20/11/2016

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:00:00. > :00:00.Coming up, Fantastic Neasts but how much magic is there from Eddie

:00:00. > :00:00.Redmayne in the J-Tear rolling spin-off from the Harry Potter

:00:00. > :00:07.series? We have that and more in the other top releases in the Film

:00:08. > :00:15.Review -- Fantastic Beasts. Hello, and welcome to our look ahead

:00:16. > :00:19.to what the papers will be With me are the broadcaster,

:00:20. > :00:25.Natalie Haynes. It's nice. I'm not making a comment,

:00:26. > :00:36.it is nice. And the Independent's

:00:37. > :00:38.deputy political editor, The Daily Telegraph leads

:00:39. > :00:42.with Prime Minister Theresa May's planned tax pledge to try

:00:43. > :00:56.and win back business. 'New push for "clean break" EU

:00:57. > :01:00.exit,' is the headline for the Daily The paper says 70 Eurosceptic

:01:01. > :01:03.MPs are joining forces. The Metro says: "Blair is back

:01:04. > :01:05.in politics," with reports that the former prime minister

:01:06. > :01:08.is setting up a new institute And according to the Independent,

:01:09. > :01:19.a third of young homeless people Let's look to Wednesday and the

:01:20. > :01:24.Autumn Statement, the first one with Philip Hammond at the helm, here it

:01:25. > :01:27.is on the i, Osborne austerity continues in Brexit budget and

:01:28. > :01:32.Britain has to get match fit. Austerity was supposed to be a thing

:01:33. > :01:38.of the past, wasn't it? And it feels like the last two or three weeks or

:01:39. > :01:42.so we have had a little drip drip of worrying about managing families, we

:01:43. > :01:46.will have some sort of fun for them which will make things a little bit

:01:47. > :01:50.easier and nicer, excellent use, and suddenly three days before the

:01:51. > :01:57.statement of thing is coming back and it is no, austerity, we are in

:01:58. > :02:01.trouble, he is the only person who feels, who is breaking the party

:02:02. > :02:04.line and saying we will be in trouble with Brexit so we can't do

:02:05. > :02:09.anything and the question is expectation management or war and I

:02:10. > :02:16.think expectation management... That is unusual, normally it is me.

:02:17. > :02:22.Maybe. There are elements of disagreement between Number Ten and

:02:23. > :02:25.Number 11 and Theresa May is keen to find someone to make good on her

:02:26. > :02:29.promises for struggling families and Philip Hammond is less committed to

:02:30. > :02:34.that and more worried as Natalie says about the impact of Brexit and

:02:35. > :02:40.if he has any money to spend, he will spend it on tackling the causes

:02:41. > :02:43.of our productivity crisis such as by transport and better broadband,

:02:44. > :02:47.we need, along those lines rather than giving money to people in need.

:02:48. > :02:53.Alternatively, perhaps the government thought people were not

:02:54. > :02:57.excited about the budget and it will be first of all a splurge for

:02:58. > :03:01.families and now it is continued austerity. Tune in on Wednesday and

:03:02. > :03:05.find out. No, I don't think so. Do you? You talk about families who

:03:06. > :03:11.will really struggle. They are on the front of the Guardian. Revealed,

:03:12. > :03:20.cost four 6 million families. ?2500, some families will be worse off by.

:03:21. > :03:24.Journalists light myself don't just report what happens in that budget.

:03:25. > :03:27.You have to look at the big picture and what has already been announced,

:03:28. > :03:32.when it was announced it was going to happen in years to come and so it

:03:33. > :03:36.is happening now and what that means is huge cuts to Universal Credit for

:03:37. > :03:39.low income families and huge cuts to benefits for many disabled people. A

:03:40. > :03:45.four-year benefit freeze. So whatever goodies Philip Hammond

:03:46. > :03:48.manages to find down the back of his so far there is no way he can

:03:49. > :03:54.possibly compensate for what is coming and that is what this report

:03:55. > :03:58.says. And as you say it is up to families just about managing with

:03:59. > :04:04.?2500 worse off, it is an enormous sum. Has that fear come from this

:04:05. > :04:11.study from the consultancy, Policy and Practice? Yes, the financial

:04:12. > :04:14.circumstances of 187,475 households were studied and they have included

:04:15. > :04:20.in that not just things like the benefit freeze but they have also

:04:21. > :04:26.looked at rising rents and increasing inflation and the number

:04:27. > :04:31.they have come out with is ?48.90 a week and when you think about it

:04:32. > :04:36.that is a serious whack, it is a serious amount of money to spend on

:04:37. > :04:40.groceries, heating, electricity, petrol, which of course is now

:04:41. > :04:45.incredibly expensive, and these are things which people are going to try

:04:46. > :04:50.to stretch their money to meet and it is a lot of money to lose. The

:04:51. > :04:55.Times, Aleppo loses last hospital in onslaught from Russians. It is hard

:04:56. > :05:00.to imagine, isn't it, the conditions in eastern Aleppo in particular,

:05:01. > :05:06.because it has been under bombardment and under siege for so

:05:07. > :05:09.long. Yes. And there were eight medical facilities, none of which

:05:10. > :05:13.have now been functioning since Saturday, according to the Times. I

:05:14. > :05:17.have to say they are the only paper that sees fit to include what is a

:05:18. > :05:23.major I would have thought news story on their front page. Yes, I

:05:24. > :05:27.suppose perhaps everyone else is just so riven with helplessness that

:05:28. > :05:31.it doesn't feel like the information you want to share, that there are

:05:32. > :05:35.premature babies being moved because the room where they are with their

:05:36. > :05:39.incubator is filling with smoke. I assumed we could all agree that

:05:40. > :05:43.bombing a children's hospital was wrong but it turns out there are

:05:44. > :05:47.people who will defend all kinds of things. There are reports as well of

:05:48. > :05:52.barrel bombs being used loaded with chlorine gas and a family of six has

:05:53. > :05:56.died. It is difficult to get a lot of information out of Aleppo because

:05:57. > :06:01.of the conditions. There are not many journalists, if any. There is

:06:02. > :06:06.some testimony and to map quote leap out, one in the Times, quoting a

:06:07. > :06:10.former graphic designer leaving eastern Aleppo with his family and

:06:11. > :06:13.he says if you watch the film Mad Max you can imagine the city, there

:06:14. > :06:18.is nothing useful, we spend time hunting for things to stay alive, I

:06:19. > :06:22.feel I am not living in the 21st century. And a quote from a British

:06:23. > :06:26.doctor who was there, no more, and they have been fed messages from the

:06:27. > :06:30.Assad regime that if you don't live in the next 24 hours you will be

:06:31. > :06:34.killed. The Times deserves credit for keeping the story on the front

:06:35. > :06:38.page. Other papers have not. It is not just another story about how

:06:39. > :06:42.terrible life is in Aleppo. It is something over and above that. The

:06:43. > :06:47.last hospital. There is no hope for people with injuries in a Aleppo.

:06:48. > :06:50.Looking at two papers, the Telegraph and the FT and what is happening in

:06:51. > :06:59.politics in mainland Europe and notably France and Germany. Firstly,

:07:00. > :07:03.the Telegraph, Nicolas Sarkozy suffers shock defeat in first round

:07:04. > :07:07.of French primary. He wanted a second go at being president and it

:07:08. > :07:11.is not to be. Yes, I suppose if there was one contender in the

:07:12. > :07:17.election that a reasonable number of British people would have heard of

:07:18. > :07:24.it would have been Sarkozy as president, perhaps it is our

:07:25. > :07:29.mistake. He is out of the race. It has been suggested that it is

:07:30. > :07:34.another example of voters turning against the establishment candidate

:07:35. > :07:39.in the same way as Brexit. And with Trump winning. The contenders who

:07:40. > :07:43.beat him were former French Prime Minister is so you can argue they

:07:44. > :07:50.are in the establishment as well, maybe people just like Nicolas

:07:51. > :07:54.Sarkozy. And Francois Fillon looks to be the contender next year and

:07:55. > :08:00.the person who will take on the national front. And from what I have

:08:01. > :08:05.read Nicolas Sarkozy risks chasing the populace vote and moved a little

:08:06. > :08:09.bit to the right in the hope of appealing to those who might intend

:08:10. > :08:12.to vote for Marine Le Pen. If the last few months have told us

:08:13. > :08:16.anything it is that repositioning yourself when you are already a

:08:17. > :08:22.known quantity is a recipe for disaster at the moment. We have a

:08:23. > :08:29.strange craving for what is perceived to be authentic and I used

:08:30. > :08:32.those quotes because that is in the eye of the beholder. Someone can be

:08:33. > :08:36.in the establishment or the blue-collar billionaire can be

:08:37. > :08:42.employed and people don't see it as being intrinsically ludicrous.

:08:43. > :08:46.Nonetheless it is an attempt to say, oh, well, my politics are like this,

:08:47. > :08:50.and voters are not buying it. We don't want people to triangulate

:08:51. > :08:54.their position. We don't want people to move position. We have a strange

:08:55. > :08:58.point in politics where we said on the what is your position, OK, I am

:08:59. > :09:03.not interested and from then on you cannot win it back. The FT, Angela

:09:04. > :09:07.Merkel seeking a fourth term in office, she seems to be sticking to

:09:08. > :09:12.her guns and saying, I know it will be a tough challenge. Although her

:09:13. > :09:17.popularity has waned, she still has a lot of wide support. You're, I

:09:18. > :09:22.wonder if it has anything to do with Obama's visit this week. There was a

:09:23. > :09:26.real sense, wasn't there, during the coverage of the visit that he was

:09:27. > :09:33.passing on the torch of her being the person we are looking towards to

:09:34. > :09:38.speak up for a united Western category of countries and leaders

:09:39. > :09:42.and there is a vague sense that perhaps he is already bypassing the

:09:43. > :09:47.next president of the US and offering it over to Angela Merkel.

:09:48. > :09:51.Maybe that was the push she wanted. But there is an anti- Muslim,

:09:52. > :09:56.anti-immigration party that is increasing its support in Germany.

:09:57. > :10:02.Yes, there is. I mean, it is less popular than the National Front in

:10:03. > :10:05.France, and I don't want to make predictions in politics, but surely

:10:06. > :10:14.Merkel will win again. Now you have said it. There is a quote from her

:10:15. > :10:20.hair which... -- her here which... How many people in the world will be

:10:21. > :10:25.dependent on her and suicidal if Marine Le Pen wins next year. Angela

:10:26. > :10:28.Merkel says it is grotesque and almost absurd to suggest she can

:10:29. > :10:34.solve the world's problems alone. We can only do it together. Sorry,

:10:35. > :10:38.Angela, but people are looking at you as the only person who can

:10:39. > :10:42.vaguely keep things on track. The sun that, a tiny Navy is a danger,

:10:43. > :10:46.who has said it? The defence Select Committee has a report out tomorrow

:10:47. > :10:53.which makes the case for a shipbuilding splurge in Britain --

:10:54. > :10:57.The Sun. If you ask people how money warships Britain have, people would

:10:58. > :11:04.say 30, 40, 50, I don't know, memories that we once had an empire,

:11:05. > :11:08.it is true that we have in fact 19, 13 frigates and six destroyers,

:11:09. > :11:11.which is in many, and that is the point the committee will make

:11:12. > :11:16.tomorrow. Will it make any difference? Most of the defence

:11:17. > :11:19.budget is going to be spent on renewing Britain's Trident

:11:20. > :11:23.submarines and missiles over the coming years and decades and I

:11:24. > :11:28.suggest that will leave little for expanding the rest of the defence. A

:11:29. > :11:32.pathetic fleet. You're, and as always we have more details front of

:11:33. > :11:37.the Telegraph, but as always with stories about defence acquisitions,

:11:38. > :11:44.the usual weight, you have spent how much, it doesn't work because... MPs

:11:45. > :11:47.criticise mistakes in the design of the destroyers which have led to the

:11:48. > :11:51.billion pound vessels being plagued by power outages in need of engine

:11:52. > :11:56.refits. A report called restoring the fleet and in its usable failing

:11:57. > :12:01.for not being designed to operate for long periods in warm seas such

:12:02. > :12:06.as the Gulf and it does seem like an inexcusable failing. A bit of an

:12:07. > :12:09.oversight. Yes, ?1 billion and engine refits. As always with

:12:10. > :12:13.defence stories, you find yourself gazing at the sums and eyes

:12:14. > :12:19.watering. Very quickly, two store is also on the Telegraph, British

:12:20. > :12:26.children bottom of world fitness league, 38 countries have been

:12:27. > :12:30.compared and we do very badly on. Yes. I find it hard to relate. I was

:12:31. > :12:34.watching my daughter swimming up and down a 50 metre pool and she was

:12:35. > :12:38.looming far better than I ever could, now, let alone when I was

:12:39. > :12:41.that age and there are clearly lots of children who I see out there

:12:42. > :12:45.playing sport as much as my generation ever did but presumably

:12:46. > :12:48.there are not enough of them. This story tells us that overall these

:12:49. > :12:56.children are getting less fit. England used to have a C-D rating

:12:57. > :13:00.and now it has a D- rating for the fitness of 11- 15 -year-olds and

:13:01. > :13:03.Scotland is even worse with F. I wonder what it is, then, because it

:13:04. > :13:07.is expensive to do these activities if they are not available in school,

:13:08. > :13:12.joining clubs, getting them now, it costs a lot of money. It is and they

:13:13. > :13:16.are expensive and yet, still, the requirements seem not to me to be

:13:17. > :13:20.impossible with one hour of moderate exercise per day. You think, well,

:13:21. > :13:25.that is 1.5 miles walking to school and home, isn't it, and I know it

:13:26. > :13:29.rains and not everyone embraces, as I do, the chance to get soaked and

:13:30. > :13:34.say, this is brazing and character building, I really do see that, but

:13:35. > :13:38.it is not unfeasible to fit that into your life, it doesn't have to

:13:39. > :13:42.be a trampoline or ballet class or horseriding or the things we think

:13:43. > :13:47.of as expensive, it could be going for a run or a walk. Finally,

:13:48. > :13:53.keeping his crown, Andy Murray on the front of the Telegraph beating

:13:54. > :13:57.Novak Djokovic to finish the year world number one. Ah yes, it would

:13:58. > :14:02.have seen a unthinkable when Novak Djokovic was all conquering. I find

:14:03. > :14:07.it astonishing that Andy Murray can win so many tournaments in such a

:14:08. > :14:11.short amount of time and somehow his battered body has taken him over the

:14:12. > :14:14.line. We were talking earlier that presumably he will collapse into a

:14:15. > :14:18.heap if he hasn't already. Extraordinary stamina. It is

:14:19. > :14:21.extraordinary and also the psychological strength that must

:14:22. > :14:25.have been required to beat him yesterday after being one point

:14:26. > :14:30.down, serving for the match twice, winning on the tiebreak, and then

:14:31. > :14:33.coming out and having, I am sure not easy, relatively easy straight sets

:14:34. > :14:39.win over Novak Djokovic, it is just amazing, his willpower is something

:14:40. > :14:44.to marvel at. Rob knows all of the finalists at Wimbledon back to 1970.

:14:45. > :14:54.Who played in 1983? Oh, that was when John McEnroe won. Oh, you see?

:14:55. > :14:58.It is his superpower. It is. It is your superpower. I think it is

:14:59. > :15:00.right. Lloyd? Yes. Mastermind. John Humphrys on the phone. Got away with

:15:01. > :15:00.it. Don't forget, all the front pages

:15:01. > :15:05.are online on the BBC News website, where you can read a detailed

:15:06. > :15:08.review of the papers. It's all there for you seven days

:15:09. > :15:11.a week at bbc.co.uk/papers, and you can see us there, too,

:15:12. > :15:14.with each night's edition of The Papers being posted

:15:15. > :15:20.on the page shortly Coming up next, it's

:15:21. > :15:23.the Film Review.