15/03/2017

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:00:00. > :00:20.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:21. > :00:25.With me are France 24 journalist Benedicte Paviot.

:00:26. > :00:30.And Steve Hawkes, Political Correspondent at the Sun.

:00:31. > :00:36.Tomorrow's front pages, starting with...

:00:37. > :00:38.The FT unsurprisingly leads with Philip Hammond's U-turn over

:00:39. > :00:40.national insurance rises - which it says it brings

:00:41. > :00:45.into question the government's ability to manage Brexit.

:00:46. > :00:47.That's also the top story in the Telegraph, which claims

:00:48. > :00:54.The Metro reports that Mr Hammond admitted the national insurance

:00:55. > :01:01.increase broke a Conservative manifesto pledge on tax rises.

:01:02. > :01:04.The Times claims it was the Prime Minister who ordered the U-turn.

:01:05. > :01:08.It also features the failure of the far right to top the poll

:01:09. > :01:17.The Guardian goes with the news that a dozen police forces have handed

:01:18. > :01:20.files to the CPS on the claims that some MPs may have overstepped

:01:21. > :01:22.spending limits during the last general election campaign.

:01:23. > :01:27.The same story in the mirror, 12 Conservative MPs are being

:01:28. > :01:32.investigated. The male features a story about Marine Alexander

:01:33. > :01:41.Blackman his murder conviction has been overturned. Only one place to

:01:42. > :01:44.start and it is what a couple of the papers called the humiliation of

:01:45. > :01:48.Philip Hammond. That is the headline in the Telegraph and the

:01:49. > :01:55.Independent. Is that how you see it, humiliation? Certainly embarrassing

:01:56. > :02:01.climb-down. Sadly climb-down within a week, whether he was ordered by

:02:02. > :02:04.the Prime Minister or not, here, we are, we have a government with the

:02:05. > :02:12.biggest challenge the Second World War. That is the handle -- to handle

:02:13. > :02:19.Brexit, and a Chancellor is seen as a safe pair of hands and he has the

:02:20. > :02:23.go back to the house and back down. And this is really highly damaging.

:02:24. > :02:28.Interesting to see the Telegraph -- Daily Telegraph talking about MPs

:02:29. > :02:33.talking about the fact that Philip Hammond is on probation and this

:02:34. > :02:36.rebellion means it raises the chances of future rebellions and

:02:37. > :02:45.leaves a ?2 billion hole in the balance sheet. And it ends this

:02:46. > :02:52.article by saying Mr Hammond tonight is increasingly isolated within the

:02:53. > :02:57.Government. So this is very embarrassing. Not just for him, also

:02:58. > :03:00.for the Prime Minister. Steve, the splits, is that how you see it's

:03:01. > :03:07.between Downing Street and the Chancellor on this and ten Downing

:03:08. > :03:10.Street forcing him into this U-turn? What worried and upset Tory MPs

:03:11. > :03:16.today was the incredible briefing in the Sunday papers. It was sheer

:03:17. > :03:23.hatred formers between Number 10 and 11, blaming each other for what is a

:03:24. > :03:27.chaotic week. Just such a bad day for the Government. We need a new

:03:28. > :03:33.definition for safe pair of hands. He was supposed to be stable,

:03:34. > :03:39.calming, spreadsheet cell, the detail man, and it is the biggest

:03:40. > :03:42.U-turn on any Budget. The Telegraph highlights that he did not, he was

:03:43. > :03:47.asked when did he realise it was a breach of the manifesto? He says, I

:03:48. > :03:54.think it was when Laura Kuenssberg of the BBC mentioned it. Laura said

:03:55. > :03:57.that was just a joke. That shows how out of touch the Chancellor is. One

:03:58. > :04:04.of the memories last week of the Budget was he was making a lot of

:04:05. > :04:08.jokes, amusing delivery. It has backfired now. Even today after this

:04:09. > :04:13.project U-turn, he is back making this sort of mistake and making it

:04:14. > :04:18.seem as though Laura was the first to spot this. Unbelievable. Look at

:04:19. > :04:23.the election spending, David Davis commenting that the Select Committee

:04:24. > :04:28.today, the effects of a hard Brexit, it is difficult. The saving grace is

:04:29. > :04:32.Jeremy Corbyn -- Jeremy Corbyn, he was dire. That is why this

:04:33. > :04:36.government continues to make these mistakes, there is not a credible

:04:37. > :04:39.opposition. Can we look at the cartoon, it is the last time this

:04:40. > :04:45.U-turn will happen in a spring Budget. Because there is not going

:04:46. > :04:48.to be any. Yvette Cooper made the joke, is this why you want to get

:04:49. > :04:54.rid of them because you are making such a mess of them? The Metro

:04:55. > :04:58.continue the same theme. Mr Hammond with egg on his face and possibly a

:04:59. > :05:06.slightly more brutal headline than the one we were looking at. They

:05:07. > :05:09.highlight the fact that Mr Hammond should have done his homework

:05:10. > :05:15.instead of writing stale jokes, that is the quote from Labour and John

:05:16. > :05:21.McDonnell, who also says Theresa May during the initial Budget statement

:05:22. > :05:25.had been guffawing like a seal. It is very core.! A lot of anger from

:05:26. > :05:29.the Labour benches despite what you are saying about Jeremy Corbyn about

:05:30. > :05:35.how the Government have handled this. Yes, because that was not

:05:36. > :05:43.translated and did not come across in their leader's way. You used the

:05:44. > :05:48.word "This evening, that is an open goal. Like a boxer, if he cannot get

:05:49. > :05:53.through a punch on something like this, referring to the guffawing,

:05:54. > :06:00.when the Prime Minister, usually very sure-footed and measured in her

:06:01. > :06:04.responses, when she was, her upper torso was shaking, I thought in

:06:05. > :06:11.these days of social media that somebody would put a fish on except

:06:12. > :06:15.chat and that would be used over and over again and it is unfortunate.

:06:16. > :06:17.You can laugh at one particular thing and it becomes you are

:06:18. > :06:22.laughing at everything, the opposition. There was the

:06:23. > :06:26.communication aspect of the Budget last week, the Chancellor and Prime

:06:27. > :06:32.Minister were laughing their way through it, slapping a tax on the

:06:33. > :06:36.white van man. So that is part of it, the communication was

:06:37. > :06:40.disastrous. Labour did not foresee U-turn on this, I would argue the

:06:41. > :06:46.mediated, and the Tory backbenches, this only happened after MPs saw

:06:47. > :06:52.Theresa May on Monday night and said, we cannot do this. And because

:06:53. > :06:56.her majority is not large, she could not have got it through the Lords.

:06:57. > :07:02.That is another reason. They put this out today, the Government

:07:03. > :07:06.decided to put this out before Yahoo, which is prime time for the

:07:07. > :07:10.opposition, that they thought so little of the opposition that they

:07:11. > :07:15.gave it 20 minutes before rather than putting it out at 6pm. Without

:07:16. > :07:21.notice, Jeremy Corbyn would have had time to launch a proper attack? They

:07:22. > :07:28.did not leak it at 6pm on a Friday, they put it out in front of PMQs.

:07:29. > :07:35.Let's talk about the headline in the financial Times, to take it forward

:07:36. > :07:40.and is to raise doubts, they say, about the government's competence on

:07:41. > :07:43.all that is to come on Brexit and the negotiations over the next

:07:44. > :07:48.years, are we looking at a government, in your view, not the

:07:49. > :07:53.job? I can see how easy it is for critics of the Government, within

:07:54. > :07:57.the Conservative Party, within the Labour Party or what seems to be at

:07:58. > :08:03.the moment the most efficient opposition party, the SNP, might be

:08:04. > :08:07.tempted to think so. And the last paragraph in this front-page article

:08:08. > :08:11.is interesting because the FT is quoting I believe the Spectator and

:08:12. > :08:17.they say, this fiasco will be watched with amazement in European

:08:18. > :08:22.capitals if Theresa May caves under pressure, then her opponents in

:08:23. > :08:25.Brexit talks will apply pressure. This will be watched on the

:08:26. > :08:31.continent and is being watched, a report on this as do other European

:08:32. > :08:37.and world correspondence daily. This does not give an impression of a

:08:38. > :08:41.government that is in control. The last thing you can afford to do is

:08:42. > :08:46.to look like you are not in control when you have something like a

:08:47. > :08:49.Brexit challenge. This will give ammunition to those in the Tory

:08:50. > :08:53.party who have said to Theresa May that she needs a bigger majority,

:08:54. > :08:57.she needs to go to the country to win a bigger majority in Parliament.

:08:58. > :09:01.Talking to a Labour MP today, they said this is why she should have an

:09:02. > :09:07.election because she will face this problem all the time with a majority

:09:08. > :09:11.of 12. Go to an election. A Labour MP, grown-up politicians saying, go

:09:12. > :09:16.to an election and get a majority of 100 and this problem goes away. That

:09:17. > :09:21.is a Labour MP, but she did not going to do that. On Brexit, there

:09:22. > :09:24.is a point, this is history, Brexit is the toughest challenge since the

:09:25. > :09:30.Second World War for a government and I think a lot of people are

:09:31. > :09:34.happy Theresa May is there and David Davis, despite a bad day for him

:09:35. > :09:38.today, they will be worried if Philip Hammond is in the

:09:39. > :09:42.negotiation. When we get into Article 50, this will almost fade

:09:43. > :09:46.into the distance. Speaking of Article 50 and the Queen will give

:09:47. > :09:51.her a centre tomorrow. That trigger of Article 50 could happen at any

:09:52. > :09:55.moment even if we think it will not happen or we seem to have been told

:09:56. > :10:01.by Downing Street that it will not be until the end of March. You

:10:02. > :10:06.mentioned your own paper the Sun, an interview with Philip Hammond, what

:10:07. > :10:10.does he say? He wrote a piece and we campaigned for this U-turn, they did

:10:11. > :10:19.not think it would be this quick in a million years. Was it the sermon

:10:20. > :10:23.that when it? Of course! -- the Sun. Remember the 2015 election, it seems

:10:24. > :10:26.like a lifetime ago, the Conservatives said they were the

:10:27. > :10:30.Workers' Party, the party of aspiration, that keyword. We are the

:10:31. > :10:36.party of the workers, said David Cameron. And last week, the tax raid

:10:37. > :10:42.on a self-employed, the white van man. And Philip Hammond is saying in

:10:43. > :10:46.a grovelling apology, it is important, trust matters in

:10:47. > :10:49.politics, trust me now, there will not be another National Insurance

:10:50. > :10:54.rise this Parliament, we are sticking by this tax look. The key

:10:55. > :10:58.is, trust matters. Trust has been shattered today, the prime is the's

:10:59. > :11:04.trust in her Chancellor, MPs and the Government machine, and Rory Stewart

:11:05. > :11:09.was today defending this policy. As Andrew Neil got the message saying

:11:10. > :11:16.it was gone. That has to be rebuilt. A tricky time. Moving on to matters

:11:17. > :11:19.in the Netherlands. We have got those election results coming

:11:20. > :11:23.through the night from the Dutch election. There are quite

:11:24. > :11:28.interesting because the far right party of Geert Wilders not doing

:11:29. > :11:32.nearly as well as some people had predicted, Benedicte. That is right,

:11:33. > :11:39.what is interesting apart from what you said is the turnout was very

:11:40. > :11:46.high. And the time -- the time so as to thwart the will of a populist

:11:47. > :11:51.upsets that delivered Brexit and President Trump. That is interesting

:11:52. > :11:57.although one should note Mark Rutte has lost a quarter of his MPs. But

:11:58. > :12:03.we know that the Dutch election today, the French election, on April

:12:04. > :12:08.23 the first round and the second round the 7th of May and the German

:12:09. > :12:12.election are being watched carefully themselves and the knock-on effect

:12:13. > :12:16.they will have on Brexit. And for the future of the EU. Do you think

:12:17. > :12:22.the French will take note from this and it will affect France? I would

:12:23. > :12:26.not raise it in that way. I think the French are looking at what is

:12:27. > :12:31.happening and the campaign being dominated unfortunately by the man

:12:32. > :12:34.who was going to be the President, the frontrunner, charged yesterday,

:12:35. > :12:42.Francois Fillon. They are taking it all went, I do not think it will

:12:43. > :12:46.change somebody's vote. No. And we have got Yahoo, that huge hacking

:12:47. > :12:52.from 2014 and extraordinary story that the Americans have now indicted

:12:53. > :12:59.four people, two Russian spies, and they are saying allegedly, from the

:13:00. > :13:02.FSB, they are accused of working with criminals. So the Russian

:13:03. > :13:09.state, allegedly, working with criminals to hack an awful lot of

:13:10. > :13:13.people's Yahoo accounts. This story has been going on in the background.

:13:14. > :13:17.If you think about the Kremlin blamed for hacking the Pentagon and

:13:18. > :13:21.Theresa May and Boris Johnson have more or less accused them of being

:13:22. > :13:24.behind this coup in Montenegro. Boris this week said the Russians

:13:25. > :13:30.were behind this attempted assassination in Montenegro,

:13:31. > :13:35.incredible stuff, and where does it go? Boris Johnson goes to Moscow in

:13:36. > :13:37.a couple of weeks, which will be fascinating. It would be an

:13:38. > :13:44.incredible meeting with this as the backdrop. I have a French take. As a

:13:45. > :13:49.French voter, a couple of days ago, I got an e-mail confirming I am on

:13:50. > :13:53.the list of voters, telling French people abroad that exceptionally,

:13:54. > :13:58.they will not be voting electronically. Because of the very

:13:59. > :14:02.real risk of being hacked by Russia. That is extraordinary. Incredible,

:14:03. > :14:07.if someone like the Pentagon can be hacked and you think they might have

:14:08. > :14:12.a firewall, Yahoo as their business might have a firewall and we expect

:14:13. > :14:16.our own systems, how do they tackle this? It is a big thing post-Brexit

:14:17. > :14:22.we have to think about. Is it a threat in elections, in all

:14:23. > :14:27.countries potentially? Yes, I think this is now raising a lot of doubts

:14:28. > :14:31.and it is about elections, which is the biggest democratic exercise we

:14:32. > :14:36.can have in our democracies. But I think it is also about other things.

:14:37. > :14:42.Look at the reliance we accept about everything that is on the internet.

:14:43. > :14:50.People, criminals ganging up with possibly the FSB or someone else.

:14:51. > :14:54.Hacking. Russia and other state allegedly are interested in cyber

:14:55. > :14:58.attacks, the Chinese, the North Koreans. Computers and automation is

:14:59. > :15:03.now part of life. They talk about smart meters in every home and

:15:04. > :15:09.Artificial Intelligence. The Towcester can tell on you! Exactly,

:15:10. > :15:13.heaven forbid. Smart meters, they could be on the Kremlin. This lack

:15:14. > :15:19.of trust in politicians, the media, people's words and with social media

:15:20. > :15:22.this fuels mistrust. Thank you so much, as ever. That is it from the

:15:23. > :15:25.papers tonight. Don't forget, you can see the front

:15:26. > :15:28.pages of the papers online It's all there for you -

:15:29. > :15:32.seven days a week - And if you miss the programme any

:15:33. > :15:37.evening, you can watch it