08/01/2017

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:00:13. > :00:15.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:16. > :00:24.Are you comfortable? Yes.

:00:25. > :00:26.Good. Fidget! With me are the political columnist

:00:27. > :00:28.for the Independent, John Rentoul and the former

:00:29. > :00:34.Government minister, Esther McVey. Nice to see you both. This is a

:00:35. > :00:40.quick hit, we will do a longer one later on. Some of the stories

:00:41. > :00:41.though, at the front pages that have come through.

:00:42. > :00:44.The FT leads on what it says will be a ?24 billion cost

:00:45. > :00:47.to the taxpayer of closing oil platforms in the North Sea.

:00:48. > :00:48.The Metro says Theresa May's interview today

:00:49. > :00:51.on Brexit is her biggest clue yet that the UK will leave

:00:52. > :00:53.the single market when it exits the European Union.

:00:54. > :00:56.The i warns that could lead to the break up of the UK,

:00:57. > :00:59.with SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon calling for another independence

:01:00. > :01:01.referendum for Scotland unless the UK hangs on to membership

:01:02. > :01:15.Tamara's Telegraph reports that Boris Johnson is in New York meeting

:01:16. > :01:20.some president-elect Donald Trump's top team on talks on a post-Brexit

:01:21. > :01:26.trade deal. And the Star forecasts and Arctic blast that has killed

:01:27. > :01:31.people in Europe and North America head here too. Let's talk about

:01:32. > :01:38.Theresa May and the interview she did with Sophy Ridge on horror new

:01:39. > :01:43.programme on our competitor channel, Sky. Very well done it was,

:01:44. > :01:48.actually. May - I am not in a model -

:01:49. > :01:53.how much clearer it do you think we are that Brexit means Brexit?

:01:54. > :01:58.Not very much clearer, which is why the Metro has to use the sort of

:01:59. > :02:02.headline that I remember learning in journalism skill, you should not put

:02:03. > :02:07.the word not in a headline, because people misread it as now, it changes

:02:08. > :02:13.the meaning of the headline. If you want to get a quick message across,

:02:14. > :02:18.you don't use the word not. George Orwell, use a positive rather

:02:19. > :02:24.than a negative when you can. I am not in model, what is she? That

:02:25. > :02:27.is, actor, there are some of that interview. She did not save much

:02:28. > :02:35.that is new. Do you think we are clearer?

:02:36. > :02:40.I thought it was a good interview. I thought Sophy was wonderful, and so

:02:41. > :02:44.was Theresa May, because, at the end of the day, when people voted for

:02:45. > :02:48.Brexit, even people like David Cameron who are out on the stump,

:02:49. > :02:52.said we will not be in the single market, because if you remain in the

:02:53. > :02:56.single market, you have freedom of movement, was set by Europe, and

:02:57. > :03:01.also be paying into it. That is why people voted to come out. So she

:03:02. > :03:05.said very clearly, Brexit means you can't have a pick 'n' mix of

:03:06. > :03:09.different things you want within the EU. We have got to come out, and

:03:10. > :03:16.that is why she said let's not get hung up in the process, let's get

:03:17. > :03:22.the best deal for Britain within the EU, what can we do? We're still

:03:23. > :03:25.neighbours, still together, but that's what we have to do, we're

:03:26. > :03:30.coming out, let's get the best deal. I thought she was very clear.

:03:31. > :03:34.She still refuses to give a straight answer to the question, are we going

:03:35. > :03:37.to be members of the single market. Everyone knows we're not, but your

:03:38. > :03:46.refuses to say so. To do with the model, but she is not

:03:47. > :03:50.in a model, this was a parting jibe on the civil servant who, for all

:03:51. > :03:54.intents and purposes, wasn't the guy to be in charge Brexit.

:03:55. > :03:58.This is Ivan Rogers, who resigned last week.

:03:59. > :04:05.As with David Cameron, he played a very good hands badly and left us in

:04:06. > :04:09.this state. The i extrapolates from us, and says

:04:10. > :04:13.the UK faces a Brexit break-up, because Nicola Sturgeon Sergei wants

:04:14. > :04:18.Scotland to have access to the single market, and if it is a

:04:19. > :04:22.complete break, she will say that as a green light to have another

:04:23. > :04:26.referendum on Scottish independence. It Brexit therefore means the

:04:27. > :04:31.break-up of the UK, do you think that is the case?

:04:32. > :04:35.Know, and we had the paper straight afterwards which expires why, and

:04:36. > :04:39.that is the Financial Times. Really, it Nicola Sturgeon has much to

:04:40. > :04:42.everybody to the top of the hill, saying Scotland could be

:04:43. > :04:47.independent, but never, ever expect how we could afford to be

:04:48. > :04:50.independent, which it couldn't. She thought the money from the North Sea

:04:51. > :04:54.was great to be billions and billions of pounds forever -

:04:55. > :04:57.actually, it is already in a deficit because people are closing down some

:04:58. > :05:03.of the North Sea oil sites. So they can't have at independence, because

:05:04. > :05:06.they couldn't get into the EU. They couldn't be a member of Europe, they

:05:07. > :05:13.won't even know what the currency is. And as it happens, England,

:05:14. > :05:17.Westminster, the UK, is paying for Scotland.

:05:18. > :05:20.The FT talks about there are massive decommissioning costs for closing

:05:21. > :05:27.down the North Sea oil platform. And they are bigger than the USA

:05:28. > :05:30.thought. Which wipes out, as Esther says, any benefit that an

:05:31. > :05:37.independent Scotland could expect. -- then previously thought. This

:05:38. > :05:41.isn't new either, Nicola Sturgeon always goes on television and says,

:05:42. > :05:44.I'm not bluffing, we are going to have a second referendum if you

:05:45. > :05:51.carry on like this, you naughty Southerners. But the FT story is

:05:52. > :05:55.very important, because it makes it ever harder for Scotland to do that.

:05:56. > :06:00.There is the evidence that the Scottish Biba had changed their mind

:06:01. > :06:05.or will change their mind when the UK leads the EU. -- Scottish people

:06:06. > :06:09.have changed their mind. I wondered had the decommissioning

:06:10. > :06:13.costs came about, and they say it allows oil companies to claw back

:06:14. > :06:18.some of the 330 billion of taxes paid since no seed production, and

:06:19. > :06:22.it was a form of tax relief, so they got the money back for

:06:23. > :06:26.decommissioning. Already, this year, it is 500 million this year in

:06:27. > :06:31.deficit. A couple of other stories before we

:06:32. > :06:37.finish this time. Firstly, the Telegraph, Boris meets Tron's top

:06:38. > :06:42.team in boost. We have said it was a surprise visit, I hope it wasn't a

:06:43. > :06:46.surprise to the Americans! That is what is important about it,

:06:47. > :06:51.people complained that Theresa May doesn't provide a running

:06:52. > :06:54.commentary, work has been going on behind the scenes to build a

:06:55. > :07:00.relationship with the incoming trump administration. I thought the most

:07:01. > :07:06.interesting detail in that story was that Theresa May's Joint Chiefs of

:07:07. > :07:12.Staff had been over to America to talk to Cadillac Tron's people. To

:07:13. > :07:16.bed away for Boris and Theresa's visits thereafter.

:07:17. > :07:21.No doubt, Boris Johnson will have said something about Mr Trump's

:07:22. > :07:26.attitude towards Russia and China? I think you have two straight

:07:27. > :07:31.talking people, I think that was probably a good precursor to Theresa

:07:32. > :07:35.May going over there. They have had several phone calls, and I believe

:07:36. > :07:39.Trump has suggested what he would like is a Galician ship like Ronald

:07:40. > :07:45.Reagan and Margaret Thatcher - he wants to build on the strong

:07:46. > :07:50.relationship that we have. I can't see that happening, can you?

:07:51. > :07:58.I mean, Donald Trump, Mr motormouth, tweeting all the time, meeting

:07:59. > :08:03.Theresa May, Mrs reserved, polite, proper...

:08:04. > :08:07.Well, they say opposites attract! Let's have a look at the

:08:08. > :08:10.Independent, this is the lead story in the online page of the

:08:11. > :08:21.Independent - terror injuries was at -- terror in

:08:22. > :08:24.Jerusalem is. Benjamin Netanyahu suggesting links with Islamic State,

:08:25. > :08:27.a group that would normally target civilians rather than military

:08:28. > :08:32.figures. We don't know, I think it's to early

:08:33. > :08:36.to say that. It is interesting, because the sort of thing hasn't

:08:37. > :08:43.happened in Israel much since the building of the separation wall.

:08:44. > :08:48.Which everyone has condemned, and is, obviously a terrible thing, but

:08:49. > :08:52.it has led to a reduction in this kind of terrorist attack on Israeli

:08:53. > :08:56.civilians. Except, I think there has been a

:08:57. > :09:01.rise in different forms of attacks on soldiers. So it had been more

:09:02. > :09:06.stabbings, more, I don't know, a hijacking and various other things.

:09:07. > :09:11.This now, I guess anyone can go on the internet, anyone can see how you

:09:12. > :09:16.can cause mass carnage with a very simple car or a wagon. You've seen

:09:17. > :09:20.it, you have ideas, and it has now been replicated elsewhere to

:09:21. > :09:25.horrific effect. They haven't said what this evidence

:09:26. > :09:29.is, of a link to Islamic State. There is no evidence of a sale of IS

:09:30. > :09:34.within Israel. It could just be a person?

:09:35. > :09:39.Except, when you look at the link between Hezbollah, Lebanon, going

:09:40. > :09:44.out to Syria, and how they're connecting up the various Islamic

:09:45. > :09:50.groups, that was one of the fears in Israel, what was coming back, what

:09:51. > :09:55.ideas of how to attack people, and here we've just seen the latest

:09:56. > :09:58.incarnation of those attacks. That's it, BBC papers light. We will

:09:59. > :10:03.get the full version at 1130 ppm. In a few minutes, Michal Hussain

:10:04. > :10:06.will be here with a full round-up of today's news,

:10:07. > :10:10.but first it's the weather.