08/03/2018

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0:00:00 > 0:00:01Coming up in a moment, The Papers.

0:00:15 > 0:00:18Hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

0:00:18 > 0:00:19bringing us tomorrow.

0:00:19 > 0:00:21With me are Jack Blanchard, the Editor

0:00:21 > 0:00:23of Politico and Kate Andrews, News editor at the Institute

0:00:23 > 0:00:27of Economic Affairs.

0:00:27 > 0:00:29Many of tomorrow's front pages are already in -

0:00:29 > 0:00:35let's take a look.

0:00:35 > 0:00:39The Metro has a picture of the 38 year

0:00:39 > 0:00:43old police officer - Detective Sgt Nick Bailey -

0:00:43 > 0:00:46who is being treated in hospital after being exposed to the nerve

0:00:46 > 0:00:50agent used on the former Russian spy and his daughter in Salisbury.

0:00:50 > 0:00:52The Sun reports that the police officer is "sitting

0:00:52 > 0:01:02up chatting" in hospital.

0:01:05 > 0:01:09Fears of a global trade war lead the front of the FT

0:01:09 > 0:01:13as President Trump imposes new tariffs on steel and aluminium

0:01:13 > 0:01:16entering the United States.

0:01:16 > 0:01:19Half of adults could be put on blood pressure drugs under

0:01:19 > 0:01:21new proposals being considered by NHS watchdogs -

0:01:21 > 0:01:29according the Telegraph

0:01:29 > 0:01:35The Guardian reports the Government is set to offer 1.3 million NHS

0:01:35 > 0:01:39staff a 6.5% pay increase over the next three years and return for a

0:01:39 > 0:01:51day's holiday.And the Mirror reports the death of a CD or rapist.

0:01:53 > 0:02:00The poisoning of a former spy leads the papers with a few other studies

0:02:00 > 0:02:04also making the lead but let's start with that story and in many of the

0:02:04 > 0:02:08front pages as you would imagine the picture of Detective Sergeant Nick

0:02:08 > 0:02:15Bailey who is in hospital recovering everyone hopes from what happened to

0:02:15 > 0:02:22him. People talking about him as a hero but also a decorated officer.

0:02:22 > 0:02:29It turns out he was already a legal policeman before this, what on a

0:02:29 > 0:02:35important case and now appears to have been first on the scene when

0:02:35 > 0:02:39this happened and has injured himself pretty badly in the process.

0:02:39 > 0:02:43It sounds from the report that he domains conscious and speaking,

0:02:43 > 0:02:48perhaps not in a very good read but it is the human angle of this

0:02:48 > 0:02:50incredible story we will be talking about for the rest of the year that

0:02:50 > 0:02:54the sky was on the front line.It gives another dimension. There will

0:02:54 > 0:03:00people watching this to think that is the Russian former spy but this

0:03:00 > 0:03:07is one of our guys, a cop doing his duty and that emphasises how the

0:03:07 > 0:03:13rush into situations without a clue what they are facing.And Nick

0:03:13 > 0:03:17Bailey was so brave to do so. It is an important human development

0:03:17 > 0:03:20because 21 people are being treated for possible poisoning and he gives

0:03:20 > 0:03:27a face not just to the forces who are rushing to the situations but

0:03:27 > 0:03:31those who are not being named. These are people who are suffering because

0:03:31 > 0:03:36of a terrible attack and they think usually helps to give the impression

0:03:36 > 0:03:45and our thoughts should be with him. Living to the story and the Times, a

0:03:45 > 0:03:50different angle, traitors are not safe on British soil says Russia.

0:03:50 > 0:03:53State TV mocking Britain and saying you should not go there because it

0:03:53 > 0:03:57is not a safe place because the people who keep dying.There the

0:03:57 > 0:04:04famous by Street investigation which liked 14 different deaths on British

0:04:04 > 0:04:07soil to Russian assassinations which is astonishing when you think about

0:04:07 > 0:04:14the country we think we live in and amazing that this is happening here

0:04:14 > 0:04:17with apparently such frequency. It is pretty black and white when you

0:04:17 > 0:04:22have someone on Russian state TV making the sort of comments. The

0:04:22 > 0:04:25times says Theresa May is expected within days to name Moscow as the

0:04:25 > 0:04:29chief suspect in this and I do not think that will come as much of a

0:04:29 > 0:04:34surprise to anyone.Amber Road more careful today than Boris Johnson

0:04:34 > 0:04:39about making the link to my school but saying if it is proven that

0:04:39 > 0:04:44Moscow is behind it then that will be a robust action and retaliation,

0:04:44 > 0:04:48what can they do?With the use of a nerve agent we're talking about a

0:04:48 > 0:04:51chemical attack and the fact it has jeopardised not just people they

0:04:51 > 0:04:55were trying to attack but lives around them, this has to be taken

0:04:55 > 0:05:01very seriously. If there were guidelines when chemical weapon

0:05:01 > 0:05:06attacks were taking place in Syria then surely in the UK as well. But

0:05:06 > 0:05:09it looks to be in talks with the United States and need to about a

0:05:09 > 0:05:12co-ordinated response. Russia has shown its aggressive side and this

0:05:12 > 0:05:18can be building up to a boiling point. It is hard to see whether it

0:05:18 > 0:05:20will go and I do not think anyone wants to directly engage with Russia

0:05:20 > 0:05:23and such a hostile way but these kinds of attacks cannot be

0:05:23 > 0:05:32acceptable.It is difficult. President Putin knows he can push

0:05:32 > 0:05:35things and is anyone wants to go to war with Russia? Of course not and

0:05:35 > 0:05:39he knows that very well which is why he has been able to get away with so

0:05:39 > 0:05:45much of the last five or ten years. I suspect we will see the same thing

0:05:45 > 0:05:47again, more sanctions, expel some diplomats but is that really going

0:05:47 > 0:05:51to have an impact on the president? I doubt it. It is difficult for

0:05:51 > 0:05:59Britain at a time when we're pulling away from our closest allies

0:05:59 > 0:06:04politically, a United States president involved in a Russian

0:06:04 > 0:06:08scandal, it is a difficult time for something I was to be happening.One

0:06:08 > 0:06:10conservative former minister said we should cut off diplomatic ties with

0:06:10 > 0:06:14Russia but that is just not going to happen because an ideal world it has

0:06:14 > 0:06:21to a relationship doesn't sand wedge and we do not cut off diplomatic

0:06:21 > 0:06:28ties with fire dictators.Despite the political turmoil with Brexit

0:06:28 > 0:06:31and the very bombastic nature of the president of the United States I

0:06:31 > 0:06:35would think these talks they are holding would be very serious and no

0:06:35 > 0:06:38one is going to want these kind of attacks to continue.Talking of the

0:06:38 > 0:06:44present we can move on to the Telegraph and the story about steel

0:06:44 > 0:06:48and President Trump delivering on what he promised during the election

0:06:48 > 0:06:52to bring in tariffs to protect the American steel industry. He is

0:06:52 > 0:06:57talking about exemptions, we don't know that will include the UK but

0:06:57 > 0:07:00maybe Mexico and Canada. He is delivering on what he said he would

0:07:00 > 0:07:06do to voters.I understand why people do not like the policy but I

0:07:06 > 0:07:10went to a couple of rallies during the election campaign in America and

0:07:10 > 0:07:14he was absolutely all over this, this is what he was going to do and

0:07:14 > 0:07:18he won the election. This applies is that it is a surprise. He doesn't

0:07:18 > 0:07:23always done on his promises. The interesting thing is not so much she

0:07:23 > 0:07:29has signed this body has given the indication that there may be

0:07:29 > 0:07:32exemptions initially he has mentioned Canada and Mexico but he

0:07:32 > 0:07:37seems to bill and King at two defence spending which is

0:07:37 > 0:07:39interesting how he is going to put pressure on countries he thinks are

0:07:39 > 0:07:46not pulling their fair share and Nato.The sense that the GDP is

0:07:46 > 0:07:53supposed to be the aim the UK does deliver that could if we...The

0:07:53 > 0:07:57president has a funny way about going about negotiations. He slams

0:07:57 > 0:08:03on the tariffs on steel and aluminium and if you days later he

0:08:03 > 0:08:06figured out what he really wants other looks like eagerly is willing

0:08:06 > 0:08:11to grab lots of exceptions, for Canada and Mexico on the condition

0:08:11 > 0:08:14that they really go see at the North American Free Trade Agreement more

0:08:14 > 0:08:17to his liking. He is suggesting you will do it for other countries if

0:08:17 > 0:08:21they step up to that 2% so he could end up with a situation where these

0:08:21 > 0:08:26tariffs are mostly China which is probably what he mostly wanted to do

0:08:26 > 0:08:30but wait about in an aggressive way that threatened to slap tariffs on

0:08:30 > 0:08:34his allies.I think you will find countries like Canada and not

0:08:34 > 0:08:38responding well to that very upfront blackmail approach, it is not how

0:08:38 > 0:08:43you do diplomacy.The front page of the Financial Times has the same

0:08:43 > 0:08:47story talking about fears mounting of a global trade war but the point

0:08:47 > 0:08:53you're making is that it is at China it might be quite targeted.I think

0:08:53 > 0:09:01it is going to be wider than that. Some does not like the EU and he has

0:09:01 > 0:09:04made the point he feels he has been hard done by by Europe who have not

0:09:04 > 0:09:10been very friendly towards him since he has, and, he does not much like

0:09:10 > 0:09:12Angela Merkel and I would be very surprised if he made an exception

0:09:12 > 0:09:16for the whole of the EU. Once Britain pulls out of the EU of these

0:09:16 > 0:09:21tariffs were to stay in place for some years after Brexit and that is

0:09:21 > 0:09:25another story potentially quite a long way away and there are a lot of

0:09:25 > 0:09:30water to go under the bridge before that.Another story about the Brexit

0:09:30 > 0:09:35divorce payments. We have had about £39 billion it may be over decades,

0:09:35 > 0:09:44said to be made public next week by the Chancellor. The goal may be

0:09:44 > 0:09:49layered to the payments over the years?For the first time for the

0:09:49 > 0:09:53effect of the EU divorce payments on public finances will be delivered by

0:09:53 > 0:09:56the Chancellor which is essentially a mini budget review will promises

0:09:56 > 0:10:02he will not propose anything radical. I think what is new about

0:10:02 > 0:10:05the study as many people have been wondering where the money will come

0:10:05 > 0:10:08from for that upfront payment every do not have enough in the public

0:10:08 > 0:10:11finances to be putting more into welfare of the NHS, with his coming

0:10:11 > 0:10:18from? What this lays out as the UK plans to continue to make these

0:10:18 > 0:10:22payments of years and actually the very end of the article some of it

0:10:22 > 0:10:30may never be paid, admitted so long. Which will make if you Brexiteers

0:10:30 > 0:10:35feel pleased about that. The highest level in any years would be the

0:10:35 > 0:10:39summer spent the country have won the EU summit is already taken into

0:10:39 > 0:10:43account.There's another dimension which is that Theresa May said he

0:10:43 > 0:10:46would end this thing of making big payments to the EU every year

0:10:46 > 0:10:49whether to looks like next week, going to get a document that says

0:10:49 > 0:10:53Britain is going to be paying to the EU for many years after Brexit.

0:10:53 > 0:10:58People are confused about what is going on. The divorce Bill

0:10:58 > 0:11:02terminology has never been quite right, it is was been a series of

0:11:02 > 0:11:06payments but the idea we're severing ties that has not been quite borne

0:11:06 > 0:11:10out by this.The public willingness to accept the arrangement will make

0:11:10 > 0:11:15them more understanding about these two full years of the big payments

0:11:15 > 0:11:21at.Let's go on to the Guardian because it is a story not about

0:11:21 > 0:11:26Brexit but NHS set to be offered a 6.5% rise over three years if they

0:11:26 > 0:11:33give up the day's holiday.It is honestly a huge row about public

0:11:33 > 0:11:36sector pay dominating last year domestically and it seems the

0:11:36 > 0:11:40Guardian have got the scoop on what the Government is going to offer. We

0:11:40 > 0:11:44have a reaction yet from the health unions as to what they make of this

0:11:44 > 0:11:51but it is worth remembering that is over three years and inflation is

0:11:51 > 0:11:55currently 3% a year so it looks like a below inflation offer to me on the

0:11:55 > 0:12:02face of it all I am not a genius at maths. It is not a huge thing but it

0:12:02 > 0:12:06is certainly a lot better than what NHS staff have been getting so you

0:12:06 > 0:12:15might find this is somewhere very end up.It will be good news for

0:12:15 > 0:12:20people who feel in the public sector their pay has been kept very much

0:12:20 > 0:12:24pretty low over the years.The public sector pay cap has not been

0:12:24 > 0:12:27popular and people having to campaign outside Westminster and go

0:12:27 > 0:12:32on strike to get a pay raise as to be popular. I am disappointed we are

0:12:32 > 0:12:36not just lifting the public sector pay cap and sugar looking and more

0:12:36 > 0:12:41flexible with sitting by the seems to be cautious optimism here from

0:12:41 > 0:12:46health unions hoping they can get the members to endorse it. Some

0:12:46 > 0:12:48employees particularly in the lowest bands of people see the biggest

0:12:48 > 0:12:52reason I think that will help.It is important to see that 20 public

0:12:52 > 0:12:56sector pay cap was blocked and we were in a different world, posterity

0:12:56 > 0:13:01and Britain had the budget deficit and it was necessary to avoid

0:13:01 > 0:13:07massive job losses. We now know the deficit has been closed, the budget

0:13:07 > 0:13:10is going back into surplus for the first time and that is no way the

0:13:10 > 0:13:16Government will be able to justify. They have two shift on this and will

0:13:16 > 0:13:21be hoping to get some positive headlines.Finally, fake news

0:13:21 > 0:13:26travels faster than the truth, is that because it is more interesting?

0:13:26 > 0:13:33Basically. Scientists noted that sentiments were likely to include

0:13:33 > 0:13:37supplies and discussed with fake news whereas the truth was

0:13:37 > 0:13:40characterised with sadness and anticipation. Fake news has been

0:13:40 > 0:13:44around for centuries, it is not particularly new. My deepest concern

0:13:44 > 0:13:48is that the institutions that used to be considered to be credible so

0:13:48 > 0:13:52you knew whether or not in use was a real consistently being undermined

0:13:52 > 0:13:55for people like the president of the United States to many others and I

0:13:55 > 0:14:01think that is where it is getting so dangerous.Anyone who spends too

0:14:01 > 0:14:05much time on twitter which a few other journalist you are forced to

0:14:05 > 0:14:10go now that is, things being retreated and you know that is not

0:14:10 > 0:14:13true because people wanted to be true of the think it is amazing

0:14:13 > 0:14:17because it is not true, this is the stuff that gets shared and it is a

0:14:17 > 0:14:22perpetual problem with social media. No fake news from you too.

0:14:22 > 0:14:23That's it for the Papers tonight.

0:14:23 > 0:14:24Don't forget you can

0:14:24 > 0:14:28see the front pages of the papers online on the BBC News website.

0:14:28 > 0:14:30It's all there for you - seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers

0:14:30 > 0:14:32and if you miss the programme any

0:14:32 > 0:14:34evening you can watch it later on BBC iPlayer.

0:14:34 > 0:14:40Thank you and goodbye.