:00:18. > :00:28.Welcome to our look ahead to what The Papers will be bringing us
:00:29. > :00:32.tomorrow. We have Matthew Syed. The Financial Times leads on the Bank of
:00:33. > :00:40.England's upgrade the growth forecast for the economy. The
:00:41. > :00:44.Telegraph says the human rights lawyer accused of pursuing a
:00:45. > :00:50.witchhunt against British soldiers is facing calls to be prosecuted.
:00:51. > :00:54.The Times leads on the possible end to the train drivers strike on
:00:55. > :01:01.southern real after one union won what a paper calls as a significant
:01:02. > :01:10.concession. The Guardian says Nato must counter Russian hacking. The
:01:11. > :01:17.Express says exercise is the solution to back pain. The meal sees
:01:18. > :01:26.healthy eating faces rationing after extreme weather.
:01:27. > :01:33.The Metro, we are going to start with that. Things can only get
:01:34. > :01:36.better. Davis, the Brexit secretary, predicts bright future as Brexit
:01:37. > :01:42.plans are published. There are some suggesting things could get a lot
:01:43. > :01:46.worse. Yes, indeed. A sub editor with a sense of her study because 20
:01:47. > :01:51.years ago, about know, somebody was coming up with things can only get
:01:52. > :01:55.better as the theme tune for the general election campaign of the
:01:56. > :02:01.Labour Party, Tony Blair's first election. You were there at the
:02:02. > :02:06.beginning. I was there. It feels like ancient history. But a very
:02:07. > :02:10.pro-European Prime Minister who was hoping that he would be able to
:02:11. > :02:13.transform Britain's attitude towards the European Union and note the same
:02:14. > :02:18.catchy headline is being used by those who want to pull us out, or
:02:19. > :02:22.who have succeeded in convincing us that we should be taken out of the
:02:23. > :02:27.European Union. David Davies as saying that Britain's best days are
:02:28. > :02:30.ahead of us but it is still a degree of wishful thinking, he has not
:02:31. > :02:34.produced any evidence to show that is going to be the case. He has got
:02:35. > :02:38.to see that. It is his job to see that. He has produced a White Paper
:02:39. > :02:42.today which MPs had the chance to see, which does not tell us much
:02:43. > :02:46.about why he is so convinced that things are going to get better.
:02:47. > :02:50.Matthew, we are going to be striking out on our own, having these goods
:02:51. > :02:54.trade deals, we are not going to be shackled by all the red tape and the
:02:55. > :02:57.problems with the European Union, we can control our borders, the
:02:58. > :03:01.European Court of Justice is not going to be ruling us, it is going
:03:02. > :03:09.to be great. I have never heard that fit so well. I think he is wrong
:03:10. > :03:12.that better days are ahead because I voted remain and I thought it was in
:03:13. > :03:16.the national interest to stay in the European Union but I am delighted he
:03:17. > :03:21.is good to get a chance to prove me wrong because the British public
:03:22. > :03:24.took a view, Parliament is that they rightly has allowed the Government
:03:25. > :03:28.to trigger article 50 and he has got to see this, be optimistic and
:03:29. > :03:32.dynamic stock he must of negotiations will be tough. The EU
:03:33. > :03:37.will not be as compliant as some people are thinking but it might be.
:03:38. > :03:41.Not least because a fantastic deal where we can opt into things we like
:03:42. > :03:47.but not things we don't like would incentivise other nation states to
:03:48. > :03:51.leave the European Union. This is going to be fraught with
:03:52. > :03:58.difficulties and negotiation terms. But the British people have spoken.
:03:59. > :04:01.David Davies is on the stump. I had forgotten the catchphrase for that
:04:02. > :04:08.Tony Blair campaign. How happy was I or that day when he won? People
:04:09. > :04:15.accuse us of spin back in 1997. There is spin going on here. Having
:04:16. > :04:29.offered a book called the spin Doctors diary you should know what
:04:30. > :04:32.spin this. I have read it. Onto the Financial Times. Bank of England
:04:33. > :04:37.raises growth forecast again but remains wary of Brexit impact. We
:04:38. > :04:39.know that the Bank of England governor did not think that things
:04:40. > :04:45.were going to get better after the vote. He is eating humble pie for
:04:46. > :04:52.the third or fourth time now with a raised forecast. It is quite
:04:53. > :04:58.interesting. Note the GDP forecast is to draw 2% this year, same as
:04:59. > :05:01.last year, up from 1.4%, the forecast in November, but the
:05:02. > :05:07.forecast after the decision to leave the European Union was only 0.8%,
:05:08. > :05:12.saw the bag forecast, this is going to be damaging in the short term.
:05:13. > :05:14.The reason is the thought this would affect consumer spending and
:05:15. > :05:20.confidence. What they did not factor into the equation is that when 52%
:05:21. > :05:25.of the voting public think they have got their way the confidence grows.
:05:26. > :05:27.Maybe what we have here is people who really believed that Brexit was
:05:28. > :05:32.going to be good for their pocket and therefore are spending more
:05:33. > :05:43.money, building up a bit more debt which might not be good. That is the
:05:44. > :05:47.problem. It is all onto. I think it is more of the phlegmatic attitude
:05:48. > :05:51.of the British public. It has not happened yet. I change attitudes
:05:52. > :05:56.until that is a reason to do so. There is a danger that those who are
:05:57. > :06:00.in favour of leaving the European Union may think these two stories
:06:01. > :06:02.and because the growth forecasts have been upgraded that does not
:06:03. > :06:08.prove that things are going to get better because we have not yet left
:06:09. > :06:11.the European Union. Just on economic forecasts, it is remarkable, it is
:06:12. > :06:16.difficult to make accurate forecasts, the result of complexity,
:06:17. > :06:20.lots of people behaving in unpredictable ways,. What amazes me
:06:21. > :06:25.is how little economic forecasters update their predictive models in
:06:26. > :06:30.the light of events. Unless you do that and improve, there's not a lot
:06:31. > :06:35.of scientific method and forecasting. There is a very good
:06:36. > :06:42.book on exactly that. Visit your book? But none of this matters
:06:43. > :06:49.because we do not care about experts anyway. An expert who self justifies
:06:50. > :06:54.their existing assumptions because the eagle is bound up with an
:06:55. > :06:57.existing idea, that is a disaster. Those who want to revise the
:06:58. > :07:05.judgments in the light of experience. The points made here by
:07:06. > :07:11.somebody else, whose name I cannot find at the moment, there has been
:07:12. > :07:15.such a consistently wrong forecast, they are updating its too gradual
:07:16. > :07:22.Stickley. Let us move on to The Times. I do not door if you use
:07:23. > :07:30.southern real. All the time. You must be happy. The end in sight for
:07:31. > :07:34.rail strikers union claims victory. There will be a lot of happy
:07:35. > :07:39.commuters. I do not use it to commute every day. I used to see my
:07:40. > :07:42.parents. But can be chaotic as we all know. That is not fall over. The
:07:43. > :07:49.CHEERING Drivers appear to have settled. We
:07:50. > :07:57.do not know the details of the deal. But the conductors themselves in the
:07:58. > :08:01.RMT have not yet settled so it is not necessarily over and there is
:08:02. > :08:05.the risk of real Mac strikes heading to another part of the country where
:08:06. > :08:12.people will look at the deal and said they want that as well. A
:08:13. > :08:21.disgraceful strike. When The Independent rail it was saying that
:08:22. > :08:28.driver only trains would be safe, and these strikes have caused
:08:29. > :08:36.massive disruption, massive dent to the economy, even though the economy
:08:37. > :08:42.is still growing, this concession is too much. They have given guarantees
:08:43. > :08:46.that a second staff member would man every chain, the idea was to cut
:08:47. > :08:52.costs in a strange way, this guarantee, this could have a
:08:53. > :08:57.contagious effect. That you cannot cut costs and have a worse service.
:08:58. > :09:10.This is the kind of deal that seems to have put a smile back on faces.
:09:11. > :09:15.The Express. Inside page here. A lawyer who has been struck off, who
:09:16. > :09:22.was basically ambulance chasing, Tank chasing, some would suggest,
:09:23. > :09:26.hounding according to this newspaper, Gulf War heroes, to get
:09:27. > :09:31.prosecutions against British soldiers. I am so angered by this.
:09:32. > :09:35.It is disgraceful that this person, Phil Shiner, who held himself up as
:09:36. > :09:39.a great defender of human rights, has trampled over the rights of
:09:40. > :09:42.British soldiers who were putting their lives on the line for our
:09:43. > :09:51.nation in the Gulf. According to the tribunal today the allegations found
:09:52. > :09:58.that Phil Shiner's attempts to malign our soldiers were entirely
:09:59. > :10:02.without foundation. Deliberate lies. Reckless speculation. Ingrained
:10:03. > :10:04.hostility. Enriching himself duplicitous Lee at the expense of
:10:05. > :10:11.our soldiers. He deserves everything coming his way. Yes, he has been
:10:12. > :10:19.struck off. Some of the cases did prove to be true. There was
:10:20. > :10:25.mistreatment. Not an excuse. Some people might suggest that if this is
:10:26. > :10:30.taken too literally then perhaps some soldiers out there, who have
:10:31. > :10:36.been responsible for some problems, may not get prosecuted. That is a
:10:37. > :10:43.danger of that and that is another reason why what this month it was so
:10:44. > :10:48.awful. Those people who are genuinely trying to get at the truth
:10:49. > :10:51.rather than someone like this who was using shocking measures to
:10:52. > :10:57.profit from the process, those people who genuinely try to get to
:10:58. > :11:02.the truth, will find their work much harder and people will be less
:11:03. > :11:10.willing to listen to them. Before we go to our final item, The Telegraph,
:11:11. > :11:14.French toast, Francois Fillon feels the heat over wife pass back row. He
:11:15. > :11:18.is a leading contender for the French presidency but problems
:11:19. > :11:24.concerning over whether his wife was paid for what she did not do has
:11:25. > :11:27.stymied the entire thing. It is a complicated story but it is very
:11:28. > :11:35.important because he was seen as the most likely candidate to prevent
:11:36. > :11:40.Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far right, at the sickest campaign is
:11:41. > :11:47.toast, whether he has to pull out or whether he limps on. It is good news
:11:48. > :12:00.for a centrist candidate, a sort of Blairite candidate. He is impressive
:12:01. > :12:07.and has no outperforming Francois Fillon Somerby things could get
:12:08. > :12:12.better for France. Financial Times. Trump, it is time for tough call. He
:12:13. > :12:21.is having a Barney there. He fights everyone. He is angling for a fight
:12:22. > :12:25.with Arnold Schwarzenegger who took over his job as the host of the
:12:26. > :12:30.apprentice. Viewing figures are plummeted. Arnold Schwarzenegger
:12:31. > :12:38.hits back by saying, but us swap jobs. Let us hear the very clip from
:12:39. > :12:41.Mr Trump himself. They hired a big movie star, Arnold Schwarzenegger,
:12:42. > :12:46.to take my place. We know how that turned out. The ratings went right
:12:47. > :12:57.down the tubes. It has been a total disaster. Never bet against Trump
:12:58. > :13:04.again. I want to pray for articles for those ratings. That was at a
:13:05. > :13:07.pre-breakfast -- that was at a prayer breakfast. I want to remind
:13:08. > :13:14.people that is the leader of the free world. Here is the response.
:13:15. > :13:20.Donald, why do we not switched jobs? You take over on TV and I take over
:13:21. > :13:25.your jobs and people can finally sleep comfortably again. I would be
:13:26. > :13:32.less skilled with Arnold Schwarzenegger as president. Arnold
:13:33. > :13:41.Schwarzenegger was Republican governor of California. And
:13:42. > :13:48.eventually very successful. Toxicity whether he might change the
:13:49. > :13:57.constitution. In five words, maybe ten, first week and a half of Trump,
:13:58. > :14:02.sum it up. He has followed through on his campaign pledges and
:14:03. > :14:07.therefore is behaving in a way that you could describe as democratic but
:14:08. > :14:12.he is exactly as dangerous as many people thought he would be. He has
:14:13. > :14:16.been true to his words but his words are as distressing and disturbing as
:14:17. > :14:19.ever, he is going about diplomacy and a completely different way,
:14:20. > :14:27.slamming down the phone on other world leaders. Let us see if it
:14:28. > :14:31.works. But as Matthew pointed out, he is doing what his followers
:14:32. > :14:37.wanted, the people who voted for him. Before we go tonight I wanted
:14:38. > :14:47.to show you a change to tonight's The Sun. They have a bespoke
:14:48. > :14:52.masthead on the paper. He has taken the name of the paper quite
:14:53. > :14:58.literally. A collectors item. You can see the front pages of all The
:14:59. > :15:03.Papers online on the BBC website. If you missed the problem bat if you
:15:04. > :15:07.missed the programme, any evening you can watch online. Thank you for
:15:08. > :15:26.watching. Goodbye. Good evening. It has been a
:15:27. > :15:27.turbulent day. Rain but particularly with the winds. They are