05/03/2017

Download Subtitles

Transcript

:00:00. > :00:00.Hugh Jackman returns as Wolverine. We will hear about the other cinema

:00:00. > :00:15.releases in the Film and Review. Hello and welcome to our look ahead

:00:16. > :00:19.to what the papers will be With me are the Mirror

:00:20. > :00:22.columnist Susie Boniface, and the Telegraph

:00:23. > :00:24.columnist Tim Stanley. Tomorrow's front

:00:25. > :00:26.pages, starting with: The FT says the Chancellor's

:00:27. > :00:29.due to unveil tax rises in Wednesday's Budget,

:00:30. > :00:31.as he looks to protect the country from "unexpected

:00:32. > :00:44.challenges" from Brexit. The Times also looks at the budget -

:00:45. > :00:48.and it pictures French presidential candidate Francois Fillon

:00:49. > :00:51.and his wife at a rally in Paris, amid calls for him to quit

:00:52. > :00:54.the race after fraud claims. The I says Philip Hammond has

:00:55. > :00:56.been told by doctors that the NHS needs

:00:57. > :00:59.billions of extra pounds. which claims more than 600 bosses

:01:00. > :01:03.are earning six-figure salaries, as the health service

:01:04. > :01:06.struggles with its finances. The Metro has a warning

:01:07. > :01:08.about the mental health of university students,

:01:09. > :01:10.reporting that suicide numbers The Express reports research

:01:11. > :01:17.claiming a Mediterranean diet of fruit, vegetables and oily

:01:18. > :01:20.fish could slash the risk of breast The Mail has an investigation

:01:21. > :01:24.into abortions, claiming some doctors have

:01:25. > :01:27.signed them off for women The Guardian investigates

:01:28. > :01:31.sexual harassment and misconduct claims

:01:32. > :01:54.in universities, saying cases Let's begin. Times' main story. The

:01:55. > :02:01.Chancellor talking about tax rises as he looks to the budget. A bit of

:02:02. > :02:07.a surprise Mr Mark tax increases? This is his first proper budget

:02:08. > :02:11.since he has become a Chancellor and he has got to do a couple of things.

:02:12. > :02:16.The politically expedient reasons, he has to find money for social care

:02:17. > :02:20.and offer short-term relief for small businesses, many conservative

:02:21. > :02:24.that voters who will be hit with the changes. He says there will be

:02:25. > :02:29.higher taxes and lower spending to cover that. The problem will that

:02:30. > :02:33.is, economically speaking, it is very easy, especially for us

:02:34. > :02:38.journalists, to tell the public that it is not like household budget.

:02:39. > :02:44.Actually that is not quite how it works. If a government spends on the

:02:45. > :02:48.right thing, that generates further income because it generates tax, it

:02:49. > :02:52.generates wealth of people that can be taxed. If you spend on the

:02:53. > :03:00.correct things, in theory, you should be generating more cash. Kind

:03:01. > :03:05.of the Labour Party's position. Kind of. If you spend more money from

:03:06. > :03:09.pensions, you can generate that much money from that but if he says we

:03:10. > :03:13.are just going to contract, basically, and we are not going to

:03:14. > :03:17.spend, we will have high taxes, we will penalise people more and that's

:03:18. > :03:21.how we will build up a war chest for Brexit further down the track. And

:03:22. > :03:33.who will be hit by the tax rises? This was a broadcast. A broadcast on

:03:34. > :03:42.behalf of Milton Friedman. A Conservative one. Stick with us. You

:03:43. > :03:46.could spend and invest in infrastructure. You could also

:03:47. > :03:49.choose to cut taxes for people in order to give them greater Pac

:03:50. > :03:57.take-home pay so then they can spend and that will help the economy as

:03:58. > :04:03.well. --A greater take-home pay. He is trying to go the opposite

:04:04. > :04:11.direction and build up a chest. This is the consequence of a manifesto

:04:12. > :04:14.which the Times reminds us pledge no national insurance. When you do that

:04:15. > :04:18.and you decide you want to save money for the future, where do you

:04:19. > :04:26.get the money from? Stealth taxes which the Tories always used to

:04:27. > :04:29.accuse Gordon Brown. Here he is looking on taxes on the

:04:30. > :04:33.self-employed, taxes on drinkers, this is what happens when you commit

:04:34. > :04:38.yourself not to raise the general taxes. And the self-employed.

:04:39. > :04:42.Entrepreneurs who we should be encouraging? Yes, you would have

:04:43. > :04:46.thought. 4.5 million people are self-employed including, I think,

:04:47. > :04:50.most of these people around the table but most are not journalists,

:04:51. > :04:54.they do proper jobs. They are going to be paying a higher national

:04:55. > :04:58.insurance rate in the budget, we think, to pay for some of these

:04:59. > :05:02.things. Some of the things we just saw Phil Hammond talk about how he

:05:03. > :05:09.already spent a billion on our current borrowings, why are we

:05:10. > :05:16.spending interest on our borrowings? Not try to sound like Donald Trump

:05:17. > :05:19.but can't get a better deal? It is expected that government borrowing

:05:20. > :05:23.is down but one could argue his forecasts are a bit pessimistic

:05:24. > :05:27.about the impact of except when it also see that the budget is also

:05:28. > :05:31.expected to show that it has had no impact on growth whatsoever. The

:05:32. > :05:35.government is saying it will all be good and we can go our way through

:05:36. > :05:39.Brexit and on the other hand he is saying well, we don't know what is

:05:40. > :05:43.going to happen and that sounds a little contradictory. Let's move on.

:05:44. > :05:47.The Telegraph. Tim, your newspaper. They all have this story in one way

:05:48. > :05:56.or another. Obama faces Congress wiretapped enquiry. This is Donald

:05:57. > :06:00.Trump's early-morning tweet. Yes, suggesting that Obama had wiretapped

:06:01. > :06:04.him in Trump Tower. The press secretary said that he bade them at

:06:05. > :06:16.the Congress investigate. Will that actually happen? That is the

:06:17. > :06:21.interesting question. This is extraordinary. We are talking about

:06:22. > :06:26.federal agencies, if this is true, talking about federal briefing

:06:27. > :06:29.against the president of the United States who himself is breaking

:06:30. > :06:35.protocol, of course, by briefing against a predecessor. It doesn't

:06:36. > :06:39.normally happen. We are walking into a sort of chaotic situation. But

:06:40. > :06:47.there are reasons behind this for Donald Trump? His side has too many

:06:48. > :06:50.Russian dealings, it was said. The principal reason of this is that he

:06:51. > :06:56.is sending his early-morning tweet when he is on the toilet. Let's not

:06:57. > :06:59.imagine it. He is listening to the radio, he is watching Fox News on

:07:00. > :07:06.his bathroom console and full tweet whatever is popping into his head.

:07:07. > :07:09.But yes, this is how he got into power, deflecting any kind of press

:07:10. > :07:12.and bringing in something new. Bring out another rabbit out of the hat

:07:13. > :07:16.creating theatre and drama which does not move things on very much

:07:17. > :07:21.but moves people 's gaze array from the central issue which would be

:07:22. > :07:25.Russia and his contact with it. But even for Donald Trump, wouldn't it

:07:26. > :07:30.be silly that he has done something that there is no evidence for? It

:07:31. > :07:34.might turn out to be an little bit of... Deporting 11 million people

:07:35. > :07:37.who are a fundamental part of the economy? There are lots of things

:07:38. > :07:41.Trump has said and done that which are mad if you actually think about

:07:42. > :07:49.them logically, they are not going to work but it is not go to stop him

:07:50. > :07:54.saying it. Its deflection. The press cannot ignore this because it is

:07:55. > :07:59.very big and you just can't walk away from it. While it is done,

:08:00. > :08:04.other stories get eclipsed. Sometime this weekend, it is looking that he

:08:05. > :08:09.is cutting the climate change budget within the EPA by up to 70%. That is

:08:10. > :08:13.a serious policy. Him going on Twitter and saying that the previous

:08:14. > :08:16.president is an alien who abducted him and talking to Mars, it is

:08:17. > :08:21.headline grabbing and we can't ignore it. It's not as important as

:08:22. > :08:25.actual policy that every time Trump does something like this, it

:08:26. > :08:34.eclipses what is actually going on. That's why the space to ignore him

:08:35. > :08:40.sometimes. In France, it is so we can look at the Times which has as

:08:41. > :08:44.photographs of the central figures. Francois Fillon, candidate for the

:08:45. > :08:50.presidency, and his Welsh born wife Penelope. What is Francois Fillon

:08:51. > :08:54.trying to do? What is he trying to establish? The French residential

:08:55. > :09:00.election system is different to ours. What happens is there is

:09:01. > :09:04.essentially a run off so there is a final to that go through the city

:09:05. > :09:08.election. The other favourite at the moment is Emmanuel Macron who a

:09:09. > :09:13.centrist socialist type figure. Not a normal politician in the sense we

:09:14. > :09:19.do not have a lot of outside politics coming in at the moment.

:09:20. > :09:25.And let's not also forget Marine Le Pen. The thought is that he -- if he

:09:26. > :09:29.and Marine Le Pen are in a final run-off, there would be a coalition

:09:30. > :09:34.among voters, right and left, to vote for Emmanuel Macron. Voting

:09:35. > :09:38.against Marine Le Pen. What Francois Fillon is doing by standing, despite

:09:39. > :09:42.the fact he is my inner scandal which makes him unelectable, a lot

:09:43. > :09:47.of his support has drained away over the past few weeks, he is trying to

:09:48. > :09:51.ensure that he gets into the run-off and then the presidential election

:09:52. > :09:55.is between left and right as opposed to centrist and far right. He is

:09:56. > :09:59.trying to get through for the conservative vote. This picture of

:10:00. > :10:04.this big rally, it was important that he got in with the big numbers

:10:05. > :10:08.of people, like Donald Trump. I think the weather was bad. I saw

:10:09. > :10:13.footage of people covered in rain. He estimated that 100,000 people

:10:14. > :10:18.turned out. It is estimated the area that he was in good contain about

:10:19. > :10:23.35,000 people. Did it extend as far back as the Washington Monument? One

:10:24. > :10:29.white --1 reason why Francois Fillon keeps going in is because he has

:10:30. > :10:31.discovered a constituency. That constituency is Conservative

:10:32. > :10:36.Catholics who have not mobilised behind candidate like this in a long

:10:37. > :10:43.time. They are reluctant to lose him as the candidate because the

:10:44. > :10:47.alternative is a lane should pay or Emmanuel Macron. He has had some to

:10:48. > :10:51.say about the Algerian war which believe it or not is still important

:10:52. > :10:55.in France. Francois Fillon keeps on going because there is enough people

:10:56. > :11:00.to want him to keep on going. And a lane Juppe has something to say

:11:01. > :11:07.tomorrow. He will indeed allow Francois Fillon to go ahead. --A

:11:08. > :11:15.lane Juppe. Let's go to the Guardian. This is their lead story.

:11:16. > :11:22.Epidemic of sex all harassment in universities. The Guardian has dug

:11:23. > :11:25.up all the figures here. -- sexual. It is being claimed that a

:11:26. > :11:31.significant number of allegations of being made in the last few years are

:11:32. > :11:40.of such a great number, at least 169, that it amounts to an

:11:41. > :11:44."Epidemic" of sexual harassment amongst education and what is

:11:45. > :11:48.described as gender violence. These are very serious accusations. They

:11:49. > :11:51.must all be taken seriously and anything that occurs should

:11:52. > :11:55.absolutely not be tolerated. One however might raise questions about

:11:56. > :11:59.the language of the report. For instance, the use of the word

:12:00. > :12:08.epidemic the described sexual harassment. It is not like a virus

:12:09. > :12:17.or a cold that people catch. Do they have some comparisons? They seem to.

:12:18. > :12:25.169 allegations against, this is university students complaining

:12:26. > :12:28.against staff, although that seems a small figure, they compare it to a

:12:29. > :12:32.survey in the States which found that reporting rates are low and it

:12:33. > :12:38.is about 7.7% of the total that actually got reported. Even so, 169

:12:39. > :12:44.allegations in five years would equate to less than 18 day. One

:12:45. > :12:48.sexual harassment bidet. If it were only 7.7% of the total, it would

:12:49. > :12:55.still only a quake 26 sexual harassment cases per day. -- equate.

:12:56. > :13:01.So we are saying the Guardian is making a bit too much? In terms of

:13:02. > :13:07.an epidemic, I do think this is the cancellation is there. Furthermore,

:13:08. > :13:12.I worked occasionally as a lecturer in London. -- substantiation. The

:13:13. > :13:15.university hierarchies, all these people, are incredibly concerned

:13:16. > :13:19.with student welfare at all times and I can't really imagine, if

:13:20. > :13:25.anyone were to complain, even if were -- it were to be looked at in a

:13:26. > :13:30.certain way, it would be reported on. It is down to people being

:13:31. > :13:35.willing to report in the way that they may not have in the past. Very

:13:36. > :13:41.quickly, British politics. Not quite so raucous as other places. But

:13:42. > :13:46.Susie, there is a story here on the front page about Jeremy Corbyn and

:13:47. > :13:49.his tax returns. Bless him. He has managed to punch himself in the face

:13:50. > :13:53.again while tried to make someone else look bad and it has failed

:13:54. > :13:56.miserably. He was supposed to release his tax returns to bring

:13:57. > :13:59.some pressure on the government and taxation and so want. He has

:14:00. > :14:03.actually managed to release it. It turns out he has not declared

:14:04. > :14:10.?40,000 incomes on it tax return which he did take and was taxed. It

:14:11. > :14:14.was taxed but wasn't on the form. This is not a memo he has just put

:14:15. > :14:25.out. This is his actual declaration to the taxman. He has not turned out

:14:26. > :14:30.-- -- told the taxman. What does Jeremy Corbyn know about running a

:14:31. > :14:34.country? But if after a life in politics you are making ?36,000 a

:14:35. > :14:40.year in pension payments, I would say actually he is very well

:14:41. > :14:44.qualified. It seems to be making some smart investment himself. -- he

:14:45. > :14:48.seems to. I am astonished and impressed. My late father made

:14:49. > :14:52.something like 12- 15,000 in pension by the time he died. Jeremy Corbyn

:14:53. > :14:57.has done twice as well as that. Della Mackie is not wealthy, of

:14:58. > :15:03.course. Not a wealthy man. We need to stop there. -- he is not a

:15:04. > :15:06.wealthy man. Coming up next is The Film Review.