01/03/2018

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0:00:00 > 0:00:03Coming up in a moment, The Papers.

0:00:20 > 0:00:23Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

0:00:23 > 0:00:24bringing us tomorrow.

0:00:24 > 0:00:26With me are Rachel Cunliffe, Comment and Features Editor

0:00:26 > 0:00:28of CityAM, and Henry Zeffman, Political Correspondent

0:00:28 > 0:00:32at the Times.

0:00:32 > 0:00:35Many of tomorrow's front pages are already in, let's

0:00:35 > 0:00:37take a look at them.

0:00:37 > 0:00:40Starting with The Express, which carries the warning

0:00:40 > 0:00:46from the National Grid over gas supplies as Storm Emma sweeps in.

0:00:46 > 0:00:54A picture of a farmer leading his pregnant ewes

0:00:54 > 0:00:57to shelter is on the front of the Telegraph while the i reports

0:00:57 > 0:00:58that Britain is encountering the coldest temperatures

0:00:58 > 0:00:59for 27 years.

0:00:59 > 0:01:08The Metro has a satellite images from Nasa apparently showing

0:01:08 > 0:01:10the snow that swept across the UK today

0:01:10 > 0:01:11on its front page, and sticking

0:01:11 > 0:01:14with the severe weather, the Sun dubs the arrival

0:01:14 > 0:01:16of Storm Emma as EMMA-GEDDON.

0:01:16 > 0:01:17While The Times warns that

0:01:17 > 0:01:21worse could follow - with the Environment Agency

0:01:21 > 0:01:23issuing six flood warnings.

0:01:23 > 0:01:25Concerns over Russia's nuclear weapon capability leads the FT -

0:01:25 > 0:01:30following the Russian President's annual state of the nation address

0:01:30 > 0:01:32earlier today, and The Mirror tell their readers that a man

0:01:32 > 0:01:35who lost both his arms in a bomb attack in Iraq 15 years,

0:01:35 > 0:01:39and who the Mirror brought to the UK, has become a father.

0:01:39 > 0:01:42So the weather leads the majority of the front pages tomorrow -

0:01:42 > 0:01:49with more to come over the next few days.

0:01:49 > 0:01:54The's dip into those with both of you, you will have to become weather

0:01:54 > 0:01:59experts. Rachel, take us to the Telegraph, Winter in control.It is

0:01:59 > 0:02:04called! I do not think I realised quite how cold and how much affect

0:02:04 > 0:02:10it was having on their is part of the country until I read this glory.

0:02:10 > 0:02:15It is very comprehensive, 1000 schools have closed, the cold Spring

0:02:15 > 0:02:19on record, coldest temperature in 27 years, and if you want that figures

0:02:19 > 0:02:26on this, in terms of car accidents, in three days, it has already done

0:02:26 > 0:02:32£10 million worth of damage and 8000 car accidents. Pappas in context. We

0:02:32 > 0:02:36have all been whether crazy over the last couple of days but you can see

0:02:36 > 0:02:42why, it is consumed everything, and you have got sheep there as well!

0:02:42 > 0:02:47Henry, by all means add further facts and figures to back!There is

0:02:47 > 0:02:50this amazing disconnect between the amazing photos, not just on

0:02:50 > 0:02:58newspaper front pages, but seems we have seen from our windows of snow

0:02:58 > 0:03:02carpeting the country, but it is actually quite serious. I know you

0:03:02 > 0:03:08mentioned on the times' front page the Environment Agency has put out a

0:03:08 > 0:03:13series of coastal flood warnings. We have seen how serious in the West

0:03:13 > 0:03:16Country, which is where some of these warnings are, floods have been

0:03:16 > 0:03:24before. All sorts of disruption on the roads, most train services,

0:03:24 > 0:03:28warning of disruption, or cross-border trains between England

0:03:28 > 0:03:31and Scotland suspended. There is a disconnect between the fun of snow

0:03:31 > 0:03:37days as it is for the kids who schools have been called off and the

0:03:37 > 0:03:41kind of serious effects.There is a line at the end there, yesterday

0:03:41 > 0:03:46expected to set a record for the UK's coldest spring day. It is the

0:03:46 > 0:03:50first day of spring today, which would greet the previous record low

0:03:50 > 0:03:58of -4.6 degrees in Sunderland in March 2000 and one. We have not had

0:03:58 > 0:04:04confirmation of that but it could be.It could be. The Met Office have

0:04:04 > 0:04:08said, winter is clinging on, giving us a right old kicking, it is still

0:04:08 > 0:04:13in control. That is the official view!On the front of the Metro,

0:04:13 > 0:04:19they have taken the satellite image, a Nasa satellite image, showing us

0:04:19 > 0:04:25how it looks from up in space. Rather amazing. I am very far from

0:04:25 > 0:04:29being a meteorological expert. It appears to be carpeting the North

0:04:29 > 0:04:34Sea here as well so I wonder whether some of the whitest cloud. It is a

0:04:34 > 0:04:40really striking image. It does show this combination of the beast from

0:04:40 > 0:04:45the east and Emma is quite devastating.One more of this before

0:04:45 > 0:04:50we move on, this is the express. This is the reference to what might

0:04:50 > 0:04:56be happening all though we are told this is not affecting domestic

0:04:56 > 0:05:01supplies but there is a warrior of the gas.Last night, we were warned

0:05:01 > 0:05:06that the spike in demand might lead to gas shortages. I read since then

0:05:06 > 0:05:12it is mostly industrial businesses, factories have been asked to close

0:05:12 > 0:05:16and they think now, having looked at it, it will not threaten national

0:05:16 > 0:05:21supply, but we are British, we love to moan about the weather, this is

0:05:21 > 0:05:25different, we do not normally run out of gas during cold months so

0:05:25 > 0:05:29this is something spectacular.There is an interesting point here about

0:05:29 > 0:05:35British reliance on foreign gas. In 2004, Britain was entirely

0:05:35 > 0:05:39self-sufficient in gas from the North Sea but now imports 60% of it

0:05:39 > 0:05:44so there is also a problem of supply from the Netherlands and Norway. It

0:05:44 > 0:05:48is not just Emma and the beast from the East but something to do with

0:05:48 > 0:05:55Britain's gas supply which might need sorting out. Norway is not in

0:05:55 > 0:06:00the EU, anyway.Let's move onto other matters because you just

0:06:00 > 0:06:04mentioned Brexit. Henry, take us back to the Telegraph because this

0:06:04 > 0:06:11is where Theresa May's speech tomorrow is featuring. Made's five

0:06:11 > 0:06:15tests to make Brexit a success.This is not disconnected from the weather

0:06:15 > 0:06:18either because the speech was meant to be taking place in Newcastle and

0:06:18 > 0:06:23either because she could not get there or get back it is now taking

0:06:23 > 0:06:28place in Mansion house in central London. The five tests are quite

0:06:28 > 0:06:32interesting. They are to respect the result of the referendum that any

0:06:32 > 0:06:36deal must ensure, protect jobs, be consistent with a modern outward

0:06:36 > 0:06:40looking Britain and strengthen the union of the UK. They failed the

0:06:40 > 0:06:44test of reversing any of those tests, I do not think anyone would

0:06:44 > 0:06:49expect's to strike a deal which does not respect the referendum will does

0:06:49 > 0:06:53not insure and so on, but the government wants this to be a

0:06:53 > 0:07:01moment, this is the third of one of her major Brexit speeches.

0:07:01 > 0:07:03Certainly, the government wants it to be a moment but the question is

0:07:03 > 0:07:11whether she can find a way to set out a vision which is satisfactory

0:07:11 > 0:07:16both to Jacob Rees-Mogg and Anna Subaru.What does this reveal?Very

0:07:16 > 0:07:21little. We have a series of Brexit road map speeches. We have had one

0:07:21 > 0:07:29from Boris Johnson and David Davis and now have this in the brisk set.

0:07:29 > 0:07:35-- her vision for Brexit. They were quite bit woolly concepts. This is

0:07:35 > 0:07:40not telling us anything new and from what we have here it does not set

0:07:40 > 0:07:44out anything practical. There is a line in the way she says, it is

0:07:44 > 0:07:48achievable because it is an EU's interest as well as ours.You think

0:07:48 > 0:07:54that is true?Logically, yes, it is true, ball we have seen over the

0:07:54 > 0:07:59last week, particularly with the EU draft of the Northern Ireland border

0:07:59 > 0:08:04is that the EU is perfectly happy to play very dangerous games with

0:08:04 > 0:08:07something like the border. They are happy to play dangerous games with

0:08:07 > 0:08:13trade and tariffs. They are not playing fair and I think it is naive

0:08:13 > 0:08:17the Theresa May to assume they will do so in the future.I agree

0:08:17 > 0:08:23entirely with that. I think the EU would hit back by saying, well,

0:08:23 > 0:08:26Theresa May or the UK has made its mind up what it thinks its own

0:08:26 > 0:08:30interest is as well. There is a line here that there was a special

0:08:30 > 0:08:34meeting of the Cabinet today to sign of the speech, they all had their

0:08:34 > 0:08:38phones taken away and were locked in a room in given half an hour to read

0:08:38 > 0:08:43the speech. They then had a big row about it. David Davis and some other

0:08:43 > 0:08:49Brexiteers had a line taken out of the speech which was a commitment to

0:08:49 > 0:08:53a binding commitment to match EU rules on various different sectors

0:08:53 > 0:08:57going forward. They got that watered down. The EU might say, if on the

0:08:57 > 0:09:01eve of this major speech you cannot even decide with your Brexit

0:09:01 > 0:09:06secretary what you want how can you tell us what is in our interest?But

0:09:06 > 0:09:11if not a tendency for us to see a public face of it on both sides and

0:09:11 > 0:09:16privately behind-the-scenes rather different?Maybe things are going

0:09:16 > 0:09:20better than they look, that is an optimistic way of looking at it.

0:09:20 > 0:09:26There is a tendency in this country particularly with former Remainers

0:09:26 > 0:09:31to look at what EU does and assume they are acting in a neutral way.

0:09:31 > 0:09:38And the way you succeed in negotiation is to play hardball and

0:09:38 > 0:09:41perhaps to ask for more than you think you can achieve. Are we doing

0:09:41 > 0:09:48that is effectively?Probably not. Certainly on Northern Ireland, we

0:09:48 > 0:09:52should not see the EU is dispassionately taking a view on

0:09:52 > 0:09:55what is best for Northern Ireland although they may well think that

0:09:55 > 0:10:00staying in the customs union is right. They are leveraging a very

0:10:00 > 0:10:05complicated constitutional question, which has been live for a matter

0:10:05 > 0:10:10centuries. And they are leveraging it to try to force a political

0:10:10 > 0:10:16crisis in the UK which brings the UK's vision of Brexit closer to the

0:10:16 > 0:10:22UK's vision of Brexit.Let's Pulkrab trait in a different context. The FT

0:10:22 > 0:10:26talking about trade war fears mounting because what Donald Trump

0:10:26 > 0:10:33said about steel water tariffs.He has been incredibly provocative

0:10:33 > 0:10:39towards China in particular, 25% Paris on steel and 10% on aluminium,

0:10:39 > 0:10:43this is at the heart of American first protectionist policy. There

0:10:43 > 0:10:51are two things interesting about this. One is that China... It has

0:10:51 > 0:10:55been aimed at China and trumpet has been saying to play fair when it

0:10:55 > 0:11:01comes to steel dumping, but most of the US steel imports are not from

0:11:01 > 0:11:07China anyway, they are from the US's allied country including the EU and

0:11:07 > 0:11:10Canada, so this will not hit the country that Trump seems to want it

0:11:10 > 0:11:13to. The second thing I think is interesting is that this is the same

0:11:13 > 0:11:21week that he has made statements about government control -- gun

0:11:21 > 0:11:27control, and starting a trade war is not in line with traditional

0:11:27 > 0:11:30Republican values so Trump is unpredictable and volatile. Who

0:11:30 > 0:11:36knew?I think Rachel is right to point out that this is something

0:11:36 > 0:11:43Donald Trump has been talking about city was in the campaign trail. His

0:11:43 > 0:11:47base support is very much not a traditional Republican base of

0:11:47 > 0:11:54support. There are states he won like Pennsylvania which have voted

0:11:54 > 0:11:58for Democratic presidential candidates over a series of

0:11:58 > 0:12:02elections but have large mining communities, blue-collar workers and

0:12:02 > 0:12:05perhaps will not enamoured by Hillary Clinton and like Donald

0:12:05 > 0:12:09Trump's rhetoric on trade in China. There is an interesting line here

0:12:09 > 0:12:14that says the pro-trade forces and the White House thereby Trump

0:12:14 > 0:12:19adviser who used to run Goldman Sachs would argue against this were

0:12:19 > 0:12:23as economic nationalists in Trump's administration were arguing for

0:12:23 > 0:12:29this. That is a central tension between having Donald Trump is

0:12:29 > 0:12:34having a Republican party president. Let's conclude as talking reasonably

0:12:34 > 0:12:38briefly about Vladimir Putin, if only because the photograph at the

0:12:38 > 0:12:43front of the is quite arresting. This comes from his state of the

0:12:43 > 0:12:48nation address and is taken from the back of the press room I am assuming

0:12:48 > 0:12:53as he was speaking with him on the big screen. It is quite a haunting

0:12:53 > 0:12:56image, isn't it?It is a very threatening image and that is

0:12:56 > 0:13:01exactly what he's intending. You have got to see this in the context

0:13:01 > 0:13:07of he's running for election for another six-year term. If it gets,

0:13:07 > 0:13:11which honestly he will, he will have run across a quarter of the century

0:13:11 > 0:13:16by the end of it. And Putin's popularity is based on the idea he

0:13:16 > 0:13:20is strong and standing up for Russia, and the entire speech was

0:13:20 > 0:13:25basically a threat. He said, I hope all we said today will sober up any

0:13:25 > 0:13:34potential aggressor.And the FT mentions a new arms race.There is a

0:13:34 > 0:13:39note of caution in the piece, defence analyst saying they are

0:13:39 > 0:13:46sceptical about Putin's developing a new nuclear power missile. But I

0:13:46 > 0:13:50think the Chinese premier has signalled his intentions to run

0:13:50 > 0:14:01China for life this week, and Donald Trump meanwhile sparking trade wars.

0:14:01 > 0:14:07On that uplifting note, thank you both very much indeed for that. But

0:14:07 > 0:14:12is it that it. You can see the front pages of the papers online. That is

0:14:12 > 0:14:17on the BBC News website, seven a week. And if you mist the programme

0:14:17 > 0:14:23on any evening, you can watch it later on the BBC iPlayer. Thank you

0:14:23 > 0:14:31to Rachel and Henry, and goodbye.