02/07/2017

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:00:15. > :00:29.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:30. > :00:31.With me are political commentator James Millar

:00:32. > :00:35.The FT says a City of London delegation will head

:00:36. > :00:44.to Brussels this week to press for a post-Brexit free-trade deal.

:00:45. > :00:49.The Express leads with the crisis talks between EU officials over

:00:50. > :00:53.a surge in the number of migrants trying to reach Europe.

:00:54. > :00:56.The Telegraph claims the Chancellor Philip Hammond

:00:57. > :00:58.is at odds with other senior ministers over the funding

:00:59. > :01:02.The Metro says nurses are quitting the NHS in their thousands

:01:03. > :01:07.amid increasing workloads and plunging morale.

:01:08. > :01:11.The Guardian claims the UK has ditched its hope of securing a "cake

:01:12. > :01:16.and eat it" Brexit deal - and also shows Andy Murray

:01:17. > :01:19.practising ahead of beginning the defence of his Wimbledon title

:01:20. > :01:26.And the Mail says young drivers are being tempted into high levels

:01:27. > :01:37.of debt by car dealers offering them new vehicles for no money upfront.

:01:38. > :01:44.And finally, the Mirror says 69 refugees have drowned this year,

:01:45. > :01:50.while trying to reach Spain from Africa.

:01:51. > :01:57.OK, so a good selection of front pages there. A good evening to you

:01:58. > :02:02.both. James and Rachel, we will start off with the FT. And a story,

:02:03. > :02:08.what do you make of the latest trump saga? It is mad! We have become so

:02:09. > :02:14.used to him doing weird stuff but this is a story that is based on him

:02:15. > :02:20.having a pretend fight ten years ago, which somebody has then put on

:02:21. > :02:26.the Internet with a CNN logo on the head of the man he pretended to

:02:27. > :02:31.fight and he has re-tweeted it. CNN are not unreasonably suggesting this

:02:32. > :02:36.is out of order. On have said it is an incitement to violence, that he

:02:37. > :02:41.is winding up his supporters. Do you think his supporters would take it

:02:42. > :02:47.that far? What CNN are saying is that it could lead his supporters to

:02:48. > :02:52.then lash out physically and literally at the media? I definitely

:02:53. > :02:57.do think that is a possibility. I do think that anyone is saying him

:02:58. > :03:02.posting this as a direct threat from himself to reporters, but that has

:03:03. > :03:06.definitely been an escalation in the way the media is perceived in

:03:07. > :03:10.America. We had a Republican representative standing for election

:03:11. > :03:16.in Montana, who allegedly assaulted a Guardian journalist. We have had

:03:17. > :03:20.reporters arrested and assaulted when reporting from actual protests,

:03:21. > :03:22.so doing their job, and there has been an escalation rhetoric against

:03:23. > :03:35.the media. Every single day, if you read Donald

:03:36. > :03:37.Trump's Twitter feed, which unfortunately I have to for work,

:03:38. > :03:40.every day it is fake news media this, dishonest reporters that. That

:03:41. > :03:42.escalation of rhetoric does have consequences when you have

:03:43. > :03:49.supporters who are ever gone by that. When you would say you would

:03:50. > :03:54.encourage people not to look at it, why? What is so upsetting about his

:03:55. > :03:59.Twitter feed? There are a couple of things. One is it is sad to watch

:04:00. > :04:03.the man who has such a privileged and powerful position lose his

:04:04. > :04:06.dignity and the dignity of the office through all of that, and the

:04:07. > :04:11.other thing is it is very distracting. I think some of the

:04:12. > :04:14.main issues affecting America at the moment are the health care bill, the

:04:15. > :04:26.Republicans are trying and have recently failed to get through

:04:27. > :04:28.Congress. There are all kinds of other issues on national security,

:04:29. > :04:31.on Russia, that America should be confronting, and when you follow the

:04:32. > :04:34.day-to-day feuds which are found by Trump on Twitter, you kind of miss

:04:35. > :04:38.out on that. That is exactly the point, the dignity of the office.

:04:39. > :04:43.Six months ago, Barack Obama was in the Oval Office. You would not

:04:44. > :04:51.imagine him doing something as weird and pathetic really as this. Donald

:04:52. > :04:54.Trump has said it is modern day presidency, this is what it's all

:04:55. > :05:01.about. Anyway, we will stay with the Financial Times, and move onto the

:05:02. > :05:05.second story that has caught our attention, the City of London press

:05:06. > :05:09.Brussels for a post-Brexit trade deal. They are going it alone, is

:05:10. > :05:14.that what they are saying? Get used to it, it is Trump and Brexit, that

:05:15. > :05:22.is what it will be for the next two years. It is called a blueprint, it

:05:23. > :05:29.is an exciting way to jazz up the story. It would appear that the city

:05:30. > :05:32.is concerned with the way the Brexit negotiations are going or not going,

:05:33. > :05:37.so they will mount their own efforts to get their voice heard in

:05:38. > :05:41.Brussels. Will they be heard? Part of the article does say Brussels,

:05:42. > :05:46.however, is unwilling to discuss the future relationship with the UK

:05:47. > :05:52.until they have sorted out the divorce. What this story really

:05:53. > :05:56.shows is on both sides, there are individuals, political individuals,

:05:57. > :06:00.the negotiators, who are upping the rhetoric and upping the emotional

:06:01. > :06:04.side of it. Britain saying we will not pay or we will not stand for

:06:05. > :06:08.that. The EU saying we will walk away with no deal.

:06:09. > :06:11.Behind-the-scenes, there are businesses and business leaders who

:06:12. > :06:14.understand that there is an opportunity for a mutually

:06:15. > :06:18.beneficial deal, or at least one that is more beneficial than just

:06:19. > :06:23.walking away with nothing. The key line stands out from ears this is an

:06:24. > :06:27.example of how financial services are fearful of leaving their hands

:06:28. > :06:31.on the fate of the official negotiators while talks are based on

:06:32. > :06:34.narrow divorce related issues. Basically, they do not trust the

:06:35. > :06:39.negotiators not get really emotional about this, and they seem to think

:06:40. > :06:44.we need some kind of backroom deal to keep things from blowing up,

:06:45. > :06:50.essentially. And if people are wondering about this aspect of the

:06:51. > :06:54.City of London, it is the idea of passporting, the deals that come in

:06:55. > :07:01.and out. Let's put the FT to one side. It is the cod wars we will

:07:02. > :07:05.focus on. Britain risks return to cod wars. I do a lot of stuff about

:07:06. > :07:10.Brexit and the amount of times fish comes up. We did not know who 12

:07:11. > :07:16.months ago that fish would be such a big issue. Where it will go is

:07:17. > :07:20.intriguing. This is Michael Gove saying we will leave an agreement

:07:21. > :07:25.that is not the Common Fisheries Policy, which a lot of fish men do

:07:26. > :07:29.not like. It is an old agreement that allows Dutch, French, Belgian

:07:30. > :07:34.and German vessels to fish in what you might call our waters and allows

:07:35. > :07:39.us to fish in their waters as well. If we don't let them use our waters,

:07:40. > :07:43.we do not get to use theirs. But it is being dressed up as taking back

:07:44. > :07:49.control of the sea and this sea of opportunity line, the various

:07:50. > :07:58.fisherman's organisations' PR are doing a good job. I vividly remember

:07:59. > :08:03.both the Leave and Remain side chasing each other down the Thames

:08:04. > :08:10.in boats with signs about fishing. There was Nigel Farage on a boat and

:08:11. > :08:13.was it Bob Geldof following. It was a publicity stunt and it may not be

:08:14. > :08:17.the most important issue but it is one of the hyper emotional issues

:08:18. > :08:20.and going back to what I was saying before, there were all these flash

:08:21. > :08:24.points of issues which people get very emotional about, even if they

:08:25. > :08:28.are not necessarily the big economic fighters. And we have seen in the

:08:29. > :08:34.general election, a lot of the seats which went Tory from SNP have big

:08:35. > :08:39.fishing communities. This is a big issue. A subject we were just

:08:40. > :08:42.talking about, and the problem of the boat migrants. A meeting being

:08:43. > :08:50.held in Europe to try and solve this. Rachel, do you want to pick

:08:51. > :08:58.this up? Yes, this is the migrant crisis again. 2015 was the really

:08:59. > :09:02.brutal and horrific year. 12,000 migrants landed in Italy last week

:09:03. > :09:07.alone. The numbers are really rising as it is the summer. What this story

:09:08. > :09:12.is really about is that Italy and the Italian government have had

:09:13. > :09:17.enough. The Italian government is seeking permission or is basically

:09:18. > :09:21.telling the EU that they are no longer supporting the EU asylum

:09:22. > :09:25.seekers procedures. This is a really important issue, because it shows

:09:26. > :09:29.that as well as Brexit, there are a number of huge, huge issues the EU

:09:30. > :09:33.is facing at the moment, migration I think being the most important one.

:09:34. > :09:37.Whether Britain leaves all stays in the single market or not, the EU

:09:38. > :09:43.will have to confront these problems and they are not going away. Unlike

:09:44. > :09:54.Brexit, it is consecrated, however, some politicians like those from

:09:55. > :09:57.Ukip who are quoted in this story, seem to think it is much simpler

:09:58. > :09:59.than it is and they say centre the boats back to Libya. That is silly.

:10:00. > :10:03.It is complicated. It is horrible. James, if you can sum up what we are

:10:04. > :10:09.talking about on the front page of the metro. Bad news if you work in

:10:10. > :10:13.the NHS? It is a striking headline, nurses quitting in thousands. The

:10:14. > :10:19.only thing I would say is they don't seem to have figures for the numbers

:10:20. > :10:24.joining the NHS. If more are joining them leaving, it is not a problem. I

:10:25. > :10:28.suspect that is not the case. There are also issues about EU nationals

:10:29. > :10:32.working in the NHS and those numbers are going down as well. It is

:10:33. > :10:36.perhaps again a little more complex than is being portrayed in that

:10:37. > :10:43.headline, I think. Do you think that number could be arrested if we have

:10:44. > :10:45.the cap on the pay increase lifted? Nurses and the NHS are one of the

:10:46. > :10:50.sectors which people have been talking about. I think it will help

:10:51. > :10:56.with those issues of plunging morale, but it is not just about pay

:10:57. > :11:01.in the NHS, there is a serious funding crisis in the NHS going

:11:02. > :11:08.forwards, and it is a bigger picture than just pay, I think. Let's go to

:11:09. > :11:14.the Telegraph and our story here is the Cabinet flipped over austerity,

:11:15. > :11:19.oh, my goodness, austerity, here we go again! Again, it is another story

:11:20. > :11:22.we will get for the next few years. Splits in the Cabinet as the big

:11:23. > :11:28.beasts jostle for position and jostle for money as well. It looks

:11:29. > :11:33.like the 1% public sector pay cap will get bust. It is a question of

:11:34. > :11:37.when and who benefits politically. This is a really interesting story,

:11:38. > :11:42.both because it is about austerity which will come back again and

:11:43. > :11:47.again, but also this is one of the first issues which the new cabinet

:11:48. > :11:51.of the new parliament has really argued over, and what really comes

:11:52. > :11:55.across as a lot of Cabinet ministers who were maybe lying low or taking

:11:56. > :11:59.the party line a couple of months ago, are standing up for their

:12:00. > :12:04.departments and what they want. Michael Gove has said it should be

:12:05. > :12:09.lifted or it could be lifted. Philip Hammond has said if we have lots of

:12:10. > :12:13.extra spending we might need some unpopular extra taxes. So far no one

:12:14. > :12:16.has spoken about breaking the pensions triple lock which would be

:12:17. > :12:23.my personal way of dealing with that. You have Justine Greening and

:12:24. > :12:25.heads of departments dealing with a week Prime Minister they can come

:12:26. > :12:33.out of the woodwork and make their voices heard. I agree that the cap

:12:34. > :12:36.will get removed in some way, but regardless of how this one turns

:12:37. > :12:41.out, to brace yourself for many, many more battles like this. How

:12:42. > :12:45.this turns out will impact the battles because Theresa May could be

:12:46. > :12:48.weakened further by this. They want to tell people they are listening

:12:49. > :12:53.and that possibly will not be good enough. There is talk of waiting

:12:54. > :12:56.until the autumn budget to break the pay cap. That will be three or four

:12:57. > :13:02.months of battles and whining and she will get weaker and weaker. Very

:13:03. > :13:07.quickly, I want to jump ahead to the Express. This is what everybody is

:13:08. > :13:10.talking about. Wimbledon kicks off tomorrow. Defending his title is

:13:11. > :13:16.Andy Murray but he may have a lucky charm in the wings in the form of...

:13:17. > :13:22.Yes, his second baby Richie said is on the way. Don't think it is

:13:23. > :13:27.imminent! There was one question about whether he would even play at

:13:28. > :13:31.the last one. I suspect it will come down to his hip which seems to be

:13:32. > :13:39.his problem going into Wimbledon? He is playing the lucky loser from

:13:40. > :13:43.Kazakhstan. We are not very good at cheering somebody who actually wins

:13:44. > :13:47.things so I wish him all the best of luck tomorrow and I want to remind

:13:48. > :13:52.everyone that he has a baby on the way but Serena Williams who is not

:13:53. > :13:56.playing Wimbledon because she has a baby on the way, she won a grand

:13:57. > :14:02.slam title when she was pregnant. Yes, she is waiting to drop, as they

:14:03. > :14:06.say! Thank you bray much, James and Rachel. We are back at 11:30pm. The

:14:07. > :14:08.headlines are coming up. Coming up next, it's

:14:09. > :14:14.Meet The Author. The Irish writer Paula McGrath's

:14:15. > :14:17.novel, A History of Running Away, is about three women separated

:14:18. > :14:21.by time and place,