:00:08. > :00:16.We'll be taking a look at tomorrow mornings papers in a moment, first,
:00:17. > :00:21.11 crew members are airlifted from a 200-meter cargo ship,
:00:22. > :00:23.that lost power off the coast of Dover, as Storm Angus batters
:00:24. > :00:28.the south coast of England with high wind and heavy rain.
:00:29. > :00:30.After months of speculation, the German Chancellor Angela Merkel
:00:31. > :00:33.confirms that she will seek a fourth term in office.
:00:34. > :00:36.Elections will take place next year.
:00:37. > :00:38.Chancellor Philip Hammond will announce an extra ?1.3 billion
:00:39. > :00:39.to improve Britain's roads during his Autumn
:00:40. > :00:49.More than 120 people are killed and 100 others left injured
:00:50. > :00:51.after a passenger train derails in northern India.
:00:52. > :00:59.And Andy Murray is crowned No.1 male tennis
:01:00. > :01:01.player in the world after he beats five-time
:01:02. > :01:06.champion Novak Djokovic, and wins his first ATP
:01:07. > :01:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be
:01:20. > :01:25.With me are the Broadcaster Natalie Haynes - and the Independent's
:01:26. > :01:30.Deputy Political Editor, Rob Merrick.
:01:31. > :01:45.Natalie with her weather seemed jumper. Rob, where is yours? Let's
:01:46. > :01:47.look at,'s from pages. The Daily Telegraph leads
:01:48. > :01:49.with Prime Minister Theresa May's tax pledge to win back business,
:01:50. > :01:52.and she'll offer a better New Push for 'clean break' EU exit
:01:53. > :01:56.reports the Daily Express, as 70 Eurosceptic MPs join forces
:01:57. > :01:58.over fears that Remain campaigners could stop the UK from leaving
:01:59. > :02:00.Brussels. Blair is back in politics
:02:01. > :02:02.reports the Metro. He's setting up a new institute, to
:02:03. > :02:07.'fill a hole' in British politics. And a third of young homeless people
:02:08. > :02:19.are turned away by councils Let's have a look ahead to the
:02:20. > :02:25.Autumn Statement on Wednesday. The i has the headline Osborne austerity
:02:26. > :02:32.continues in Brexit budget. How much is really in this budget? He talked
:02:33. > :02:37.about giving us headroom for a bumpy time. Anyone who sees this rampage
:02:38. > :02:40.and has been following the news in recent weeks will be confused. They
:02:41. > :02:44.will have thought they learned Wednesday as opposed to the budget
:02:45. > :02:49.to reset economic policy, to finally dump George Osborne's legacy that
:02:50. > :02:55.Theresa May is desperate to help struggling families. This headline
:02:56. > :02:59.suggests the austerity of Osborne will continue. It tells us either
:03:00. > :03:02.this is expectation management ahead of Wednesday and perhaps the
:03:03. > :03:07.Chancellor thinks expectations are running ahead of themselves and he
:03:08. > :03:10.needs to slow things down. Or, the other explanation is there is a
:03:11. > :03:16.battle that has gone on, is going on between number ten and number 11.
:03:17. > :03:22.The Prime Minister desperate to help these just about managing families
:03:23. > :03:25.or the JAMS. The Chancellor, if he has any money to spend wants to
:03:26. > :03:30.spend it on investment and better transport or other things that would
:03:31. > :03:33.improve Britain's dreadful productivity and prepare for Brexit.
:03:34. > :03:38.There does seem to be a battle going on in the background. We need to be
:03:39. > :03:43.match fit. ?1 billion for the road network, which Labour are not
:03:44. > :03:48.impressed with? Yes. The issue with roads is no matter how much money
:03:49. > :03:52.you throw at them they will somehow gobble up more money, that is their
:03:53. > :03:55.USP. Made worse by the fact every time you spend money on road it
:03:56. > :04:01.involves roadworks which makes everyone furious. Probably the most
:04:02. > :04:05.annoying way you can spare money, in order to antagonise most people. I
:04:06. > :04:10.feel very much like this is expectation management. We were
:04:11. > :04:13.talking before we came in, sorry to spoil the magic, talking and saying
:04:14. > :04:16.it does feel like they have been building and don't worry, don't
:04:17. > :04:21.worry, it will be fine. And now there is some back slap, just
:04:22. > :04:26.kidding everyone, and a very small bang on Wednesday when it comes,
:04:27. > :04:32.everyone can be relieved. For everyone playing budget bingo I hope
:04:33. > :04:38.JAMS is at the top of your card. It makes an important point on the
:04:39. > :04:42.front, what is coming down the line, unless the Chancellor changes tack,
:04:43. > :04:47.are huge welfare cuts, huge cuts to people on low income and disabled
:04:48. > :04:52.people, a four dear benefit freeze. Whatever goodies he might be able to
:04:53. > :04:55.afford, a few quid off air passenger duty, that is scarcely going to
:04:56. > :04:59.compensate for the enormous sums of money that poor people are set to
:05:00. > :05:05.lose. That brings us nicely to the lead in the Guardian. Here we have
:05:06. > :05:12.them again, the just about managing households. A really high figure,
:05:13. > :05:19.?2500 a year that this can consultancy firm said the families
:05:20. > :05:22.could be missing out on? Yes, and that looking at all kinds of things,
:05:23. > :05:30.including cuts to housing benefit and... And benefit caps and freezes
:05:31. > :05:35.and bedroom taxes, as well as universal tax credit and everything
:05:36. > :05:39.else. ?2500 a year is pretty serious money for most of us, I think, apart
:05:40. > :05:44.from people earning incredibly well. And if you are on that border
:05:45. > :05:48.between managing and not managing the ?2500 a year is serious money.
:05:49. > :05:53.Would research like that change anything before Wednesday? To change
:05:54. > :05:56.it would involve enormous sums of money. This is why George Osborne
:05:57. > :06:00.put it in the budget in the first place, because that is way he could
:06:01. > :06:03.make his savings, the only place he could make savings. Billions and
:06:04. > :06:06.billions of pounds the government simply doesn't have. The other thing
:06:07. > :06:12.we will learn on Wednesday is the size of the Black hole to come
:06:13. > :06:15.because of Brexit. On Wednesday even the biggest fantasist in the Brexit
:06:16. > :06:18.Camp Nou think we are out of the woods and there is no economic
:06:19. > :06:21.damage from the vote in June will surely have to make some
:06:22. > :06:26.concessions, because the economy will slow down next year, as the
:06:27. > :06:30.forecaster said, and that will open up a huge black hole. The government
:06:31. > :06:35.will have less money, not more money. That there were contradictory
:06:36. > :06:39.figures, which lead us to believe things are not so bad. Unemployment
:06:40. > :06:43.figures are better than they have been in ages. There are those in
:06:44. > :06:46.favour of Brexit who can say, the wheels have come off like people
:06:47. > :06:51.said they would. Some people were expecting it to be much worse by
:06:52. > :06:55.now, won't they? I think there's a difference in the forecast made by
:06:56. > :06:59.economists and the forecasts made by George Osborne. George Osborne mate
:07:00. > :07:00.and crazy forecasts, that there would be an instant deep recession
:07:01. > :07:15.and there would have to be an emergency budget. I do believe
:07:16. > :07:17.that I don't think most people did. The economic forecasts are very
:07:18. > :07:19.different, people will stop spending because of a nervousness about
:07:20. > :07:21.Brexit. Companies. Investing because of the same nervousness. That is
:07:22. > :07:25.still most likely. The Daily Telegraph. Nicolas Sarkozy suffers
:07:26. > :07:31.shock defeat in the first round of the French primaries. We were saying
:07:32. > :07:38.it surprising that this story isn't an more front pages. This is the
:07:39. > :07:43.exercise to select the centre-right candidate who will have to take on
:07:44. > :07:50.Marine le Pen from the National front next year. Yes, despite the
:07:51. > :07:54.fact of the referendum, France is quite near and it does have a bit of
:07:55. > :07:59.an impact on us, who's in charge of France. Like you say, on the front
:08:00. > :08:04.of every paper... But perhaps people went to press too early, perhaps
:08:05. > :08:11.these results came in quite late. Yes, the person who has defeated
:08:12. > :08:15.Nicolas Sarkozy is Francois Fillon, described by the Daily Telegraph as
:08:16. > :08:22.a Thatcherite with a Welsh wife. Glorious turn of phrase. I think we
:08:23. > :08:26.are given to understand that perhaps he is a fan, but perhaps not as
:08:27. > :08:30.much, perhaps just likes one Welsh person and married her. As a
:08:31. > :08:37.Welshman I was excited. This was your moment! We never get any Welsh
:08:38. > :08:43.prime ministers in this country. But apparently, despite his love for his
:08:44. > :08:47.wife, doesn't like the rest of us Brits very much. I think he's on
:08:48. > :08:51.record saying it must be a hard Brexit unless Britain makes
:08:52. > :08:55.concessions in the talks. He wants to ban British MEPs from voting
:08:56. > :08:59.straightaway, wants the deal done fast. Doesn't sound like there will
:09:00. > :09:05.be any concessions from Paris if he wins, two Theresa May. If he doesn't
:09:06. > :09:14.win, and are Marine le Pen does when... -- win. What's interesting
:09:15. > :09:18.about Nicolas Sarkozy is he moved to the writing pursuit of the popular
:09:19. > :09:22.vote and it didn't work, in this case, when it comes to being
:09:23. > :09:27.selected for the party? What we have to appreciate is the theme in 2016,
:09:28. > :09:31.which looks like carrying into 2017, the phrase shock defeat is no longer
:09:32. > :09:34.usable, pretty much by definition if it is a shock to this vision it
:09:35. > :09:40.should have been what we were expecting to happen. I think you are
:09:41. > :09:45.right. -- if it is a shock decision. I was talking to poster from Germany
:09:46. > :09:50.today saying he could not predict what was going to happen. According
:09:51. > :09:53.to the metro, Tony Blair back in politics because Jeremy Corbyn is a
:09:54. > :09:57.nutter and Theresa May is a lightweight. To what extent is he
:09:58. > :10:01.really coming back into politics? I thought you are going to do what
:10:02. > :10:06.extent is he a nutter and she a lightweight! LAUGHTER
:10:07. > :10:10.That our libel laws. An eye-catching headline. Perhaps people think, what
:10:11. > :10:15.seat is he running for, will he be my MP Chris Wratt the answer is no.
:10:16. > :10:18.There is no suggestion he will return to front line politics, but
:10:19. > :10:23.he wants to dip his toe in the water, to the extent of setting up a
:10:24. > :10:31.new commission, some sort of think tank to be more closely involved in
:10:32. > :10:33.British politics from that sort of angle to either stop Brexit or amend
:10:34. > :10:36.Brexit. He thinks Brexit will be a disaster. He thinks he even has
:10:37. > :10:40.allies on the conservative side to work behind the scenes. Perhaps he
:10:41. > :10:43.had spoken to George Osborne. What will people think of this?
:10:44. > :10:48.Presumably they will think he is the most deluded person in the country,
:10:49. > :10:52.as people's minds were made up about Tony Blair a long time ago and not
:10:53. > :10:56.very favourably. Or who knows, maybe there are people out there who are
:10:57. > :11:01.so disillusioned with politics as it currently is, they can forget Tony
:11:02. > :11:05.Blair's failings and maybe even look back fondly to aspects of his rule.
:11:06. > :11:09.Time will tell. Some people would think anything he goes near would
:11:10. > :11:15.not help the people he's trying to help? Yes, I think that's probably
:11:16. > :11:21.true. I think he has a slight, slight, meze ionic attitude to the
:11:22. > :11:24.world. I think he goes, there is a problem, I could fix this and
:11:25. > :11:29.launches himself at it. Which in some ways is proactive and exactly
:11:30. > :11:32.what we would like to be happening, as opposed to everyone sitting
:11:33. > :11:36.around and claim this is terrible, this Brexit. Maybe if we sit here
:11:37. > :11:39.long enough it will be fine. But I think it is rarely the right answer
:11:40. > :11:45.when he makes that choice. How would he do any of that from within an
:11:46. > :11:49.institute he has set up? It doesn't sound like a proactive place to be
:11:50. > :11:53.doing things. Best case scenario if you could get people onto the BBC to
:11:54. > :11:58.offer an alternative opinion, to do a bit of shaping of the public
:11:59. > :12:01.debate. I feel like public debate is probably moving in the direction
:12:02. > :12:04.it's going to move in already. He's a fantastic orator, even his
:12:05. > :12:08.greatest critics would have to concede that. He has an incredible
:12:09. > :12:13.capacity for persuasion but I think he comes with too much baggage,
:12:14. > :12:16.doesn't he? Yes. I suggested before maybe some people would change their
:12:17. > :12:20.minds if they are really depressed about politics in the way it stands.
:12:21. > :12:24.But the headline is incorrect, is it? He's not going to be back in
:12:25. > :12:28.politics in the way we normally understand it. But he clearly wants
:12:29. > :12:34.to play some sort of role, trying to change events to some degree. If you
:12:35. > :12:39.want to be rehabilitated into the Labour Party you have to dance!
:12:40. > :12:45.That's true. Try the tango. The Telegraph. British children bottom
:12:46. > :12:51.of world fitness league. This makes some very depressing reading. Where
:12:52. > :12:56.does this come from? Research on 38 countries for the amount of physical
:12:57. > :12:59.activity done by children. England and Wales finished below the likes
:13:00. > :13:07.of Poland, Slovenia and Venezuela. They gave us a D minus. They said
:13:08. > :13:12.only about 15% of girls aged 11-15 are doing the one hour a day of
:13:13. > :13:16.moderate physical activity, which is recommended. If you think the miners
:13:17. > :13:23.is bad, you need to also think about Scotland, which gets an F. This
:13:24. > :13:27.comparison was done a couple of years ago, 2014. I think England had
:13:28. > :13:34.a seedy rating then, so things seem to be getting worse. At a particular
:13:35. > :13:38.point in HR's life it seems to get worse? It is disheartening. The use
:13:39. > :13:42.of the phrase bottom of the world because of where the line break is.
:13:43. > :13:46.The fitness league is only 38 countries, so not literally at the
:13:47. > :13:51.bottom of the world, although it does feel a bit like it when you
:13:52. > :13:54.read the numbers, which is that one in five primary school children,
:13:55. > :13:59.when they start primary school one in ten is obese, by the time they
:14:00. > :14:06.leave its one in five. 20%. That is a huge number. 15% of girls are
:14:07. > :14:10.doing exercise of an hour a day. 20% of children are already obese at 11.
:14:11. > :14:16.That seems like a terrifying number. We keep reading the almost packed
:14:17. > :14:20.phrase that this is the generation that will die before the age their
:14:21. > :14:26.parents reach, but I'm not sure how we're still saying that kind of
:14:27. > :14:31.glibly. It's a horrifying statistic. The suggestion is families need to
:14:32. > :14:36.make a change to everyday routines, to build in more exercise, is that
:14:37. > :14:40.right? They are calling it a super drug. If it were a drug and you
:14:41. > :14:45.could bottle it, they are saying this would be the pill. Exercise,
:14:46. > :14:52.exercise, exercise. It seems we have had many years looking at behaviour
:14:53. > :14:56.and the figures are getting worse. One head teacher introduced a one
:14:57. > :15:00.mile run every day for pupils. That has got some publicity, some praise.
:15:01. > :15:04.A few of the schools are copying it, but it doesn't seem to be spreading
:15:05. > :15:08.widely. The problem is our school curriculum is jam-packed with
:15:09. > :15:12.teaching the stuff that's really important, literacy and numeracy,
:15:13. > :15:15.but perhaps more space needs to be found for physical activity and
:15:16. > :15:19.forced at school, the only place where you can enforce it. A mile...
:15:20. > :15:24.I'm not saying it's not far but a lot less than an hour unless you go
:15:25. > :15:28.extremely slowly, it won't take you on our. Even I might manage it.
:15:29. > :15:33.Let's stay with the Telegraph this unhappy news. Keeping his crown.
:15:34. > :15:38.Andy Murray. You watched the match? I did. To be honest it was very
:15:39. > :15:44.stressful flipping between that and the Strictly results. He is my total
:15:45. > :15:49.hero, after my hero because of his complete deadpan expression and
:15:50. > :15:53.refusal to answer facile questions with facile replies but always super
:15:54. > :15:58.serious and undermining. Look how happy he looks. He was so exhausted.
:15:59. > :16:04.He played Raonic for three hours and 30 minutes yesterday, the two
:16:05. > :16:12.longest ever 80 port -- 80 port -- ATP tour matches. He played both of
:16:13. > :16:16.them. It was astonishing. And against Djokovic to achieve this,
:16:17. > :16:22.it's not just anybody. It is the world number two. It would have been
:16:23. > :16:25.unthinkable just a few years ago, let alone when I was growing up,
:16:26. > :16:29.that there could be a British number one. That is the scale of his
:16:30. > :16:33.achievement. I think we are in awe of his physical capabilities to do
:16:34. > :16:37.it day after day. I thought Djokovic would win today and it turned out to
:16:38. > :16:42.be quite easy. The number two, three, four and five players in the
:16:43. > :16:45.world because he is number one, it's amazing. You know your stuff! I love
:16:46. > :16:47.him, mock me not. That's it for The Papers
:16:48. > :16:50.for this hour. Don't forget all the front pages
:16:51. > :16:57.are online on the BBC News website where you can read a detailed review
:16:58. > :17:09.of the papers. You can see a repeat of this
:17:10. > :17:11.addition as well. But don't wait for that, we will be back live in just
:17:12. > :17:13.under one hour's time. Coming up next -
:17:14. > :17:22.it's Meet the Author. The rise of the Irish writer
:17:23. > :17:25.Cecelia Ahern has been