08/07/2017

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:00:15. > :00:17.Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

:00:18. > :00:21.With me are Nigel Nelson, political editor of the Sunday Mirror

:00:22. > :00:32.and Sunday People, and the political commentator Jo Phillips.

:00:33. > :00:39.Some people have more than 24 hours in their day, Nigel!

:00:40. > :00:40.Tomorrow's front pages starting with...

:00:41. > :00:43.The Observer, which tells us that German industry is warning the UK

:00:44. > :00:46.it cannot rely on its help in securing a good Brexit

:00:47. > :00:48.deal, this is a "stark" intervention, says the paper.

:00:49. > :00:51.The Sunday People has an exclusive - it's talked to Lord Dannatt

:00:52. > :00:54.about caring for veterans with post-traumatic stress disorder.

:00:55. > :00:57.Back to Brexit and the Telegraph says Theresa May is trying

:00:58. > :00:59.to capitalise on Donald Trump's optimism on trade amid growing

:01:00. > :01:06.While the Mail On Sunday is told by Conservative MP Andrew Mitchell

:01:07. > :01:09.that he thinks it's time for Mrs May to step aside because she

:01:10. > :01:13.The Sunday Express leads with Mr Trump's comments that the UK

:01:14. > :01:16.will thrive outside the EU and his promise to sign a "powerful"

:01:17. > :01:27.And The Times - it says Mrs May claimed that Mr Trump's comments had

:01:28. > :01:38.put her plan for Brexit "back on track".

:01:39. > :01:48.We will start with the Sunday Telegraph and Brexit and Theresa May

:01:49. > :01:53.plays the trump card. The Prime Minister trying to head off a

:01:54. > :01:56.growing rebellion by playing up this strong backing from the US

:01:57. > :02:08.president. Has anyone used the word very as much as Donald Trump. He has

:02:09. > :02:12.this strange speech take where he repeats the next thing again. It is

:02:13. > :02:21.very nice to see you, Martin, very nice to see you. Anyway, it is very,

:02:22. > :02:27.very, very exciting and very powerful and it will happen very

:02:28. > :02:33.quickly. Which it is not. How can any trade deal ever happen quickly?

:02:34. > :02:36.It is a lot of warm words and Theresa May is trying to take

:02:37. > :02:42.something good out of the summit where she has also been busy

:02:43. > :02:45.chatting up various other leaders and things, but in the meantime

:02:46. > :02:49.Donald Trump has decided he will not sign up to the climate change

:02:50. > :02:56.agreement. He has isolated himself completely. We heard the click of

:02:57. > :03:00.her saying she is dismayed, but how dismayed do you have to be to not to

:03:01. > :03:06.try to persuade somebody. It all looks shambolic. I know we are

:03:07. > :03:16.taking the p about he says very quickly all the time. Who is?

:03:17. > :03:23.Martine is. I suppose it is because we do not get particularly

:03:24. > :03:33.descriptive words from him. But these words are wrong. Very wrong.

:03:34. > :03:38.He is giving us the idea we will get a trade deal in a few months down

:03:39. > :03:50.the road. He has not actually said that. Would you say very, very

:03:51. > :03:56.quickly we would get a trade deal? Anything less than ten years might

:03:57. > :04:00.look very quick. To look? To anybody. First we have to get a deal

:04:01. > :04:05.with Europe before we do a deal with the US and that is two years gone.

:04:06. > :04:11.We are looking at several years after that, assuming everybody

:04:12. > :04:16.agrees with it. Whatever the complexities of world politics they

:04:17. > :04:23.have to be gone into in 140 characters and if it is beyond that

:04:24. > :04:28.it is too much for him. That is because we expect very complex ideas

:04:29. > :04:33.to be explained in a 15 or 22nd sound bite. To a certain extent, but

:04:34. > :04:37.Nigel is right in that Donald Trump is right in that Donald Trump's way

:04:38. > :04:43.is that business, and do not worry, if there is a problem, I will sort

:04:44. > :04:48.it. Life is not like that when you are talking about complex trade

:04:49. > :04:52.deals. But if things are going so well for Theresa May and this is the

:04:53. > :04:57.leader of the free world, the other one being Angela Merkel, depending

:04:58. > :05:00.on your point of view, they were saying previously we would not be at

:05:01. > :05:05.the front of the Q and now we are doing business very quickly. He is

:05:06. > :05:12.signalling he wants it to be very fast. And for her there is a

:05:13. > :05:16.relationship that is not of the stature of the one with Ronald

:05:17. > :05:22.Reagan, but there seems to be a general warmth, although I don't see

:05:23. > :05:27.anything warm in Theresa May or Donald Trump can't do that, but you

:05:28. > :05:31.are right. Barack Obama said we would be at the back of the Q, but

:05:32. > :05:38.whether this is translated into action, and we have still got Brexit

:05:39. > :05:44.to deal with. We do not even have a vague outline of what kind of trade

:05:45. > :05:47.deal we are talking about. But the Daily Telegraph is quite optimistic

:05:48. > :05:51.and says because of this Theresa May will be able to stave off any

:05:52. > :05:57.backbench rebellion in her Cabinet that is coming her way. We will come

:05:58. > :06:01.to that in a moment. Meanwhile, in the Daily Telegraph, US plans for

:06:02. > :06:07.armed officers in UK airports which could add to the cost of fares in

:06:08. > :06:14.the United States. I can relax about this. Do we really want guys from

:06:15. > :06:22.America carrying guns and wandering around our airports? Now I think

:06:23. > :06:29.people have got so used to the fact we have armed police around as all

:06:30. > :06:36.the time. If you go to an airport armed police are normal. It seems to

:06:37. > :06:40.me not a bad idea because American immigration is so difficult at the

:06:41. > :06:45.other end. You have the screening process at this end rather than

:06:46. > :06:49.having difficulty when you get to your destination. It reminds me of

:06:50. > :06:56.the sky marshals we had on board planes after 9/11. Every now and

:06:57. > :07:02.again there is a report of the intervening in something. But this

:07:03. > :07:06.is a rather bizarre story because Gatwick has said it has got no plans

:07:07. > :07:11.to participate. Heathrow says it is not workable. The airports

:07:12. > :07:20.interested are Manchester and Edinburgh. They want more US trade.

:07:21. > :07:24.Yes, they might want more US trade, but who will enforce this? If the

:07:25. > :07:32.cost of your flight is more at Manchester or Edinburgh to pay for

:07:33. > :07:38.American armed police... Let's hope it would make it more difficult for

:07:39. > :07:44.people to come across from the channel. Yes, we hope it is more

:07:45. > :07:50.difficult. Once again, we want more details. They must quit now says

:07:51. > :07:56.chief Davis ally, this ally being Andrew Mitchell. Andrew Mitchell,

:07:57. > :08:05.the former International Development Secretary forced to resign as Chief

:08:06. > :08:12.Whip after the Plebgate affair. A very good and long-term ally of

:08:13. > :08:15.David Davis. Simon Walters is the political editor and it is one of

:08:16. > :08:32.his marvellous story. He talks about how he once got punched by him. Who

:08:33. > :08:38.did? Simon Walters. Are we allowed to say that? He said he gave him a

:08:39. > :08:46.friendly cuff around the head. So my remarks are justified. I would never

:08:47. > :08:51.let you down. The story is about the devastating attack and the inference

:08:52. > :08:55.is that David Davis, if he has not sanction it, he is aware, or would

:08:56. > :08:59.be aware of what Andrew Mitchell is saying, whether he is saying it on

:09:00. > :09:06.his behalf whether he is whipping up the frenzy of she has got to go. It

:09:07. > :09:12.was not exactly a secret dinner. It was a one nation dining club. You

:09:13. > :09:17.would not have it in the Commons. The impression I am getting from

:09:18. > :09:21.most MPs is the one thing they dread more than anything else is a general

:09:22. > :09:26.election, and that is all parties. If you look at the Tories because a

:09:27. > :09:30.leadership challenge might provoke a general election, they dread that

:09:31. > :09:34.next along the way. As they settle down, you get the impression people

:09:35. > :09:42.think Theresa May will stay in place for two years. Some people are

:09:43. > :09:47.talking about five. The leadership challengers, the likely ones, Boris

:09:48. > :09:51.Johnson and David Davis, I do not think we are looking at an imminent

:09:52. > :09:59.challenge to Theresa May at the moment. They will hold onto her for

:10:00. > :10:06.as long as she is useful? Even if you put a stalking horse up to get

:10:07. > :10:11.things moving, it still takes 48 MPs. It would be difficult to find

:10:12. > :10:12.48 MPs. But they love this and to be honest so do we. It is a good

:10:13. > :10:15.and it keeps on going and we are and it keeps on going and we are

:10:16. > :10:20.about to go into the summary says and then it will be conference

:10:21. > :10:26.season and the whole thing will be, who is going to unseat her? We might

:10:27. > :10:31.have a more quiet period the summer. I do not think so, I think we have

:10:32. > :10:37.got two years of mayhem at the very least. We have already had quite a

:10:38. > :10:42.few months of it. The Observer. German industry in stark warning to

:10:43. > :10:46.UK over Brexit, saying it will be hard to avoid hurting British

:10:47. > :10:55.business. This is a genuine surprise. We have always thought

:10:56. > :10:58.people like German car-makers are anxious to avoid any kind of tariff

:10:59. > :11:07.barriers which is what we would get without a deal. They seem to be

:11:08. > :11:10.taking the straightforward EU negotiator Michel Barnier line that

:11:11. > :11:15.we obey the rules or we do not. If you want to be in the single market

:11:16. > :11:20.and have access to it, we must also accept freedom of movement and we

:11:21. > :11:25.will not do that. This is quite a serious warning from them. If they

:11:26. > :11:29.are saying to us, if you want to be part of the club, you must obey the

:11:30. > :11:33.rules of the club. It does seem to show there is not that much room for

:11:34. > :11:39.the negotiation we keep talking about. But in stark contrast to what

:11:40. > :11:45.Donald Trump is saying, do not worry, it will be sorted, it is a

:11:46. > :11:49.direct contradiction of what David Davis, as previously mentioned, had

:11:50. > :11:53.said before the referendum, that German industry would put pressure

:11:54. > :12:00.on Angela Merkel to hand Britain a good Brexit deal. That is where the

:12:01. > :12:03.negotiations will end up. It is the president of the Federation of

:12:04. > :12:06.German industry is saying it and the president of the Confederation of

:12:07. > :12:11.German employers Association. They want the single market and there

:12:12. > :12:17.priority is to look after the 27 remaining members. Let's stay with

:12:18. > :12:22.the Observer. I know you will be delighted to talk about the rugby.

:12:23. > :12:31.Shared glory as the Lions try again. They have drawn, they did not win,

:12:32. > :12:38.but it felt like they had one because expectations were low.

:12:39. > :12:46.Fortunately she briefed me before I came on. It is a game with a funny

:12:47. > :12:53.ball. Did you ask me what a draw was? I would not even know what a

:12:54. > :13:00.draw meant. They got the same score. I went political saying what this

:13:01. > :13:05.particular draw turned out to be. But it is the best result they could

:13:06. > :13:10.have hoped for. No, it is not, the best result would have been to win.

:13:11. > :13:17.They have been written off by the critics. I think it is a good

:13:18. > :13:24.result. This is like the German referendum result. It is very Jeremy

:13:25. > :13:30.Corbyn. Is Sam Warburton the new Jeremy Corbyn? Do you know more than

:13:31. > :13:34.me? It does feel a bit like that. They have done better than we

:13:35. > :13:40.expected when they set out, just like Jeremy Corbyn. It was still

:13:41. > :13:48.only a draw. For the all Blacks that is devastating. Absolutely and the

:13:49. > :13:50.Lions did beat them and the all Blacks beat the Lions and the

:13:51. > :13:58.coaches will be deeply disappointed and they have said so. But I think

:13:59. > :14:03.it is not a bad result. To show off, it was a tough, ten match schedule

:14:04. > :14:09.next time they will reorganise the matches. It might give us a fighting

:14:10. > :14:16.chance. To fit in with the wider jigsaw. Nigel, I found a couple of

:14:17. > :14:24.facts about the story you really do not know anything about. I will give

:14:25. > :14:33.it a try. Can we talk about Wimbledon next? It is on the front

:14:34. > :14:41.pages or the back pages, so, yes. And the Independent. Brexit votes

:14:42. > :14:47.legacy, record rise in hate crimes. A 23% increase in racial and

:14:48. > :14:51.religious attacks, and exclusive. I am surprised about the figures. I

:14:52. > :14:55.have seen figures about this that in fact a hate crime went up after the

:14:56. > :15:01.referendum, but I thought it went down again. Then we had the

:15:02. > :15:06.terrorist atrocities that put them up again. This suggests it has been

:15:07. > :15:09.a continuous thing. These are different figures because they come

:15:10. > :15:14.from a Freedom of information requests from the paper. But they do

:15:15. > :15:23.make pretty grim reading. If we are talking about up to nearly 50,000

:15:24. > :15:27.hate crimes that took place in the 11 months after the referendum, and

:15:28. > :15:32.if the two things can be linked, it is troubling. It also explains why

:15:33. > :15:36.so many people are thinking about going home. We are not getting the

:15:37. > :15:40.fruit pickers in at the moment, this is the season of it, and they are

:15:41. > :15:48.the backbone of the agricultural workforce. And there were 41,000

:15:49. > :15:55.crimes before, so that is shocking. Yes, which we did not speak about.

:15:56. > :15:57.One of the things you can say is that perhaps people feel more

:15:58. > :16:07.confident about reporting it, the silver lining. There is a reporting

:16:08. > :16:12.spike as well. But we need more observation. And also more time.

:16:13. > :16:21.That would always be nice, wouldn't it? And two Mori views on Monday to

:16:22. > :16:25.Friday. That is not my point of view, it is your point of view.

:16:26. > :16:29.Thank you, Nigel Nelson and Jo Phillips, you'll both be back

:16:30. > :16:32.at half 11 for another look at the stories making