21/04/2017

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:00:15. > :00:18.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:19. > :00:22.With me are Torcuil Crichton, Political Editor at The Daily

:00:23. > :00:24.Record, and the barrister and broadcaster Sophia Cannon.

:00:25. > :00:34.Thank you for staying for a second review, which is an unusual retreat!

:00:35. > :00:37.The Financial Times says there's alarm within Downing Street

:00:38. > :00:40.as the Chancellor hints that he wants to scrap the 2015

:00:41. > :00:42.Conservative pledge of not raising taxes.

:00:43. > :00:45.The Mirror also leads with the Chancellor's comments.

:00:46. > :00:49.It suggests Mr Hammond has signalled he could increase VAT or income

:00:50. > :00:52.The Times says sources in Washington have told the paper

:00:53. > :00:55.President Trump is prioritising a trade deal with the EU over

:00:56. > :01:00.The Independent reports on a British judge,

:01:01. > :01:04.who warns the Government is displaying "invincible ignorance"

:01:05. > :01:06.in thinking they can free the country from

:01:07. > :01:12.The Daily Mail warns of a new mortgage price war

:01:13. > :01:17.The Sun also warns of tax rises and pension cuts

:01:18. > :01:19.if the Conservatives win the election.

:01:20. > :01:22.It says there could be an increase in overseas aid spending.

:01:23. > :01:25.The Express writes the Prime Minister is to reject

:01:26. > :01:28.a fresh call from Brussels to give a life-time guarantee of working

:01:29. > :01:31.rights to EU citizens currently in the UK.

:01:32. > :01:33.And the Guardian leads with the Presidential elections

:01:34. > :01:36.in France, and the heightened security in polling stations

:01:37. > :01:53.Starting with some reflections on three days of campaigning we have

:01:54. > :02:00.had after the snap election was announced, much to everyone's

:02:01. > :02:06.surprise. The Daily Mirror is where we will begin. The Tory bombshell.

:02:07. > :02:13.The Chancellor says he will drop a pledge not to hike taxes. This isn't

:02:14. > :02:17.comfortable for Philip Hammond, who says he wants to lower the tax

:02:18. > :02:26.burden on people, when the economy is doing well. Indeed. Spreadsheet

:02:27. > :02:33.fill, as he is nicknamed in the British press -- Phil, as he is

:02:34. > :02:37.nicknamed, is that the Tory party is the party that supports the economy

:02:38. > :02:42.and is fiscally secure. However, he has a black coal. Two forces are

:02:43. > :02:51.undermining this. First of all the demographic changes and also he is

:02:52. > :02:55.seen those who voted to leave or remain, the economy will be under

:02:56. > :03:01.pressure. When we leave the EU. Indeed. Where is he finding the

:03:02. > :03:06.money? Has tried to raise national insurance... That didn't work so he

:03:07. > :03:14.did the U-turn. Indeed. This way is a clever way. He is thinking to

:03:15. > :03:21.raise VAT, to put a tax on everything that we buy that special

:03:22. > :03:27.for people and the issue is VAT is paid by more people, poorer people,

:03:28. > :03:36.at a higher rate because it is the way people buy and consume their

:03:37. > :03:39.goods. Who would have thought it? The rule of politics, you can't go

:03:40. > :03:42.into an election promising to raise taxes because you will lose that

:03:43. > :03:46.election. Unless you are a long way ahead in

:03:47. > :03:50.the opinion polls. Unless you are confident of getting more than 100

:03:51. > :03:55.seat majority, as you can afford lose if you friends on the way.

:03:56. > :04:02.Philip Hammond, last month he tried to raise taxes by raising national

:04:03. > :04:10.insurance by 2p. He had to drop that in 48 hours. That budget melted in

:04:11. > :04:16.his hands like chocolate! So he is saying, I will have to get three of

:04:17. > :04:21.these restraints. The 2015 Tory manifesto said there would be no

:04:22. > :04:28.rises in national insurance because David Cameron's backroom boys when

:04:29. > :04:34.they wrote that, they thought they would get in the Lib Dems anyway.

:04:35. > :04:38.Now they are having to stage an election to escape their own

:04:39. > :04:42.manifesto. It's now about taxes and it will be the same for tomorrow.

:04:43. > :04:48.Should we applaud politicians for admitting taxes? We need more

:04:49. > :04:53.funding if we want the NHS to have enough money in the office. It

:04:54. > :04:57.depends who is paying the tax. John McDonnell said this is a tax

:04:58. > :05:05.bombshell. This is the mother of all tax bombshell is. More importantly,

:05:06. > :05:12.this is bullying the poor, bullying people who can't not pay VAT on our

:05:13. > :05:21.heating, on our consumables, on things that people need to have in

:05:22. > :05:28.their homes. Labour is accusing of hiding this VAT bombshell that was

:05:29. > :05:33.brought in after the election. As you said, the poor pay as a

:05:34. > :05:49.proportion of their income 10%, which goes on Vatable goods. But he

:05:50. > :05:54.might just opt for income tax instead of VAT. That's what happened

:05:55. > :05:59.yesterday. When Don McDonald considered the idea of people

:06:00. > :06:07.earning more than ?70,000. The day before, yes. Yes. The whole issue

:06:08. > :06:13.was if 70,000 pounds, it's a lot of money, are you rich on ?70,000? We

:06:14. > :06:18.are having existential questions being asked. Where should the tax

:06:19. > :06:22.burden rests? Because Brexit, even though we do want to talk about it,

:06:23. > :06:26.is making us look inwards as to where we will get this money from,

:06:27. > :06:31.who is going to pay and where the savings will be found. You ask

:06:32. > :06:35.people, ask voters, if they are willing to pay more tax for these

:06:36. > :06:40.essential services and of course they say yes. Someone should.

:06:41. > :06:47.Someone should. But they don't say yes in the ballot box, bedded reward

:06:48. > :06:53.politicians who say they will pay taxes. The Sun. It supports the

:06:54. > :07:00.government and Theresa May and says no to tax rises, no to an increase

:07:01. > :07:04.in the national aid, no to the end of the triple lock for pensioners,

:07:05. > :07:14.all of which might happen if the Tories back out. Pay and DisMay.

:07:15. > :07:25.They know their readership. The Sun, they appealed to the white 'van man'

:07:26. > :07:29.electorate. They would feel this. Obviously a lot of them are

:07:30. > :07:39.self-employed and a lot of them use the VAT system. Added on to this,

:07:40. > :07:47.OAPs also face an attack on the triple lock. Although we are out of

:07:48. > :07:55.Europe, we still would be paying 0.7% on our foreign aid budget and

:07:56. > :08:02.they see that as very much a bitter pill. Why should we be paying into a

:08:03. > :08:10.foreign aid budget when a should be raised? Soft power and all of those

:08:11. > :08:18.things Britain benefits from. They blinked it together to make you feel

:08:19. > :08:23.at -- as a Sun leader that these are linked and it's a clever device, but

:08:24. > :08:31.as you say it is the wrong one. That amount of aid... Theresa May has

:08:32. > :08:39.recommitted it and she has had to, which is quite good because she was

:08:40. > :08:44.being bullied earlier in the week. It will be put in black and white

:08:45. > :08:50.what each party thinks. Different forces, mostly media forces, have

:08:51. > :08:54.been trying to claw back on Britain's commitment to overseas

:08:55. > :09:00.aid, which is hugely important in terms of exercising international

:09:01. > :09:07.compassion and basically doing the right thing. Capitalism has been a

:09:08. > :09:12.major force in the past century to lowering poverty, to increasing life

:09:13. > :09:16.expectancy, and to ensure that there is more quality in the world. But at

:09:17. > :09:26.the moment capitalism isn't running the way it is supposed to. The

:09:27. > :09:34.Times. Angela Merkel lands a Brexit victory for Brussels. Do they prefer

:09:35. > :09:38.a block of 27 member states with hundreds of millions of people in

:09:39. > :09:45.it? This is a good story. A good Times splash. Before Brexit Obama

:09:46. > :09:49.put us at the back of the queue, then Theresa May goes to Washington

:09:50. > :09:53.and they hold hands, we are in front of the queue and Boris Johnson says

:09:54. > :10:00.we are the front of queue. Hold on, Angela Merkel! She doesn't seem to

:10:01. > :10:08.get on that well with Trump. She is pragmatic. She says this

:10:09. > :10:14.transatlantic trade partnership will be simpler and easier than you

:10:15. > :10:26.think, Donald. Donald Trump likes deals, he likes big deals, and Trump

:10:27. > :10:33.on America trade does five times more. And doesn't provide a path in

:10:34. > :10:40.for the EU. It depends on what the deal is. Is it a surprise that

:10:41. > :10:47.America wants to make a big deal with a big trading bloc and then put

:10:48. > :10:53.the smaller company further down the queue? It's not a surprise. It's not

:10:54. > :10:59.a golden carrot. This whole idea that Trump is supposed to be coming

:11:00. > :11:05.this year to see the Queen and for a state visit... And see some

:11:06. > :11:09.relatives in Scotland! We are no longer this idea that we are the

:11:10. > :11:13.nation that we used to be. We are looking at the wrong end of the

:11:14. > :11:19.telescope. If we leave we ongoing to be very small, a small island

:11:20. > :11:24.nation. We have always batted above our weight. Then why don't we

:11:25. > :11:31.continue to do so? Because things have changed. Technology isn't what

:11:32. > :11:38.it was. It has recently come out that... But all of that innovation

:11:39. > :11:43.we are capable of, all of the things people price about Britain, that

:11:44. > :11:47.won't change. One would hope it won't change but the whole idea now

:11:48. > :11:51.is the way we are trading and have traded in the past 40 years and it

:11:52. > :12:00.has been supporting our economy, it supported it, and now we are

:12:01. > :12:06.dismantling it in three years. Robotics might take care of that! We

:12:07. > :12:14.are more likely to be a nimble offshore economy with low taxation

:12:15. > :12:20.rates for big companies. And of course that probably means lower

:12:21. > :12:23.wages as well. Finishing with the Guardian and looking ahead to the

:12:24. > :12:29.French presidential election, the first round run-off is on Sunday.

:12:30. > :12:35.France heads for the polls on high alert. There are some rather

:12:36. > :12:39.stringent legal guidelines when you report in the run-up to the French

:12:40. > :12:44.election. Anything that's broadcast which could be considered propaganda

:12:45. > :12:49.in France risks in infringing these guidelines. That means things like

:12:50. > :12:53.material that you might be favouring one candidate over the other, so we

:12:54. > :13:00.will have to avoid that and explain it just you wonder why we aren't

:13:01. > :13:09.mentioning in the -- the individual candidates. This is an election that

:13:10. > :13:17.is probably more important than the one we are about to vote on in six

:13:18. > :13:21.weeks. It may have a bigger effect on Brexit than those going to be

:13:22. > :13:25.ballot box later. France will be a big player in negotiating with the

:13:26. > :13:34.UK. And if they are still in it. That's not the issue. The issue now

:13:35. > :13:45.is democracy in the shadow of the gun. There will be 60,000 extra cops

:13:46. > :13:51.on the streets. This is a European democracy that we are talking about.

:13:52. > :13:55.Troops being stationed on the streets. When you list the attacks

:13:56. > :14:04.that have undermined the French sense of security, we had Bataclan,

:14:05. > :14:10.Nice, Normandy, and what happened yesterday. I think when you see them

:14:11. > :14:20.and you list them the pedestrian nature of them... The horror, I hope

:14:21. > :14:24.the terror is slipping away because it has now become so mundane that we

:14:25. > :14:28.are just waiting. We have become immune to them. France is becoming

:14:29. > :14:34.fatigued. That may or may not play into the hands of any one candidate.

:14:35. > :14:37.We have to remember things like our own referendum in Europe was

:14:38. > :14:44.overshadowed by that terror attack of Jo Cox, which kind of soft the

:14:45. > :14:48.collective breath out of politics and the nation for some time. Did it

:14:49. > :14:53.affect the results? It seems not. Will this attack affect the result?

:14:54. > :14:58.The difference obviously with the people of France is they've had

:14:59. > :15:03.history. There have been occupied and have had this issue where

:15:04. > :15:09.they're very democratic foundations have been undermined by the forces

:15:10. > :15:14.and many people are undecided. I think it is 20%. But we can't say

:15:15. > :15:17.too much about that. We are expecting a high turnout and it is

:15:18. > :15:21.the first round run-off. We will be covering the results at 6:30pm on

:15:22. > :15:23.Sunday here a BBC News. That's it for The Papers tonight.

:15:24. > :15:27.Don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online

:15:28. > :15:31.It's all there for you, seven days a week, bbc.co.uk/papers.

:15:32. > :15:35.And if you miss the programme any evening you can watch it

:15:36. > :15:39.Thank you, Torcuil and Sophia. It's time for Sportsday.