01/11/2016

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:00:14. > :00:16.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers

:00:17. > :00:19.With me are Hugo Rifkind, columnist for The Times,

:00:20. > :00:34.Welcome to you both. Let's kick off by showing you the front pages we

:00:35. > :00:38.have at the moment. The Times says Donald Trump has seized the lead for

:00:39. > :00:40.the White House according to one new poll.

:00:41. > :00:43.The Metro leads with the story of the Iranian asylum seeker who has

:00:44. > :00:46.made it to Britain after paddling from France in a canoe.

:00:47. > :00:49.He was eight miles off the Kent coast when he was picked up

:00:50. > :00:52.The Financial Times says the Chancellor of the Exchequer,

:00:53. > :00:55.Philip Hammond, is seeking the approval of cabinet colleagues

:00:56. > :00:57.to abandon rigid financial targets in his Autumn Statement,

:00:58. > :01:02.in case he needs to protect the economy from Brexit fall-out.

:01:03. > :01:06.The Telegraph leads on what it says was fury after MPs voted

:01:07. > :01:08.to re-appoint Keith Vaz to an important committee

:01:09. > :01:14.Mr Vaz resigned from the committee only weeks ago after a sex scandal.

:01:15. > :01:21.The Guardian says white families are being urged to move to areas

:01:22. > :01:22.of ethnic diversity, to avoid segregation

:01:23. > :01:40.The Mirror reports Dale Cregan, who is in secure hospital for committing

:01:41. > :01:45.four murders is living the life of luxury eating pizza and going

:01:46. > :01:50.kayaking. Let's start off with the Guardian. You go, on their front

:01:51. > :01:54.page, the battle for Mosul. Iraqi troops going into the city for the

:01:55. > :01:59.first time. It has been an Islamic stronghold for the last couple of

:02:00. > :02:04.years. How significant think this is? Very significant. It is part of

:02:05. > :02:11.a big push into Iraq. It is not just that they are about to retake the

:02:12. > :02:15.city, it is also sunny tribal fighters and Shia militias around

:02:16. > :02:18.the other side of the city preventing Islamic State fighters

:02:19. > :02:22.from fleeing into the desert. They are not just trying to retake

:02:23. > :02:29.territory, they are trying to have a final big push to squash the Islamic

:02:30. > :02:33.State. It is interesting, this is obviously happening in der Rice at a

:02:34. > :02:38.very media friendly way. They are keen for the eyes of the world to be

:02:39. > :02:47.on this -- in der Rice say it, a very media friendly way. In Iraqi it

:02:48. > :02:53.is possible to see this. In Syria the fight against Islamic State is

:02:54. > :02:57.only a small part of the fight. There are Assad forces against

:02:58. > :03:04.Syrian rebel forces. Here, it is sense of an invading army we are

:03:05. > :03:09.talking about 600,000 people who have not been able to flee. We are

:03:10. > :03:12.talking about a very large death toll, I think, because we are

:03:13. > :03:18.already seeing reports from people who are living in the city 's and we

:03:19. > :03:22.have been used to smart bombs and surgical strikes in previous wars in

:03:23. > :03:28.the middle east, but in this case it will be not quite hand-to-hand but

:03:29. > :03:33.it will be door-to-door, street to street and this is the real worry.

:03:34. > :03:39.An awful lot of civilians who have nothing to do the fighting will be

:03:40. > :03:44.killed. The Guardian also, the main story is the ethnic divide in

:03:45. > :03:47.British cities is growing rapidly. They are talking about ethnic

:03:48. > :03:55.segregation in towns and cities. Usually we are talking about

:03:56. > :04:00.minorities who do not want to integrate into the majorities and

:04:01. > :04:04.people of Asian backgrounds and Afro-Caribbean 's should integrate.

:04:05. > :04:07.But here we are talking about a report from a professor who did a

:04:08. > :04:12.landmark report after the Bradford riots in 2001 and he says large

:04:13. > :04:17.numbers of white people are leaving our inner-city urban areas by a

:04:18. > :04:22.colossal numbers and in some parts of the country like Slough, the

:04:23. > :04:34.white population fell from the gate .3% in 1991 down to 34.5% -- 50 8.3%

:04:35. > :04:47.in 99 to one. In black perm just 7.8% of the population is white --

:04:48. > :04:51.in black burn, just 7.8% of the population is white. He is not

:04:52. > :04:54.putting this down to white flight and distrust of foreigners. He

:04:55. > :05:00.thinks it might be to do with other reasons. A sense that you want to be

:05:01. > :05:04.in the countryside, it might be to do with other motivations like house

:05:05. > :05:11.prices. Is it a changing face of Britain, do you think? What is

:05:12. > :05:14.interesting is when you have increasing segregation, it does seem

:05:15. > :05:19.to be to do with white community is leaving for whatever reason. Some of

:05:20. > :05:22.the numbers you get further down, it seems to be particularly a case

:05:23. > :05:26.where you have small white communities. Perhaps white

:05:27. > :05:32.communities do not like being part of small white communities. We have

:05:33. > :05:39.a 60% white community they are staying put. Some of the numbers you

:05:40. > :05:43.have a drop from 30% to 7% in two decades. That is very significant.

:05:44. > :05:50.There is some kind of trend but it does not say what the trend is. Who

:05:51. > :05:54.knows. Let's go to America. They have one opinion poll which I

:05:55. > :05:59.mentioned in our look ahead, this is one old giving trump lead after so

:06:00. > :06:07.many polls which have shown him way behind Hillary Clinton. Is that

:06:08. > :06:18.significant or is it a blip? It is probably both! It is making him look

:06:19. > :06:21.stronger than he is. There are no new allegations against Hillary

:06:22. > :06:25.Clinton. They are poorly understood and not substantial. What has

:06:26. > :06:28.happened is the FBI said they had new lines of enquiry into what had

:06:29. > :06:34.been an investigation that they had closed because they had uncovered

:06:35. > :06:40.new e-mails. They may not even be new. A different cache of e-mails.

:06:41. > :06:44.They are approaching it from a different direction. The mere fact

:06:45. > :06:48.that this investigation is ongoing seems to be hitting the Clinton

:06:49. > :06:56.campaign hard. Whether that will last, who knows? It is volatile. Is

:06:57. > :07:00.it enough to give Donald Trump victory? No, he will have to get

:07:01. > :07:06.every single angry white man, every single angry white woman, all the

:07:07. > :07:16.uneducated people he likes, get rid of all the Hispanic votes, there is

:07:17. > :07:22.it easy reports that African-Americans have less

:07:23. > :07:25.enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton then Barack Obama which is expected. I

:07:26. > :07:32.think the African-American community will come out in huge numbers. The

:07:33. > :07:38.Telegraph has this story about Keith Vaz. He was mired in scandal but he

:07:39. > :07:44.has bounced back. He is on another parliamentary committee. They say

:07:45. > :07:49.there is theory, I think it is the paper which is furious. 200 and

:07:50. > :07:53.something MPs voted to allow Keith Vaz to be on this committee, seven

:07:54. > :07:57.voted against so it was a major majority. It is not really about

:07:58. > :08:02.Keith Vaz this. There is a convention that MPs do not oppose

:08:03. > :08:06.party appointees select committees and they are trying to preserve

:08:07. > :08:15.that. In which case, we will not any more about it! Let's go to the

:08:16. > :08:24.Financial Times. They are talking about if the effects of Brexit could

:08:25. > :08:38.rise. This is about the abandonment of his predecessor. He is talking

:08:39. > :08:42.about a modest fiscal stimulus. He wants to loosen the rules. We are

:08:43. > :08:48.hearing about this in other areas of government as well. It is about not

:08:49. > :08:52.expecting rabbits out of hats and he wants head room in case Brexit will

:08:53. > :08:59.hit growth. That will surprise some of the Brexit peers who have said

:09:00. > :09:05.all the plans have been brilliant but he wants to take a long view.

:09:06. > :09:14.Hammond is the interesting figure of the government. He is the softest

:09:15. > :09:17.Brexiteer and he will not pull a rabbit out of the hat. He wants

:09:18. > :09:24.people to know what will be in his announcement before he makes it. So

:09:25. > :09:29.we are seeing the rabbit. It has already been cooked a lot of

:09:30. > :09:37.metaphors about rabbits, I don't think I follow them all. And

:09:38. > :09:44.Australia does not like doctors any more. -- do not need doctors any

:09:45. > :09:50.more. If you think about going to Australia they do not need you.

:09:51. > :09:54.There had been a rush of British doctors applying to work in

:09:55. > :09:59.Australia after the junior doctors strikes. Australia is now full up

:10:00. > :10:06.with doctors. They require no more British doctors. They have a lot

:10:07. > :10:13.there already so they don't need any more? That is pretty much the

:10:14. > :10:18.situation. Now the Guardian has a story about car insurance. They look

:10:19. > :10:24.through your Facebook account to see what sort of driver you might be?

:10:25. > :10:28.This is Admiral and they stressed it is not a compulsory scheme. It will

:10:29. > :10:33.offer discounts to people whose Facebook posts demonstrate they are

:10:34. > :10:38.good, sensible, that you are thinking people. We are talking

:10:39. > :10:44.about mainly first-time drivers. They will look at character traits

:10:45. > :10:50.like writing in short, con sais sentences and making arrangements to

:10:51. > :10:53.meet people at a set time or place in so saying whatever, wherever

:10:54. > :11:01.which shows you will be devil may care. You will drive too fast. You

:11:02. > :11:07.can't be trusted! It is a bit intrusive? It is not compulsory. It

:11:08. > :11:13.does not matter because you can opt to pay more and not allow your

:11:14. > :11:20.insurer to do this. It is this nudge where you are expecting to disclose

:11:21. > :11:24.it. The strong incentive is to do this stuff because there is a

:11:25. > :11:28.financial penalty if you don't. And maybe you do need to be careful

:11:29. > :11:34.about what you do post on Facebook. Employers apparently go through your

:11:35. > :11:38.younger life on Facebook, pictures of you getting drunk and maybe think

:11:39. > :11:43.they will not hire you on that basis. I think more and more schools

:11:44. > :11:49.will be telling young people to be careful about their online digital

:11:50. > :11:54.footprint and it may bite you. Online digital footprint, that is

:11:55. > :12:00.what I should have said, that is the terminology! I am a millennial, do

:12:01. > :12:05.you know?! Not really! We are almost at the Times which has this

:12:06. > :12:09.extraordinary story about Lord Heseltine and the curious incident

:12:10. > :12:17.of the dog and Lord Heseltine. You go, tell us the story. This is my

:12:18. > :12:20.favourite story of the day. This morning, the magazine Tatler has an

:12:21. > :12:24.interview with Michael Heseltine in which he appeared to have claimed

:12:25. > :12:29.that earlier in his life he strangled to death his mother's

:12:30. > :12:35.Alsatian. This was back in the 1960s. Sounds like a headline you

:12:36. > :12:39.use to get on the day-to-day. This was an enormous fuss for a few hours

:12:40. > :12:43.earlier this morning. It then emerged he had strangled the

:12:44. > :12:47.Alsatian but not to death. He merely calmed it down by strangling it

:12:48. > :12:54.which apparently you can do because it had bitten him. His wife was

:12:55. > :13:02.pregnant and he was worried that his wife. If you bite Michael has all

:13:03. > :13:11.time he will strangle you! And then he will get the vet to put you down.

:13:12. > :13:15.It is a great newspaper story. Plays into the sense of tar sand through

:13:16. > :13:21.the jungle fighting lions and political assassinations and canine

:13:22. > :13:29.assassinations -- Parvin. Dog bites man is not a story, man throttles

:13:30. > :13:36.dog is a story. A lot of people may be upset about the idea of a pet dog

:13:37. > :13:41.being strangled. He did appear to say earlier this month that he and

:13:42. > :13:48.his wife shot 350 grey squirrels over the course of six months which

:13:49. > :13:52.is a lot. But no dogs. And Tatler have clarified the story. They

:13:53. > :14:02.accept he did not kill the dog that day. He merely hurt it. It was a vet

:14:03. > :14:03.the next bed. You really should not laugh for that story. Hugo and

:14:04. > :14:07.Henry, thank you for being with us. Don't forget all the front pages

:14:08. > :14:12.are online on the BBC News website where you can read a detailed review

:14:13. > :14:15.of the papers. It's all there for you -

:14:16. > :14:17.seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers -

:14:18. > :14:20.and you can see us there too - with each night's edition

:14:21. > :14:22.of The Papers being posted on the page shortly

:14:23. > :14:40.after we've finished. Well, it is time to get the thicker

:14:41. > :14:45.coats out. There is colder weather on the way. We will certainly feel

:14:46. > :14:47.that over the next few days. The warm weather we had