26/10/2017

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0:00:00 > 0:00:02Sports Day. Coming up in a moment, The Papers.

0:00:17 > 0:00:20Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

0:00:20 > 0:00:21bringing us tomorrow.

0:00:21 > 0:00:25With me are Lynn Davidson, Whitehall Correspondent at the Sun

0:00:25 > 0:00:32and Dan Bilefsky of the New York Times.

0:00:32 > 0:00:33Welcome to both of you.

0:00:33 > 0:00:35Welcome to both of you.

0:00:35 > 0:00:36Tomorrow's front pages.

0:00:36 > 0:00:38The Guardian reports that retail sales are falling at their fastest

0:00:38 > 0:00:41rate since the recession.

0:00:41 > 0:00:44The Express reports on the story about new population figures,

0:00:44 > 0:00:48saying migrants are pushing up the the numbers.

0:00:48 > 0:00:50saying migrants are pushing up the numbers.

0:00:50 > 0:00:52The Metro leads with a story about an alleged neo-Nazi

0:00:52 > 0:00:53targeting a Labour MP.

0:00:53 > 0:00:56The Telegraph runs with a story about the number of arrests falling,

0:00:56 > 0:01:04despite crime being on the rise.

0:01:04 > 0:01:08That story also makes the Daily Mail's front page.

0:01:08 > 0:01:10That story also makes the Daily Mail's front page.

0:01:10 > 0:01:13The Mirror runs with a story that about a bride who saved

0:01:13 > 0:01:16by a lung transplant, being given away by the father

0:01:16 > 0:01:18of the organ donor.

0:01:18 > 0:01:25That's a flavour of some of the papers. We will dip into those in a

0:01:25 > 0:01:30moment. Dan, kick us off?So, the Telegraph

0:01:30 > 0:01:35has an alarming story that arrests are falling 12%, at the same time,

0:01:35 > 0:01:39the number of recorded crimes have reached 5 million for the first

0:01:39 > 0:01:42time. This could be worrying. The Home Office is saying that the

0:01:42 > 0:01:46reason that there have been fewer arrests is because there is a

0:01:46 > 0:01:50strategy to keep young people out of jail. But it seems smoke and

0:01:50 > 0:01:55mirrors. Indeed some may ask whether it is a signal to criminals that

0:01:55 > 0:02:00they can get away with crime if you don't have the preventive measure of

0:02:00 > 0:02:07more arrests. I mentioned the phrase "soft

0:02:07 > 0:02:11justice" which appears in the Mail. This story comes in the last couple

0:02:11 > 0:02:18of weeks and in my newspaper, the Sun, we have had a story of police

0:02:18 > 0:02:22officers on dodge yellows, them promoting different awareness

0:02:22 > 0:02:26raising campaigns, where I think a lot of people would be just graceful

0:02:26 > 0:02:32if they were back on the beat and arresting criminals who steal bikes,

0:02:32 > 0:02:36who steal people's mobile phones on the streets, deal with the moped

0:02:36 > 0:02:41gangs. The police do a really tough job. But they must be directed as

0:02:41 > 0:02:47well and directed to catching criminals.

0:02:47 > 0:02:53Lynn, staying with you and the Telegraph, let's talk Boris Johnson.

0:02:53 > 0:02:58Well, Boris has been on another trip and yet again gone off message. So,

0:02:58 > 0:03:06I mean, this is not unexpected from him. We know that Boris Johnson has

0:03:06 > 0:03:10always been pro-immigration in the sense that he is not against people

0:03:10 > 0:03:14coming but he wants control of the numbers that come here.

0:03:14 > 0:03:20When he was looking to be the Mayor that was a familiar refrain?The

0:03:20 > 0:03:25reason this is on the front page of the Telegraph is that he has gone

0:03:25 > 0:03:29further than the Prime Minister. A departure from what Theresa May has

0:03:29 > 0:03:35been saying. She did not agree to secure the rights of ex-pats when we

0:03:35 > 0:03:38depart the European Union but she said she wants to but what Theresa

0:03:38 > 0:03:44May is doing is waiting until the rights of British citizens living in

0:03:44 > 0:03:47the European countries are assured. So we have all said we want to do

0:03:47 > 0:03:55this. So he has come forward. This is an evening when the chair of the

0:03:55 > 0:04:00Commons foreign affairs select committee, has been giving a talk,

0:04:00 > 0:04:04and criticised Boris Johnson by saying we need a coal headed

0:04:04 > 0:04:07approach and that Boris Johnson carries a lot of noise when he goes

0:04:07 > 0:04:13abroad. This was made last week, made in an

0:04:13 > 0:04:18address on Polish/UK relations it came to light when a clip of his

0:04:18 > 0:04:25comments were put on Twitter. There are 1 million Polish living in

0:04:25 > 0:04:34the country. When you go to Pret aManger there is

0:04:34 > 0:04:42a chance that would be served by someone from the east. There is the

0:04:42 > 0:04:49issue that there could be a sudden flight of European giving flight, an

0:04:49 > 0:04:54exodus from the UK. And you hinted on it a minute ago,

0:04:54 > 0:04:59if this is different to what Theresa May is saying this is one of the

0:04:59 > 0:05:03three key issues that must be resolved before trade talks?Yes but

0:05:03 > 0:05:08it is something that Theresa May has tried to harsh out with the European

0:05:08 > 0:05:11counterparts, that they would not budge on. Angela Merkel being one in

0:05:11 > 0:05:16question. To be fair, she has been very clear. That she wants to do

0:05:16 > 0:05:19this but needs a message from them as well.

0:05:19 > 0:05:25Let's move on. The Daily Express. Lynn take us

0:05:25 > 0:05:32there. This is the story about the UK's population. We are told it will

0:05:32 > 0:05:39hit 70 million by 2029 and the Daily Express taking a migrant line on the

0:05:39 > 0:05:45figures.These are big numbers. Mid-2029, 70 million. It is a rise

0:05:45 > 0:05:50of, I don't know, I think we need to start building more houses is the

0:05:50 > 0:05:55general message. And maybe hospitals!They are saying

0:05:55 > 0:06:01there will be a rise of something like 54% down to migration by 2026

0:06:01 > 0:06:05and then something like the number of over 85s in Britain will double

0:06:05 > 0:06:12to 3 million by 2040. So something like in the range of 16 million

0:06:12 > 0:06:16people of pensionable age at that time. I know that people are working

0:06:16 > 0:06:19longer, are able to look after themselves but these are worrying

0:06:19 > 0:06:29figures. Never mind looking at people now who cannot get an

0:06:29 > 0:06:33appointment at a doctor's surgery, not getting places in primary

0:06:33 > 0:06:39schools, we are not seeing primary schools, hospitals being built to do

0:06:39 > 0:06:43with this. Well this goes back to the story,

0:06:43 > 0:06:48the British don't want to do the McDonald's jobs that the migrants

0:06:48 > 0:06:55want to do, so perhaps the surplus population could prove beneficial.

0:06:55 > 0:06:59But, supreme to live somewhere, people must educate their children

0:06:59 > 0:07:05somewhere, it is a strain on the public services. And the stress on

0:07:05 > 0:07:10the migrant line but old age is also a part of the story. Let's move on

0:07:10 > 0:07:16to the FT. Dan, let's start with you. There is an ammiage at the top

0:07:16 > 0:07:22of the front page. A frightening image from Kenya with reference to

0:07:22 > 0:07:30the rerunning of the election. Yeah, this is an extraordinary story

0:07:30 > 0:07:38a month ago, the judiciary in Kenya called for a re-election, held as a

0:07:38 > 0:07:45sign of Kenya's vibrant democracy. Now there is mayhem, violence, the

0:07:45 > 0:07:49opposition candidate, Odinga has pulled from the race. Three people

0:07:49 > 0:07:54killed today and now reports that turnout is low undermining the

0:07:54 > 0:07:58credibility of the election and the he get mace whys all together. So

0:07:58 > 0:08:02what was to be an example of Kenyan democracy is turning out the

0:08:02 > 0:08:06opposite. It would appear that Mr Kenyatta is

0:08:06 > 0:08:12to win on the basis of the current voting and the lack of turnout but

0:08:12 > 0:08:15that does not necessarily in these circumstances resolve a great deal?

0:08:15 > 0:08:22No. The main opponent called the election illegitimate with the turn

0:08:22 > 0:08:31out low. And it calls into question if the next election is viable

0:08:31 > 0:08:37domestically and internationally. And it sums up the violence that

0:08:37 > 0:08:41picture?It is a powerful photograph. What I read earlier, the

0:08:41 > 0:08:44judges were supposed to be ruling on whether or not to delay the

0:08:44 > 0:08:50election. Two out of seven turned up. One of the judges who did not

0:08:50 > 0:08:54turn up, her bodyguard was shot the night before. This is the pressure

0:08:54 > 0:09:00that the people are under there. A very difficult situation.

0:09:00 > 0:09:04Now the Garde front page, so many different figures, economic figures

0:09:04 > 0:09:09coming out on a day by day basis at the moment. Some appear good news,

0:09:09 > 0:09:15some don't. Here is one that doesn't look so good. Retail sales falling

0:09:15 > 0:09:20at the fastest rate since the recession?Does this mean there are

0:09:20 > 0:09:26going to be sales?! We have raise rising inflation. A worry. Which we

0:09:26 > 0:09:31have had the figures from last week. We have the sterling plunging. That

0:09:31 > 0:09:34is great if you are coming to Britain on holiday. But not gait for

0:09:34 > 0:09:41us, obviously. Now the figures out from the CB I survey, talking about

0:09:41 > 0:09:47our spending power. The CB I are being vocal about Brexit. This is a

0:09:47 > 0:09:52bleak picture. Their figures are portraying tonight. I'm not sure. I

0:09:52 > 0:09:57think we should see a little more. They are saying that they are

0:09:57 > 0:10:02falling at the fastest rate since the recession in 2009. That is a

0:10:02 > 0:10:08considerable length of time. So they sound damning but I'm not sure we

0:10:08 > 0:10:12should worry yet. And the income squeeze mentioned,

0:10:12 > 0:10:17Dan. It's a part of the story. Part of the problem is that London

0:10:17 > 0:10:21is still one of the most expensive cities on the planet. With the

0:10:21 > 0:10:29dramatic fall in the pound and high inflation, and rents not decareering

0:10:29 > 0:10:33by a dramatic degree, the prospects for people in the capital are not

0:10:33 > 0:10:38getting better. I mentioned this being a bad news

0:10:38 > 0:10:41economic story, it appears in a paper that does not support Brexit,

0:10:41 > 0:10:46is it fair to say that as we see the different stories, some good, some

0:10:46 > 0:10:50bad, they are featured more heavily in the paper that take as particular

0:10:50 > 0:11:00Brexit view as a parallel. I'm not sure. These figures, for

0:11:00 > 0:11:05example, the CB I have been vocal about Brexit in a negative way. I

0:11:05 > 0:11:13think it would be more, perhaps, more beneficial to look at the

0:11:13 > 0:11:17figures after Christmas and then perhaps take another snapshot.

0:11:17 > 0:11:24Yes, as they say you cannot read too much into a set of figures! Dan, not

0:11:24 > 0:11:28the same Telegraph, this is the Scottish version it has a lead story

0:11:28 > 0:11:33with reference to junk food and supermarkets.

0:11:33 > 0:11:38This story talks about the fact that price promotions on junk food

0:11:38 > 0:11:52reinvestigated and restaurant meal sizes capped under plans unveiled by

0:11:52 > 0:11:55the medical associations in Scotland.

0:11:55 > 0:12:08This reminds me of the sugar tax.

0:12:13 > 0:12:19Well, part of the plans are to send health visitors. If you are a young

0:12:19 > 0:12:24mum, south or north of the border, you could be taking, no offence but

0:12:24 > 0:12:29you may not be pleased with the health visitors who checks up on

0:12:29 > 0:12:32your children and the eating and looking at your larder, the portion

0:12:32 > 0:12:38control and what you are feeding them, the meal time behaviour and I

0:12:38 > 0:12:43don't think businesses will be pleased with the pressure on them to

0:12:43 > 0:12:48relabel with calorie amounts and portion sizes on the products. So,

0:12:48 > 0:12:55look, the SNP are talking about asking the UK Government as it is

0:12:55 > 0:13:02notp within their right to ban advertising near schools and

0:13:02 > 0:13:05playings, tourist attractions, with the best of intentions.

0:13:05 > 0:13:12I was going to say, there are stark figures.Yes, there are problems in

0:13:12 > 0:13:19the country with obesity. And now to look at Buzzfeed, a

0:13:19 > 0:13:25parliamentary, an MP showing off his painted nails to raise awareness of

0:13:25 > 0:13:31slavery. Yes, he displayed much to the shock

0:13:31 > 0:13:37of us his painted hand. There is an eave owned Somerset police campaign,

0:13:37 > 0:13:43called Let's Nail It. It highlights women but also men, who are victims

0:13:43 > 0:13:50of modern slavery. On screen, we showed the coloured

0:13:50 > 0:13:53version, black and white detracted from the effect of the nails.

0:13:53 > 0:14:00They were red.I would not expect them to be blue, he is Labour after

0:14:00 > 0:14:09all.

0:14:09 > 0:14:10That's it for The Papers tonight.

0:14:10 > 0:14:13Don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online

0:14:13 > 0:14:15on the BBC News website.

0:14:15 > 0:14:24It's all there for you - 7 days a week at bbc dot co uk