23/04/2017

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:00:00. > :00:00.There's a Royal send off for tens of thousands of runners in this

:00:00. > :00:20.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:21. > :00:24.With us are Rosamund Urwin, columnist at the London Evening

:00:25. > :00:28.Standard, and France 24's UK Correspondent Benedicte Paviot.

:00:29. > :00:33.Welcome to you both. The front pages, starting with the Financial

:00:34. > :00:39.Times: It leads with the French elections -

:00:40. > :00:42.and former banker, Emmanuel Macron going head-to-head

:00:43. > :00:44.against the far-right leader Marine Le Pen in the race to become

:00:45. > :00:47.France's next president. The Guardian says Macron

:00:48. > :00:50.is now favourite to win the result redraws

:00:51. > :00:52.the French political divide. The Times says voters

:00:53. > :00:54.in France have humiliated the country's two established

:00:55. > :00:57.political parties. While the Daily Mail describe it

:00:58. > :01:01.as a "new French Revolution". The i features the former

:01:02. > :01:03.Labour Leader, Tony Blair, telling voters to put aside party

:01:04. > :01:06.loyalty for the sake of the best The Daily Telegraph questions

:01:07. > :01:09.Labour's credibility on defence after they say

:01:10. > :01:11.Jeremy Corbyn ruled out ever The Daily Express claims a foreign

:01:12. > :01:17.aid row broken out over claims taxpayers' cash

:01:18. > :01:20.was being given to a government And The Daily Mirror suggests

:01:21. > :01:26.Madeleine McCann may have been snatched to order

:01:27. > :01:38.by slave traders and sold. Lets's begin with what has been

:01:39. > :01:47.happening in France tonight. In the first round of the French

:01:48. > :01:52.presidential election. They say here in the Times that the French elite

:01:53. > :01:58.have been humiliated. We ought to be used to political upsets by now.

:01:59. > :02:03.After what we've seen in the last 12 certainly. Although, as you put it

:02:04. > :02:11.this morning, this was the most likely result on polling. -- 12

:02:12. > :02:17.months. Given that there were four potential candidates to get through

:02:18. > :02:22.to the second round, and there now just the two candidates. There was a

:02:23. > :02:26.possibility a debt result. You have Marine Le Pen looking victorious

:02:27. > :02:30.here. Although she did actually come second. Or was interesting about her

:02:31. > :02:34.speech was that it sounded like a victory speech. Now, of course, we

:02:35. > :02:38.will have two weeks of the two of them campaigning and going head to

:02:39. > :02:45.head. In what I think is interesting is that immediately we have Fillon,

:02:46. > :02:53.we have him immediately coming behind Emmanuel Macron. The current

:02:54. > :02:59.Promina stop also coming behind a Man U Micron. You'll be interesting

:03:00. > :03:04.to see where the vote goes. But one assumes that the Emmanuel Macron

:03:05. > :03:13.really does look like the favourite. -- behind Emmanuel Macron. What is

:03:14. > :03:19.very interesting is that this portrays a deep division within

:03:20. > :03:27.France. There are a lot of unhappy and dissatisfied people. Much as

:03:28. > :03:34.there are in the United Kingdom, who feel forgotten, not listened to,

:03:35. > :03:37.left by the wayside. And all 11 candidates, presidential candidates,

:03:38. > :03:43.were offering solutions. The two that are going to face off in the

:03:44. > :03:47.second round mean that the centre-right and centre-left parties

:03:48. > :03:56.have been rejected. Just to confirm that headline fare, it is

:03:57. > :04:02.extraordinary. Is the first time in six decades, that the centre-right,

:04:03. > :04:11.represented by the former Prime Minister of Nicholas Sarkozy, a

:04:12. > :04:25.-- Nicholas Sarkozy, Fillon. This didn't work out for those parties.

:04:26. > :04:32.It is monumental. A novice, who created a movement just months ago,

:04:33. > :04:37.Emmanuel Macron, and then the Front National, in that second round. I

:04:38. > :04:42.know he took full responsibility for it, but wasn't the Socialist

:04:43. > :04:54.candidate, Hamon, because people had had enough of Hollande, being

:04:55. > :05:00.punished? Yes. This was an accident waiting to happen. When President

:05:01. > :05:12.Hollande said before the last election, he said Jeffrey on what

:05:13. > :05:16.happens, and then failed to deliver, except for a little at the end of

:05:17. > :05:21.his mandate, that is why he was forced in December to save, which is

:05:22. > :05:27.extraordinarily rare for an outgoing president, I will not set again. --

:05:28. > :05:31.he said, Judge me on what happens. Look at the parliamentary elections

:05:32. > :05:40.that will be held in June. Because you have this nervous, who is not

:05:41. > :05:48.for the right or left. -- novice. Can either of these two get elected?

:05:49. > :05:51.Whoever of the two is elected, a parliamentary majority. Because

:05:52. > :05:56.otherwise, if you are just a president, and you cannot command a

:05:57. > :06:06.majority in the Parliament, you are to do much. The Guardian says it is

:06:07. > :06:10.Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen. There are wider ramifications in

:06:11. > :06:17.terms of what that means for the rest of Europe. Where framesets. As

:06:18. > :06:23.a one to remain in the EU? Andrew Laughlin said the message on Twitter

:06:24. > :06:26.saying, how would each of these candidates affect the Brexit

:06:27. > :06:36.negotiations? What kind of lumber they take to Britain? Absolutely.

:06:37. > :06:41.And Marine Le Pen is the anti-EU candidate. And Emmanuel Macron loves

:06:42. > :06:45.Europe. -- what kind of attitude will they take to Britain. This is

:06:46. > :06:49.why we saw the euro go up on the anticipation that this was looking

:06:50. > :07:01.good billion in two weeks time. And also we saw people across that. --

:07:02. > :07:06.was looking good for him in two weeks' time. What about the talk of

:07:07. > :07:13.a Frexit? Is that take up much time for people in France? I think the EU

:07:14. > :07:22.is in the DNA of the French people in a way that it is not, in a way,

:07:23. > :07:29.in the continent, it is in the DNA. In Britain, not so much. I think

:07:30. > :07:36.there has always been that doubt. Given a four to be part of it when

:07:37. > :07:44.you want to, and not when you don't. Dennis Lillee schizophrenic -- there

:07:45. > :07:51.has been a schizophrenic attitude to Europe. Again, what I think is

:07:52. > :07:54.interesting for politicians around the world watching us, and looking

:07:55. > :08:00.at the wider phenomenon on, you have the Brexit, OK not called right by

:08:01. > :08:08.the polls, but that was a rejection of the EU, but a rejection of

:08:09. > :08:12.globalisation and immigration. You then had Donald Trump. So it is

:08:13. > :08:15.interesting to have seen the result that happened in the Netherlands,

:08:16. > :08:19.and we are now seeing tonight in France, and if indeed Emmanuel

:08:20. > :08:25.Macron goes on to win, politicians are getting a real kicking. And I

:08:26. > :08:30.think to the pollsters for a second, but I think there is a real

:08:31. > :08:38.antiestablishment mood, and in anger, economic anger, political

:08:39. > :08:43.anger, a cynicism of populations. But voter turnout was high. It is

:08:44. > :08:46.consistently high in France. People take that responsibility in the

:08:47. > :08:51.boat. I went to London today and it was extraordinary to see people with

:08:52. > :08:56.babies and in wheelchairs... All queueing up for about an hour and a

:08:57. > :09:01.half to go and vote. Good to see people using their democratic vote.

:09:02. > :09:13.Lets's look at the Daily Telegraph, then. Labour's nuclear implosion. It

:09:14. > :09:30.is that Labour's credibility is in tatters. So-called went on Andrew

:09:31. > :09:34.Marr and said that he ruled out ever using Britain's nuclear deterrent. A

:09:35. > :09:38.little while afterwards, the Labour Party had to say, actually, of

:09:39. > :09:42.course we still support the Trident nuclear deterrent. Every body knew

:09:43. > :09:50.the Jeremy Corbyn does not support nuclear weapons. We are in a weird

:09:51. > :10:00.situation. But think when Theresa May's said, was asked, said she

:10:01. > :10:09.would not hesitate. -- Theresa May it was asked, she said. This has

:10:10. > :10:15.been a difficult issue. Parties have always been divided, since 1945

:10:16. > :10:20.there is or has been division. I think you had to pretend that you

:10:21. > :10:23.would use nuclear weapons. That is the most effective strategy. We are

:10:24. > :10:28.in a system where people say, of Corso would, and that works as a

:10:29. > :10:31.deterrent itself. But of course, what is the point in hitting a

:10:32. > :10:35.button, when you are just critical more innocent people? Are we all

:10:36. > :10:41.exist in this sort of lie that they would. -- of course I would. You

:10:42. > :10:47.should never threatens the not prepared to carry out. You just hope

:10:48. > :10:51.you never had to use it. That is why it is called dissuasion. Some very

:10:52. > :10:58.top commanders, former commanders, the former first Sea Lord, he said

:10:59. > :11:11.this really rests alienating the armed forces. Lets's very quickly

:11:12. > :11:15.look at the i. Forget party leadership, says Tony Burke, saying

:11:16. > :11:20.vote tactically. Purview Kennedy as you can vote for, irrespective of

:11:21. > :11:25.their party, if a conservative, or whatever, they go to deliver the

:11:26. > :11:36.best Brexit deal, that is so you should vote for. -- vote for who

:11:37. > :11:39.ever you want to vote for, irrespective of their party. He said

:11:40. > :11:42.he felt so passionate about Brexit that he was almost motivated to

:11:43. > :11:49.re-enter British politics himself. The thing is, Tony, you can want to

:11:50. > :11:55.re-enter, but then knew how to find the right entry. And what role. It

:11:56. > :12:00.is what extraordinary to see him say that. I don't know this is something

:12:01. > :12:06.that he is sort of testing the waters in terms of where he would

:12:07. > :12:11.fit in... A new centrist party? You don't think they would have learnt?

:12:12. > :12:20.I think Labour has learnt from the split in the 1980s. It is

:12:21. > :12:27.interesting, because Tony Blair, a lot of people would like to have

:12:28. > :12:31.seen them go away and not return. But this is now am aware it is less

:12:32. > :12:35.unappetising to people, because of Brexit, and because we have an

:12:36. > :12:41.extreme option at the general election. I feel as though there are

:12:42. > :12:45.many people who previously disagree with Tony Blair ever saying anything

:12:46. > :12:49.ever again, but feel that political lines have been so redrawn by

:12:50. > :12:52.Brexit, they have hit refresh on everything, and it is not the most

:12:53. > :12:58.unwelcome intervention, weirdly. I will move us onto our last paper,

:12:59. > :13:05.the Daily Telegraph has a picture of Bryony Gordon, one of their

:13:06. > :13:10.columnists. She has raised a huge amount of money to be the London

:13:11. > :13:14.Marathon. Oh sure that was very difficult. How you do it, I don't

:13:15. > :13:17.know. She will write about it in her column tomorrow. They will be

:13:18. > :13:24.fantastic to read. She has done a great job. She has really raise the

:13:25. > :13:31.profile of mental health issue s. And she got the royal family

:13:32. > :13:37.involved. She got Prince Harry to talk about what happened after her

:13:38. > :13:40.mother's death. We know about the stiff upper lip stereotype of the

:13:41. > :13:45.Royal family. They do tend to shy away from controversial issues, even

:13:46. > :13:49.ones that should not be controversial. Citing what she has

:13:50. > :13:52.done to get all of that coverage for it, and then to go and run the

:13:53. > :14:04.marathon, and to raise all that money, and the matter charity, the

:14:05. > :14:09.official charity, there does well. -- so I think what she has done to

:14:10. > :14:16.get. And all those runners, amateurs, raising huge amounts of

:14:17. > :14:20.money. Think all that money for such worthy causes. About the mental

:14:21. > :14:25.health, I think it is extraordinary. As the Daily Telegraph rightly

:14:26. > :14:30.points out, unprecedented attention to an overlooked cause. We cannot

:14:31. > :14:33.say that enough. Then as you have physical injuries that are more

:14:34. > :14:38.visible. Of those injuries are just as real, and that needs... And it is

:14:39. > :14:41.commendable that Prince Harry, Prince William, and the Duchess of

:14:42. > :14:52.Cambridge have got this worldwide publicity for this.

:14:53. > :14:53.That is it for the papers tonight. Very nice to have