21/11/2017

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0:00:15 > 0:00:18Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

0:00:18 > 0:00:19bringing us tomorrow.

0:00:19 > 0:00:24With me are the former Labour adviser and comedian,

0:00:24 > 0:00:29Ayesha Hazarika and Tim Montgomerie, the founder of unherd.com.

0:00:29 > 0:00:31A look at the front pages.

0:00:31 > 0:00:33The Metro which leads with the resignation

0:00:33 > 0:00:38of Robert Mugabe as President of Zimbabwe after 37 years in power.

0:00:38 > 0:00:40The I reflects the jubilant scenes across Zimbabwe earlier today

0:00:40 > 0:00:48as news spread about the end of Mugabe's rule.

0:00:48 > 0:00:49A so-called divorce bill between Britain

0:00:49 > 0:00:52and the European Union could be settled within three weeks according

0:00:52 > 0:00:56the FT's front page.

0:00:56 > 0:00:59Ahead of tomorrow's budget, the Telegraph details a last minute

0:00:59 > 0:01:02briefing which the paper says saw Downing Street demand a last minute

0:01:02 > 0:01:06announcement on schools.

0:01:06 > 0:01:08The Daily Express leads with how Vitamin D could benefit

0:01:08 > 0:01:14the treatment of arthritis according to new research.

0:01:14 > 0:01:17The Times reports that schools will be paid £600 for every extra

0:01:17 > 0:01:20pupil they persuade to sit maths A-level to help Britain compete

0:01:20 > 0:01:27on the world stage after Brexit.

0:01:27 > 0:01:29The Guardian has an image of Zimbabweans celebrating

0:01:29 > 0:01:33on the streets of Harare after Mugabe resigned.

0:01:33 > 0:01:37And the Mail urges savers to boycott banks that have not passed on this

0:01:37 > 0:01:39month's rise in interest rates.

0:01:39 > 0:01:45Let's talk about some of those. Take us to the front of the Metro, if

0:01:45 > 0:01:53only for the headline.Amazing headline, hip, hip, Harare. Most

0:01:53 > 0:01:57papers have very vibrant scenes of GB Lei Sheng from Harare. A lot of

0:01:57 > 0:02:04smiling faces -- scenes of jubilation. We thought Mugabe was

0:02:04 > 0:02:08going to go last week and then we thought he was going to go on Sunday

0:02:08 > 0:02:13and it didn't work out but people will be pleased. We shouldn't

0:02:13 > 0:02:18underestimate what a huge moment this is in African politics. He has

0:02:18 > 0:02:21been a presiding figure not just in Zimbabwe but across the whole

0:02:21 > 0:02:29region. At first very revered, he was the man who helped Zimbabwe

0:02:29 > 0:02:33become independent in 1980. There was a lot of promise, he was seen as

0:02:33 > 0:02:40this revolutionary insurgent, this very strong figure but Zimbabwe went

0:02:40 > 0:02:47from is being the breadbasket of Africa with great resources

0:02:47 > 0:02:54basically to being the basket case, with horrific unemployment. At one

0:02:54 > 0:02:57point, life expectancy in Zimbabwe was the lowest of anywhere on the

0:02:57 > 0:03:05planet, I think for a woman it was 43 years old. A huge collar and

0:03:05 > 0:03:14epidemic -- cholera and AIDS epidemic. The agriculture dipped.

0:03:14 > 0:03:22The country has a tragic set of events happening to it. I hope that

0:03:22 > 0:03:26even know there is a lot of jubilation, I hope that there will

0:03:26 > 0:03:31be real change. It's important to note that the man taking over from

0:03:31 > 0:03:38Mugabe was a big part of what happened before, quite a

0:03:38 > 0:03:41blood-soaked history.His nickname is the crocodile.Doesn't bode

0:03:41 > 0:03:47particularly well.I think what Morgan Tsvangirai is calling for is

0:03:47 > 0:03:51correct, until there are free and fair elections in Zimbabwe who must

0:03:51 > 0:03:58be careful about being too jubilant. On the story got context, this is a

0:03:58 > 0:04:03very significant day, isn't it?A huge moment for the moment said,

0:04:03 > 0:04:12this is a land that had so much promise, still a lot of resources.

0:04:12 > 0:04:16Quite a talented population in many respects and you can see the

0:04:16 > 0:04:21excitement and the jubilation. The military, this is the softest crew

0:04:21 > 0:04:27we've seen of this kind, an example to the rest of Africa if they can

0:04:27 > 0:04:33have lived correctly -- the softest coup. There has been a lot of

0:04:33 > 0:04:37intimidation and violence in the life of the modern Zimbabwe. If this

0:04:37 > 0:04:44transition can happen reasonably peacefully, it is an open question

0:04:44 > 0:04:52as to how much justice needs to be done. Whether, behind-the-scenes,

0:04:52 > 0:04:56since we had that extraordinary press conference on Sunday, the

0:04:56 > 0:05:03non-amazing nation -- non-resignation conference, has he

0:05:03 > 0:05:08got protection and is the immune from prosecution? It is up to the

0:05:08 > 0:05:13people of Zimbabwe what they will tolerate. If he has got it it is

0:05:13 > 0:05:18going to leave a sour taste in the malls of the many victims of his

0:05:18 > 0:05:26regime over the last 37 years. Let's reflect on it. The pictures are so

0:05:26 > 0:05:36beautiful.The I's front page, have you ever seen a great expression of

0:05:36 > 0:05:42joy than the guy from the pale blue T-shirt?It is an amazing optic, it

0:05:42 > 0:05:52is one of hope. Zimbabwe has a young population, actually well. Great

0:05:52 > 0:05:56hope and expectation for the future but I think Morgan Tsvangirai is

0:05:56 > 0:06:02going to be a really important figure. In a way he is the man who

0:06:02 > 0:06:07symbolises the brutality of what went before. Morgan Tsvangirai

0:06:07 > 0:06:11survived three attempts on his life including somebody coming into his

0:06:11 > 0:06:14office, hitting him across the head with a bar and trying to throw him

0:06:14 > 0:06:21out of the window. He is going to be somebody, he is like the physical

0:06:21 > 0:06:26embodiment of somebody who pushed back against the regime. The

0:06:26 > 0:06:29pictures are very arresting but I would urge a bit of caution in the

0:06:29 > 0:06:33sense that we have to see, it is no good replacing one dictatorship with

0:06:33 > 0:06:38another one.Moving ahead to the Guardian which has the same image on

0:06:38 > 0:06:44the front pageyou raise the issue briefly what happens Mr Mugabe.

0:06:44 > 0:06:49There is a line on the Guardian's coverage, the generals are yet to

0:06:49 > 0:06:53comment on his fate and one of the uncertainties amid the talk of

0:06:53 > 0:06:59succession and maybe a democratic process, what will happen to him?

0:06:59 > 0:07:06Absolutely, Zanu-PF appeared to have quickly moved behind the military.

0:07:06 > 0:07:10Quite orchestrated in many senses so maybe there is more of a plan than

0:07:10 > 0:07:16we realise. We focus a lot on the human rights issues associated with

0:07:16 > 0:07:22the regime but the big thing that has brought it to the climax we are

0:07:22 > 0:07:25witnessing is the economic failure, the complete economic failure,

0:07:25 > 0:07:32basket case, as Ayesha said. It is an opportunity for the West, we have

0:07:32 > 0:07:37some historic involvement in the country.I think we do.Anything to

0:07:37 > 0:07:44how the transition. These people have hope at the moment. The

0:07:44 > 0:07:49universities haven't been paid. If we can help in the investment. So

0:07:49 > 0:07:56often we think of Africa as a struggling continent but country

0:07:56 > 0:08:02after country has been moving forward, improvements in literacy,

0:08:02 > 0:08:08improvements in child mortality etc and now perhaps Zimbabwe will join

0:08:08 > 0:08:14the success story.Absolutely, Africa is the market to watch in

0:08:14 > 0:08:17terms of its infrastructure and telecommunications, that is

0:08:17 > 0:08:23improving but interesting to see what the leaders surrounding

0:08:23 > 0:08:26Zimbabwe do as well, particularly South Africa.Jacob Zuma was due

0:08:26 > 0:08:31there tomorrow, I don't know if he will go in the light of events.

0:08:31 > 0:08:41Would be delighted if he went altogether!Easy for us to say in

0:08:41 > 0:08:46the west that you must have a huge trial, but it must be for them to

0:08:46 > 0:08:51decide and it may be that there has been so much are people and there

0:08:51 > 0:08:54has been so much bloodshed they don't want to risk a huge uprising

0:08:54 > 0:09:00because he still quite popular in Zimbabwe despite these pictures.

0:09:00 > 0:09:03There are many people who think of him fondly as the person who

0:09:03 > 0:09:10liberated Zimbabwe from the evil Empire. In a way I think that other

0:09:10 > 0:09:16leaders around may also encourage this to be as calm as possible

0:09:16 > 0:09:21without increasing tensions.One more image before we talk about

0:09:21 > 0:09:26other matters, the front page of the Daily Telegraph. If you thought that

0:09:26 > 0:09:31the man in the blue T-shirt we showed you a moment ago was the

0:09:31 > 0:09:34happiest man in Zimbabwe, maybe this one wearing a suit and that

0:09:34 > 0:09:41wide-eyed look is running him close! Looks like he's going to explode

0:09:41 > 0:09:49with happiness.Made's budget war with Hammond: the evil they budget.

0:09:49 > 0:10:01By the time people -- the eve before the budget. By the time people read

0:10:01 > 0:10:07it it will be the day of the budget. Would Hammond be pleased if the

0:10:07 > 0:10:13Mugabe News had happened tomorrow? It could have been drowned out or is

0:10:13 > 0:10:18he glad to get the attention tomorrow? Time will tell. Philip

0:10:18 > 0:10:25Hammond, I don't think I breaking an exclusive here...Feel free to do

0:10:25 > 0:10:28that.He's not the most exciting Chancellor or politician we've ever

0:10:28 > 0:10:35had. And of course Conservative MPs are not the happiest people and they

0:10:35 > 0:10:41are hoping for something special from the Chancellor. There seem to

0:10:41 > 0:10:44be some interesting ideas, for example encouraging maths teaching,

0:10:44 > 0:10:51very worthy and important but not the kind of idea or proposal that I

0:10:51 > 0:10:55think will really change Conservative fortunes. The story in

0:10:55 > 0:10:59the Daily Telegraph is that Theresa May seems to be anxious that Hammond

0:10:59 > 0:11:07isn't going to delivered the game changer.And she may run out of

0:11:07 > 0:11:13patience with him if he doesn't.A reach of all that she might choose

0:11:13 > 0:11:18rather than those that have been forced on her.I come from a party

0:11:18 > 0:11:22where the leader and the Chancellor used to fight a lot and it doesn't

0:11:22 > 0:11:28make for happy politics. Going into most budgets you get a lot of pitch

0:11:28 > 0:11:34rolling and atmospherics forehand. What people have been saying so far

0:11:34 > 0:11:38about Mr Hammond. Before a budget he will do a lot of media on the

0:11:38 > 0:11:51Sunday. The worst budget build-up in history. Never had it though good

0:11:51 > 0:11:55apparently. People say that it is going to be uninspiring. What it

0:11:55 > 0:12:07looks like is that the knives are out for him. They are stuck in this

0:12:07 > 0:12:11Brexit crisis at the moment and really a budget that traditionally

0:12:11 > 0:12:17happens... This is what happens in since the Conservatives have the

0:12:17 > 0:12:22election. This is a budget that is going to be quite tough but it will

0:12:22 > 0:12:27set the tone of a government with vision. There will be nothing of

0:12:27 > 0:12:37that. Things like housing, we need something substantial. Theresa May's

0:12:37 > 0:12:41conference speech didn't cut any ice with that.We are going to get

0:12:41 > 0:12:48something on housing?But will it be enough? Also a lot of an happiness

0:12:48 > 0:12:53about the pay cap and calls for regional investment. Until there is

0:12:53 > 0:12:59a narrative that pulls things together, this is very

0:12:59 > 0:13:03insubstantial.A couple of minutes left. Let's sort out Brexit in that

0:13:03 > 0:13:09time! The FC, Brussels and London aiming to reach Brexit divorce bill

0:13:09 > 0:13:13in three weeks -- the Financial Times. This follows the meeting

0:13:13 > 0:13:22earlier today, where a new figure was mooted. It was yesterday.This

0:13:22 > 0:13:27sounds ambitious to me. It is vital that this agreement is reached

0:13:27 > 0:13:34because the clock is ticking. The Article 50 process is a two-year

0:13:34 > 0:13:40process and there is a feeling that you need an agreement to get it

0:13:40 > 0:13:43passed by the European Parliament etc and we haven't begun the crucial

0:13:43 > 0:13:48trade talks yet. Theresa May is determined to find some sort of

0:13:48 > 0:13:53financial offer for the European Union so she can get onto the trade

0:13:53 > 0:13:58talks but if it is the kind of figure that has been talked about

0:13:58 > 0:14:05here, I think there is going to be uproar inside the Conservative

0:14:05 > 0:14:11Party. Tory MPs, Jacob Rees Mogg, Robert health on already leading the

0:14:11 > 0:14:19calls of anxiety. Forget the budget, the fireworks will come when we

0:14:19 > 0:14:22start getting specifics on this number. It will be the biggest test

0:14:22 > 0:14:26of Theresa May's leadership and she's had a number of tests but this

0:14:26 > 0:14:32will be huge.It's difficult because the issue of Ireland as well, the

0:14:32 > 0:14:36border, a massive issue which people are concerned about. Tim is right

0:14:36 > 0:14:43about the money. A lot of people thought that we would get a lot of

0:14:43 > 0:14:47money back from the EU and it turns out we are going to have to pay a

0:14:47 > 0:14:52lot of money to untangle ourselves. When we get the budget we'll be told

0:14:52 > 0:15:02that there isn't much money around and austerity will stay.Time is up.

0:15:07 > 0:15:10Don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online

0:15:10 > 0:15:11on the BBC News website.

0:15:11 > 0:15:13And if you miss the programme any

0:15:13 > 0:15:18evening you can watch it later on BBC iPlayer.

0:15:18 > 0:15:21Thank you to my guests and goodbye.