16/01/2017

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:00:13. > :00:16.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:17. > :00:20.With me are France 24's UK Correspondent Benedicte Paviot

:00:21. > :00:39.We will get right down to it, there is only one game in town. Brexit.

:00:40. > :00:44.And much to the delight of the Daily Express, Britannia rising to defend

:00:45. > :00:50.the United Kingdom. We will get a clean break from the EU according to

:00:51. > :00:55.the Daily Express. Mae reveals a vision for a global Britain. This is

:00:56. > :00:59.how long-awaited speech. That is right, according to the Daily

:01:00. > :01:04.Express their will be this clean break and Britain will reject any

:01:05. > :01:10.watered-down departure deal. It will not be half in half out, a bit like

:01:11. > :01:15.you cannot be half pregnant. It will be completely out of the European

:01:16. > :01:22.Union. Apparently the Prime Minister will confirm her top objective,

:01:23. > :01:27.Britain's future outside the EU. Many of the papers mostly agree

:01:28. > :01:31.Britain will be a free trading nation, global, outward looking.

:01:32. > :01:38.Funny, I thought the UK was pretty outward looking not just with the

:01:39. > :01:44.EU. We were noticing the papers do not quite agree. They think she is

:01:45. > :01:48.going to say the UK is pulling out of the single market and of the

:01:49. > :01:56.European Court of Justice, but they are not quite sure. The word that

:01:57. > :02:00.kept on coming up is nuanced. It is a French word. I don't think you

:02:01. > :02:05.will be allowed to use any more, maybe it will be illegal. Maybe you

:02:06. > :02:15.won't be able to stop it. Yes she will. So, basically, the single

:02:16. > :02:24.market is finished? Well, there has been, Clive, apparently all this

:02:25. > :02:30.briefing has been going on today. But whether all the pundits I have

:02:31. > :02:35.that much better informed, or are going to be that much better

:02:36. > :02:41.informed about where Theresa May really stands, remains to be seen.

:02:42. > :02:50.We are told repeatedly by the pro-Brexit media that Theresa May is

:02:51. > :02:56.now in a strong position. My big worry about the next few months, or

:02:57. > :03:00.dare I say it years, is are we actually going to get proper

:03:01. > :03:09.coverage of both sides of the negotiation? The British press, the

:03:10. > :03:14.predominantly London based press, is overwhelmingly and understandably

:03:15. > :03:19.perhaps at this stage interested in what the Brits are going to do. But

:03:20. > :03:24.there are 26 other countries who will be part of this negotiation.

:03:25. > :03:32.Let's look at the Daily Mail's FrontPage. Theresa May unveils a

:03:33. > :03:40.bold 12 point plan for Brexit. We will break free from EU judges.

:03:41. > :03:44.David is indicating not 100% clear that we are definitely going to be

:03:45. > :03:53.leaving the single market, although the papers seem to suggest it. The

:03:54. > :03:57.customs union. The customs union is still 50-50, but she has made it

:03:58. > :04:02.clear there will be no negotiation on the free movement of people,

:04:03. > :04:05.which means the single market is finished because Angela Merkel and

:04:06. > :04:12.Francois Hollande will not negotiate on that either. No, and as the Daily

:04:13. > :04:17.Mail says, its headline is we will regain control of our borders. That

:04:18. > :04:23.was one of the very big mantras of the Brexit campaign, and break free

:04:24. > :04:28.from EU judges. Let's open a ten second parenthesis. Wait this is

:04:29. > :04:40.being viewed on the continent, the former Prime Minister of France,

:04:41. > :04:48.Manuel Valls, thank you, Clive, is the President elect... We could do a

:04:49. > :04:50.bilingual show... The president elect has given a great

:04:51. > :04:55.psychological boost and that is very good and nice for the government,

:04:56. > :05:01.but the point is it is being viewed on the continent, not just in

:05:02. > :05:09.Germany, but also in France. France is already in the launching of its

:05:10. > :05:13.presidential campaign and general election and it is very much looking

:05:14. > :05:21.like it as if it is a war. Those are the words Manuel Valls used. It is

:05:22. > :05:27.being used and viewed as a war against the rest of the EU. Although

:05:28. > :05:33.the French president is not standing, which is a break with

:05:34. > :05:37.tradition, he is saying we are perfectly capable of organising our

:05:38. > :05:43.own relationships within the EU. This will not make the British

:05:44. > :05:51.Government's negotiating position any easier. Donald Trump thought he

:05:52. > :05:55.was doing us a favour. Hang on a minute, I seem to remember Boris

:05:56. > :05:59.Johnson and Michael Gove being very critical of the intervention of the

:06:00. > :06:06.US president called Barack Obama, in the back of the queue and all that,

:06:07. > :06:10.and now an American president, elected admittedly, is getting

:06:11. > :06:17.involved and it is good news. That is the world in which we live in.

:06:18. > :06:21.Indeed, very volatile, but could it have, as seemed to be the case with

:06:22. > :06:25.President Obama's intervention, could Donald Trump's intervention

:06:26. > :06:35.have an effect on the other 27 states? Would it make them even more

:06:36. > :06:38.determined? I saw the word Downing Street is perhaps in a strong

:06:39. > :06:43.position at this moment, but their big worry is at a very early stage

:06:44. > :06:50.these negotiations get rather acrimonious. Anybody who is seen to

:06:51. > :06:57.be staring that up, well, we will see what the price to pay is. That

:06:58. > :07:00.is why I am saying it will be very interesting the coverage of this

:07:01. > :07:08.great Brexit negotiation. Are we going to hear both sides? From both

:07:09. > :07:16.sides in the British media? Just watch the BBC and you will be fine.

:07:17. > :07:23.The FT has a very interesting FrontPage. Hang on, we have not got

:07:24. > :07:29.to that. I am just going to pick up on the point you made, forgive me,

:07:30. > :07:36.and it is about how acrimonious it could become. I have not read this

:07:37. > :07:37.in the other papers. The Prime Minister's team is very concerned

:07:38. > :07:44.that Brexit talks scheduled to begin later this year could quickly

:07:45. > :07:51.descend into real acrimonious rows of the UK's Brexit costs and

:07:52. > :08:04.liabilities according to the FT. We still owe the EU 50 billion? 400

:08:05. > :08:08.billion. 40 and 60 billion euros. That is the front page of the FT

:08:09. > :08:15.which also makes the point, David, about the governor of the Bank of

:08:16. > :08:17.England, Mark Carney's feelings that inflation could get out of hand and

:08:18. > :08:28.he will have to raise interest rates. This is the whole point. The

:08:29. > :08:33.economy has gone, it has gone pretty well since Brexit, or at least it

:08:34. > :08:39.has not fallen off a cliff. It is resilient. That is the word. The

:08:40. > :08:45.question is what about the medium-term, let alone the long

:08:46. > :08:48.term? There are elements of the economy, for example levels of debt,

:08:49. > :08:54.not just personal debt, but government debt, and it is not long

:08:55. > :08:59.ago I seem to remember being told about the deficit and that debt was

:09:00. > :09:05.a really big problem. I understand that it is now the figures that I

:09:06. > :09:10.have seen seem to be getting worse and it is being parked as an issue.

:09:11. > :09:16.Then you come to the exchange rate and at what point, if we have to put

:09:17. > :09:20.up, we are told, with the exchange rate taking a bit of a battering

:09:21. > :09:27.this week with perhaps after tomorrow, will it happen? It has

:09:28. > :09:31.already happened to some extent, but what will be the price to pay for

:09:32. > :09:39.that? What point does somebody in government start worrying? You were

:09:40. > :09:44.making the point earlier that the economy is doing fine after the

:09:45. > :09:47.vote, but that is because consumers are still spending and David has

:09:48. > :09:52.made the point about potentially a bubble and so on and so forth.

:09:53. > :09:59.Consumers are for the first time perhaps going to feel the effect of

:10:00. > :10:03.leaving the European Union, which is a rise in inflation. That could

:10:04. > :10:09.affect consumers to the point that they do not spend and the economy

:10:10. > :10:14.goes in the wrong direction. That is what Mr Carney thinks. Yes, that is

:10:15. > :10:20.interesting because it is different to what they were saying only six

:10:21. > :10:24.months ago. I think the government has walked us up a very big mountain

:10:25. > :10:32.today and this speech that we are all looking at and saying, let's

:10:33. > :10:38.remember that Theresa May was a candidate to succeed and what

:10:39. > :10:46.happened when we got Brexit is we did not get any kind of period, the

:10:47. > :10:50.others drop out and Theresa May was Prime Minister. We saw very little

:10:51. > :10:53.of her campaigning and she suddenly had to come in and bring in this

:10:54. > :11:00.team and she did it really quickly with that famous speech at Downing

:11:01. > :11:04.Street. But the fact is, tomorrow there needs to be some real meat on

:11:05. > :11:12.the bone. On the other hand people say why should she show her assets

:11:13. > :11:21.and strategy? Her hand. We will all be reporting on it. Very much so.

:11:22. > :11:25.Continuing with the FT, David, Northern Ireland. James Brokenshire,

:11:26. > :11:27.the Northern Ireland Secretary has called an election and the

:11:28. > :11:33.power-sharing executive has crumbled. A lot of problems there

:11:34. > :11:40.are clearly despite ten years of devolution. Those of us who have

:11:41. > :11:46.lived with the Irish problem for all of our lives, and I had a mother

:11:47. > :11:52.born in County Galway, my late mother, but I worked for a time in

:11:53. > :11:56.Belfast in the 70s, and this extraordinary power-sharing

:11:57. > :12:01.agreement when it was worked out some ten years ago, some of us

:12:02. > :12:08.always believed it was fragile and yet fantastic, a fantastic

:12:09. > :12:13.achievement which owed a lot to both conservative and Labour prime

:12:14. > :12:21.ministers. But now almost with the departure of Ian Paisley, the death

:12:22. > :12:25.of the reverend Ian Paisley, and now we see Mr McGuinness going as well,

:12:26. > :12:33.you start to see how fragile it was. Is that model, where you bring

:12:34. > :12:38.together two extremes, actually maybe it has served its purpose for

:12:39. > :12:44.a decade. My worry is that this election will not necessarily change

:12:45. > :12:51.very much. What happened if it is flipped and Sinn Fein gets the top

:12:52. > :12:56.job? A very good point. There is a suggestion from one analyst tonight

:12:57. > :13:01.telling me that it is highly unlikely that the DUP woodshed that

:13:02. > :13:09.way around. There is no way they would allow themselves to be in that

:13:10. > :13:15.position. We have to move on. The Telegraph, women treated like cattle

:13:16. > :13:19.in maternity units. This is an absolutely terribly sad and

:13:20. > :13:24.appalling and scary story. Once you are pregnant, that is not something

:13:25. > :13:31.you put off. You deliver that baby one way or another. There are some

:13:32. > :13:35.very serious things. Half women in childbirth are being completely let

:13:36. > :13:41.down to a point that it is actually very dangerous. 50% of new mothers

:13:42. > :13:46.have experienced what are called red flag events during labour where you

:13:47. > :13:52.basically do not have access to painkillers, where you do not have a

:13:53. > :13:57.midwife with you, and there is a shortage of 3500 midwives. We have

:13:58. > :14:05.got the picture of this stunningly beautiful bride and mother who was

:14:06. > :14:09.only 30 years old, and who had an emergency Caesarean. It does not

:14:10. > :14:15.happen every day, but that is a tragedy for her family and it looks

:14:16. > :14:18.like there are other really very serious, potential problems. It is

:14:19. > :14:25.very scary for any woman who is pregnant right now. Very scary and I

:14:26. > :14:30.fear another negative story for the NHS at a time like this. All right,

:14:31. > :14:35.finally, the cartoon on the front page of the Telegraph says it all as

:14:36. > :14:45.we all await Britannia's speech tomorrow. Let's see if we can bring

:14:46. > :14:49.it up. There it is. I wish Vladimir Putin would hack into the UK's

:14:50. > :15:04.Brexit plans and tell us what is going on. Hopefully Vladimir and the

:15:05. > :15:06.rest of the FSB will not have to do that. Thank you very much for

:15:07. > :15:09.joining us. Don't forget you can see the front

:15:10. > :15:12.pages of the papers online It's all there for you seven days

:15:13. > :15:16.a week at bbc.co.uk/papers. If you miss the programme any

:15:17. > :15:20.evening, you can watch it