10/06/2017

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:00:14. > :00:16.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:17. > :00:20.With me are Jack Blanchard, political editor of the Mirror

:00:21. > :00:23.and Caroline Wheeler, political editor of

:00:24. > :00:33.Tomorrow's front pages: The Observer says May's Premiership is in Peril.

:00:34. > :00:38.The paper leads with its editorial comment saying

:00:39. > :00:41.Mrs May is discredited, humiliated, and diminished.

:00:42. > :00:48.It concludes she has lost credibility and leverage.

:00:49. > :00:52.The Daily Mail says the Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson,

:00:53. > :00:56.is set to launch a bid to become Prime Minister.

:00:57. > :00:59.It also carries a picture of former Top Gear presenter Richard Hammond

:01:00. > :01:03.who is in a serious condition after being involved in a car crash

:01:04. > :01:08.The Telegraph says Theresa May may be in Downing Street

:01:09. > :01:10.but she has no power after losing her

:01:11. > :01:15.The paper says senior tories are jostling in an unofficial

:01:16. > :01:19.The Sunday Times claims as many as five Cabinet ministers are urging

:01:20. > :01:25.The Express leads with the resignation of Theresa May's two

:01:26. > :01:28.closest advisers Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill - it's headline

:01:29. > :01:47.By the way, we will be with you for 20 minutes tonight, I hope you are

:01:48. > :01:58.pleased. The Observer... I should calm down a bit. The Observer,

:01:59. > :02:02.made's premiership in peril. We know we've got this mechanism called

:02:03. > :02:09.confidence and supply, Caroline, who would or wouldn't want a DUP

:02:10. > :02:15.coalition? It would be more stable, wouldn't it? That is the pro of

:02:16. > :02:22.having a coalition deal, she could have confidence, although not great

:02:23. > :02:25.confidence, that she can get some legislation through the House of

:02:26. > :02:34.Commons, but it would only give her a majority of two. That means that

:02:35. > :02:40.if people didn't turn up, she would still struggle to command that

:02:41. > :02:43.majority. There are concerns about the DUP stance it particularly in

:02:44. > :02:48.things like abortion, gay rights and climate change. There has been lots

:02:49. > :02:53.of Twitter activity with MPs, Sarah Woollaston was one of them, really

:02:54. > :02:59.being very bad vocal about their opposition to this kind of

:03:00. > :03:02.opposition of the party and their stance on these particular issues so

:03:03. > :03:07.they have urged her to proceed with caution. But she needs back-up from

:03:08. > :03:14.somewhere and her options are limited. Very limited but this was a

:03:15. > :03:17.Prime Minister who spent the last seven weeks shrieking about a

:03:18. > :03:25.coalition of chaos, Labour were supposed to be a big threat to the

:03:26. > :03:29.nation. She also tried to target your position as a terrorist

:03:30. > :03:34.sympathiser and there she is trying to find a coalition with the pretty

:03:35. > :03:40.unpleasant party who has rather close ties to pretty unpleasant

:03:41. > :03:47.people in Northern Ireland. The hypocrisy is unbelievable. But the

:03:48. > :03:53.DUP have tendencies, they are only judgment party, they are a natural

:03:54. > :03:57.fit, in some ways? They are certainly a conservative with a

:03:58. > :04:03.small C party but they are ultraconservative. They are not

:04:04. > :04:08.mainstream by any sort of measure. The sort of stuff they talk about in

:04:09. > :04:13.terms of climate change, denying it exists, and gay rights, really

:04:14. > :04:20.unpleasant things some of their politicians have said. David Cameron

:04:21. > :04:26.spent a long time trying to detoxify the Conservative Party and it was

:04:27. > :04:30.semi successful. Theresa May was the one who warned they were seen as the

:04:31. > :04:32.nasty party and now they are getting into bed with some of the most

:04:33. > :04:38.unpleasant people in Parliament. At the extremes of all parties, there

:04:39. > :04:44.are less liberally minded types. In any party. Some of the things that

:04:45. > :04:55.Ukip, remember them? Some of the things they talked about, a lot of

:04:56. > :04:59.people felt they were distasteful. Remember the holder baklava Donald

:05:00. > :05:04.Trump, when he came to power, Nigel Farage was the only person talking

:05:05. > :05:09.to him from this side of the pond. They were very here they would not

:05:10. > :05:13.do business with him, there were not going to make him an unofficial

:05:14. > :05:17.adviser, they have resisted those kinds of moves before. The other

:05:18. > :05:21.really serious point, even when you get away from talking about that as

:05:22. > :05:28.a shield on women's rights, for example, is the whole peace process.

:05:29. > :05:33.The current peacekeeping agreement ends at the end of this month and

:05:34. > :05:38.does not compromise our neutrality on this position completely if the

:05:39. > :05:44.government is side in with one particular party? There are more and

:05:45. > :05:49.more voices coming out on this. The former Northern Ireland Secretary

:05:50. > :05:53.Peter Hain has said the prospect of this could be really calamitous for

:05:54. > :05:57.the peace process moving forward. Sinn Fein said there were to start

:05:58. > :06:02.talks immediately about power-sharing again and their view

:06:03. > :06:05.is that this kind of association between the DUP and the

:06:06. > :06:11.Conservatives isn't permissible because of the Good Friday

:06:12. > :06:15.agreement. Exactly. The Westminster government are supposed to be

:06:16. > :06:21.neutral to try and find a balance between them. John Major had no

:06:22. > :06:26.majority in the House of Commons when he was Prime Minister but he

:06:27. > :06:32.because he knew how damaging it because he knew how damaging it

:06:33. > :06:35.would be. Theresa May comes out on the early hours of Friday morning

:06:36. > :06:41.with no sleep, she is straight on the phone to them, she doesn't care.

:06:42. > :06:51.What she cares about insuring up her... Power. She cares about how

:06:52. > :07:00.power. The other story on the front page is drop hard exit, demand MPs.

:07:01. > :07:08.There will be pressure from all sides, Remainers, leave us,... This

:07:09. > :07:11.is a massive problem she has, even with the DUP, she has this time

:07:12. > :07:16.majority in parliament and it means every time she comes to Parliament

:07:17. > :07:20.with the big vote over Brexit, there will be a fraction over one side of

:07:21. > :07:24.the other on her own backbenches who say, I don't like that. If they

:07:25. > :07:30.don't vote for it, she won't get it through. She needs every single one

:07:31. > :07:37.of her MPs to support her. And there is no way you can unify the party on

:07:38. > :07:40.some of those positions. And the robber you've got there is it is not

:07:41. > :07:47.just her own backbench that will be missing. -- the problem. Ruth

:07:48. > :07:55.Davidson is talking about more ( it. Some of those think it is a failed

:07:56. > :08:00.bid for dropping the single market. She knows that she not only saved

:08:01. > :08:05.the union but she actually said Theresa May from an even more

:08:06. > :08:09.punishing defeat, had she not got those seats in Scotland, she would

:08:10. > :08:14.not have been able to get anywhere near trying to form a majority

:08:15. > :08:19.government. You've got the Labour Party, Green MPs, they could all

:08:20. > :08:24.unite together all to make the Great Repeal Bill which we understand will

:08:25. > :08:27.be the centrepiece still of the Queen's speech, simply because it

:08:28. > :08:31.has to be, and they could make the passage of that bill which will be

:08:32. > :08:39.in credibly complex very difficult and inflict defeat upon defeat upon

:08:40. > :08:42.defeat. And never mind the Lords. Never mind the Lords because if she

:08:43. > :08:47.had got her manifesto through she would have been able to rely on the

:08:48. > :08:50.Salisbury Convention. The Salisbury convention means that if you have a

:08:51. > :08:54.manifesto, your pledges don't have to go under the same scrutiny by the

:08:55. > :08:59.House of Lords as pledges that aren't in the manifesto which makes

:09:00. > :09:05.it easier to pass unpopular legislation. She was relying on this

:09:06. > :09:11.with her grammar schools legislation because it meant she could

:09:12. > :09:13.circumvent the House of Lords. In 2010, they didn't honour the

:09:14. > :09:17.Salisbury Convention which means that anything related to Brexit that

:09:18. > :09:23.you put in that manifesto will have to go through the Lords. And the

:09:24. > :09:28.Lords famously and controversially stood in the way of welfare changes.

:09:29. > :09:33.And that is because when they aren't put in the manifesto, the laws can

:09:34. > :09:38.say, nobody has voted for this, and we are going to have our say. If it

:09:39. > :09:43.was in the manifesto and lots a lot of people voted on it, they haven't

:09:44. > :09:51.got a leg to stand on, but Theresa May haven't got a mandate, people

:09:52. > :09:54.haven't voted on it. The Sunday Telegraph, in office, but not in

:09:55. > :10:01.power. Her fragile leadership suffers a further blow with these

:10:02. > :10:04.two aides resigning. Because it appears, Caroline, that they were

:10:05. > :10:11.senior Tories were saying that these two have to go. This all started

:10:12. > :10:16.during pretty much from the moment the manifesto was launched. MPs were

:10:17. > :10:21.utterly serious that the social care policy. That also thought some of

:10:22. > :10:25.the other proposals that had led the call vote, the abandonment of the

:10:26. > :10:32.winter fuel allowance, was and said they got -- unforgivable. People

:10:33. > :10:39.were describing it as going round on the doorstep like a cold bucket of

:10:40. > :10:44.sick. Offering the choice to voters between syphilis and bubonic plague

:10:45. > :10:51.was how one voter put it to me. There was a question about even if

:10:52. > :10:57.she won slightly convincingly by 40 to the votes if they would actually

:10:58. > :11:04.survive. As soon as we knew this was heading towards the coalitions

:11:05. > :11:06.government, it was seen as catastrophic from the policy

:11:07. > :11:12.narrative, these two would always be... Your fabulous report this

:11:13. > :11:17.morning that we all leapt upon, there was a real ultimatum issued by

:11:18. > :11:23.Theresa May to say that unless they go, you go. They handed in their

:11:24. > :11:32.resignations and the letters and statements were public today. More

:11:33. > :11:41.on this in the Sunday express. Make's toxic aid resigns. But

:11:42. > :11:45.ultimately they are only aids and all ministers have advisers, don't

:11:46. > :11:51.they? But the Minister or the Prime Minister in this case, the buck

:11:52. > :11:54.stops there. Absolutely. Inside Westminster and Whitehall, people

:11:55. > :11:59.know how powerful these two people were. They were two of the most

:12:00. > :12:06.powerful people in this country, along with Theresa May. Unelected.

:12:07. > :12:11.Unelected. To normal people looking at this, Hank on, you have had a bad

:12:12. > :12:21.election result and you have sacked your advisers, that is not a good

:12:22. > :12:25.look, she has not... This is the moment where she has dispatched her

:12:26. > :12:29.Chief Whip to go fast to basically shore up a majority for her to try

:12:30. > :12:35.and basically save her of and, save her skin, her aides have fallen on

:12:36. > :12:42.their sword to save her, and she goes shopping. There is a sense that

:12:43. > :12:48.it hasn't really sunk in. She is probably exhausted because of the

:12:49. > :12:52.time they have had. I do think that Caroline is right and there was a

:12:53. > :12:56.sense that she is in denial. Anyone that saw that statement outside

:12:57. > :13:01.Downing Street yesterday, it was embarrassing, she had a crushing

:13:02. > :13:07.result,... She couldn't believe what happened. She has to be able to

:13:08. > :13:14.process it. You have to realise and relate. It was the same speech she

:13:15. > :13:19.could have been given in she had a majority. People were watching

:13:20. > :13:27.open-mouthed. They were expecting conciliation. She got shoved back

:13:28. > :13:31.out the door to do an interview because she forgot to apologise. You

:13:32. > :13:40.cannot respond in that way to such a big situation. The Mail on Sunday,

:13:41. > :13:44.Boris sets launch it to be PM as Theresa May clings on. How far along

:13:45. > :13:50.as this bit? When are we are likely to see it? How long is a piece of

:13:51. > :13:58.string? This is the least surprising story. We have been braced her Boris

:13:59. > :14:03.ever since the referendum. They tried to keep him tucked away and

:14:04. > :14:06.till the last couple of weeks when they let him out of his box a little

:14:07. > :14:12.bit. It was noticeable on Friday morning when he wasn't giving his

:14:13. > :14:16.backing to the Prime Minister even when people were asking him. We know

:14:17. > :14:21.that Boris has been desperate to be Prime Minister at least 15 years,

:14:22. > :14:26.bubbly his whole life. The question is when is it coming. It is more

:14:27. > :14:36.likely to be in maybe a few months' time. The idea that she is going to

:14:37. > :14:41.be PM for a long time, we know she won't fight another election, so, as

:14:42. > :14:45.we know, that is to lease sires -- fires the starting gun. As soon as

:14:46. > :14:50.the exit poll came out, we started talking about when she would resign.

:14:51. > :14:55.It is when the dust settles that you think about it logically, about what

:14:56. > :15:00.this actually means. In terms of taking over the party in the current

:15:01. > :15:04.state it is now, it would be a huge gamble and it would make the

:15:05. > :15:09.likelihood of a second general action, a rapid one, much more

:15:10. > :15:15.likely. This is the thing that the Tory MPs want to avoid, particularly

:15:16. > :15:20.the ones that supported Brexit, because they are fearful that if

:15:21. > :15:23.there is a second pole and one quite rapidly, that Labour will winds, and

:15:24. > :15:30.they want to avoid that at all costs. Boris won't be the only one

:15:31. > :15:34.who wants to be Prime Minister. Only in his own mind, probably. How

:15:35. > :15:39.appealing to the wider party will Boris be as their candidate? He will

:15:40. > :15:43.be appealing for a certain reason. One of the things that she wasn't

:15:44. > :15:46.was at the Dixie dynamic character and one of the things that has come

:15:47. > :15:51.up in the recriminations after the election results is that Jeremy

:15:52. > :15:58.Corbyn came across as being very personable, he was human, he was

:15:59. > :16:02.speaking from the heart, he had great empathy, he gave great

:16:03. > :16:06.campaign speeches, he and cigarette public, all of those things he can

:16:07. > :16:16.do well. -- he invigorated the public. The interesting thing about

:16:17. > :16:21.Boris is he has always been seen as a uplift, he can reach out beyond

:16:22. > :16:31.the Conservative ace, people love him, but we don't know how strongly

:16:32. > :16:33.backlash against him will be from people who supported remain. For a

:16:34. > :16:39.lot of people, Boris is a hate figure. And they will associate him

:16:40. > :16:51.with a pledge he made on the bus about the NHS. There is the anyone

:16:52. > :16:56.but Boris idea. That is after the referendum as well. The Sunday

:16:57. > :17:02.Times, SMS Tory, five Cabinet ministers urging him to topple

:17:03. > :17:06.Theresa May, but also the chance of delivering a sub. Brexit for

:17:07. > :17:15.business. -- a softer Brexit is this. Philip Hammond is a bit

:17:16. > :17:20.emboldened. Politics is so interesting like that. Philip

:17:21. > :17:30.Hammond, his career looked on the rocks after the disastrous budget,

:17:31. > :17:34.he was supposed to be sacked. And suddenly she comes away from this

:17:35. > :17:39.election result... He said, Hank on a second, you are basically asking

:17:40. > :17:46.me to support you as Prime Minister word you about to sack me? Haven't

:17:47. > :17:52.you spent the last aids spending time briefing against me? That

:17:53. > :18:00.conversation must be wonderful. And now, she has -- he has the power and

:18:01. > :18:04.he gets to but his demands to her. I will support you but this is what I

:18:05. > :18:09.want. He is telling the Prime Minister you change the way you do

:18:10. > :18:16.Brexit, you put the economy centre stage. She hasn't got Nick, she

:18:17. > :18:23.hasn't got the owner, she hasn't got the three people left in the world

:18:24. > :18:32.that she trust. She does have Gavin Barwell, people say he is very attic

:18:33. > :18:38.and well liked. You can lose your job as an MP one day and double your

:18:39. > :18:41.salary the next. Finally, away from this, it is a week ago since the

:18:42. > :18:47.London Bridge attack happened. It feels like longer because of what

:18:48. > :18:51.has been happening, and ordinarily, we would have been talking about it

:18:52. > :18:59.a great deal more. Hospitals warned that they are tourist targets. The

:19:00. > :19:05.shocking headline, and suddenly, it seems perfectly plausible. If you

:19:06. > :19:09.are looking to make headlines and shock people, of course, the idea

:19:10. > :19:12.that people working around the clock trying to help people, the thought

:19:13. > :19:19.that they could be targeted is horrific. You see it abroad. The

:19:20. > :19:24.number of times in Syria, in much worse circumstances, they are

:19:25. > :19:31.targeted, and this little haven that is trying to patch people up, they

:19:32. > :19:35.are targeted. The truth of it is Everything is a target. We have

:19:36. > :19:43.heard reports of hospitals and schools being put on alert. Let's

:19:44. > :19:48.look at the Sunday express again. This is Jeff Ho, one of your

:19:49. > :19:54.generous. Injured in this attack last week. I read something

:19:55. > :20:01.wonderful today, that all 48 people who went to hospital with injuries

:20:02. > :20:07.will survive them. They will survive because of the extraordinary care.

:20:08. > :20:16.And they might not have done some time ago. This is Jeff Ho, this is

:20:17. > :20:21.our business editor. He has written for us today, he sent his copy along

:20:22. > :20:28.with a little note, he is still quite poorly, he is in hospital, he

:20:29. > :20:36.is not long out of intensive care, he dashed his throat was slashed, he

:20:37. > :20:40.is not able to talk properly yet. He said it helps him to bright this. We

:20:41. > :20:46.read every word of it and many of us, after completing it was in

:20:47. > :20:51.floods of tears, it is incredibly moving and powerful because this guy

:20:52. > :20:56.walked into the first altercation, somebody was having a go at a answer

:20:57. > :21:02.and he stepped in to help this bouncer, turned around, walked five

:21:03. > :21:10.doors down into a restaurant and straight in to an assault. He says

:21:11. > :21:13.he got a jab to the guy in the Arsenal shirt before they started

:21:14. > :21:19.coming at him and he tried to take these guys down as he knew there

:21:20. > :21:24.were people behind him who couldn't defend themselves. We need to rip

:21:25. > :21:34.things like that after something so horrific. Well worth the read. And

:21:35. > :21:39.he has joined tinder now. If he cannot find a nice lady friend after

:21:40. > :21:43.this there was something wrong with the world!

:21:44. > :21:48.They'll both be back at 11.30pm for another look at the stories

:21:49. > :21:59.I'll be back with the headlines after the weather.

:22:00. > :22:07.Hello, there. Cooler tomorrow but if you had rain today, it will be

:22:08. > :22:09.brighter and