22/11/2016

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:00:19. > :00:25.Welcome to look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow.

:00:26. > :00:29.I'm joined by a former political adviser to the Labour Party, and the

:00:30. > :00:33.editor of politics home. They look at the front pages. We start with

:00:34. > :00:38.the Telegraph. It leads the Chancellor's Autumn Statement. She

:00:39. > :00:41.will deliver tomorrow. He says there will be ?1 billion boost to

:00:42. > :00:44.alleviate the effect of the government's previous benefit cuts.

:00:45. > :00:47.The Financial Times says the Chancellor will put housing at the

:00:48. > :00:54.heart of the Autumn Statement but will push back the goal of a fiscal

:00:55. > :00:58.surplus into the 20 20s. The eye, it leads with what it says its fury at

:00:59. > :01:01.number ten adult on's suggestion that Nigel Farage should be British

:01:02. > :01:05.ambassador to Washington, the Metro reports on a man extradited to

:01:06. > :01:10.Greece for running a ?7 million people smuggling racket. From inside

:01:11. > :01:14.an asylum seeker's hostel in Liverpool. The Guardian front page

:01:15. > :01:19.has the story of another footballer, Steve Walters, alleging he was

:01:20. > :01:29.abused by coach, Barry Bennett, and the Times, sing at a meeting between

:01:30. > :01:31.EU foreign ministers and the Brexit secretary was bad-tempered, but that

:01:32. > :01:36.quote Mr Davies is saying it was great fun. Will you be calling this

:01:37. > :01:52.bad-tempered or great fun after the papers? Great fun, I sincerely hope.

:01:53. > :01:57.Loads of banter. We're going to start with him and's ?1 billion

:01:58. > :02:00.boost to benefits. We have heard a lot about chance this week. They

:02:01. > :02:06.squeezed middle. Was that your phrase that you gave Mr Milliband?

:02:07. > :02:11.It was a good phrase, it captured a moment in time. It was a good

:02:12. > :02:15.analysis. But they are just about managing, this group of people,

:02:16. > :02:18.whether you call them we squeezed middle, the jams, alarm clock

:02:19. > :02:23.Britain, whatever you want to call them, these are the people that

:02:24. > :02:31.politicians in particular, chancellors, always try to send a

:02:32. > :02:33.signal to in these moments, and the interesting thing is the Telegraph

:02:34. > :02:37.have decided to lead on the fact that he is going to try to make some

:02:38. > :02:39.of the cups to universal credit which are helping people who are

:02:40. > :02:43.already in work or on low pay, and they get a bit extra, so it looks

:02:44. > :02:47.like he is going to be giving about ?1 billion back in terms of the cup,

:02:48. > :02:51.but I suppose the question that a lot of people will be asking is,

:02:52. > :02:54.this is obviously to be welcomed, but is this going to be enough,

:02:55. > :02:58.because people are really feeling the squeeze in terms of family

:02:59. > :03:02.finances, and I would argue that if you really want to help the just

:03:03. > :03:06.about managing, two errors will make a big difference, one is childcare,

:03:07. > :03:09.loads of families really struggle with childcare, and the government

:03:10. > :03:13.has not been able to honour... They made a promise to give everyone a 30

:03:14. > :03:16.hours, that is struggling. Under the other end of the family scale,

:03:17. > :03:22.caring for older people, social care is really crying out, I think this

:03:23. > :03:25.little bit for universal credit, but there's much more that can be done.

:03:26. > :03:34.The problem is he has no money, he is skint. He is, this is more of a

:03:35. > :03:38.signal than a tangible benefit. What they are doing is reducing what is

:03:39. > :03:42.known as the tape parade. Currently claimants can lose 65% of their

:03:43. > :03:47.universal credit for every pound that and once they get a job, that

:03:48. > :03:52.has been reduced now to 63p. It is not an awful of money. Not a lot of

:03:53. > :03:56.people would notice that in their pay packet. And it is ?1 billion

:03:57. > :04:00.over five years. You are not looking now at massive amount of money. It

:04:01. > :04:03.will not cost him an awful lot, he does not have much money, but it is

:04:04. > :04:07.more of a signal so that they can turn around and say, look, we hear

:04:08. > :04:11.that people are suffering, here is a gesture, really rather than

:04:12. > :04:16.anything... I don't know if that is anything that will be enough,

:04:17. > :04:19.particularly after Brexit people are really angry about the

:04:20. > :04:23.circumstances, about how things have not got better since the financial

:04:24. > :04:26.crash, so I don't know if this will be enough, remember, this is a group

:04:27. > :04:31.of people who are already working on finding it difficult to make ends

:04:32. > :04:34.meet, lots of people having to go to food banks, that sort of, you know,

:04:35. > :04:37.tough times they are facing, I don't know if they will feel that this is

:04:38. > :04:42.enough to believe that the government is really listening to

:04:43. > :04:45.them. What is interesting is that suddenly it is a break from the

:04:46. > :04:49.Osborne - Cameron Iraq, they announced swingeing cuts in March in

:04:50. > :04:55.the budget and this is a departure from that. What about Kevin the

:04:56. > :05:00.Guardian? The Chancellor to crack down on letting fees. A ban on

:05:01. > :05:08.agency charges. He is intending to help Jams? Will this help? Again,

:05:09. > :05:12.the Jams again. I think it will be a low-key Autumn Statement tomorrow.

:05:13. > :05:17.Philip Hammond is a low-key... He's not the most demonstrative of chaps.

:05:18. > :05:20.That is safe to say, he's not flamboyant in the George Osborne

:05:21. > :05:23.sense in that he always pulled a rabbit out of the hat, something

:05:24. > :05:27.they kept under wraps that was a surprise and would grab the

:05:28. > :05:33.headlines. This is one of the announcement his company tomorrow,

:05:34. > :05:38.administrative fees that letting agents charge to tenants, can be few

:05:39. > :05:42.hundred ?44 on average, they say it is need for inventory costs and

:05:43. > :05:46.things like that, people say, really? Does that really cost ?300

:05:47. > :05:50.to carry it out? So the government will ban it and say you can't do it.

:05:51. > :05:54.The counterargument is that these costs are passed on in rent. Funnily

:05:55. > :05:59.enough that is what the Tories were saying just a couple of months ago

:06:00. > :06:03.because this was a labour idea. Which the Conservatives are

:06:04. > :06:16.basically stolen, Lock, stock, and barrel. Despite, as I

:06:17. > :06:20.say, a couple of months before, saying this was a disaster, it would

:06:21. > :06:22.never work, they have decided to do it, again, it is another gesture

:06:23. > :06:25.towards those who are just about managing to show that the government

:06:26. > :06:27.is hearing their concerns and trying to help and... It is eye-catching

:06:28. > :06:29.and definitely a good thing that will be popular because Labour and

:06:30. > :06:32.the Liberal Democrats have campaigned, but it is very small,

:06:33. > :06:34.when there is a massive issue with affordable housing, social housing

:06:35. > :06:37.in this country, and also, a lot of people think, OK that is fine, it's

:06:38. > :06:39.quite small, but they are going ahead with the cup to inheritance

:06:40. > :06:44.tax. Which is going to benefit very wealthy homeowners. They are raising

:06:45. > :06:48.the threshold for 40p tax payers as well. So a slight tax break for

:06:49. > :07:00.middle earners as well. If we go to the Financial times, a fiscal

:07:01. > :07:04.sweetener, help for Jams, again. Clearly he has not got much room for

:07:05. > :07:09.manoeuvre. But he has got to be seen to be doing something. And it we

:07:10. > :07:13.have seen so far on the front pages suggest it is going to be fairly

:07:14. > :07:17.piecemeal, little bits here, but it is the kind of stuff that says,

:07:18. > :07:21.longer term, stick with this government? Don't think things...

:07:22. > :07:25.You know, things are under control. It is going to be tough, but it is

:07:26. > :07:30.worth staying with us for the long haul. I think they are in a very

:07:31. > :07:34.difficult position. Because I think you are right, that is the message

:07:35. > :07:37.they want to send out, the Prime Minister made a very bold speech on

:07:38. > :07:40.the steps of Downing Street when she became Prime Minister saying I'm

:07:41. > :07:45.going to be a Prime Minister for everybody, the many, not the few,

:07:46. > :07:48.she very much wanted to make a break from the Osborne- Cameron years, but

:07:49. > :08:00.the proof will be in the pudding, and people will judge them on their

:08:01. > :08:02.action, not just the rhetoric, so this is a very important outing for

:08:03. > :08:04.them, but what is interesting is they are already doing a lot of

:08:05. > :08:07.expectation management because as you say they have got a massive

:08:08. > :08:09.financial problem, Brexit, they think that will constrain how much

:08:10. > :08:13.money they will be able to spend, and they are also doing a lot of

:08:14. > :08:16.interesting down spin, a Theresa May ally said, this speech is going to

:08:17. > :08:20.be sombre and short, there will be no rabbits, and it will be no

:08:21. > :08:26.rabbits, and the deadly dull. And that is one of her friends. That is

:08:27. > :08:30.like a big supporter. That is like somebody who is a... I think

:08:31. > :08:35.actually be quite a single rule in the Autumn Statement. I think

:08:36. > :08:41.everything is being spun out as much as possible. I think the big

:08:42. > :08:45.elephant in the room will be Brexit. Staying with the Financial Times,

:08:46. > :08:49.talk about deadly dull, maybe that is quite good, compared with the USA

:08:50. > :08:54.at the moment. Donald Trump's free path to power creates friction with

:08:55. > :08:57.media and number ten. I mean, he is breaking all the rules, and it seems

:08:58. > :09:02.to be working for him at the moment. Well, yes, we got this morning at

:09:03. > :09:06.number ten waking up to quite a shock, he had treated in the middle

:09:07. > :09:09.of the night, not the middle of the night there, Lucan never rule

:09:10. > :09:13.anything out Donald Trump, but he treated in the middle of the night

:09:14. > :09:19.saying that Nigel Farage should be the UK ambassador. But who else is

:09:20. > :09:24.he going to suggest? Why is this story...? Why suggest anyone? It is

:09:25. > :09:31.not usually the done thing for the US president to suggest to the Prime

:09:32. > :09:34.Minister who the ambassadors. It is not usually the done thing, but who

:09:35. > :09:38.cares? It is just unusual. We are living in this kind of mad world

:09:39. > :09:42.where that sell they often will Trump and Nigel Farage in that

:09:43. > :09:46.golden elevator, it has done more to break the Internet since Kim

:09:47. > :09:50.Kardashian put that glass of champagne on her posterior, never

:09:51. > :09:55.has a selfish and spun out for such a long time, but the problem is,

:09:56. > :09:58.there are no rules now, Donald Trump, and there's a great quote in

:09:59. > :10:01.here from a media commentator saying, he got to be the president

:10:02. > :10:05.elect by breaking all the rules and he has clearly got no intention of

:10:06. > :10:09.sticking to the rules now, so I think you will be tweeting left,

:10:10. > :10:15.right and centre, I think you will make pronouncements on, you know,

:10:16. > :10:18.probably he will wade into the French and German elections, and...

:10:19. > :10:23.And we will all dutifully jump on every tweet. He knows how to wind up

:10:24. > :10:26.his critics. He will be well aware that there are people within Downing

:10:27. > :10:34.Street who criticised him before, and he... And don't like Nigel

:10:35. > :10:37.Farage. And don't like Nigel Farage. And he will know that by doing this

:10:38. > :10:40.he is winding them right up and he enjoying it. They have been quite

:10:41. > :10:47.effective as well because it has got to the stage where number ten have

:10:48. > :10:49.issued a defence of the existing ambassador, saying we have full

:10:50. > :10:53.confidence, but the one note of caution is, you know, Trump is going

:10:54. > :10:58.to be Trump, we can expect that, but I think Downing Street is creating a

:10:59. > :11:01.vacuum for Nigel Farage and Trump, because they are really letting

:11:02. > :11:07.these stories... Because they been quite quiet about a lot of on Brexit

:11:08. > :11:12.and not giving a running commentary, there is a vacuum, and nature was a

:11:13. > :11:15.vacuum, and newspapers especially abhor a vacuum, and the four Irish

:11:16. > :11:20.are seeing the opportunity and going for it. Trump calls for for. Kevin,

:11:21. > :11:25.the fact of the matter is, he has got an in to the Oval Office, no

:11:26. > :11:31.question about that. And we need as many friends as we can get in a post

:11:32. > :11:36.Brexit world and we need a damn good trade deal with everyone including

:11:37. > :11:40.the Americas, why not? Because he is so diametrically opposed to Theresa

:11:41. > :11:44.May and just about everything. Every possible way. And so the notion that

:11:45. > :11:50.she is going to put this guy in there as her man in Washington who

:11:51. > :11:54.she cannot stand, and yet he is more likely to be working in Donald

:11:55. > :11:58.Trump's interest than Britain's interests, it is absolutely for the

:11:59. > :12:01.birds. And it put number ten in an impossible situation because I'm the

:12:02. > :12:04.one hand they did not want to be seen to be criticising Donald Trump

:12:05. > :12:07.because they are desperate to have a good working relationship with him

:12:08. > :12:11.but at the same time they had to make it perfectly clear that what he

:12:12. > :12:12.was saying was complete nonsense and is a complete nonstarter, so that is

:12:13. > :12:49.why they come out and said, the ambassador at the moment,

:12:50. > :12:52.Kim Darragh, is doing a great job, and they tried to shut down that

:12:53. > :12:54.way, but at the same time they were stopping short of directly

:12:55. > :12:57.criticising Donald Trump, it does not help as well that there are

:12:58. > :12:59.loads of tweet still around from the Chiefs of staff, you know, sort of

:13:00. > :13:02.putting the boot into Trump, calling him a chump, in the run-up to the

:13:03. > :13:05.election, and I believe that people in the White House now are not best

:13:06. > :13:08.pleased about those tweets, so I mean this rela tionship was going to

:13:09. > :13:10.be... Look, one thing is clear, the special relationship is not between

:13:11. > :13:12.Theresa May and Donald Trump, it is between four Irish and Donald these

:13:13. > :13:15.are different readouts of the meeting. David Davis says that the

:13:16. > :13:17.meeting was great fun, such fun, everyone else said it was a

:13:18. > :13:20.nightmare. It seems that the humour and the wit and the banter of Boris

:13:21. > :13:22.Johnson, and all of these jokes he has been making about trade deals,

:13:23. > :13:25.they are not travelling particularly well to our opposite numbers. They

:13:26. > :13:28.are sort of saying that they summarise view of Mr Johnson is

:13:29. > :13:33.mercurial with a wit that does not always travel well across the

:13:34. > :13:39.Channel. And this is an attack from Manfred Webber, who is a very senior

:13:40. > :13:43.politician in Germany, and an ally of the German Chancellor, and

:13:44. > :13:46.usually having a big go at Boris Johnson, he highlights the leaflets

:13:47. > :13:52.that Boris Johnson used during the campaign about Turkey, and all that

:13:53. > :13:55.sort of thing, and he also says, look, he thinks that Boris Johnson

:13:56. > :14:00.has been very provocative, and also says that, you know, they don't

:14:01. > :14:06.really feel that there is a clear plan from the UK about what it wants

:14:07. > :14:09.from Brexit so I think it is just more evidence that our relationship

:14:10. > :14:12.and our negotiations with Europe are definitely going to be pretty

:14:13. > :14:18.choppy. Kevin, the suggestion from European ministers, those on the

:14:19. > :14:21.other side of the debate, I suppose, they are making it clear that they

:14:22. > :14:29.don't think we know what we actually want from Brexit? What could

:14:30. > :14:32.possibly given that idea? All this stuff about now running commentary,

:14:33. > :14:36.that is because there is nothing to commentate on. Well, quite, we have

:14:37. > :14:40.briefings of day with Downing Street and we often ask, what is the plan?

:14:41. > :14:43.And what they basically do is tell us what they have been doing up

:14:44. > :14:47.until now. So it is not really a plan. They really don't have a plan.

:14:48. > :15:12.And nobody knows how it is good to play out. And I have since and

:15:13. > :15:16.they with them, because it is right when they say that you cannot show

:15:17. > :15:18.your hand when the other side across the table, you can give away

:15:19. > :15:21.everything that you want, but I think at the moment... They are not

:15:22. > :15:23.sure what they want. Also, as a former spinner, there are certain

:15:24. > :15:26.lines of communication, like, now running commentary means, we don't

:15:27. > :15:29.have a clue. That is basically code for we don't have a... That is your

:15:30. > :15:32.routine? I am here all week. Stay with us on BBC News. All the front

:15:33. > :15:35.pages are online. And as a deed of papers there for you. BBC .co .uk/

:15:36. > :15:37.papers. And you can see us there also. Each night's vision of the

:15:38. > :15:39.papers. Posted on the page shortly after we finish. Many thanks. The

:15:40. > :15:41.stories behind the headlines. Stay with us on BBC News, more coming up,

:15:42. > :15:51.goodbye for now. Some of us have endured some rather

:15:52. > :15:53.wet and windy weather again today but not the severity of weather we

:15:54. > :15:54.have seen over