02/07/2017

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:00:00. > :00:19.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:20. > :00:24.With me are political commentator James Millar,

:00:25. > :00:34.Tomorrow's front pages: The FT says a City of London delegation

:00:35. > :00:36.will head to Brussels this week to press for

:00:37. > :00:48.The Express leads with the crisis talks between EU officials over

:00:49. > :00:51.a surge in the number of migrants trying to reach Europe.

:00:52. > :00:53.The Telegraph claims the Chancellor Philip Hammond

:00:54. > :00:55.is at odds with other senior ministers over the funding

:00:56. > :01:00.The Metro says nurses are quitting the NHS in their thousands,

:01:01. > :01:02.amid increasing workloads and plunging morale.

:01:03. > :01:05.The Guardian claims the UK has ditched its hope of securing a "cake

:01:06. > :01:08.and eat it" Brexit deal, and also shows Andy Murray

:01:09. > :01:11.practising ahead of beginning the defence of his Wimbledon title

:01:12. > :01:19.The Mail says young drivers are being tempted into high levels

:01:20. > :01:22.of debt by car dealers offering them new vehicles for no money upfront.

:01:23. > :01:26.And the Mirror says 69 refugees have drowned this year while trying

:01:27. > :01:57.Let's have a look through those papers. Starting with the Guardian,

:01:58. > :02:03.the UK ditches its cake and eat it Brexit stands. Going on about Brexit

:02:04. > :02:07.and cake, and you despair sometimes as to how this will all turn out but

:02:08. > :02:15.according to the Guardian government insiders are reporting a dramatic

:02:16. > :02:19.change of mood. The idea of cake and eat it is controlling your own

:02:20. > :02:23.borders and the sort of stuff and having access to the single market.

:02:24. > :02:31.And the suggestion is you cannot, and it is going to be difficult and

:02:32. > :02:36.messy. One year on, I think they are owning up to that. The media has

:02:37. > :02:41.gone from denial, centred on Theresa May saying you can have your cake

:02:42. > :02:44.and eat it, and now we are into bargaining, which is what side do

:02:45. > :02:48.you want. Hopefully we can skip the anger and depression but really what

:02:49. > :02:57.you have this two options, high access and low control, which is

:02:58. > :03:01.like the EA, and the other is higher access with economic cost. This has

:03:02. > :03:05.been the dilemma since the beginning, it was the dilemma during

:03:06. > :03:09.the referendum, of if we leave the EU what kind of deal do we want? The

:03:10. > :03:14.fact it has taken a year for the government to at least acknowledged

:03:15. > :03:17.it is not particularly encouraging, although at least they are

:03:18. > :03:23.acknowledging it now. It is one of the oldest things there is, that you

:03:24. > :03:27.can't have your cake and eat it. This is the sort of headline you

:03:28. > :03:32.would expect from the Guardian. One thing I would suggest is it is all

:03:33. > :03:36.insiders, and I'm issuing its fairly well sourced for them to have it on

:03:37. > :03:45.the front like that. It is all doom and gloom. In the sun, we are going

:03:46. > :03:56.inside 2-page two. The PM must go in June 20 19. You think she will last

:03:57. > :04:01.that long? What is interesting about this is they want her to start her

:04:02. > :04:06.departure timetable and say that she will leave on time, after the Brexit

:04:07. > :04:15.deal but before the 2020 to general election. If anyone thinks that we

:04:16. > :04:19.can get to 2022 without a general election I have a bridge to sell

:04:20. > :04:23.them. The Tory party does not want Theresa May as leader, they will not

:04:24. > :04:26.forgive her for the election result, but as we discussed on this

:04:27. > :04:31.programme before there is not another leader in the wings, and

:04:32. > :04:35.clearly the Tory party shadowy figures who make all the decisions

:04:36. > :04:41.think it would do more damage to replace her now without a leader.

:04:42. > :04:45.There was talk yesterday, when we heard from this former aide to David

:04:46. > :04:51.Davis saying that he was hamstrung, and there was talk that maybe David

:04:52. > :04:57.Davis is placing himself, maybe, or Philip Hammond, maybe. There is no

:04:58. > :05:01.alternative, but there is no shortage of ready exclusively men

:05:02. > :05:08.who think they can do the job, but no one actually wants them. If she

:05:09. > :05:12.said she was going in June 2019, the idea that these gigantic egos would

:05:13. > :05:16.sit on their hands and say the leadership campaign starts in 2019,

:05:17. > :05:20.that is just for the birds. They would be all over each other and the

:05:21. > :05:25.party for the next two years, trying to jockey for position. Is quite

:05:26. > :05:29.contradictory, really. Senior Tories want her to spell out her departure

:05:30. > :05:33.timetable, exactly what you just said. If she spells out the

:05:34. > :05:37.timetable now, there is zero chance of her or anyone else getting

:05:38. > :05:41.anything done for the next two years but if we were in any doubt that the

:05:42. > :05:45.Tory party was not happy with her, this would clarify things. Which

:05:46. > :05:49.means perhaps that Jeremy Corbyn is very secure. He can put his troubles

:05:50. > :05:55.to one side. His position as leader is more secure now following the

:05:56. > :06:00.election. Certainly his position is more secure than Theresa May's. Even

:06:01. > :06:05.though he lost the election, somehow. But obviously last week we

:06:06. > :06:08.had the Queen 's speech stuff, and where Labour exactly sits on the EU

:06:09. > :06:15.and what their policy really is, he is back in Parliament, he had a

:06:16. > :06:18.pretty torrid time when he was leaving with his MPs before the

:06:19. > :06:23.election, and I suspect we will slide back into Labour chaos as

:06:24. > :06:27.well. I don't think it will take particularly long, I think the

:06:28. > :06:32.divide is on the EU will come to the forefront very soon. We have 49 MPs

:06:33. > :06:36.vote against what the party MPs were telling them to do, he sacked some

:06:37. > :06:41.of his frontbenchers, some resigned. Those issues have not gone away and

:06:42. > :06:47.as soon as he makes a mistake I think they are waiting to try and

:06:48. > :06:50.oust him. Good luck. Let's turn to the Times, and Theresa May began on

:06:51. > :06:54.the front page. This time her terror plans are being condemned. It is

:06:55. > :07:00.this never-ending chipping away at her authority. Yes, exactly. It is a

:07:01. > :07:04.different angle. In some ways a better angle, because the Guardian

:07:05. > :07:11.stories are essentially tittle tattle and sources. This is her

:07:12. > :07:13.independent reviewer of counterterrorism legislation

:07:14. > :07:19.suggesting that the idea that you have to find Facebook and Google for

:07:20. > :07:26.not taking down extremist content is both unnecessary and unworkable --

:07:27. > :07:30.fine. And it is her own watchdog, as well. That is what is really

:07:31. > :07:34.damaging about it, is that this is kind of the centre of her anti-

:07:35. > :07:39.extremism or counterterrorism proposals, and she has got her own

:07:40. > :07:43.watchdog criticising her for it. I think what you have got here, and

:07:44. > :07:49.you also have it in those comments that Amber Rudd made a while back

:07:50. > :07:53.about encryption, is that the people in government don't necessarily

:07:54. > :07:56.understand the technology, and they want policies, obviously they want

:07:57. > :08:01.to keep us safe, and they want policies which look like that is

:08:02. > :08:04.what they are doing, but if they don't understand the technology they

:08:05. > :08:08.don't have a hope of doing anything remotely workable. And obviously the

:08:09. > :08:13.Home Office is her stomping ground. It is very much a home Office

:08:14. > :08:19.mentality, isn't it? Staying with the times, and the top of the page.

:08:20. > :08:26.Britain braced for a snap Trump visit after attack goes viral.

:08:27. > :08:33.President Trump may drop in and visit reason. He has a gap in his

:08:34. > :08:37.diary between the G20 Summit and his next engagement, a lovely way of

:08:38. > :08:42.introducing a story. Basically if he is going to come to the UK, he is

:08:43. > :08:46.not going to meet the Queen, he is going to meet Theresa May, he is

:08:47. > :08:51.going to visit his golf course, so that is his priority, and you get a

:08:52. > :08:54.sense that the reason it will be so short notice, 24 hours' notice, is

:08:55. > :08:59.because his people don't want time for there to be a protest. I mean,

:09:00. > :09:03.good luck with that in Scotland. You can organise protests pretty

:09:04. > :09:08.quickly. You also worry it is because he has no idea what he is

:09:09. > :09:13.going to do next. That he might say I am going to go to Scotland and

:09:14. > :09:18.play golf. I like the fact that they call it a snap Trump visit, because

:09:19. > :09:23.the snap election went so well. So the end of this week, possibly? It

:09:24. > :09:35.is before he goes to Bastille Day, after the G20, before July finishes.

:09:36. > :09:43.Looking at the express and the Mirror, and it is migrants

:09:44. > :09:49.dominating their front pages. We have the EU in crisis over boat

:09:50. > :09:55.migrants, and migrants on cost at beaches. Two very different

:09:56. > :09:59.approaches to the same story. It is largely a story because the weather

:10:00. > :10:02.has improved, leading to more attempts to get across the

:10:03. > :10:08.Mediterranean. But whereas the Express claims that Europe is under

:10:09. > :10:11.siege from these migrants, which is just ridiculous, because these

:10:12. > :10:17.people are in no condition to besiege anything, the Mirror calls

:10:18. > :10:21.it an avalanche, which is a sort of natural occurrence. It is a very

:10:22. > :10:27.interesting exercise in different ways of approaching the same story.

:10:28. > :10:33.You have the Mirror referring to it as tragic, as hell. The weight... I

:10:34. > :10:37.looked at the story on the inside pages and it talks about children

:10:38. > :10:40.who have died, profiling some of them, and it talks about the

:10:41. > :10:44.tourists who are on these beaches, and their take on the grief and the

:10:45. > :10:49.tragedy that they are seeing could not be more different to the Express

:10:50. > :10:53.story, which is all quotes from mainly UKIP representatives or

:10:54. > :10:57.former UKIP representatives, talking about how this shows that the EU

:10:58. > :11:02.needs to reform its migration and asylum policy, which maybe it does,

:11:03. > :11:12.but they are really using that story as a way in to criticise the EU.

:11:13. > :11:19.Let's turn to the Mail. This story has been building over the last few

:11:20. > :11:25.months in the papers. It is par loans. It is an interesting one. It

:11:26. > :11:32.is a consumer sort of story, it works for Daily Mail readers, people

:11:33. > :11:39.like your normal people who have cars, and it ticks a lot of boxes.

:11:40. > :11:43.In this country we have politicians, journalists and bankers who are all

:11:44. > :11:56.a bit dodgy, and they are going for car salesman. Because there is no

:11:57. > :11:59.one more dodgy than a car salesman. Sitting in his lime green armchair,

:12:00. > :12:03.like that is the worst thing they have. But there is something serious

:12:04. > :12:06.because from what they are reporting, young people are walking

:12:07. > :12:09.in off the street without an apparent income and being offered

:12:10. > :12:15.loans of thousands of pounds, and it kind of snacks of the financial

:12:16. > :12:18.crisis, and a sort of pyramid scheme. It just sounds

:12:19. > :12:21.unsustainable. Lee Mack and they do make that point that this is

:12:22. > :12:27.consumer debt again, people who clearly don't have the means to pay.

:12:28. > :12:31.Sometimes who are themselves in credit card debt, being encouraged

:12:32. > :12:36.to take on loans that they can't afford to pay back. Because there

:12:37. > :12:42.are so many stages in between the people who hold the debt and the

:12:43. > :12:46.people who are taking about that it seems so removed that it seems a

:12:47. > :12:49.really good idea and there is definitely the sense, reading the

:12:50. > :12:57.story, but this is something that could blow up very badly. It is

:12:58. > :13:05.being being compared to the sub-prime mortgage crisis. Let's go

:13:06. > :13:08.back to the Guardian, and we are talking Wimbledon. Stroppy Zen

:13:09. > :13:20.cream. Two different players on that page -- strawberries and cream. The

:13:21. > :13:25.Daily Mail and the Telegraph have gone with a pretty young lady, well

:13:26. > :13:30.done, she has got into Wimbledon, and I wish her the best. But there

:13:31. > :13:33.might be something behind it. They have gone for a full-length shot

:13:34. > :13:38.whereas the Guardian picture of Andy Murray is Andy Murray looking

:13:39. > :13:43.aggressive and actually playing tennis rather than looking all

:13:44. > :13:49.demure. I can see why you you pass that one over. I agree, it would be

:13:50. > :13:54.great if she was playing or if they had a picture of Johanna Konta, our

:13:55. > :13:59.actual hope of winning the women's title. Again, best of luck to the

:14:00. > :14:03.wild card. She will love the fact that she is on the front page of the

:14:04. > :14:08.Daily Telegraph. Would she? All would she rather be on it for

:14:09. > :14:13.winning a match and playing tennis, rather than being a pretty young

:14:14. > :14:20.lady? Yes, you need a favourite, really, don't you? One I hope she

:14:21. > :14:28.wins tomorrow, and I hope she is on the front page on Tuesday. And I

:14:29. > :14:37.will be watching Andy Murray very closely. The women's title is also

:14:38. > :14:41.wide open at the moment, because Serena Williams is pregnant, Maria

:14:42. > :14:46.Sharapova can't play at the moment for a variety of reasons. Will it be

:14:47. > :14:49.another Venus Williams, you have federate, you have Andy Murray, you

:14:50. > :14:53.have Nadal, you have Djokovic Tom are all playing in the men's game,

:14:54. > :15:01.and the women's game is wide open. Johanna Konta all the way.

:15:02. > :15:04.Coming up next, it is The Film Review.