

:13:32. > :13:40.must get so wound up living in a cage all the time. Thankfully nobody

:13:41. > :13:48.was hurt including Kumbuka himself. Apparently he came from Paignton

:13:49. > :13:56.zoo. I can understand why he felt a bit of wanderlust! That is what the

:13:57. > :14:00.smoke can do to you! And finally a lovely photograph on the front of

:14:01. > :14:05.the Metro of Jessica Ennis-Hill who is quitting while she is ahead.

:14:06. > :14:10.There was some discussion as to whether she would go after the Rio

:14:11. > :14:16.Olympics where she won the silver medal, pipped to the post by a young

:14:17. > :14:21.athlete. She has obviously taken the decision that she is going to

:14:22. > :14:26.retire. There was some discussion about whether she might concentrate

:14:27. > :14:31.on the best event which is the huddles but Lily decided she would

:14:32. > :14:38.rather go out at the top -- hurdles but clearly decided. What a role

:14:39. > :14:43.model, becoming a mother and coming back to become world champion in

:14:44. > :14:46.Beijing, astonishing. Thank you very much for being with us this evening.

:14:47. > :14:49.Don't forget all the front pages are online on the BBC News website

:14:50. > :14:52.where you can read a detailed review of the papers.

:14:53. > :14:54.It's all there for you, seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers,

:14:55. > :14:57.and you can see us there too, with each night's edition

:14:58. > :14:59.of The Papers being posted on the page shortly

:15:00. > :15:11.I will be back with the main news at the top of the hour.