08/07/2017

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:00:00. > :00:17.the All Blacks in Auckland, leaving the Test series at a tie.

:00:18. > :00:21.Hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

:00:22. > :00:25.With me are Nigel Nelson, political editor of the Sunday Mirror

:00:26. > :00:27.and Sunday People, and the political commentator, Jo Phillips.

:00:28. > :00:29.Tomorrow's front pages, starting with this.

:00:30. > :00:32.The Observer, which tells us that German industry is warning the UK

:00:33. > :00:36.it cannot rely on its help in securing a good Brexit deal.

:00:37. > :00:38.This is a "stark" intervention, says the paper.

:00:39. > :00:42.It's talked to Lord Dannatt about caring for veterans

:00:43. > :00:50.Back to Brexit, and the Telegraph says Theresa May is trying

:00:51. > :00:53.to capitalise on Donald Trump's optimism on trade amid growing

:00:54. > :00:58.While the Mail on Sunday is told by Conservative MP Andrew Mitchell

:00:59. > :01:01.that he thinks it's time for Mrs May to step aside

:01:02. > :01:07.The Sunday Express leads with Mr Trump's comments that the UK

:01:08. > :01:10.will thrive outside the EU and his promise to sign a "powerful"

:01:11. > :01:19.It says Mrs May claimed that Mr Trump's comments had put her plan

:01:20. > :01:35.And that is where we will start with the Sunday Times. Donald Trump

:01:36. > :01:40.throws Theresa May a lifeline with a trade deal. A sabotage to the appeal

:01:41. > :01:47.bill. A lot to cope with. The lifeline. The promise of a trade

:01:48. > :01:53.deal. He says it will be very powerful, very quickly. We are not

:01:54. > :01:59.there yet. We are not. It is a long way off. It will take at least two

:02:00. > :02:03.years before we can even begin, assuming Brexit even happens in that

:02:04. > :02:07.time. Many think they will have to be a transitional deal that will go

:02:08. > :02:13.on much longer. Therefore, any trade deal will be some years in the

:02:14. > :02:19.future. The Sunday Times is very clever. They managed to get three

:02:20. > :02:26.stories in one. The trade side, with the Sunday Times suggesting Theresa

:02:27. > :02:30.May talked to China, Japan, and India, who are keen on trade deals.

:02:31. > :02:36.They say that is one for her cabinet. Then we go on to our own

:02:37. > :02:41.future, with an ally of David Davis saying in October she should say

:02:42. > :02:47.when she is going to resign. And the Great Repeal Bill, the one that will

:02:48. > :02:52.have a rough time in the Commons next week. This is when they talk

:02:53. > :03:00.about the Henry VIII powers, those not used since Henry VIII's time.

:03:01. > :03:03.Tell us about it? The idea about the repeal bill is when we Brexit, all

:03:04. > :03:10.European law will be put into British law, one deal. It is an

:03:11. > :03:18.interesting way to do it. We can spend years gradually picking it

:03:19. > :03:23.apart after doing it in one day. MPs will not get a vote on it. They are

:03:24. > :03:27.worried we will start repealing this, leaving that, without them

:03:28. > :03:33.getting a chance to consider it. They are thinking of opposing it and

:03:34. > :03:37.making trouble for it. If they can defeat the repeal bill, of course,

:03:38. > :03:46.we would have a major problem the day that Brexit came. They have

:03:47. > :03:56.wedged a lot in. Yes. A powerhouse! Well done, both of you. We are very

:03:57. > :04:03.pleased to count them as our paper review was. But there is a lot going

:04:04. > :04:08.on behind the scenes, which we will go on to. The facts Theresa May

:04:09. > :04:13.needs this lifeline from Donald Trump. Absolutely. As you said, we

:04:14. > :04:18.will talk soon about what the Germans said. She needs a lifeline.

:04:19. > :04:23.But it is not a lifeline, someone is saying it's OK, we will come back

:04:24. > :04:29.with a lifeline. It is not actually someone giving the rope. Keep

:04:30. > :04:38.treading water. That is the risk of Donald Trump. Yes. It is warm words.

:04:39. > :04:42.And she has come back, I don't know how important any more these summits

:04:43. > :04:48.are, frankly, there is a fundamental gap between the Americans on climate

:04:49. > :04:52.change and the Paris agreement. They are trying to appeal to many people,

:04:53. > :04:56.the home audience and the international audience. Compared to

:04:57. > :05:04.what Barack Obama said riot to the referendum, this is a useful change.

:05:05. > :05:08.-- prior. It is a useful change. She is already in talks with China,

:05:09. > :05:13.Japan, and India. She is working very hard to get some business deals

:05:14. > :05:20.already and interest with countries outside. At least we have an

:05:21. > :05:26.American president who likes Brexit, which we would not have had with

:05:27. > :05:34.others. Theresa May playing the Trump card,, trying to play off this

:05:35. > :05:38.rebellion with help from Donald Trump. But the idea she will face

:05:39. > :05:43.that critical of a rebellion, it would appear she will have surely

:05:44. > :05:49.enough friends to keep her in power for now. It does not suit the

:05:50. > :05:53.Conservatives to get rid of her. She is very weak and since the election.

:05:54. > :05:59.She is probably fatally damaged in the long-term. But we are going...

:06:00. > :06:04.What is it, two weeks until the summer recess? Everyone will go away

:06:05. > :06:09.and come back for the party conference in the autumn. These

:06:10. > :06:13.stories will continue to rumble on. There are obviously people making

:06:14. > :06:20.mischief, making stories. There is of course growing talk in the Lib

:06:21. > :06:27.Dems, certainly, and softer pro Brexit, sorry, pro- remain talking

:06:28. > :06:34.points. That is going on. But nothing new is going on in the

:06:35. > :06:39.Tories, they just feel weak. They don't want a new leader because they

:06:40. > :06:45.are terrified of opening the way for a General Election. It is difficult

:06:46. > :06:57.with Tory rules. You need 48 MPs to back someone to go for leadership.

:06:58. > :07:03.You get the kind of feeling that they have some power, because

:07:04. > :07:10.Theresa May is so weak, she used to be dictatorial, and now they have

:07:11. > :07:14.more power over her. That doesn't change the people in the background

:07:15. > :07:21.saying I wouldn't mind the job when it comes around. There would always

:07:22. > :07:25.be people like that. The Mail on Sunday says Andrew Mitchell, a chief

:07:26. > :07:30.David Davis ally, is saying this. Andrew Mitchell said this at a

:07:31. > :07:40.dinner in the Commons, a Conservative Party dining club, he

:07:41. > :07:46.was forced to resign. He was also the international development sector

:07:47. > :07:51.ally. He is a close ally of David Davis. There is no suggestion in

:07:52. > :07:57.this article David Davis is plotting against Theresa May, but he is being

:07:58. > :08:09.seen by many, and I think this is what often happens, someone saying,

:08:10. > :08:15.go on, Nigel, you can do it. If there was a challenge and Theresa

:08:16. > :08:21.May could not survive it, they would be in the position she is in. They

:08:22. > :08:24.would not feel they have a mandate. That is what they are terrified of.

:08:25. > :08:30.That is why they don't want another General Election. Andrew Mitchell

:08:31. > :08:33.could be the anonymous MP on the front of the Times, we don't know.

:08:34. > :08:42.But the message is awfully similar. The idea is that Theresa May should

:08:43. > :08:56.go. One hard-line Brexiteer named here says he would rather not lose

:08:57. > :09:06.Brexit so long as Jeremy Corbyn does not get in. That is just ridiculous.

:09:07. > :09:13.Of course. If there was an election tomorrow, Jeremy Corbyn would

:09:14. > :09:19.probably win. Exactly. It is a very febrile atmosphere, summer, everyone

:09:20. > :09:25.needs to go away and come down. She got through the Queen's Speech, she

:09:26. > :09:30.could get to the 20th of this month, Parliament breaks, they have a

:09:31. > :09:36.break, the comeback, and they talk about else. And in the meantime,

:09:37. > :09:43.political minds need to be looking at what these deals might be. The

:09:44. > :09:52.Sunday People. An exclusive. Britain is breaking the law over six

:09:53. > :09:56.soldiers. Lord Dannatt from the army is saying not enough is being done

:09:57. > :10:00.to support ex- service men and women who suffer from Post-Traumatic

:10:01. > :10:05.Stress Disorder. A serious intervention from someone who was

:10:06. > :10:12.head of the army at one point. The problem at the moment is that, umm,

:10:13. > :10:15.those who suffer Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder coming back from the

:10:16. > :10:25.frontline, there is very little for them. There is the NHS, superb

:10:26. > :10:31.charities like Combat Stress. Lord Dannatt is saying this is no way to

:10:32. > :10:36.treat the troops. We promised if they risked their lives, we would

:10:37. > :10:41.look after them when they came back. David Cameron brought in a covenant

:10:42. > :10:45.and Lord Dannatt is saying we are breaking that and breaking the law.

:10:46. > :10:50.He says it is down to the MoD to sort this out. You don't just have

:10:51. > :10:55.charities to rely on, you have a proper set up in the MoD which deals

:10:56. > :10:58.with people going through these mental difficulties. It is something

:10:59. > :11:05.the paper has been campaigning on for quite some time. He is certainly

:11:06. > :11:09.the most senior person so far to come out with something like this.

:11:10. > :11:19.Like so many lives of the people in the families of these sufferers.

:11:20. > :11:31.More than 10% of return price back -- Britain's soldiers suffer this.

:11:32. > :11:37.What he is saying, I think it is devastating, in 1917, they did not

:11:38. > :11:44.understand shellshock, but in 2017, we do understand PTSD. And

:11:45. > :11:53.apparently there is no MoD dedicated psychiatric hospital cap will of

:11:54. > :11:57.treating those with. -- capable. It is ironic, as Prince William and

:11:58. > :12:00.Prince Harry have of course been talking about mental health and

:12:01. > :12:05.mental illness. Prince Harry has been a serving soldier. It seems

:12:06. > :12:10.absolutely fundamentally wrong that however good a charity is, you can

:12:11. > :12:18.back from seeing and doing stuff civilians don't see and you are not

:12:19. > :12:25.given any help. Coming back into civilian life is hard enough for

:12:26. > :12:29.those not suffering from this stress. It is not about a lack of

:12:30. > :12:35.awareness, but a lack of resources, a formal framework for dealing with

:12:36. > :12:42.it. And also a lack of organisation. We have resources and all of that.

:12:43. > :12:48.But what you need to do is the MoD needs to have a cross parliamentary

:12:49. > :12:55.group that covers health and Work and Pensions and various departments

:12:56. > :13:01.getting involved. You set that up in the MoD specifically for people

:13:02. > :13:06.suffering from PTSD. And it would play into so many other areas of

:13:07. > :13:13.treating mental illness. Yes, yes. We know that veterans, former army

:13:14. > :13:17.personnel, they often end up on the streets, with drinking and drug

:13:18. > :13:23.problems, broken relationships, other problems. If there was some

:13:24. > :13:30.resources put into it, you could prevent that. We need the will. It

:13:31. > :13:38.is one of those things you put in paper. Lord Dannatt is talking about

:13:39. > :13:42.potentially suing the government. That is not a constructive way of

:13:43. > :13:48.dealing with it, it should not be necessary. The Observer. Taking us

:13:49. > :13:56.to the end. The Germans and the industry warning the UK about

:13:57. > :14:01.Brexit. We want to talk about Lions, both. But the German industry is

:14:02. > :14:05.warning the UK ever Brexit, saying the priority is to protect the

:14:06. > :14:12.single market and no favours will be done. This headline is definitely a

:14:13. > :14:16.stark warning, not what we expected. Our ministers have been giving the

:14:17. > :14:21.impression, especially David Davis, that the German industry, especially

:14:22. > :14:26.carmakers, are the ones who would help smooth us through a record deal

:14:27. > :14:33.because they don't want tariffs on the goods they sell in this country

:14:34. > :14:38.any more than we do over there. -- Brexit deal. What they are saying is

:14:39. > :14:44.these are industry organisations saying, no, no, we don't think that

:14:45. > :14:49.at all. If you want access to the single market, obey the rules. We

:14:50. > :14:53.will not help out at all because there are 27 other states. There has

:14:54. > :14:58.been a free trade deal struck with Japan, the EU and Japan. There is no

:14:59. > :15:03.freedom of movement, no single market, but a free-trade deal. We

:15:04. > :15:08.are looking for a similar thing. Keep in mind we are a member of the

:15:09. > :15:13.EU, and the smoothest transition to become out of the EU would be with

:15:14. > :15:23.access to the single market or the customs union. We are looking for a

:15:24. > :15:28.different position from Japan, but we want something similar. In years

:15:29. > :15:33.to come... In years to come, it won't be the same kind of smooth and

:15:34. > :15:39.frictionless borders we have at the moment to do the trade. The

:15:40. > :15:43.president of the BDI, the federation of German industries, says it is the

:15:44. > :15:51.responsibility of the British to limit damage for both sides. He is

:15:52. > :15:56.talking about imminent effects. Is it all down to political will on

:15:57. > :16:02.both sides? We can have a very, very nice arrangement if everyone is of a

:16:03. > :16:11.like mind, but they are not. We cannot. There are straightforward

:16:12. > :16:15.rules when the EU is set up. These are the cornerstones of keeping the

:16:16. > :16:20.EU as it is, which we signed up to, and also 27 other member states

:16:21. > :16:24.signed up to. If you want a single market, we have to accept freedom of

:16:25. > :16:31.movement. That is what people voted against when they voted for Brexit.

:16:32. > :16:33.There is no way of squaring that circle. We go with the rules or we

:16:34. > :16:43.don't. If you want to be in the club, those

:16:44. > :16:47.are the rules. And we made those rules clear to other nations who

:16:48. > :16:52.joined. It will be interesting to see what the negotiation is, because

:16:53. > :17:04.it can't be about that. And finally, shared glory as Lions win. It is a

:17:05. > :17:09.little bit of an anti-climax, it is like here is your Brexit cake, but I

:17:10. > :17:13.think in terms of the fact that the Lions were seen as the underdogs,

:17:14. > :17:19.they were going to take on the mighty All Blacks, they won, we won,

:17:20. > :17:24.a draw seems like a good deal to me. Nigel, you have been saved by the

:17:25. > :17:29.bell. I know you had much to add about the Lions. We will talk of

:17:30. > :17:34.set. How about that? Visit from the papers this power. Thank you very

:17:35. > :17:46.much indeed -- that is it from the papers this hour.

:17:47. > :17:50.Migration, human dislocation is one of the dominating political themes