:00:17. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
:00:20. > :00:24.With me are broadcaster Natalie Haynes and the Independent's
:00:25. > :00:33.We have promoted due. Deputy political editor!
:00:34. > :00:36.Tomorrow's front pages, starting with...
:00:37. > :00:39.The FT leads with the news that Kraft Heinz is abandoning its one
:00:40. > :00:42.hundred and fifteen billion pound takeover offer for Unilever,
:00:43. > :00:44.just two days after it made the approach.
:00:45. > :00:46.The i's front cover focuses on this week's Brexit debate
:00:47. > :00:49.in the House of Lords, where some of the New Labour
:00:50. > :00:51.grandees COULD resist the government's plans
:00:52. > :00:57.The Express also picks up the story, urging the Lords not to weaken
:00:58. > :01:00.or delay the government's Brexit approach.
:01:01. > :01:05.The Independent leads with the advance into
:01:06. > :01:20.forces and also covers the Lords' Brexit debate.
:01:21. > :01:23.A warning from the Defence Secretary makes the Telegraph's front page.
:01:24. > :01:26.Sir Michael Fallon says Britain must maintain a military presence
:01:27. > :01:31.in Afghanistan to avoid millions of Afghans migrating to the UK.
:01:32. > :01:34.Meanwhile the Metro is running with a story that Battersea Dogs
:01:35. > :01:44.and Cats Home is calling for tougher penalties for animal abusers.
:01:45. > :01:52.Let's start with the story about Afghanistan on the Telegraph. UK
:01:53. > :01:57.troops to prevent Afghan meltdown, Europe faces a new refugee exodus if
:01:58. > :02:05.Britain pulls out of the war-torn country warns Michael Fallon. How is
:02:06. > :02:11.this meltdown occurring? Only a short time ago everyone was saying
:02:12. > :02:16.we could save people out our troops. Most people have probably forgotten
:02:17. > :02:21.entirely that there are still 500 British troops in Afghanistan on a
:02:22. > :02:24.training facility. It has been quiet since the end of combat operations.
:02:25. > :02:30.The Defence Secretary is issuing this warning. He is only saying it
:02:31. > :02:35.will be wrong for Britain to pull out. He does not seem to be talking
:02:36. > :02:40.about increasing the number of troops over there, but the story
:02:41. > :02:44.refers to a senior US commander in Afghanistan saying thousands more
:02:45. > :02:48.soldiers would be needed to break the stalemate against the Taliban.
:02:49. > :02:52.You wonder whether this speech by the Defence Secretary is some sort
:02:53. > :02:57.of softening exercise to prepare Britain for the possibility that
:02:58. > :03:02.more troops would have to go back into Afghanistan 16 years after it
:03:03. > :03:10.all started. It would surprise and horrify a lot of people. It seems
:03:11. > :03:16.strange to be saying it because the numbers do not fit together. We are
:03:17. > :03:20.looking about three or 4 million leaving Afghanistan if things go
:03:21. > :03:27.wrong and that could be prevented by the 500 troops we have there now? At
:03:28. > :03:32.one point we had 10,000. We have a 20th of the number. 500 does not
:03:33. > :03:36.seem like very many to be keeping things together. I think it feels
:03:37. > :03:41.very much like a suggestion there will be more troops being sent
:03:42. > :03:46.there. Particularly 500 who are only there in a training capacity, not on
:03:47. > :03:50.the front line. You wonder whether there would be an appetite publicly
:03:51. > :03:56.to recommit people to that sort of role. Our army is much shrunken than
:03:57. > :04:01.the days when we first went into Afghanistan. They are using a
:04:02. > :04:06.different argument here to the one that I remember 15 years ago which
:04:07. > :04:10.was used to persuade people we needed to fight over there. If we
:04:11. > :04:15.did not go to the Taliban, they would come over here and attack us.
:04:16. > :04:19.But you do not see that in the words of the Defence Secretary tonight.
:04:20. > :04:25.Instead you see this warning that there would be more migration to
:04:26. > :04:28.hear. That is a reflection of how much migration has become the
:04:29. > :04:32.biggest issue in British politics. That is the warning that he is using
:04:33. > :04:39.to try to persuade that Afghanistan is still worth fighting for. Let's
:04:40. > :04:45.look at a couple of Brexit stories. It would not be a review without one
:04:46. > :04:51.or two of these. Donald Trump is coming up in a minute, do not fret.
:04:52. > :04:57.The Independent newspaper, people must have their say on the Brexit
:04:58. > :05:02.deal. Peter Mandelson caused a lot of consternation amongst some
:05:03. > :05:08.people. They seem to think he has no right to speak up, but he sits in
:05:09. > :05:13.the House of Lords. 191 peers to speak on this issue in the next few
:05:14. > :05:22.days. Very briefly, they each have six minutes. It is a bit like you
:05:23. > :05:29.are about to step out a small Tardis and say, what year is this? Tony
:05:30. > :05:35.Blair, Peter Mandelson? They are suddenly reclaiming the headlines
:05:36. > :05:39.like they always did supremely well. Of course the House of Lords was
:05:40. > :05:44.coming and he has managed to make sure his agenda has got on the front
:05:45. > :05:49.pages over the weekend. Peter Mandelson is coming around in a
:05:50. > :05:57.pincer movement. It will be a busy few days for you, Rob. You will be
:05:58. > :06:02.sitting there with your shorthand. It will be the focus of attention
:06:03. > :06:07.for a few days. But people will be saying, didn't the bill goes
:06:08. > :06:12.through? It will be good news for people who oppose Brexit, the Lords
:06:13. > :06:17.have the power to delay Brexit. Will they do there? They will be able to
:06:18. > :06:22.delay it for one week only. It is likely they will amend the bill in
:06:23. > :06:29.some small areas. Some important areas to do with the EU nationals
:06:30. > :06:34.and the final vote on the final deal in 2019. They may amend it slightly
:06:35. > :06:37.and send it back to the Commons, but in the end of the Commons will
:06:38. > :06:42.prevail and we will still be triggering Article 50 by the end of
:06:43. > :06:47.March. They have been warned off about making too many amendments.
:06:48. > :06:52.They have been warned off by David Davis. Could they do anything other
:06:53. > :07:01.than quake in their boots? They are not an elected house. The Tories are
:07:02. > :07:10.saying, you love things like a House of Lords. It seems very strange to
:07:11. > :07:14.hear somebody politically to the right suddenly standing up and
:07:15. > :07:19.saying that the House of Lords cannot have their day. We will wait
:07:20. > :07:25.and see what they daren't do. The politicians are out there arguing
:07:26. > :07:32.for this Brexit to continue and they are the least popular in the
:07:33. > :07:36.country, Tony Blair. They have some fans on social media, but some
:07:37. > :07:44.people are surprised they are sticking their heads above the
:07:45. > :07:47.parapet. Brussels wants to tie down a 60 billion euros exit bill before
:07:48. > :07:53.beginning trade talks. This is in the Financial Times. How was Britain
:07:54. > :08:00.going to be forced to pay this divorce Bill. This could be an
:08:01. > :08:10.indication of this. Instead of focusing on the debate in the Lords,
:08:11. > :08:16.it still believes that this states more clearly that the EU is
:08:17. > :08:20.determined to get its money back and it will do that by saying we will
:08:21. > :08:24.not talk about anything else with Britain. We will not talk about
:08:25. > :08:30.future trading arrangements, which is what Theresa May is desperate to
:08:31. > :08:33.talk about. That will not be on the agenda unless Britain has agreed to
:08:34. > :08:39.pay the divorce Bill, which is a huge amount of money. Many MPs will
:08:40. > :08:44.leap up and down if the government agrees to pay it and will demand we
:08:45. > :08:49.walk away without paying a penny. The other issue they want to cover
:08:50. > :08:51.in Brussels is the rights of expatriates citizens, which is
:08:52. > :08:57.somewhere where the Lords may feel they could get some kind of
:08:58. > :09:04.agreement. That feels quite plausible. Almost across-the-board
:09:05. > :09:10.people have seen it too have felt, people like Nigel Farage, they were
:09:11. > :09:15.saying we are not saying people who are here now will be asked to leave.
:09:16. > :09:19.I think it is pretty much across the board, with few exceptions, a sense
:09:20. > :09:24.that people who have made their lives here should have a degree of
:09:25. > :09:27.security which they do not at the moment. That would be a two-way
:09:28. > :09:32.thing because British people have made their homes for a long time in
:09:33. > :09:35.other parts of the EU who would be covered by those guarantees. That is
:09:36. > :09:41.the reason the Prime Minister gives for not giving a unilateral
:09:42. > :09:45.guarantee for the 3 million EU citizens in this country because she
:09:46. > :09:50.is determined to secure the rights of British expats as well. It is a
:09:51. > :09:55.bit more complex than it is normally portrayed. It is not can we have our
:09:56. > :10:03.rights and can they have their rights? How much health care and
:10:04. > :10:09.pension rights would EU citizens be entitled to estimate it will be a
:10:10. > :10:13.complicated negotiation. Inevitably. There are more EU citizens here than
:10:14. > :10:18.there are British citizens on the continent and maybe that is how they
:10:19. > :10:28.will reduce their 60 billion euro bill. The Times newspaper. Is that
:10:29. > :10:34.where we are going? Lies fuelling revolt over rates insist ministers.
:10:35. > :10:41.Number ten on collision course with small businesses. Business rates
:10:42. > :10:46.have been re-evaluated, but the issue because they are based on
:10:47. > :10:50.property prices. They will kick in in April. The government is saying
:10:51. > :10:58.most businesses will pay the same or less. The Exchequer will not be
:10:59. > :11:06.better off. That is supposed to be a financial gain for the Treasury, I
:11:07. > :11:11.am not sure how they achieved that. It is amazing to see that this story
:11:12. > :11:16.will not go off to the front pages. I think we know where it is heading.
:11:17. > :11:20.There is a budget next month and the Chancellor will have to give way to
:11:21. > :11:25.this sort of pressure from his own MPs and from the media. But this
:11:26. > :11:31.story says a letter has been cast around from the Communities
:11:32. > :11:35.Secretary and MPs in which they are complaining about misinformation in
:11:36. > :11:39.the media. But the letter apparently points out that in some
:11:40. > :11:46.constituencies bills will go up and they will go up by a large amount,
:11:47. > :11:50.including 10% in Runnymede, which is the Chancellor's constituency. It is
:11:51. > :11:53.those figures that say to me in the end there will be a climb-down in
:11:54. > :11:58.the budget. Many high streets are struggling already to keep small
:11:59. > :12:04.businesses there. You have to look at high streets virtually anywhere
:12:05. > :12:11.in the country since the financial crisis, which is already nine years
:12:12. > :12:14.ago, and lots of them, betting shops and charity shops, they are there
:12:15. > :12:19.because small businesses went under a long time ago and have never
:12:20. > :12:23.returned. It is OK to say that most businesses will have reduced bills,
:12:24. > :12:29.but those who will not I still half a million businesses and that is a
:12:30. > :12:34.lot. Those will be small businesses in the South. It is such a strange
:12:35. > :12:42.policy for the Conservatives. Let's have a look at the New York Times.
:12:43. > :12:49.There is an opinion piece called trapped in Donald Trump's addled
:12:50. > :12:52.mind. She says he is stuck in his own skull. It is hard to disagree
:12:53. > :13:02.when you see him inventing incident in Sweden and all of Sweden, bless
:13:03. > :13:06.them, going, what? It is like a weird vendetta against
:13:07. > :13:10.Scandinavians. The Norwegian former Prime Minister was stopped during
:13:11. > :13:18.the weekend of the travel ban at customs. I am from Scandinavia, I
:13:19. > :13:23.was the Prime Minister. The New York Times is one of Donald Trump's most
:13:24. > :13:28.hated newspapers and it is making it clear why that should be. Maureen
:13:29. > :13:32.Dowd on the front page saying essentially he is living in an
:13:33. > :13:38.entirely internal bauble and we cannot get in and he cannot get out.
:13:39. > :13:41.Is he not more clever than that? Everybody gets distracted by his
:13:42. > :13:44.Twitter in the morning and then we forget to ask about the other
:13:45. > :13:53.questions going on in the administration. The story is well
:13:54. > :13:56.timed with the phrase addled mind because he talked about a terrorist
:13:57. > :14:05.attack in Sweden at a rally last night and there was no attack at
:14:06. > :14:10.all. One theory is there has been a recent attack in Pakistan and he may
:14:11. > :14:19.have confused the town there with Sweden. Let's say the US suddenly
:14:20. > :14:30.decide are some ice as terrorists in Pakistan, so I would be worried if I
:14:31. > :14:38.was Swedish. Very quickly, the Daily Telegraph. Saving universities EU
:14:39. > :14:47.funding. What does Oxford University want to do? They have been charmed
:14:48. > :14:52.by the French to open a campus extension in Paris and other
:14:53. > :14:56.universities have been approached, like Warwick University. Extremely
:14:57. > :15:01.high class areas of learning. They will lose their EU funding during
:15:02. > :15:07.the Brexit negotiations and whether they do or not, they are worried
:15:08. > :15:11.that they might. Students from the EU are studying here. I am related
:15:12. > :15:17.to one, and they are worrying about their status and what will happen.
:15:18. > :15:21.Oxford has been around for 700 years and it has never had a campus in
:15:22. > :15:25.another country and this is an extraordinary shift and I suspect
:15:26. > :15:36.other universities might consider it as well. I read that there was an
:15:37. > :15:43.orchestra planning to move from Britain to somewhere in another part
:15:44. > :15:50.of Europe for the same reason, so it is not just businesses that will
:15:51. > :15:53.consider moving away from here. There will be no music and learning
:15:54. > :16:01.and we will sit here remembering what it was like in the past. The
:16:02. > :16:05.times, David Attenborough dives in again at 90. Another series to look
:16:06. > :16:13.forward to from David Attenborough, this time focusing on the oceans. 90
:16:14. > :16:18.years old and still working. An extraordinary tribute to him. Not
:16:19. > :16:22.many people achieved that. He says he is thrilled to be going back
:16:23. > :16:33.underwater. The series promises never before seen species including
:16:34. > :16:40.task fishes and something with a hairy chest that looks like the
:16:41. > :16:46.Baywatch actor David Hasselhoff! It will look beautiful and sound even
:16:47. > :16:52.better with his commentary. He did the cuttlefish mating ritual which
:16:53. > :16:57.appears to be something like, look at my excellent tentacles. I have
:16:58. > :17:04.heard worse chat up lines. We will talk about it off air. That
:17:05. > :17:11.is it for now. We will be back at half past 11 for another stab at the
:17:12. > :17:18.Christopher de Bellaigue wants to challenge our understanding
:17:19. > :17:22.Who is to say that that is not one of the most important