0:00:15 > 0:00:19Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be
0:00:19 > 0:00:20bringing us tomorrow.
0:00:20 > 0:00:21With me are Henry Mance, political correspondent
0:00:21 > 0:00:23at the Financial Times and Claire Cohen, Editor
0:00:23 > 0:00:25of Telegraph Women.
0:00:25 > 0:00:27Tomorrow's front pages...
0:00:27 > 0:00:30The Financial Times says Europe's banks have removed more
0:00:30 > 0:00:34than £350 billion worth of assets from the UK in the last 12 months,
0:00:34 > 0:00:37after the vote to leave the EU.
0:00:37 > 0:00:40The Times claims a defence minister is threatening to quit
0:00:40 > 0:00:43if the military is forced to impose more cost cutting measures -
0:00:43 > 0:00:49including reducing the army to below 70,000 soldiers.
0:00:49 > 0:00:52The Mail headlines movement in the Brexit negotiations -
0:00:52 > 0:00:55with the EU signalling it is willing to start talks on a possible
0:00:55 > 0:00:58trade-deal after the latest talks with Theresa May.
0:00:58 > 0:01:01The Telegraph cites a new report that says one in five women
0:01:01 > 0:01:06won't become a mother, as childlessness has doubled
0:01:06 > 0:01:07within a generation.
0:01:07 > 0:01:10The Express writes that winds from the Arctic will descent
0:01:10 > 0:01:12on the UK this weekend - with temperatures hitting
0:01:12 > 0:01:19as low as minus 6.
0:01:19 > 0:01:24We will begin with the Guardian, which is reporting on its front page
0:01:24 > 0:01:29the appalling atrocities that have happened in Egypt and the Sinai
0:01:29 > 0:01:34peninsula. Hundreds of worshippers killed in Sinai mosque attack. There
0:01:34 > 0:01:46is so much attention in the Middle East paid to a Iraq. Yemen and
0:01:46 > 0:01:53Syria.There are reports of off-road vehicles descending on this Moss, 20
0:01:53 > 0:01:58attackers they say running in and throwing bombs and gunfire, it is
0:01:58 > 0:02:04really dreadful. It seems to be overlooked, north Sinai is an
0:02:04 > 0:02:08isolated area and it has a media blackout. It is a lesser-known,
0:02:08 > 0:02:12perhaps a forgotten part of the region. For some thing this dreadful
0:02:12 > 0:02:15to happen, the worst attack on modern Egyptian history is a wake-up
0:02:15 > 0:02:22call.It was so huge and attack and so well organised, and we don't
0:02:22 > 0:02:27quite know yet which faction is responsible because so many factions
0:02:27 > 0:02:41are at work there.And you have a repressive hardline President Sisi.
0:02:41 > 0:02:49His response under his reign is brute force. That can be partially
0:02:49 > 0:02:55effective, but it also creates the risk of stirring up more discontent.
0:02:55 > 0:03:01It's an approach that might not actually passed by the region.We
0:03:01 > 0:03:06all know that these groups, whether they are inspired by Islamic State
0:03:06 > 0:03:13or Al-Qaeda, they seem to have no trouble replenishing fighters, even
0:03:13 > 0:03:16if they are squeezed out of one territory they pop up somewhere
0:03:16 > 0:03:21else.Absolutely right, no one has claimed responsibility yet, but
0:03:21 > 0:03:30there have been scores of attacks in this region by people saying they
0:03:30 > 0:03:35are affiliated to Isis. It is a never-ending supply.We have seen
0:03:35 > 0:03:41Coptic Christians attacked in Egypt, but this time it was a Sufi Mosque
0:03:41 > 0:03:48which some hardliners take exception to.They are not able to exploit a
0:03:48 > 0:03:52divide that they can in the Middle East, so by isolating religious
0:03:52 > 0:03:58minorities they can stir up a similar motivation on behalf of
0:03:58 > 0:04:03extremist violence. Obviously for people going to Friday prayers this
0:04:03 > 0:04:14is the most horrific thing.So many people collected in one place at a
0:04:14 > 0:04:17certain time of day, but this has implications for Israel and Gaza
0:04:17 > 0:04:20because it is so close and instability in that part of the
0:04:20 > 0:04:25world is always a worry.If you look at a Middle East now, if you are a
0:04:25 > 0:04:29foreign diplomat or you are trying to look for bright spots, there
0:04:29 > 0:04:40aren't that many at the moment. You look at Yemen, you look at Iran,
0:04:40 > 0:04:44Israel and Palestine, not much progress. There is lots of worrying
0:04:44 > 0:04:51trouble spots and few obvious solutions.Let's look at the Daily
0:04:51 > 0:04:56Mail and onto Brexit. Let's get down to business, after May increases the
0:04:56 > 0:05:02UK cash offer, EU says trade talks now possible. This is the Daily Mail
0:05:02 > 0:05:05take on it, I think they said a lot of movement is required in every
0:05:05 > 0:05:10area which is what they really said, isn't it?There are three issues. We
0:05:10 > 0:05:13are getting to the end of the beginning of negotiations! We have
0:05:13 > 0:05:18to sort out the right of EU citizens, we have to sort out what
0:05:18 > 0:05:23happens to the Irish border, and we have to sort out the divorce
0:05:23 > 0:05:26payment. Theresa May has made a big move on divorce payment, to 40
0:05:26 > 0:05:30billion. This is where we are seeing progress. But she has ten days to
0:05:30 > 0:05:34get over the finishing line and it looks like the question of the Irish
0:05:34 > 0:05:37border, had you have a border without actually having any
0:05:37 > 0:05:42infrastructure, cameras, gardens? How does that work? She has ten days
0:05:42 > 0:05:49to sort it out.On social media, some people say it is boring and
0:05:49 > 0:05:53forget all about it, but we are only at the beginning.We are at the
0:05:53 > 0:05:58beginning. This is possibly one of those times that Donald Tusk has
0:05:58 > 0:06:05dangled the possibility that we can break the deadlock. You can say that
0:06:05 > 0:06:08to has -- Theresa May is gone in two 20 billion offer, but the EU still
0:06:08 > 0:06:13feels like they have got her over a barrel. She has gone into saying
0:06:13 > 0:06:16let's hold hands and jump off the cliff together, and they are coming
0:06:16 > 0:06:22back at her and only allowing the vague possibility of breaking the
0:06:22 > 0:06:35deadlock. She must feel like she is playing a game of whack a mole. She
0:06:35 > 0:06:41thought she could put it on I spit it is the big issue of the day.
0:06:41 > 0:06:50Exhibit Leo Varadkar, could not fight an election while... That
0:06:50 > 0:07:00border.Two political crises, one in Germany, one in Ireland, from a
0:07:00 > 0:07:07British perspective is unseen. They are complicating factors. There is a
0:07:07 > 0:07:10national interest, and to some extent there is a united front on
0:07:10 > 0:07:17behalf of Irish politicians who say it is Britain's problem to sort out.
0:07:17 > 0:07:23You are saying they can have an innovative border where you can
0:07:23 > 0:07:26track everything and nothing passes beneath the radar. If you say that
0:07:26 > 0:07:31is possible, you sorted out, they are saying to Theresa May. It may
0:07:31 > 0:07:34well keep that Government going, but the chance of collapse would be
0:07:34 > 0:07:38stored in recent talks.Not something that people had
0:07:38 > 0:07:44necessarily foreseen as you said. And maybe Fianna Fail will ease off
0:07:44 > 0:08:05the pressure on finer gales. -- finer. Something that might become
0:08:05 > 0:08:09unstable, toxic, unprofitable come the day we do leave the EU.And
0:08:09 > 0:08:12protecting themselves against a potential no deal. This is been the
0:08:12 > 0:08:16week where we have perhaps in the first major and tangible impact that
0:08:16 > 0:08:22Brexit could have on the economy. We have got the European banking
0:08:22 > 0:08:25authority moving headquarters to Paris, we've got the European
0:08:25 > 0:08:29medical agency moving headquarters to Amsterdam. We have even got
0:08:29 > 0:08:33Dundee not allowed to go in for the European city of culture because
0:08:33 > 0:08:39that is run by EU institutions. There is this sort of trickle
0:08:39 > 0:08:45effect. In the bank shedding 350 million is the latest.All
0:08:45 > 0:08:48businesses are saying what they needed certainty and they can't have
0:08:48 > 0:08:52that at the moment. Will galvanise the Government to try and put its
0:08:52 > 0:08:56house in order so that we can try and get on and talk about a trade
0:08:56 > 0:09:03deal.Exactly. What businesses would love is a transition deal to save it
0:09:03 > 0:09:06any major changes are not 18 months away, they are more than two years
0:09:06 > 0:09:12away. It would allow people in boardrooms to say, I am not going to
0:09:12 > 0:09:16make any drastic changes. But what the moment they have to do is say
0:09:16 > 0:09:21because they don't know what the situation will be after March 29, I
0:09:21 > 0:09:25will rid myself of a problem even if it is a slight cost now. I will get
0:09:25 > 0:09:28rid of these assets because I don't know what the regulatory regime will
0:09:28 > 0:09:33be or how I will execute these deals after March 20 19.Not a state
0:09:33 > 0:09:41assets, but actual investment arms of banks moving away from London.We
0:09:41 > 0:09:47have in FT story of cliff edge Brexit talked about. That is a new
0:09:47 > 0:09:51one on me, Huybrechts, soft Brexit, cliff edge Brexit, shifting
0:09:51 > 0:09:56investments away and people moving away. Tangible jobs moving away.The
0:09:56 > 0:10:04red, white and blue Brexit doesn't get much mention these days. The
0:10:04 > 0:10:07Times, the security alert that happened earlier today, just down
0:10:07 > 0:10:10the road from here at Oxford circus where people thought they heard
0:10:10 > 0:10:18shots fired at about 4:40pm this afternoon on the Underground Tube
0:10:18 > 0:10:22station and there was a massive lockdown.It shows what a state of
0:10:22 > 0:10:26high anxiety we are written. The Met said they received numerous 999
0:10:26 > 0:10:33calls. They must've thought there was a tangible threat, but only 16
0:10:33 > 0:10:36or so people were injured and that was as a result of a stampede. There
0:10:36 > 0:10:42have been reports of up of people running into shop screaming run for
0:10:42 > 0:10:47your lives. The source appears to be a possible punch-up between two men
0:10:47 > 0:10:52on a tube platform.We have not been given details of what that supposed
0:10:52 > 0:10:56gunfire was.We have not at all. People were dropping their Black
0:10:56 > 0:11:00Friday shopping bags and running for what they perceive to be their
0:11:00 > 0:11:04lives. That shows what a really huge state of panic we are written about
0:11:04 > 0:11:10this.It was a spooky site to see all the lights on along Oxford
0:11:10 > 0:11:14Street and around Oxford Circus but nobody there. On today, one of the
0:11:14 > 0:11:20busiest shopping days of the year. Disastrous for retailers. On the one
0:11:20 > 0:11:26hand, it is a good news story because no one died. The platform at
0:11:26 > 0:11:28Oxford circus is constrained, it might be difficult to see. But I
0:11:28 > 0:11:34think it shows what social media can do. Someone tweets I am in a shop
0:11:34 > 0:11:38and there seems to be a lockdown. Loads of people in the area get the
0:11:38 > 0:11:44message, people are running panicked and so forth. It's just great that
0:11:44 > 0:11:49it was not an attack to be honest.I remember when I was on the end the
0:11:49 > 0:11:54night the Paris attacks happen, and we had initial reports of gunfire.
0:11:54 > 0:11:59It was kind of dismissed, even on all the news wires as fireworks, it
0:11:59 > 0:12:05is Paris on a Friday night. Or a car backfiring. And now, we have
0:12:05 > 0:12:09something that was not gunshots that people think it was. But that worry,
0:12:09 > 0:12:14as you say Claire, is very much on people's minds.Another positive to
0:12:14 > 0:12:19take away, even though it has turned out to be nothing, the Met
0:12:19 > 0:12:21galvanised incredibly quickly and there were reports straightaway that
0:12:21 > 0:12:27there was a huge, armed police presence on the scene. So, although
0:12:27 > 0:12:30thankfully came to nothing, had there been an incident worthy of
0:12:30 > 0:12:34their attention they were there and ready.A colleague of mine noticed
0:12:34 > 0:12:38that there were no ambulances to be seen. Thankfully it all seemed to be
0:12:38 > 0:12:46police vehicles. Speaking of Black Friday, it is a record breaking
0:12:46 > 0:12:51Black Friday apparently for British retailers. A huge amount, isn't it
0:12:51 > 0:12:55always says Dave, the voice and might you. Good for them, I suppose.
0:12:55 > 0:12:58They have to make hay while the sunshine is. A huge amount of money
0:12:58 > 0:13:06being spent over the next three days.. A billion over four states.
0:13:06 > 0:13:14That is a projected figure. Up 7% on last year. One of the problems with
0:13:14 > 0:13:19Black Friday is that retailers make offers that they make cheap in the
0:13:19 > 0:13:24hope of bringing people in in the hope of people spending more than
0:13:24 > 0:13:28they want are cleverer than that, they bring their purchases forward
0:13:28 > 0:13:32to that day day and spend less and the days that follow. You have seen
0:13:32 > 0:13:36some retailers sceptical about it. You need to look at the whole
0:13:36 > 0:13:41Christmas run-up before you decide whether consumers are buoyant not.
0:13:41 > 0:13:44Won got pretty violent, previous Black Fridays, but a lot of the
0:13:44 > 0:13:49shopping has been done online, so I hope a lot of the fighting has been
0:13:49 > 0:13:55fewer.I have not seen pictures of people falling on top of widescreen
0:13:55 > 0:13:58TVs, maybe they will, over the weekend. But I did not spend
0:13:58 > 0:14:05anything.Did you indulge?I did not spend anything.On principle I
0:14:05 > 0:14:10won't. What about you?I bought a sandwich!Was it discounted?
0:14:10 > 0:14:17Unfortunately not. I can see that it has become an event. If you see
0:14:17 > 0:14:20brands getting their message out on Facebook, Twitter and so forth, then
0:14:20 > 0:14:23you are nudged to go out and say I do need to get that Christmas
0:14:23 > 0:14:30present or why not do it in loads of time? Unfortunately, like Halloween,
0:14:30 > 0:14:37it is embedding itself in the calendar.Americanisation of our
0:14:37 > 0:14:44high street.Some schools where I live had a day-to-day, nothing to do
0:14:44 > 0:14:51with the teachers wanting time! Just a coincidence. Let's finish with the
0:14:51 > 0:15:05Telegraph one in five women went over the aim mother. -- whatever be
0:15:05 > 0:15:15a mother.It talks about work fishes leather, the cost of child rearing
0:15:15 > 0:15:26and the pleasure of a child Lascelles. Which is
0:15:31 > 0:15:37it talks about a generation that is aspirational. Which perhaps would
0:15:37 > 0:15:42not have been the case in days gone by. But as we know, that is just not
0:15:42 > 0:15:48prosecute. Wages are stagnating.
0:15:51 > 0:16:03They talk about these perpetual postponing...Whether this is a
0:16:03 > 0:16:11choice, it or they can't afford them? As a consequence will we have
0:16:11 > 0:16:19a declining birth rate?My instinctive reaction is to slightly
0:16:19 > 0:16:23recoil, because we do see a lot of headlines that are basically playing
0:16:23 > 0:16:26on women's anxiety and guilt. I feel this is one of them. It would be
0:16:26 > 0:16:34nice to talk about men who biologically can have children
0:16:34 > 0:16:39later, but RNA 50s and 60s and chosen not to. I think the ONS words
0:16:39 > 0:16:45about post-honing decisions... I would like to see if they have done
0:16:45 > 0:16:49the research and interviews rather than just looked at figures. A
0:16:49 > 0:16:56generation ago it was very different.It is also designated 45
0:16:56 > 0:16:59as the cut-off age for having children which I would like to know
0:16:59 > 0:17:09how they had landed on that one? Cherie Blair had won at 45.It was
0:17:09 > 0:17:12not her first, that is the difference I suppose, how long you
0:17:12 > 0:17:14wait to have your first?
0:17:14 > 0:17:15That's it for The Papers tonight.
0:17:15 > 0:17:18Don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online
0:17:18 > 0:17:19on the BBC News website.
0:17:19 > 0:17:23It's all there for you - seven days a week at bbc dot co uk
0:17:23 > 0:17:26forward slash papers - and if you miss the programme any
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0:17:28 > 0:17:29Thank you Claire and Henry.
0:17:29 > 0:17:30From us all, goodbye.
0:17:30 > 0:17:36The weather is next.