21/01/2018

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0:00:08 > 0:00:10Fourteen foreigners are among 18 people killed in the attack

0:00:10 > 0:00:11on a Kabul hotel.

0:00:11 > 0:00:14They're thought to have been deliberately targeted.

0:00:18 > 0:00:22Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

0:00:22 > 0:00:24bringing us tomorrow.

0:00:24 > 0:00:26With me are Ben Chu, the Economics Editor

0:00:26 > 0:00:29at The Independent and Ruth Lea, who's an Economics Adviser

0:00:29 > 0:00:31for the Arbuthnot Banking Group.

0:00:31 > 0:00:36Many of tomorrow's front pages are already in.

0:00:36 > 0:00:38The FT leads with news that the German government has

0:00:38 > 0:00:40taken a step towards breaking a four-month deadlock,

0:00:40 > 0:00:43as Angela Merkel's Social Democratic party voted in favour

0:00:43 > 0:00:57of formal coalition talks.

0:00:57 > 0:01:00The front page of The Express features the BBC's interview

0:01:00 > 0:01:03with French President Emmanuel Macron and his comments that French

0:01:03 > 0:01:15people would also vote to leave the EU if they had the chance.

0:01:15 > 0:01:18The I says wildlife conservationists have issued a warning that the UK

0:01:18 > 0:01:21is aiding sales of ivory, because there is no outright ban

0:01:21 > 0:01:22on sales on the illegal goods.

0:01:22 > 0:01:25The Telegraph leads with a story about the British Army,

0:01:25 > 0:01:28the paper says that a lack of resources means our troops

0:01:28 > 0:01:31are struggling to keep up with military advances in other

0:01:31 > 0:01:35countries like Russia.

0:01:35 > 0:01:35this

0:01:35 > 0:01:38So it's a mixed bag of stories from those papers there,

0:01:38 > 0:01:42this with lots to discuss and more front pages still to come in.

0:01:42 > 0:01:47Ben and Ruth, let's start things off with our first story.

0:01:47 > 0:01:54is the children's. The story of a local, -- pendulum. With the

0:01:54 > 0:01:57government in the peripheral and time nobody looks like former

0:01:57 > 0:02:01coalition talks might be able to start, achieves success? -- Angela

0:02:01 > 0:02:08Merkel.This is good news for her, it has been for months now since the

0:02:08 > 0:02:12inconclusive results of the Federal elections which everybody expected

0:02:12 > 0:02:19her to do well in and not have these difficulties. Failed attempt to form

0:02:19 > 0:02:24a coalition with the Liberals and the Greens and now she has had to go

0:02:24 > 0:02:32back to her old partners, the Social Democrats, they voted today to open

0:02:32 > 0:02:37talks for a new grand coalition. Good news in the short term but

0:02:37 > 0:02:41really a reminder of how quickly political fortunes can change.

0:02:41 > 0:02:46Angela Merkel was talked about last summer of the strongest leader in

0:02:46 > 0:02:50the EU and now she is really hobbled, it initiates this together

0:02:50 > 0:02:55she will not be in the driving seat. Presumably have to make a lot of

0:02:55 > 0:03:00concessions to Martin Schultz and the general consensus is that she

0:03:00 > 0:03:04will not be leading her party into the next set of federal elections in

0:03:04 > 0:03:102020.We have got so used to her being the leader of Europe, haven't

0:03:10 > 0:03:14we? It is quite incredible to see her here really struggling to hold

0:03:14 > 0:03:21onto power.Germany was the leader in Europe, unquestionably. It is

0:03:21 > 0:03:27interesting about Martin Short, in September the SPD did very badly.

0:03:27 > 0:03:36They suffered having been in the party and Martin Schultz said I am

0:03:36 > 0:03:40not going into any more coalition 's. However it seems as though he

0:03:40 > 0:03:46has soft and that view -- softened that view and they will talk about

0:03:46 > 0:03:49the detailed coalition arrangement where there will be a lot of

0:03:49 > 0:03:53concessions from Angela Merkel to keep him on side. Then the detailed

0:03:53 > 0:03:59agreement has to go to the SPD membership, six months after the

0:03:59 > 0:04:03election, the membership may throw it out. She has gone almost

0:04:03 > 0:04:08certainly from hero to zero. There has really been a vacuum, who has

0:04:08 > 0:04:18stepped in to its? Emmanuel Macron. BSP to very many places. He has even

0:04:18 > 0:04:25hosted President Trump in the Eiffel Tower. Lots of people said they

0:04:25 > 0:04:29handled him very well. Let's have a look at expressed. -- of the

0:04:29 > 0:04:38express. What he said about the French if they ever had a chance to

0:04:38 > 0:04:45have a referendum on the EU, he thought they might vote for Frexit,

0:04:45 > 0:04:51as it is known. Will that happen? Hasn't given them a choice any time

0:04:51 > 0:04:56soon. The point was he gives it will a binary choice in the referendum

0:04:56 > 0:05:01and people don't understand the implications. He is making the point

0:05:01 > 0:05:06that if you want people to to vote, you have to give something concrete

0:05:06 > 0:05:11to vote for which is also addressing the reasons why they are feeling

0:05:11 > 0:05:15that things are not the way they should be. He has told Andrew Marr

0:05:15 > 0:05:21that he didn't think the UK referendum gave this opportunity. He

0:05:21 > 0:05:26has been getting rave reviews from UK political analysts and pundits it

0:05:26 > 0:05:29is a straightforward way he has approached all of these questions

0:05:29 > 0:05:35thrown at him and I think that comes over in this. Would friends vote for

0:05:35 > 0:05:42Frexit? Quite possibly. -- France.A bit of fresh air. We are so

0:05:42 > 0:05:48surprised when a politician answers a question.I think he has had a

0:05:48 > 0:05:52good visit and the truth is he won't let the French people have a vote on

0:05:52 > 0:06:00this at all.No.And what became the Lisbon Treaty in 2005, French voted

0:06:00 > 0:06:05against the initial constitution and it was ignored. That is called

0:06:05 > 0:06:11democracy by the way. He had a good meeting and also I assured his

0:06:11 > 0:06:14relationship with Theresa May it was good. Them agreed on the bilateral

0:06:14 > 0:06:21agreement on security and talked about Britain getting a bespoke

0:06:21 > 0:06:25trade deal with the EU. There was a lot of other stuff which was noise

0:06:25 > 0:06:29but on the whole it was satisfactory.He will have a pivotal

0:06:29 > 0:06:35role, assumedly. He said I am not doing the negotiating, it is up to

0:06:35 > 0:06:40Michel Barnier, but he is clearly going to be a figure in this.He and

0:06:40 > 0:06:44Angela Merkel are absolutely pivotal is that this is where the language

0:06:44 > 0:06:49of the Brexit debate gets confusing, he says bespoke deal but it doesn't

0:06:49 > 0:06:53mean this bespoke deal that a lot of people who support Brexit are hoping

0:06:53 > 0:06:58for which is a very, a lot of services involved and special

0:06:58 > 0:07:03carveouts for the U.K.'s. It could mean anything from what I have

0:07:03 > 0:07:07described to a very limited deal which is what Canada has, certainly

0:07:07 > 0:07:14far below what Brexiteers and Brexit ministers are roping. In -- are

0:07:14 > 0:07:20hoping for. He has been very clear about this, which again is

0:07:20 > 0:07:26refreshing. If you are not the EU you cannot be in the single market

0:07:26 > 0:07:30in the way that you previously were. You don't get the benefits of the

0:07:30 > 0:07:35single market unless you are in the single market. That is a pretty

0:07:35 > 0:07:39sobering message for people hoping for a very good deal of getting the

0:07:39 > 0:07:44same benefits.All down to negotiation. As far as I am

0:07:44 > 0:07:50concerned, a bespoke deal doesn't need to cover very much a. A

0:07:50 > 0:07:56continuation of tariff free trade and something with financial

0:07:56 > 0:07:59services. This is saying that we have a deal where both parties

0:07:59 > 0:08:08benefit.Let's move on to UKIP. The Guardian, UKIP in crisis after

0:08:08 > 0:08:13leader loses vote of confidence. Henry Bolte and's reskill friend,

0:08:13 > 0:08:18with her for three weeks, sent text which were deemed to be offensive

0:08:18 > 0:08:26and racist and he has seemingly ditched her. Can he survive this?I

0:08:26 > 0:08:30don't think so silly didn't he go for a meal after having broken up?

0:08:30 > 0:08:36Yes, apparently she restrain to get help.I don't see how he can

0:08:36 > 0:08:41survive, the national executive committee has the confidence but the

0:08:41 > 0:08:45bigger question is will UKIP survive? I think this will become a

0:08:45 > 0:08:54rump party. Nigel Farage is in the wings with his friend Aaron Banks

0:08:54 > 0:09:01and they will put some sort of movement together no doubt after the

0:09:01 > 0:09:08loot, leave movements are already there and to keep the reason they's

0:09:08 > 0:09:13feet to the fire, what ever Glory... It all sounds violent. Nigel Farage

0:09:13 > 0:09:19did say that there is a role for a party like UKIP, if it can pull

0:09:19 > 0:09:22itself together because there are people who feel that the government

0:09:22 > 0:09:26might the backsliding on Brexit, a soft Brexit, you may not notice we

0:09:26 > 0:09:30have left, maybe there is a role but at the moment it is not working out

0:09:30 > 0:09:36for them.The thing about UKIP is, they have always had the stories of

0:09:36 > 0:09:40sort of, loose cannons around them, this is not a new phenomenon, it has

0:09:40 > 0:09:46been going back for years with some of the slightly bigoted people

0:09:46 > 0:09:51attracted to it. It did seem to be a big hindrance in the past, support

0:09:51 > 0:09:58going up and did very well in the European elections, came top.

0:09:58 > 0:10:03Despite stories, the trouble is that since and the election, it has no

0:10:03 > 0:10:10traction at all it seems, it seems to have collapsed in support. Most

0:10:10 > 0:10:15leaders, if you're executive committee says they have no

0:10:15 > 0:10:20confidence, there is no chance he would carry on but such is the

0:10:20 > 0:10:25state, Henry Bolte and obviously thinks he has earned chance of the

0:10:25 > 0:10:28membership backing him speaks to the dysfunction in the movement.Do you

0:10:28 > 0:10:33think they can survive without a character like Nigel Farage? It

0:10:33 > 0:10:38seems without him, they cannot.I think they are employed in, quite

0:10:38 > 0:10:43frankly. I think Nigel Farage will be back on our screens because he

0:10:43 > 0:10:49does not like to spell away.Did he ever leave?There is an organisation

0:10:49 > 0:10:55called leave means leave, I suspect that he will take that over.Now,

0:10:55 > 0:11:02the Times. Trust in social media hits record low amid fears over fake

0:11:02 > 0:11:07news. It is interesting that mainstream media, a bump in people

0:11:07 > 0:11:13's trust of mainstream media, TV, radio and newspapers. This talks to

0:11:13 > 0:11:18all sorts of things about Twitter and other social media, people don't

0:11:18 > 0:11:22necessarily trust it.You could argue it is an encouraging story

0:11:22 > 0:11:27because people are waking up to the fact that fake news exist and one of

0:11:27 > 0:11:32the main platforms for it is Facebook. The trouble is, you are

0:11:32 > 0:11:35comparing mainstream newspapers and television is with Facebook is not

0:11:35 > 0:11:39comparing like with like as a source, a lot of people don't know

0:11:39 > 0:11:44it. Betting if you open up Facebook, it is not a producer of news it is a

0:11:44 > 0:11:49platform for all sorts of content coming onto it from all sources. So

0:11:49 > 0:11:54one quarter of people trust the tech publishing giants, that is

0:11:54 > 0:11:58encouraging people seem to be waking up to reality that they are not

0:11:58 > 0:12:02reading some in from the content producer just a random string of

0:12:02 > 0:12:07stuff. Newspapers and TV actually take responsibility for what goes on

0:12:07 > 0:12:15this topic you could argue about its politically -- validity, but someone

0:12:15 > 0:12:21has taken charge of it.I assume for a lot of young people getting their

0:12:21 > 0:12:24news from Facebook and Twitter, it is completely different, getting and

0:12:24 > 0:12:30digestive and news very differently from an older generation.I think

0:12:30 > 0:12:33that is where the Tory party fell down so badly during the last

0:12:33 > 0:12:40election. In this particular article there is another important point

0:12:40 > 0:12:44made that people are concerned about how extremism is portrayed on the

0:12:44 > 0:12:49social media and the cyber bullying. Patrols and all of that. We have

0:12:49 > 0:12:56heard a lot about this recently, so not merely do they think it is fake

0:12:56 > 0:13:01news but they also think it needs more regulation. There is a freedom

0:13:01 > 0:13:05on social media that a lot of people like but it is abused. Something has

0:13:05 > 0:13:11to be done.Can you regulate Facebook Tom Twitter in the same

0:13:11 > 0:13:17way?Markers after Burke is actually taking some serious action in recent

0:13:17 > 0:13:22weeks to actually move a lot of journalism off of the feeds,

0:13:22 > 0:13:25downgrading it in response to these concerns that it is feeding social

0:13:25 > 0:13:31media bubbles and all of this fake news getting pushed into people 's

0:13:31 > 0:13:34lives through the platform. Actually, maybe we will see how it

0:13:34 > 0:13:38goes but that's it is neglecting its off to some extent a bit there is

0:13:38 > 0:13:42the point that a lot of social media is self-selecting.You choose the

0:13:42 > 0:13:46ones you want to hear and they are often people who agree with you and

0:13:46 > 0:13:50there is a lot of talk about this discussion that people disagree with

0:13:50 > 0:13:55each other is disappearing.It could be true, but was it so different in

0:13:55 > 0:14:01the past? You bought the paper that reflected your, I was going to see

0:14:01 > 0:14:09prejudices, or opinion. -- says. People are selective in what they

0:14:09 > 0:14:14read, they are and they have to be. Let's move on, finally, to the

0:14:14 > 0:14:24Telegraph. It has got a little piece here. There has been a lot of people

0:14:24 > 0:14:29in Westminster very upset about big then, the fact it is being

0:14:29 > 0:14:35refurbished and not act to its former glory for many years. Covered

0:14:35 > 0:14:39in scaffolding, it is resurrected now and then and some saying that

0:14:39 > 0:14:45when we leave the EU it should be bonging.Passports and again seemed

0:14:45 > 0:14:52to be the big symbols of Brexit.I am all in favour.These totemic

0:14:52 > 0:14:58images of Britain, as you were saying, David Liddington, the

0:14:58 > 0:15:01cabinet minister is not saying it won't happen, he is saying there are

0:15:01 > 0:15:06presently no arrangements for it. It seems to be a way of the Telegraph

0:15:06 > 0:15:13bouncing the government into saying that it definitely will bong.I

0:15:13 > 0:15:21shall raise a glass to you.I think what we are seeing here is the start

0:15:21 > 0:15:27of a campaign, maybe.Will you launch a petition to get this going?

0:15:27 > 0:15:38I must tweet for this, Big Ben bongs for Brexit. And stamps. We had

0:15:38 > 0:15:44stamps when we joined in 1974 and as I said earlier, I possess a set of

0:15:44 > 0:15:48these stamps, a first day cover. I think we should have stamps. I am

0:15:48 > 0:15:54using this opportunity to say to the Royal Mail, get your stamps out.

0:15:54 > 0:16:03Stamps and Big Ben.Stamps and bongs.Thank you so much. That is it

0:16:03 > 0:16:07for the papers tonight. You can see the front pages online and on the

0:16:07 > 0:16:12BBC website.

0:16:12 > 0:16:14If you miss the programme any

0:16:14 > 0:16:16evening you can watch it later on BBC iPlayer.

0:16:16 > 0:16:17Thank you Ben and Ruth.

0:16:18 > 0:16:19Goodbye.