17/05/2017

Download Subtitles

Transcript

:00:00. > :00:14.From all of us at the BBC sports Centre, good night.

:00:15. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:20. > :00:23.With me are the Political Commentator Jane Merrick,

:00:24. > :00:26.and Ben Riley-Smith, Assistant political editor

:00:27. > :00:39.We will have a look at the front pages, but breaking news. It has

:00:40. > :00:47.been announced that the former First Minister of Wales has died. He was

:00:48. > :00:56.77. Rhodri Morgan was elected as an MP in 1987 and became an assembly

:00:57. > :00:59.member when the assembly was created in 1999. He was widely credited with

:01:00. > :01:06.bringing stability to the assembly after a turbulent start to the new

:01:07. > :01:14.institution. His predecessor -- his successor, Carwyn Jones said they

:01:15. > :01:22.Tomorrow's front pages, starting with...

:01:23. > :01:27.Plans to means test pensioners who receives the winter fuel

:01:28. > :01:30.allowance in order to fund social care is the Telegraph's main story.

:01:31. > :01:33.It's also on the front page of the Eye which claims

:01:34. > :01:36.millions of people will lose their winter fuel allowance.

:01:37. > :01:39.The allegations swirling around Donald Trump make the headlines

:01:40. > :01:47.The Metro claims assets of up to ?100,000 will be ring-fenced

:01:48. > :01:50.to try to try to stop elderly people having to sell their homes

:01:51. > :01:54.May's plan for a fairer Britain is the headline

:01:55. > :02:05.It is a seemingly ringing endorsement of the Prime Minister's

:02:06. > :02:10.plans. But the Times takes a different tack saving thousands will

:02:11. > :02:13.be hit by new care costs. The Daily Mail speaks to those worried about

:02:14. > :02:19.paying for nursing homes by the headline, you will not have to sell

:02:20. > :02:26.your home to pay for your care. The Sun focuses on different Tory plans

:02:27. > :02:31.that says they will target those to squeeze cash from ordinary, working

:02:32. > :02:36.families. The Telegraph, middle-class loose winter fuel.

:02:37. > :02:44.It sounds like, and we were talking about this earlier, another policy

:02:45. > :02:48.lifted from David Miliband. It is. Arguably tomorrow is the most

:02:49. > :02:53.important day of selection so far. It is the programme of government

:02:54. > :02:58.and Theresa May is on course for victory and she has a huge package

:02:59. > :03:05.of measures which includes something that Ed Miliband promised in 2015.

:03:06. > :03:11.At the moment pensioners get ?200 for a winter fuel payment, or ?300

:03:12. > :03:16.if you are over 18. Nearly all of those pensioners will lose that

:03:17. > :03:20.money except the poorest. It is an interesting raid on Labour

:03:21. > :03:30.territory. Will it go down well? There is a mixed response from the

:03:31. > :03:34.papers. It is interesting that it is not a big thumbs up, but actually

:03:35. > :03:40.something saying you will have to take some of the pain. We need to

:03:41. > :03:44.find this money somehow. Theresa May clearly understand some people will

:03:45. > :03:47.be concerned about where the money will come from because she says

:03:48. > :03:53.people are sceptical of politicians who claim to have easy answers to

:03:54. > :03:58.deep, complex problems and it is a responsibility for leaders to be

:03:59. > :04:01.clear with people. She is setting I am a no-nonsense, sensible

:04:02. > :04:05.politician and we have a care crisis and is right that some people get

:04:06. > :04:12.free fuel payments, it is better to take that counts and fund it into

:04:13. > :04:16.social care. It plays into the whole I am Mrs sensible idea, I am in

:04:17. > :04:22.control, I know what I am doing, trust me on this, it will be good

:04:23. > :04:27.for you. The Daily Express talk about Theresa May's plan for a

:04:28. > :04:31.fairer Britain. Many people will see this as fair. There are some

:04:32. > :04:37.middle-class pensioners who say, I do not need to have ?200, it is

:04:38. > :04:42.quite nice, but if that is a gap in the social care budget of more than

:04:43. > :04:46.?2 billion, some people will have to pay for that. What the Tory party

:04:47. > :04:52.are making clear is that this money will go towards social care funding,

:04:53. > :04:56.it will not be spent on anything else, it is tailored for poorer

:04:57. > :05:01.pensioners. That is what they are saying. The proof of the pudding for

:05:02. > :05:06.her critics will be in the eating. This is the front page of the Daily

:05:07. > :05:11.Express. Tory manifesto pledge to tackle crisis in social care. The

:05:12. > :05:15.Daily Express believe it is a fair policy, that is how they are pushing

:05:16. > :05:21.it. The winter fuel payments is one part of a wider care package on

:05:22. > :05:25.social care. Some things will be cheered by pensioners, but other

:05:26. > :05:29.things will leave them worse off. If you currently get your care at home,

:05:30. > :05:33.the value of your home is not counted and the state tries to work

:05:34. > :05:37.out how wealthy you are and will not support you. But under the Tory

:05:38. > :05:46.plans, your homes will be included and some rich pensioners will have

:05:47. > :05:51.to pay more. This is the Tories eventually putting a level on what

:05:52. > :05:56.you will have to pay in social care. You are guaranteed 100 grand to pass

:05:57. > :06:01.on to your children if you are a wealthy pensioner. They will never

:06:02. > :06:05.eat into below that pot. In the Daily Mail they are framing it as

:06:06. > :06:11.the core of your home will not be cut out either state and that is an

:06:12. > :06:15.interesting way of framing it. It is interesting because what she is

:06:16. > :06:19.making clear he is that for those middle-class earners there will be

:06:20. > :06:30.stuff in this for you. I think this is fair actually. David Cameron was

:06:31. > :06:35.urged to scrap benefits for wealthier pensioners several times

:06:36. > :06:39.and he resisted this and in the 2015 manifesto he protected birds. This

:06:40. > :06:43.is Theresa May really making a break with the David Cameron manifesto.

:06:44. > :06:51.They are doing other things like scrapping the triple lock and it is

:06:52. > :06:54.a real clean break from David Cameron's government. Is there a

:06:55. > :06:59.sense she is appealing to those working-class voters as well in

:07:00. > :07:03.those constituencies up north. We know she has been spending a lot of

:07:04. > :07:08.time up there since the campaign began. Is there a sense she is

:07:09. > :07:12.trying to reach out to them in a concerted way? Definitely. One of

:07:13. > :07:18.the interesting things is why did David Cameron promise this in 2010

:07:19. > :07:24.and 2015. They were unbelievably tight elections. Every vote counted.

:07:25. > :07:30.Theresa May has a lead of 15 or 20 points in the polls and can be a bit

:07:31. > :07:36.more free. Pensioners are those who vote and I can look at it a bit more

:07:37. > :07:39.straight. We are happy to take away from some wealthy people who get

:07:40. > :07:44.fuel payments and push that cash back into something that helps the

:07:45. > :07:51.wider society. That is the way the sun is framing it. But in the Times,

:07:52. > :07:56.thousands hit by care costs. Elderly pensioners will pay more, the triple

:07:57. > :08:02.lock ditched. It is interesting how the papers on the right, even though

:08:03. > :08:07.they are by and large idea logically to the right of centre politically,

:08:08. > :08:13.they do take different tax within different stories. It is interesting

:08:14. > :08:18.and Theresa May has a pretty fair wind in the press at the moment. The

:08:19. > :08:23.times are being slightly more critical of different measures. We

:08:24. > :08:26.were talking about the social care measures and there are different

:08:27. > :08:32.ways to look at it. There will be winners and losers. The times have

:08:33. > :08:39.also picked up about the universal, free school lunches for four to

:08:40. > :08:43.seven-year-olds. It was an Nick Clegg idea. They will be scrapped.

:08:44. > :08:49.This is another thing that people were saying that middle-class

:08:50. > :08:53.children do not need. It is a huge cost. Instead part of the money will

:08:54. > :08:58.be used to pay for breakfast for all primary school children which is a

:08:59. > :09:01.much more important anti-poverty issue because you get people who

:09:02. > :09:06.need food at the start of the day so they can concentrate on lessons. Do

:09:07. > :09:12.you think she will get away with raising national insurance? She has

:09:13. > :09:17.opened the door. The reason she got hammered in the budget earlier in

:09:18. > :09:21.the year is she directly broke a promise they put in their manifesto

:09:22. > :09:29.in 2015. They are not making that promise again. If she can justify

:09:30. > :09:33.that today, then fine, and people cannot say you promised to the

:09:34. > :09:38.public, it was a few years ago. The elderly spared the pain of seeing

:09:39. > :09:43.their homes sold. It is very interesting to see how the papers

:09:44. > :09:49.are looking through different prisms when it comes to the various

:09:50. > :09:58.policies. We may get the Liberal manifesto. Is it confirmed tomorrow?

:09:59. > :10:06.Let's go to the Financial Times. Mr Trump and Mr Trump and Theresa May

:10:07. > :10:10.and Philip Hammond. Theresa May raises doubts on Philip Hammond. I

:10:11. > :10:15.suspect a bit of betting is going on as to whether he will survive the

:10:16. > :10:21.first few weeks of Theresa May administration she wins. If she gets

:10:22. > :10:24.to introduce all those measures and to introduce all those measures and

:10:25. > :10:29.a mandate over her own conservative policies and she will be able to do

:10:30. > :10:34.what she wants. There is talk that Michael Gove might be brought back

:10:35. > :10:40.into the Cabinet. Philip Hammond is vulnerable because there are leaks

:10:41. > :10:46.about him swearing. She admitted it today. Extraordinary body language

:10:47. > :10:50.in their press conference today and they were being asked questions

:10:51. > :10:56.about their relationship. The one word of caution is ultimately she

:10:57. > :11:04.says and she knows she is the only one who knows if this will happen.

:11:05. > :11:09.It is interesting when you talk to people who know them both, they were

:11:10. > :11:13.both Oxford University contemporaries for two years ago and

:11:14. > :11:21.people say they are the same type of Tory, they are largely low tax,

:11:22. > :11:25.possibly both drier, less showy politicians of the same era. A

:11:26. > :11:29.generation above George Osborne and David Cameron and Theresa May does

:11:30. > :11:35.not have close political friends, but he would be among them. What is

:11:36. > :11:40.important for Brexit if that Hammond would want to pay back any hard

:11:41. > :11:44.Brexit, whereas if Michael Gove was brought back into... He would be

:11:45. > :11:49.full throttle. That would be the kind of sob she would feel she would

:11:50. > :11:56.need to make to those voters who may have put her over the top anyway.

:11:57. > :12:01.The Tories were split 50-50 on Brexit. If she had an entire cabinet

:12:02. > :12:07.of purely hard Brexiteer is, how would that go down with people like

:12:08. > :12:11.Nicky Morgan? One of those might come back, who knows? Very quickly,

:12:12. > :12:19.Donald Trump. His escalating crisis on the front page. One Democrat in

:12:20. > :12:22.the Congress has come out and said, we need to start impeachment

:12:23. > :12:27.proceedings. We are nowhere near that. I do not think so. Impeachment

:12:28. > :12:32.has to go through the House of representatives and the Senate, both

:12:33. > :12:35.of which are currently controlled by the Republicans. In the immediate

:12:36. > :12:41.future probably not. The interesting thing is mid-term after days and

:12:42. > :12:46.days of damaging headlines. Some people might be thinking, how can we

:12:47. > :12:50.move away from Donald Trump? It is a pretty high bar and it has only

:12:51. > :13:00.happened twice to two presidents. John McCain has said something

:13:01. > :13:05.today, but Nancy Pelosi has not said anything. They are not really

:13:06. > :13:09.pouncing out. If you go for all-out impeachment, this has to get through

:13:10. > :13:15.the Republican party. The Democrats are not united. It is such a high

:13:16. > :13:20.bar, but each new day brings a new scandal. It is getting to the point

:13:21. > :13:21.where he will be tweeting quite soon.

:13:22. > :13:29.Don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online

:13:30. > :13:33.It's all there for you seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers.

:13:34. > :13:36.And if you miss the programme any evening, you can watch it

:13:37. > :14:01.For those parts of England that had soaking rain on Wednesday, Thursday

:14:02. > :14:02.could not be any wetter. Cloudy in East Anglia and the South East and