04/12/2011

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:00:14. > :00:17.Show. We may have less than a week to save the euro. Merkel and

:00:17. > :00:19.Sarkozy meet tomorrow to try and prevent collapse. They are talking

:00:19. > :00:23.about individual eurozone countries having far less power over their

:00:23. > :00:27.own tax and spend. But what would that mean for us? The Energy

:00:27. > :00:30.Secretary wants a lot more of these. Tens of thousands more, with wind-

:00:30. > :00:35.turbines providing the electricity to run every car in the land. We'll

:00:35. > :00:40.ask him why. Do we want a Boris for Birmingham, Manchester, Leeds and

:00:40. > :00:43.Liverpool? Next year we'll find out with Mayoral referendums in many of

:00:43. > :00:46.England's biggest cities. There will be 41 newly elected police

:00:46. > :00:56.commissioners too. But who is asking for all this extra local

:00:56. > :01:02.democracy? In London, what does the Autumn Statement mean for the

:01:02. > :01:06.capital? We know the Government is borrowing more, but what about us?

:01:06. > :01:16.Do ordinary Londoners need more protection from short-term lenders

:01:16. > :01:17.

:01:17. > :01:20.We'll be speaking to Labour's Shadow Foreign Secretary, Douglas

:01:20. > :01:23.Alexander about that crisis in the eurozone, to the Police Minister

:01:23. > :01:26.about those new commissioners next year, and to the Energy Secretary,

:01:26. > :01:29.Chris Huhne, about wind turbines and the big climate change talks in

:01:29. > :01:31.Durban. Joining me throughout the programme are Tim Montgomerie,

:01:31. > :01:36.editor of the website ConservativeHome, and by Anne

:01:36. > :01:41.McElvoy, Public Policy Editor of the Economist Magazine. But first

:01:41. > :01:44.the news with Tim Willcox. The Deputy Prime Minister Nick

:01:44. > :01:47.Clegg says the coalition would legislate if necessary to curb

:01:47. > :01:50.excessive executive pay. Mr Clegg said it was important that the

:01:50. > :01:54.private sector shared some of the economic pain, along with public

:01:54. > :01:57.sector employees facing pay caps and increased pension contributions.

:01:57. > :01:59.His comments came as Lord Hutton, who reviewed public sector pensions

:01:59. > :02:08.for the coalition, said the Government's proposals for the

:02:09. > :02:14.sector were perfectly credible. Terry Stiastny reports. Are week

:02:14. > :02:17.all in this together or are some more in it than others? Well the

:02:17. > :02:21.government tries to keep the costs of the public sector down, there is

:02:21. > :02:28.some concern those at the top of the private sector are earning more

:02:28. > :02:33.than they are worth. These are tough times for everybody, whether

:02:33. > :02:37.you are in the private or public sector, whether you are a taxi

:02:37. > :02:41.driver or the civil servant, and we need to make sure people in the

:02:41. > :02:47.public sector don't feel they are doing the heavy lifting. The public

:02:47. > :02:51.sector workers who went on strike do feel the heavy lifting is

:02:51. > :02:55.largely theirs. But Lord Hutton, the former Labour minister who

:02:55. > :02:58.wrote this Government's report on pensions reform, has warned change

:02:58. > :03:03.is necessary, or else he says we could be heading for the rocks as

:03:04. > :03:06.the economy has grown far less than we expected. The ground underneath

:03:06. > :03:13.the system that has changed radically and in the wrong

:03:13. > :03:16.direction, so we can't be sure the cost will fall over time. He called

:03:16. > :03:21.the Government's position a credible offer. For ministers, that

:03:21. > :03:27.was welcome. He is right that is the right thing to do, but his

:03:27. > :03:31.warning, given the nature of the economy about us and the Western

:03:31. > :03:35.world, made in the future mean this will not be enough so in truth this

:03:35. > :03:39.is a generous package for public sector workers. In the new year,

:03:39. > :03:44.the government will consider what action it could take on high

:03:44. > :03:52.executive pay, the question is whether giving more people a share

:03:52. > :03:55.of the pain will create the conditions for more long-term game.

:03:55. > :03:58.-- gain. Private health firms could be given access to NHS patient

:03:58. > :04:00.records and other NHS data, under plans being considered by the

:04:00. > :04:03.Government. In a speech tomorrow, the Prime Minister will say that

:04:03. > :04:05.giving researchers access to such information, which would be

:04:05. > :04:07.anonymous, would encourage more medical research. Campaigners fear

:04:07. > :04:10.such a move could undermine patient confidentiality but the Government

:04:10. > :04:13.says all necessary safeguards would be put in place to protect personal

:04:13. > :04:15.details. Voting has begun in Russia's

:04:15. > :04:18.parliamentary elections. The ruling United Russia party of the Prime

:04:18. > :04:20.Minister, Vladimir Putin, is expected to hold on to power. Even

:04:20. > :04:23.before the polls opened, independent election monitors were

:04:23. > :04:29.highlighting thousands of alleged violations of electoral law. Mr

:04:29. > :04:32.Putin has accused foreign powers of meddling in the election process.

:04:32. > :04:36.Two giant pandas on loan from China will arrive at Edinburgh Zoo this

:04:37. > :04:39.afternoon. They're the first to stay in a British zoo for 17 years.

:04:39. > :04:49.Tian Tian and Yang Guang are expected to arrive within the hour

:04:49. > :04:50.

:04:50. > :04:56.on a specially-chartered flight. Laura Bicker is at the zoo for us.

:04:56. > :05:01.A long journey and quite an expensive process, Laura? It is a

:05:01. > :05:07.very expensive process. The zoo will spend around �600,000 a year

:05:07. > :05:13.for these pandas and it will be �70,000 also in Bamber 0. It is no

:05:13. > :05:17.ordinary day here, everybody is very excited. These pandas were

:05:17. > :05:24.loaded on to the specially chartered aeroplane. As you can see

:05:24. > :05:28.from these pictures. That is expected to arrive at Edinburgh

:05:28. > :05:34.airport within the next hour, it will then get a police escort for

:05:34. > :05:37.these pandas and they will arrive by motorcade outside here to these

:05:37. > :05:44.gates at Edinburgh's it. The air will then be filled with the sound

:05:44. > :05:48.of bagpipes. They will be piping them into the enclosures. Hundreds

:05:48. > :05:52.of people are expected to line the streets to try to glimpse these

:05:52. > :05:58.pandas. There is a lot of hope riding on these pandas, not that

:05:58. > :06:02.they will just produced cubs, but also that they will help trading

:06:02. > :06:06.ties with China. Thank you. The former Brazil

:06:06. > :06:09.captain Socrates has died in hospital at the age of 57. Socrates,

:06:09. > :06:12.who was widely regarded as one of the greatest ever midfielders,

:06:12. > :06:15.played in two World Cups, winning 60 caps for his country between

:06:15. > :06:23.1979 and 1986. He graduated as a doctor of medicine during his

:06:23. > :06:27.playing career. That's it for now. There's more news on BBC One at six

:06:27. > :06:30.o'clock. Rarely has a week felt more in need

:06:30. > :06:33.of the sound of Eric Idle and the Monty Python team belting out

:06:34. > :06:37."always look on the bright side of life" because there are not a whole

:06:37. > :06:47.lot of reasons to be cheerful over the state of the UK economy, over

:06:47. > :06:53.what is happening in Europe. Can you remember a time like this? It

:06:53. > :06:58.genuinely feels a bit scary now. does feel scary now. The time it

:06:58. > :07:02.reminds me and a lot of people of is the 1980s. There was a feeling

:07:02. > :07:07.everything was being curtailed and we were getting a much more

:07:07. > :07:13.bitterly divided politics. All it took for me was seeing Billy Bragg

:07:13. > :07:18.re-emerging the other night on the BBC! It is even scarier because the

:07:18. > :07:23.eurozone, are back up system on the Continent, is in even more dire

:07:23. > :07:27.trouble than the British finances. That combination of having these

:07:27. > :07:35.things playing against each other is scary for politicians and

:07:35. > :07:42.everyone else. And the headline about a number of dates to save the

:07:42. > :07:49.euro and whatever, actually we think this time it might be true.

:07:49. > :07:53.My own feeling is that saving the euro might not be the right thing.

:07:53. > :07:57.There are very divergent economies in a very one-size-fits-all

:07:57. > :08:06.interest rate. I am not sure if Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy

:08:06. > :08:09.have a plan that will succeed, but more significantly I don't want to

:08:09. > :08:15.because the country should be free from having to live under one

:08:15. > :08:20.interest rate. A my gut would be with Tim on that one, I do think

:08:20. > :08:25.the price of breaking it up now... It was welded together so firmly

:08:25. > :08:28.and I think the price of breaking it up would be perhaps too high and

:08:28. > :08:33.we would therefore have to tolerate this fiscal union between France

:08:33. > :08:40.and Germany. That has huge implications for how David Cameron

:08:40. > :08:44.pursues his economy. How does this play out in terms of UK internal

:08:45. > :08:48.Conservative Party politics? Hearing Iain Duncan-Smith earlier

:08:48. > :08:54.about what it would require for there to be a referendum if the

:08:54. > :08:56.whole treaty negotiations get reopened. Nick Clegg earlier said

:08:56. > :09:00.there would not need to be a referendum if British sovereignty

:09:00. > :09:04.was not affected, then you have very different body language from

:09:04. > :09:10.Iain Duncan Smith suggesting a referendum would be needed if in

:09:10. > :09:15.some way Britain was affected. This is the problem. The referendum lock

:09:15. > :09:19.that has been passed, that is only triggered if British sovereignty is

:09:19. > :09:25.somehow eroded but most Euro- sceptics believe if you have fiscal

:09:25. > :09:30.union on the Continent, although we may not lose powers, this emergence

:09:30. > :09:33.of like an aircraft carrier, which we will be towed along by, it

:09:33. > :09:38.affects us so much that if we don't have referendum it won't work at

:09:38. > :09:42.all. Thank you for the moment. Christmas is coming, presents are

:09:42. > :09:45.being wrapped, and turkeys all over the country are getting more than a

:09:45. > :09:48.little bit nervous. According to one survey this week, we Brits are

:09:48. > :09:52.a satisfied bunch. Ask us if we're happy and apparently we give you a

:09:52. > :09:55.score of seven and a half out of 10. But that survey obviously didn't

:09:55. > :10:03.poll many economists! And this week we've had little in the way of

:10:03. > :10:08.tidings of comfort and joy. Behind every door of the advent calendar

:10:08. > :10:12.this week, it was bleak midwinter. On Monday the OECD warned that

:10:12. > :10:18.Britain would fall back into a recession. We live in very

:10:18. > :10:23.difficult times. I believe we can define this political moment. The

:10:23. > :10:27.situation in the euro area it is deteriorating. On Tuesday, the

:10:27. > :10:32.Chancellor admitted austerity would have to last for years, much longer

:10:32. > :10:37.than he had hoped. Our debt challenge is even greater than we

:10:37. > :10:43.thought because the boom was even bigger, the bust even deeper, and

:10:43. > :10:48.the effects were last even longer. Wednesday saw public sector workers

:10:48. > :10:54.out on strike. Not everyone was impressed. It looks like something

:10:54. > :11:00.of a damp squib. Come Thursday, it was the Bank of England's turn.

:11:00. > :11:05.Faced with a crisis of the euro area system, we are seeing the cost

:11:05. > :11:10.of financial instability first hand. So deck the halls with those of

:11:10. > :11:20.holly, and keep cheerful, but the message this Christmas is that

:11:20. > :11:25.economic midwinter is here to stay, and stay for quite some time.

:11:25. > :11:29.Very cheery and festive. The Energy Secretary, Chris Huhne is here,

:11:29. > :11:31.just before he sets off for a major round of climate change talks in

:11:31. > :11:34.South Africa. For the past two years, the coalition has been

:11:34. > :11:39.working on the premise you will do everything you can to clear the

:11:39. > :11:43.structural deficit by 2015, then go into election and set out your own

:11:43. > :11:47.agendas. When did you realise that wouldn't happen? The Autumn

:11:47. > :11:53.Statement had to take on board the things that have been happening in

:11:53. > :11:57.the global economy. We have seen an increase in gas prices, and we have

:11:57. > :12:01.had the happenings in the eurozone so the Treasury is projecting

:12:01. > :12:06.things on even beyond general elections. Unfortunately the

:12:06. > :12:11.economy and the numbers don't stop at the time the general election.

:12:11. > :12:16.Do you believed the figures? I used to be an economic forecaster and we

:12:16. > :12:20.are not very good at doing forecast one year ahead, let alone five

:12:20. > :12:27.years ahead, so I would be confident the world will not look

:12:27. > :12:33.like the Treasury thinks it will in 2015,/16. The reality is there are

:12:33. > :12:36.bound to be changes and a change in directions, as there always are,

:12:36. > :12:41.and we have to take into account what is happening. But the Treasury

:12:41. > :12:45.is right to make the best possible guest at the time and the markets

:12:45. > :12:49.expect that. They say with forecasting it is like a grenade,

:12:49. > :12:54.you throw it as far away as possible so you don't get hit by

:12:54. > :12:59.the shrapnel. Or you make a forecast so far away that no one

:12:59. > :13:03.will remember it. Do you think that is what they have done? Do you

:13:04. > :13:07.share the analysis this is best guess? No, I think we have a

:13:07. > :13:12.reasonable stab, but not a perfect one given what has happened over

:13:12. > :13:17.the last year, at what can happen in the near term, but when you look

:13:17. > :13:21.at five years away, you are basically trying to at least make

:13:21. > :13:25.sure your policies are consistent, that they add up, and there are

:13:25. > :13:30.going to be so many things that can change over that time that frankly

:13:30. > :13:35.it doesn't make sense having a row about something. Let me consider

:13:35. > :13:39.the implications for your party. How do you go into an election in

:13:39. > :13:44.2015 differentiating yourselves from the Conservatives when you

:13:44. > :13:49.have supported the same policies. OK, you can say it was a national

:13:49. > :13:53.emergency, but you will have the same projections going forward.

:13:53. > :13:57.Obviously there is a difference between projections in terms of the

:13:57. > :14:01.overall aggregate on borrowing and so forth, and the values of what

:14:01. > :14:06.you do in terms of meeting particular objectives which will be

:14:06. > :14:11.the balance between tax and spend, how you intend to spend particular

:14:11. > :14:16.pot of money, and that seems to leave an enormous field open for

:14:16. > :14:22.political disagreement, as we have seen. Danny Alexander has set you

:14:22. > :14:26.on the same course until 2017. the number of overall aggregate,

:14:26. > :14:30.first of all there is the question of whether they are likely to be in

:14:30. > :14:34.the ballpark by the time we get there, but also of there is the key

:14:34. > :14:38.issue which is the overall aggregate still leave an enormous

:14:38. > :14:43.field of different over how you intend to make the splits between

:14:43. > :14:47.tax and spend, how you intend to do that within spending, in particular

:14:47. > :14:51.projects, and the values of the parties will be very clearly on

:14:51. > :14:55.display in the run-up to the election. We will be fighting as an

:14:55. > :14:59.independent party with an independent programme and a very

:14:59. > :15:08.clear manifesto. What do you mean when you said George Osborne was a

:15:08. > :15:12.Conservative Chancellor delivering Exactly that. He has constituencies

:15:12. > :15:16.within the Conservative Party, Tim Montgomery will be one of them,

:15:16. > :15:21.that he wants to keep on board. he care about keeping you on board?

:15:21. > :15:29.He doesn't have to keep me on board, I have my own constituency is with

:15:29. > :15:32.the Liberal Democrats. The key point, surely, is that you, as a

:15:32. > :15:36.journalist, should judge people by what they do and not by what they

:15:37. > :15:43.say. If you look at the actions the Government has taken... So you did

:15:43. > :15:47.not like the speech? I think that the reality is that the

:15:47. > :15:50.announcement in the speech that there would be another �200 million

:15:50. > :15:55.to make a success of our pioneering Green Deal programme was very

:15:55. > :15:57.sensible. Do I think that we can solve financial debt problems today

:15:57. > :16:03.at the cost of creating environmental debt problems

:16:03. > :16:09.tomorrow, no, I do not. Did he consult with you before that

:16:09. > :16:14.passage in the speech? Government should never discuss

:16:14. > :16:19.what goes on within government. would always tell us if he had

:16:19. > :16:22.consulted you! You would have been absolutely on the same page...

:16:22. > :16:26.I come back to is the key point, if you look at what the Government is

:16:26. > :16:30.doing, the key issues that have been brought forward on renewable

:16:30. > :16:36.subsidies so that they can be clear support their, electricity market

:16:36. > :16:42.reform, a big thrusts towards low- carbon electricity. We have the

:16:42. > :16:46.support for clean heat. �800 million from the Treasury. An extra

:16:46. > :16:50.�200 million in the Autumn Statement. So there are these

:16:50. > :16:53.massive road-building programmes, which has led people to say that it

:16:53. > :16:56.is the least green friendly government they have seen. You are

:16:56. > :17:01.gliding over substantial achievements, including achievement

:17:01. > :17:05.that the Government has set out that our world firsts, a real

:17:05. > :17:10.pioneering programmes on energy- saving and on clean heat. They have

:17:10. > :17:13.been done nowhere else in the world. George has absolutely signed up and

:17:13. > :17:18.been very supportive on all of those. Judge people on what they do,

:17:18. > :17:22.not what they say. So you didn't like the words, but you like the

:17:22. > :17:30.actions. Good summary? That is not what I said, that is what you are

:17:30. > :17:37.saying. Or wind turbines, is it right we are going to go from 3000,

:17:37. > :17:42.up to 32,000? The Sunday Times's maths is out of date. We have set

:17:42. > :17:47.out what, on one scenario, would be a substantial increase. As it

:17:47. > :17:52.happens, we will continue to use very small turbines. The latest are

:17:52. > :17:57.seven megawatts, more than three times the size. The reality is that

:17:57. > :18:01.the actual number... Where would they go? A large number would go

:18:01. > :18:05.out to sea. Dogger Bank is a shallow area of the North Sea, the

:18:05. > :18:11.same size as Wales. If we can get serious amounts of electricity

:18:11. > :18:17.based in that area, we could enormously increase our ability to

:18:17. > :18:24.withstand the shocks we have had. Let me go on to cars... And let me

:18:24. > :18:29.finish this. Will we have electric cars by 2050? We will have to

:18:29. > :18:39.import nine out of �10 of our energy by 2050. If we don't see

:18:39. > :18:40.

:18:40. > :18:45.Wisley generate, from domestic By 2050, every car will be

:18:45. > :18:49.electric? Our vision is that the future of the economy will be an

:18:49. > :18:52.electric future. That is the way we know, from existing technology,

:18:52. > :18:56.that we can have a sustainable future without destroying the

:18:56. > :19:00.planet for our children, our grandchildren. Electric cars are

:19:00. > :19:05.probably the way forward. There are a lot of uncertainties and other

:19:05. > :19:11.possibilities like hydrogen fuel cells. A on Durban, earth do you

:19:11. > :19:15.think that there is anything concrete going to come out of it?

:19:15. > :19:22.Or is it just a lot of talk? All of these international negotiations

:19:22. > :19:26.take time. They always have done, this I think there is a potential

:19:26. > :19:30.big step forward. That we can get the world committed to coming up

:19:31. > :19:34.with a global, overarching treaty by 2015 so that we are all at least

:19:34. > :19:39.heading in the same direction with a clear road map, so that we get

:19:39. > :19:45.global emissions down by 2020. That is what the science is telling us

:19:45. > :19:49.is essential. I have to bring you in, because he brought you into the

:19:49. > :19:54.interview so much earlier wrong. What do you make of that? Chris,

:19:54. > :19:58.unfortunately, from my perspective, is one of the Cabinet's most

:19:58. > :20:03.effective ministers. Despite some of the shift in rhetoric, he is

:20:03. > :20:05.pursuing his green agenda relentlessly. My worry,

:20:05. > :20:09.particularly in the international context of climate change, is that

:20:09. > :20:12.we have had so many promises that these international conferences are

:20:12. > :20:19.going to deliver something. The only people that seem to do

:20:19. > :20:22.anything our countries like our own. That means domestic bill players in

:20:22. > :20:29.Britain are paying higher energy bills and the world's carbon

:20:29. > :20:33.footprint goes higher and higher. Two key points. Energy bills,

:20:33. > :20:37.because of the rise in gas prices, may be going up. But the impact of

:20:37. > :20:41.our policy will be to bring them down. Not in the short term, the

:20:41. > :20:45.contrary. Within three years we will actually been seeing, having

:20:45. > :20:49.dealt with the inheritance of the Labour government, we will be

:20:49. > :20:58.seeing the impact of the Government policy will be to reduce energy

:20:58. > :21:03.costs. According to the forecasts. Well, it is easier to forecast on

:21:03. > :21:08.that than it is the economy. The point about other countries not

:21:08. > :21:13.doing anything, a other countries say the same thing. Why does my

:21:13. > :21:17.country have to do things when nobody else's? We have over 70

:21:17. > :21:22.countries signed up to targets. Look at what the Chinese are doing.

:21:22. > :21:29.A quarter of the population are covered by low-carbon Soames. They

:21:29. > :21:36.have the six biggest renewable energy companies in the world. They

:21:36. > :21:41.have 10 kilometres of high-speed Let's look at the wind farm

:21:41. > :21:46.situation in Britain. You have a story today, and I don't agree with

:21:46. > :21:50.the calculations. If I can just get to the end of half descendants. You

:21:50. > :21:56.have a situation where you have a big expansion in wind farms. You

:21:56. > :21:59.make it sound as if wind and renewables, by extension, it is a

:21:59. > :22:03.guaranteed answer to energy supply, security in terms of dealing with

:22:03. > :22:07.energy sources in the outside world. I don't think it is that simple.

:22:07. > :22:12.There are still major doubts about what wind power and renewables can

:22:12. > :22:18.deliver. You have your argument on it being as effective as it could

:22:18. > :22:25.possibly be. We simply do not know that is the case. You are also

:22:25. > :22:29.I don't accept we are damaging the environment. There are

:22:29. > :22:35.uncertainties about the technology is and the global outlook for oil

:22:35. > :22:41.and gas prices. We need a portfolio of different options, to make sure

:22:41. > :22:50.we are not betting the barn. Wind and renewables are part of it, so

:22:50. > :22:53.his nuclear and clean coal. If we can use wind power, that is what

:22:53. > :22:58.the market will determine. What we mustn't do is to decide now, when

:22:58. > :23:02.there are still some substantial uncertainties about the future of

:23:02. > :23:06.this technology, that we are going to get everything on one thing.

:23:06. > :23:11.Chris Huhne, a final question before we go. A crucial week for

:23:11. > :23:15.the euro. Do you believe that it is going to survive intact, with all

:23:15. > :23:19.17 countries as members? The one key thing to learn about the

:23:19. > :23:24.lessons of the European Union, since it was started in the 1950s,

:23:24. > :23:28.is that it proceeds through crisis. There has never yet been a crisis

:23:28. > :23:34.where it has not come out with a resolution. Has there been a crisis

:23:34. > :23:37.like this one? There has, over the years. They have been at crisis

:23:37. > :23:41.around the exchange rate mechanism, all sorts. The key point is that

:23:41. > :23:45.there has never been a situation yet where the European Union has

:23:45. > :23:51.not emerged with a revolution. -- Resolution. It would be foolhardy

:23:51. > :23:55.to bet against that. The French President and German

:23:55. > :23:59.Chancellor are meeting tomorrow with the euro in crisis. What they

:23:59. > :24:03.will be discussing may decide whether the currency and even the

:24:03. > :24:07.whole European project lives or dies, even with Chris Huhne's

:24:07. > :24:10.cautionary words. They are expected to agree to a full fiscal union

:24:10. > :24:14.with central oversight of how each and every eurozone country raises

:24:14. > :24:18.its taxes and spends its national budget. Financial penalties would

:24:18. > :24:28.be put in place for any nation that breaks the rules. They hope that

:24:28. > :24:28.

:24:28. > :24:32.would be enough to calm the current storm in the market. Our current is

:24:32. > :24:37.the leader of a conservative group of MPs. Do you think that full

:24:37. > :24:43.fiscal union is the way to go? could well be. What we should never

:24:43. > :24:49.forget is that treaty change on this level could take several years.

:24:49. > :24:53.It has to be ratified in 27 member- state parliaments. Member countries

:24:53. > :24:57.will probably have a referendum on it. It will not solve the problem

:24:57. > :25:01.in the immediate future, it is a long way down the tracks. Angela

:25:01. > :25:05.Merkel clearly wants a treaty change. Do you support that? I am

:25:05. > :25:09.not sure it is completely necessary. As I said, it is not going to solve

:25:09. > :25:13.the problems in the short term. She clearly does want to pursue it.

:25:13. > :25:18.What Germany wants, Germany normally gets in the EU. It looks

:25:18. > :25:22.like the summit will be dominated with apocalyptic warnings of all

:25:22. > :25:26.the things that will happen if they don't reach an agreement. She will

:25:26. > :25:29.probably get the treaty change that she wants. But it is a long,

:25:29. > :25:33.complicated road before it is finally agreed. If you go down the

:25:33. > :25:39.option of a treaty change, does there have to be a UK referendum on

:25:39. > :25:43.it? Iain Duncan-Smith says anything that is a sizable change, you have

:25:43. > :25:47.to. Nick Clegg says it is not like that, it is only if we are giving

:25:47. > :25:50.substantial new powers. How do you read it? We will have to wait and

:25:50. > :25:56.see what it says. We are dealing with hypothetical tier. We don't

:25:56. > :26:01.even know what the proposals are yet. We had a pretty clear idea.

:26:01. > :26:05.will have to see the details, how much it affects the UK, what David

:26:05. > :26:09.Cameron manages to achieve in terms of negotiations. I hope he will

:26:09. > :26:13.manage to build in a number of safeguards for the EU. It has a

:26:13. > :26:15.number of potential problems for the UK. We want to see a

:26:15. > :26:20.repatriation of powers in areas that can help the economy grow. It

:26:20. > :26:24.is a huge hypothetical question. In principle, I have no problem with

:26:24. > :26:28.the referendum. I think we have had far too few referendums. If there

:26:28. > :26:33.had been more when the euro was established, not least in Germany

:26:33. > :26:37.itself, we might not have the same problems we do now. How do you see

:26:37. > :26:41.fiscal union affecting the UK? main problem for the UK is the

:26:41. > :26:46.corpsing aspect of it. If the countries of the euro-zone draw

:26:46. > :26:53.together, if they do vote as a block in the European Union, that

:26:53. > :26:57.is a qualified majority. They could out to vote the UK. We are already

:26:57. > :27:00.seeing a number of quite blatant attacks on the City of London, on

:27:00. > :27:05.financial services. However unpopular they might be in the UK,

:27:05. > :27:08.they are a critical part of the UK economy. There are lots of people

:27:08. > :27:12.with an agenda to transfer that business to Paris and Frankfurt. We

:27:12. > :27:17.have to protect our position in that, as well as in areas that are

:27:17. > :27:21.key for our growth. How do you do that when you are marginalised?

:27:21. > :27:25.You're not, of course. David Cameron has a detail. That is the

:27:25. > :27:31.thing about negotiations. -- AVG Cho Seung-Hui. All national

:27:31. > :27:35.parliaments have to approve. The democratic problems that are going

:27:35. > :27:39.to be caused by this, and what the Germans are talking about doing is

:27:39. > :27:42.imposing treaty change that will say that every tax decision, every

:27:42. > :27:47.spending decision, every fiscal policy is not set in the individual

:27:47. > :27:57.country but by a committee in Brussels, presumably dictated to by

:27:57. > :27:57.

:27:57. > :28:00.Germany. It has tremendous democratic implications. What about

:28:00. > :28:05.elections in those countries? It will not be long before an

:28:05. > :28:12.extremist party puts forward an alternative vision, and then you

:28:12. > :28:14.will see proper break-up. Thank you so much for be with us. I am joined

:28:15. > :28:19.by the shadow foreign secretary Douglas Alexander. Thank you for

:28:19. > :28:25.being with us. If you have the 17 countries that pursue full fiscal

:28:25. > :28:29.union, what are the national governments of that country for?

:28:29. > :28:33.Let's see what is proposed that the European summit. We have a very

:28:33. > :28:38.strong national interest in making sure that the single market, the 27

:28:38. > :28:44.members of the European countries in the single market, continue to

:28:44. > :28:50.be the body that makes decisions about British exports and have a

:28:50. > :28:52.profound effect on British jobs. As we have seen from the comments of

:28:52. > :28:56.Iain Duncan-Smith and Nick Clegg, we have a coalition that is not

:28:56. > :29:00.talking to each other, never mind talking to European partners, at a

:29:00. > :29:05.critical point for the economy and the future of Europe. But the point

:29:05. > :29:09.is, let's decide what it looks like before we work out if we need a

:29:09. > :29:13.referendum? I think people will struggle to reconcile the language

:29:13. > :29:17.we have heard from Iain Duncan- Smith and Nick Clegg. That is not a

:29:17. > :29:21.source of joy, it is a source of concern to me. One of the reasons

:29:21. > :29:25.Britain is in the position it is in at the moment is because David

:29:25. > :29:28.Cameron is obliged to spend more time negotiating with backbenchers

:29:28. > :29:32.than European partners. I welcome the fact he was in Paris. I welcome

:29:32. > :29:37.the fact that, even at this late hour, there are discussions with

:29:37. > :29:42.European partners. The stakes are extremely high for Britain's it

:29:42. > :29:47.national interests. There have been crisis in the European Union before,

:29:47. > :29:55.if you look at history, they tend to get sorted. Chris Huhne seemed

:29:55. > :29:59.pretty sanguine. He was saying that the European Community grows

:29:59. > :30:03.through crisis. But even the greatest advocates of the European

:30:03. > :30:09.Union's nerve would be tested by what we are witnessing. We have a

:30:09. > :30:14.situation where the European economy is minutes from midnight.

:30:14. > :30:17.We need a European summit that, for once, actually get ahead of the

:30:18. > :30:22.markets rather than being behind the markets. That is why I think

:30:22. > :30:25.change is inevitable in the eurozone. It is overdue. I hope we

:30:25. > :30:29.see a comprehensive enough package emerging from European leaders that

:30:29. > :30:33.it will command confidence, rather than lose confidence. That involves

:30:33. > :30:43.the political support being given to the European Central Bank, that

:30:43. > :30:44.

:30:44. > :30:49.But there is a fundamental problem that Angela Merkel and Nicolas

:30:49. > :30:53.Sarkozy don't see it in the same way. My sense is they are moving

:30:54. > :30:57.closer together. I think there will be a joint paper produced by the

:30:57. > :31:03.French and the Germans anticipating the conference that takes place at

:31:03. > :31:07.the end of the next week, and that will look at how you make sure

:31:07. > :31:10.there is broader oversight, but that carries significant

:31:10. > :31:16.implications in terms of the broader functioning of the European

:31:16. > :31:20.Union. We do support a referendum if there was a treaty change?

:31:20. > :31:23.law is there will be a referendum if there is significant change in

:31:23. > :31:28.powers for Britain giving up powers, but let's see what emerges next

:31:28. > :31:32.week. I can see how fiscal union might solve the problems going

:31:32. > :31:36.forward for the eurozone, but that doesn't deal with the immediate

:31:36. > :31:41.problem that we have a Continent burdened by debt and countries on

:31:41. > :31:45.the periphery like Greece that are uncompetitive within the eurozone

:31:45. > :31:49.and I can't see that changing unless they have the option of

:31:49. > :31:59.devaluation. Is it the Labour Party's position that the eurozone

:31:59. > :32:05.has to stay as one single currency area? Our judgment is it is up for

:32:05. > :32:09.them to make those decisions. Issues of Greece leaving the

:32:09. > :32:14.eurozone have to be resolved by the countries themselves but it is in

:32:14. > :32:17.Britain's interest that it does resolve these problems.

:32:17. > :32:26.Schadenfreude is not a good economic strategy for Britain at

:32:26. > :32:30.the moment. The Labour Party has been broadly EU comic even went

:32:30. > :32:33.through a period of being brought me he knew, and you seem to be

:32:33. > :32:43.suggesting a more sceptical tone without coming out directly and

:32:43. > :32:45.

:32:45. > :32:50.saying that. We always thought economics should lead the politics.

:32:50. > :32:54.We should maintain a position that economics leads the politics. More

:32:54. > :32:58.broadly, we need a clear-headed sense of where Britain's national

:32:58. > :33:04.interest is, and I think it is served being part of the European

:33:04. > :33:10.Union. The way we can advance global public goods, whether it is

:33:10. > :33:14.climate change, security, global poverty, Britain's interests are

:33:14. > :33:18.amplified by being part of the European Union, but we also want to

:33:18. > :33:24.be a part of the single market. It is crucial David Cameron can do

:33:24. > :33:28.what he can to secure a global market, because to shrink our home

:33:28. > :33:33.market is just daft. Are you sure you can get away with being in a

:33:33. > :33:37.single market if you're not in the fiscal union? I believe we need to

:33:37. > :33:47.see the endurance of the single market. The break-up of that would

:33:47. > :33:48.

:33:48. > :33:53.be as disastrous for Britain as would a break-up of Europe. We have

:33:53. > :33:58.heard about the caucus in aspect, how can you stop that? So unthought

:33:58. > :34:02.is being given to an emergency brake procedures before next

:34:02. > :34:04.weekend so you could have issues relating to financial services that

:34:04. > :34:09.largely affect the City more than any other part of the European

:34:09. > :34:12.economy, if they are significant enough being graduated up to a

:34:12. > :34:15.government decision, so there are various ways you can work to

:34:15. > :34:21.protect Britain's national interest but that requires a prime minister

:34:21. > :34:25.who knows what his premises are. My genuine fear it is that if you

:34:25. > :34:29.maintain the position that you are overriding national interest as the

:34:29. > :34:33.repatriation of powers, not only would you likely be unsuccessful

:34:33. > :34:38.but you would also miss the opportunity to get the guarantees

:34:38. > :34:41.the British economy needs. Thank you.

:34:41. > :34:49.Later in the programme, the political impact of pandas - all

:34:49. > :34:53.will be explained, but first the Politics Show near you.

:34:53. > :34:57.Hello and welcome to the London part of the Politics Show, where

:34:57. > :35:02.coming up later - Christmas comes but once a year but for some their

:35:02. > :35:07.debts go on and on. We look at the rise of short-term credit lenders

:35:07. > :35:11.and loan sharks. It has been quite a week for the economy. The Autumn

:35:11. > :35:15.Statement, thousands protesting on the streets of the capital, and

:35:16. > :35:19.dire warnings about rapidly lowering living standards. There

:35:19. > :35:24.were promises about future transport improvements and a

:35:24. > :35:29.handout to soften the mayor's planned fare rises, but where else

:35:29. > :35:37.was there to here? Perhaps Greg hands, Conservative MP for Chelsea

:35:37. > :35:42.and Fulham can provide it. You had seen the statement, presumably,

:35:42. > :35:46.before it was delivered? Not much before. Did you expected to be

:35:46. > :35:51.quite so gloomy? Actually, I think it is quite good news for London,

:35:51. > :35:55.in terms of some of the extra spending and in terms of the good

:35:55. > :35:59.provision for London pensioners, for those having to pay petrol tax,

:35:59. > :36:02.and also keeping interest rates down, doing everything the

:36:03. > :36:07.government can to make sure businesses can borrow at a

:36:07. > :36:12.reasonable rate and that mortgage rates are kept down. Do you think

:36:12. > :36:18.that is how Londoners feel? The Autumn Statement? We will have to

:36:19. > :36:23.see. The overall package has turned out to be good for London. It is a

:36:23. > :36:29.difficult set of circumstances at the moment with the economy, which

:36:29. > :36:34.obviously the Office for budget responsibility forecast showed the

:36:34. > :36:39.economy slowing for Europe and the rest of the world, but within that

:36:39. > :36:44.context London has done very well. How do you think Londoners will

:36:44. > :36:53.feel about household income going down almost to record levels? The

:36:53. > :36:58.last decade we have been 2016 hearing about? Clearly these are

:36:58. > :37:02.difficult times and we haven't tried to avoid that question. Most

:37:02. > :37:09.Londoners will realise this is a follow-on effect from the recession,

:37:09. > :37:13.the deepest recession this country had been the year's 2008/2009, and

:37:13. > :37:18.when we became the government last year we inherited the largest

:37:18. > :37:21.budget deficit in the G20. Most Londoners will recognise the

:37:21. > :37:25.economic inheritance that Labour passed on makes our job very

:37:25. > :37:30.difficult. They might think that, they also know you felt you could

:37:30. > :37:36.get a lot of the pain out of the way in four years, but now we know

:37:36. > :37:41.it will be much longer. And a 1% pay rise Cap for public sector

:37:41. > :37:47.workers in a couple of years' time, projections of tens of thousands

:37:47. > :37:52.more public sector workers out of work, really? We tried to make sure

:37:52. > :37:57.some of the savings are shared out equally, and that everybody shares

:37:57. > :38:05.some of the paint and some of the game. Do you think we have shared

:38:05. > :38:09.it? Yes, we have the new bank levy raising 2.5 million from the banks,

:38:09. > :38:15.there is the 50p tax rate, and others measures to make sure people

:38:15. > :38:20.right across the income curve will be sharing it out. Are they paying

:38:20. > :38:25.as much as, for instance, those children who will not get the rise

:38:25. > :38:34.in the child tax credit? The child tax credit is still rising, it just

:38:34. > :38:39.won't be rising as fast or by as much as we had projected last year.

:38:39. > :38:43.It will be in line with inflation, which will still be a real benefit

:38:43. > :38:48.for Londoners in difficult circumstances. What is the idea

:38:48. > :38:53.behind, and how convinced are you, that this can work and generate

:38:53. > :38:56.growth in the economy? These ideas of infrastructure projects?

:38:56. > :39:01.Infrastructure is very important for London to make sure it keeps

:39:02. > :39:06.its competitiveness as a world city, that we keep London moving, that we

:39:06. > :39:10.make sure London has got the right transport in place, and schools

:39:10. > :39:16.will also be very important. will look at that in some detail

:39:16. > :39:20.now, about that Investment. Was it as presented a shot in the arm for

:39:20. > :39:25.London? Investing, building, creating jobs? The main focus was

:39:25. > :39:30.on the river, or have to get across it. In the 20 miles between

:39:30. > :39:35.Kingston Bridge and the City, there are 19 ways to drive across the

:39:35. > :39:40.Thames, but then it all comes to a halt. Unfortunately for people in

:39:40. > :39:45.East London, they are not so lucky. Between Tower Bridge and the

:39:45. > :39:50.Dartmouth tunnel, there are no bridges whatsoever over a 10 mile

:39:50. > :39:56.stretch of river. The links their art are slightly random. The best

:39:56. > :40:00.bet by car are these tunnels, both notorious for delays. Two ft Dolls

:40:00. > :40:05.at Greenwich and Woolwich are both being refurbished, and the

:40:05. > :40:09.Greenwich ferry runs once every 10 minutes. Next year, east London as

:40:09. > :40:17.slightly eccentric river crossings will be joined by another. The

:40:17. > :40:22.mayor of London's cable-car across the Thames put on show for the

:40:22. > :40:27.first time this week. Transport for London reckon they will take about

:40:27. > :40:30.500 passengers a day on these things. They are pretty cool on the

:40:31. > :40:34.inside and you get a great view crossing the Thames but are they

:40:34. > :40:39.any use for a business that need to transport a large amount of

:40:39. > :40:44.freight? The Chancellor's Autumn Statement this week appears like it

:40:44. > :40:48.could be good news if that is what you want. We will work with the

:40:48. > :40:53.mare on options for other new river crossings... He made reference to

:40:53. > :41:01.two potential Crossens, one in the east of the City and another just

:41:01. > :41:06.outside it, possibly at Dartford, but both projects have been opposed.

:41:06. > :41:10.According to Labour, it is hardly an announcement at all. There is

:41:10. > :41:13.very little in this statement for London, and I think this is a

:41:13. > :41:18.window-dressing announcement. He is trying to make it look like There

:41:18. > :41:22.is more for London but there is nothing. This was meant to be the

:41:22. > :41:26.Thames Gateway Bridge. Ken Livingstone's solution to the

:41:26. > :41:31.problem, but the six-lane road bridge would have been noisy and

:41:31. > :41:37.polluting, and was unpopular with some locally. The plan was scrapped,

:41:37. > :41:43.although he has now committed to another crossing at the same point.

:41:43. > :41:48.But when the mayor scrapped this bridge, old with it went the

:41:48. > :41:50.funding. The project could have been paid for. The difficulty is

:41:50. > :41:55.now but the mayor and the Government are committed to

:41:55. > :42:01.building a new crossing, there is very little detail on where the

:42:01. > :42:04.cash for that will come from. understand their issues with

:42:04. > :42:08.private finance initiative, that is how it would have been financed,

:42:09. > :42:12.and if you look at other projects like the DLR, they are not

:42:12. > :42:16.delivering what they should have done and they are costing the

:42:16. > :42:21.taxpayer more. It was right to look at the finance, but to scrap some

:42:21. > :42:24.of these major projects was a huge mistake. Another Road Bridge in

:42:24. > :42:28.East London have some sort has been in the pipeline for about 50 years

:42:28. > :42:34.but some will question whether this announcement will move us any

:42:34. > :42:43.closer to building one. Joining us now, the deputy mayor

:42:43. > :42:53.for Transport. Some felt it was fairly flimsy, these transport

:42:53. > :42:55.

:42:55. > :42:59.improvements, apart from the first themselves which are quite fat. --

:42:59. > :43:03.the trouble first themselves. Anybody who lives in Newham or

:43:03. > :43:10.Bexley knows exactly what you are talking about, that the absence of

:43:10. > :43:14.a river crossing is cataclysmic for regeneration. Transport is almost

:43:14. > :43:21.the secondary objective. We could have had the bridge completed by 20

:43:21. > :43:24.did team if we had gone for that in 2008. When you look at the road,

:43:24. > :43:30.where it would have been, you understand why thousands of locals

:43:30. > :43:35.would have died in a ditch, opposed to that. Did you back the decision

:43:35. > :43:40.when you were there? That was ages ago, nothing to do with me.

:43:40. > :43:45.probably thought it was a good idea, back when. I didn't get involved.

:43:45. > :43:51.How much further forward are we? There is no money on the table, but

:43:51. > :43:56.the Chancellor said he would work with you. The key thing for these

:43:56. > :44:00.projects is political will. You can spend all the time in the world

:44:00. > :44:04.consulting on it, developing finance packages. If you look at

:44:04. > :44:08.the Northern Line extension that has been proposed, that is one of

:44:08. > :44:13.the big regeneration opportunities in London, but unless people

:44:13. > :44:19.actually want to build it, we can spend a lot of time coming up with

:44:19. > :44:22.finance packages... I will come on to that. These are the 48 words

:44:22. > :44:28.from the Chancellor - right here in London, we will work with the mayor

:44:28. > :44:32.for options on all the new river crossings, for example on

:44:32. > :44:36.Silvertown, and we will support the extension of the Northern Line to

:44:36. > :44:40.Battersea in partnership with the private sector. This could bring

:44:40. > :44:45.25,000 new jobs to the area. The Chancellor was there on Monday with

:44:45. > :44:50.the mayor, saying the developers would pay three-quarters of a

:44:50. > :44:54.billion pounds of the cost for these two new tube stations on the

:44:54. > :44:59.Northern Line. Two days later, the developers heading for

:44:59. > :45:04.administration. In terms of the overall development, this is

:45:04. > :45:07.fantastic news. What about that though? Doesn't it show the

:45:08. > :45:11.difficulty immediately? The Chancellor says this will be built

:45:11. > :45:18.by the private sector developer, Owen lots of money, looks like

:45:18. > :45:23.have to see on that, but the important thing is this is a

:45:23. > :45:28.fantastic opportunity. You mentioned twenty-five 1000 jobs,

:45:28. > :45:31.also 16,000 new homes that would be built, making sure the central

:45:31. > :45:36.government support working with Boris Johnson, making sure the

:45:36. > :45:42.central government does what it can. The aspiration sounds fantastic.

:45:42. > :45:45.How could the Chancellor go to the site like this for a photo

:45:45. > :45:50.opportunity and claim it as the kind of thing the government is

:45:50. > :45:54.doing? When there is no central government money going into it.

:45:54. > :46:03.There is a lot of central government money going into the

:46:03. > :46:07.Into that project. Specifically, there is no central government

:46:07. > :46:12.money. It is often showing the political will, showing that the

:46:12. > :46:17.Government will support this, is supporting this... How important is

:46:17. > :46:22.that to you? Political will. A Chancellor there with a hard hat,

:46:22. > :46:25.next to Boris Johnson in a hard hat. Would you like the money?

:46:25. > :46:31.Battersea development that you talked about is only part of quite

:46:31. > :46:33.a lot of activity in that area. you're not going to tell me that

:46:33. > :46:39.Battersea Power Station is and the single most important part, and

:46:39. > :46:42.they were paid for the most part of it? Do you agree? Yes. But it is

:46:42. > :46:45.quite counter-intuitive. That project, with that particular

:46:45. > :46:50.structure collapsing, it is a good thing to push that forward. You

:46:50. > :46:57.don't want something languishing for years, and there has been a

:46:57. > :47:00.succession of those problems. point is, the significance of that

:47:00. > :47:03.and the Autumn Statement for Londoners, that was that George

:47:03. > :47:07.Osborne could be photographed next to Boris Johnson and they say, we

:47:07. > :47:10.want this to happen sometime? is in place for the Northern Line

:47:11. > :47:15.extension is a detailed package that has been discussed between the

:47:15. > :47:18.boroughs, the mayor and government. What is missing, it is not the case

:47:18. > :47:24.that it is all coming from the developer, it is a complex

:47:24. > :47:27.financing structure. What is missing is that we need a few tools,

:47:27. > :47:29.financing mechanisms, and that is where we are looking for the

:47:29. > :47:33.Government to come forward. could happen anyway, it is nothing

:47:33. > :47:39.to do with a way out of the financial or economic difficulties

:47:39. > :47:42.we have got, is it? We have been waiting for some of those tools for

:47:42. > :47:46.a couple of years. If we can get movement, that will be fantastic.

:47:46. > :47:51.One thing that is undeniable is that they raise more money to

:47:51. > :47:55.soften the blow of what was going to be fare rises. 2% above

:47:55. > :48:00.inflation will now be 1%. What difference will that make? It is

:48:00. > :48:07.quite significant on a certain product in particular. If you look

:48:07. > :48:11.at buses, the fare rises will be slightly below plus one. If you

:48:11. > :48:15.look at the weekly bus pass, that a lot of low-income workers used, we

:48:15. > :48:21.have managed to reduce that significantly. For the first time,

:48:21. > :48:26.you are putting up a bus fare by 10 -- 5p. It has always been 10 before.

:48:26. > :48:30.Why five? We have been trying to spread the benefits across so

:48:30. > :48:34.everybody can benefit. Why haven't you done that before, a five pence

:48:34. > :48:40.increase? There is a long story behind that. A fair has to be

:48:40. > :48:45.offered at a 50% discount, for example, if it is �1.35, you get

:48:45. > :48:49.into all kinds of complicated calculations. But he didn't do that

:48:49. > :48:54.last year, or the year before. Has it got, be honest, has it got

:48:54. > :48:57.anything to do with the fact there is an election next year. We really

:48:57. > :49:01.have tried to spread that funding from government, which has enabled

:49:01. > :49:05.us to protect every penny of investment across the packages. We

:49:05. > :49:08.were conscious that buses are especially used by... Did the head

:49:08. > :49:14.of the Commission for Transport suggest the five pence increase was

:49:14. > :49:18.sensible? This discussion happens between TfL and the mayor. TfL puts

:49:18. > :49:22.forward a proposal for how that money is going to be spread out so

:49:22. > :49:26.that everybody in London can benefit. How welcome do you think

:49:26. > :49:29.it will be? Did the Chancellor do this because of the anger there is

:49:29. > :49:35.about the fare rises on the railways up and down the country?

:49:35. > :49:38.He just felt he had to bring London in line? Or is this actually to

:49:38. > :49:44.help Boris Johnson? You'll know that is where Ken Livingstone, his

:49:44. > :49:48.opponent, will try to make the most hey, about the effect of

:49:48. > :49:52.Conservatives running it. I think it is designed to help Londoners in

:49:52. > :49:56.general. They are facing a loss of fixed cost pressure on things like

:49:56. > :50:03.energy bills, transport bills. We wanted to do something, in a very,

:50:03. > :50:08.very import of the -- important part of the economy, to bring costs

:50:08. > :50:13.down for regular people. My constituency has more commuters in

:50:13. > :50:17.than any other constituency in Britain. It will be hard pressed

:50:17. > :50:22.people that will welcome it. Annual travel cards, they are still going

:50:22. > :50:26.to have to pay �120 per year? will not be going up as much as

:50:26. > :50:32.previously thought. This will keep it down for Tim or three years? You

:50:32. > :50:36.agree? The whole cost of reducing affairs has been covered. But two

:50:36. > :50:40.or three years. What happens then? You are going to put them up even

:50:40. > :50:46.more to compensate for what will be removed in two or three years'

:50:46. > :50:49.time? What we are proposing, with RPI plus 1%, it is a far more

:50:49. > :50:53.realistic proposition than that being put forward by Ken

:50:53. > :50:56.Livingstone. He says he wants to cut fares, but he has and said how

:50:56. > :51:00.he would pay for it. But you recognise that Boris Johnson has

:51:00. > :51:04.said, supported by you, supported by Transport for London, that he

:51:04. > :51:09.would not alter that trajectory affairs, it was needed for

:51:09. > :51:13.investment. The first sign of trouble, you have distorted that by

:51:13. > :51:16.putting some money back in? I think central government recognised this

:51:16. > :51:20.was an important thing to do because of the pressures facing

:51:20. > :51:25.Londoners. Contrast that with somebody that has recklessly gone

:51:25. > :51:28.out to pledge a completely unfunded, huge cut in tube fares, which he

:51:28. > :51:32.knows he will not be able to deliver, I think that shows the

:51:32. > :51:38.contrast between Boris Johnson, a sensible approach to running London,

:51:38. > :51:44.and Ken Livingstone, going back to the past. A final thought, at this

:51:44. > :51:48.time of particular financial trouble, is it right for fare

:51:48. > :51:55.payers to be paying more, well above inflation, or a above-

:51:55. > :52:00.inflation still, for improvements tomorrow, instead of central

:52:00. > :52:04.government paying for it? It it's a difficult message. I take the Tube

:52:04. > :52:06.every day. I understand why people find that difficult. I'm amazed how

:52:06. > :52:11.well people understand and are prepared to accept that everyone

:52:11. > :52:14.knows there is unprecedented amounts of people on the Tube. We

:52:14. > :52:19.have never seen so many people on the buses. They've got no choice,

:52:19. > :52:22.they had to get round. A final thought? There is huge government

:52:22. > :52:26.investment going in. One of the first things George Osborne decided

:52:26. > :52:30.was to put the money in for Crossrail and to put the money in

:52:30. > :52:34.for the Tube improvements at a time when central government inherited a

:52:34. > :52:37.situation where the public finances were in a total mess. We made sure

:52:37. > :52:45.that Crossrail and the Tube improvements were protected and

:52:45. > :52:50.It may be a bleak economic forecast, but short term, up to Christmas, at

:52:50. > :52:53.least, spending is expected to rise. For many people, that might only be

:52:53. > :52:57.possible because without much credit for coming from banks they

:52:57. > :53:01.are turning to other sources of finance.

:53:01. > :53:04.To get extra seasonal cash, it can be very tempting to take up the

:53:04. > :53:08.offers that many high-street loans, credit and pay-day companies offer.

:53:08. > :53:11.Louise took out a short-term loan and struggled with my repayment

:53:11. > :53:16.rates. She eventually paid it off, but then found herself being

:53:16. > :53:19.bombarded with offers from similar companies. Christmas is one of the

:53:19. > :53:23.worst times. If you have children, you on your own, you don't have

:53:23. > :53:27.money coming from other places, you've not got anywhere to turn to.

:53:27. > :53:31.You cannot go to the bank and you have a letter saying, borrow �500

:53:31. > :53:37.instantly. You are going to say, right, that will pay my Christmas

:53:37. > :53:40.for me. You are not sinking -- thinking in the long term. What

:53:40. > :53:44.London MP has been calling for a change in law and more regulations

:53:44. > :53:49.for the short term loan industry. I asked how big a problem it is in

:53:49. > :53:52.the capital. London is always at the sharp end of anything to do

:53:52. > :53:56.with debt and the cost of living. It is expensive to live in the

:53:56. > :54:01.capital city. There are 500,000 people who have put mortgages on

:54:02. > :54:07.credit cards, according to Shelter. They are not borrowing money to buy

:54:07. > :54:11.fancy goods and flash TV's, 40% are to buy basics like food and

:54:11. > :54:14.transport costs. Do you think the Government has been willing to

:54:14. > :54:17.listen or act in any way? really frustrated with the

:54:17. > :54:20.Government. When they were elected, they made a number of commitments.

:54:20. > :54:24.18 months on, they have done nothing about this and problems are

:54:24. > :54:28.getting worse. We know that capping the cost of credit means that less

:54:28. > :54:33.people go to illegal lenders. It is the illegal loan sharks that people

:54:33. > :54:36.are worried about. It also means that credit is more affordable.

:54:36. > :54:40.When we are facing an economic downturn, we need people to have

:54:40. > :54:44.access to credit. The impact these loans can have is all too clear.

:54:44. > :54:47.Whether it is the man that ended up with nine different Pay Day Loans

:54:47. > :54:54.because he was trying to pay one off with another, or the woman who

:54:54. > :54:58.borrowed �100, got chased by the company that she owed the money too,

:54:58. > :55:03.ended up paying back �300, and 48 hours later they rang her back and

:55:03. > :55:07.asked if she wanted another one. A 16-year-old who took out a loan

:55:07. > :55:11.with doorstep lenders, he will never pay that off. His family paid

:55:11. > :55:21.it off because they were so worried about what it would do to him, to

:55:21. > :55:22.

:55:22. > :55:26.Troy Deeney is Gavin Hayes, general secretary of Compass. In our

:55:26. > :55:31.Manchester studio, John Laver Day from the Consumer Finance

:55:31. > :55:38.Association. You recognise some of those issues, presumably. What do

:55:38. > :55:44.you want to be done? Firstly, there is no panacea to this problem. As

:55:44. > :55:48.Stella was alluding to, we are calling for a total cap on the cost

:55:48. > :55:53.of credit. That would include not only the interest rates. Often,

:55:53. > :55:57.people get charged various administration fees and so on. Also,

:55:57. > :56:01.we would like to see things like that rolling over of loans stopped.

:56:01. > :56:08.We would also like to see the number of Pay Day Loans people can

:56:08. > :56:13.take out in any 12 month period limited. That is pretty clear.

:56:13. > :56:20.Would that work? Would it work to do what? You have to take the idea

:56:21. > :56:26.of borrowing short-term, small sum loans in context. Pay Day Loans are

:56:26. > :56:29.just one method. You can also use your bank overdraft, or an

:56:29. > :56:35.unauthorised bank overdraft. Or you might go over your limit on your

:56:35. > :56:39.credit card. What I would say to you is, no, it will not work. Cabin

:56:39. > :56:44.the cost of Pay Day Loans will not make loans cheaper. It will reduce

:56:44. > :56:48.choice for consumers. It will actually push them to more

:56:48. > :56:51.expensive alternatives such as unauthorised overdrafts and going

:56:52. > :56:55.over their credit card limit. accept that people seeking short-

:56:55. > :57:01.term loans are often vulnerable and do need more protection? Absolutely

:57:01. > :57:08.not. We leant across age ranges, across income bands. Pretty equally

:57:08. > :57:13.loans to anybody who has got a bank account, a job and disposable

:57:13. > :57:18.income, 94% of our customers come from a household where there is at

:57:18. > :57:21.least one full-time worker. In the country as a whole at the moment,

:57:21. > :57:25.one in five households have no full-time worker are tall. We are

:57:25. > :57:29.not lending to people on the margins. We are lending to normal,

:57:29. > :57:32.ordinary people, that just want to smooth out the peaks and troughs of

:57:32. > :57:36.income and expenditure. They just want to smooth them out, if you

:57:36. > :57:41.make that impossible, they will go to loan sharks. There is absolutely

:57:41. > :57:47.no evidence of that, if you look at how caps on the cost of credit

:57:47. > :57:52.worker. I think actually the point that we are trying to make is that

:57:52. > :57:56.we accept the fact that pay-day lenders have a role to play in

:57:56. > :57:59.terms of helping people in financial emergencies. But I think

:57:59. > :58:03.it has become very clear in recent years that some of these pay-day

:58:04. > :58:09.lenders are charging excessive interest rates. I looked on the

:58:09. > :58:13.interest -- internet the other day, there was one charging over 5000 %

:58:13. > :58:17.APR for short-term loans. Do you recognise that, in the 30 seconds

:58:17. > :58:23.we have left? There is huge competition. A Pay Day Loans will

:58:23. > :58:27.cost you between �10.30 pounds for every �100 that you borrow. One

:58:27. > :58:35.company is offering a totally free deal at the moment. They got

:58:35. > :58:38.lambasted in the media for doing it. You can't really win. I'm afraid,

:58:38. > :58:48.actually, we have come to the end. I wish we had had a bit longer, but

:58:48. > :58:53.

:58:53. > :58:56.that is all we had time for. Back Well, there have been poles not

:58:56. > :59:02.just to choose councillors, but police commissioners. There will

:59:02. > :59:08.also be referendums on whether or not to have directly-elected mayors

:59:08. > :59:14.in cities like Liverpool and Leeds. Is it a much needed democratic

:59:14. > :59:24.revolution, or a costly PR exercise that will accomplish the square

:59:24. > :59:27.

:59:27. > :59:34.This government is going to break up concentrations of power and

:59:34. > :59:38.handed back to people. It is why we want elected mayors in our great

:59:38. > :59:48.cities. We are drawing up even more radical plans to open a public

:59:48. > :59:51.

:59:51. > :59:54.Power to the people - the warcry of revolutionaries up to and including,

:59:54. > :59:57.er, Nick Clegg and David Cameron. Who wouldn't want a greater say

:59:57. > :00:00.over how local services are run, or over policing priorities? Nick and

:00:00. > :00:05.Dave believe they can deliver that through directly elected mayors and

:00:05. > :00:10.police commissioners. But here's a thought - what if the people aren't

:00:10. > :00:18.actually sure if they want the power? We do already have a fair

:00:18. > :00:21.few elected mayors in England. Here's one you may know. It is a

:00:21. > :00:23.system which is directly accountable. It means you know that

:00:23. > :00:26.there's some person who is accountable to you for your

:00:26. > :00:33.services, the state of your roads, the success of your police in

:00:33. > :00:36.fighting crime in that area and you can hold them to account. And if

:00:36. > :00:39.they're not succeeding, then you can chuck them out, it's very

:00:39. > :00:46.important. Actually, it was Labour who introduced directly-elected

:00:46. > :00:49.Mayors, but not every Blairite thinks it's always a good idea.

:00:49. > :00:51.theory, all of this is very good, providing people with the power to

:00:51. > :00:55.cut through red tape and bureaucracy, the all-powerful

:00:55. > :00:57.leader actually going ahead on a white charger. In practice, of

:00:57. > :01:02.course, it means you're centralising rather than diffusing

:01:02. > :01:08.power. We're obsessed with putting power into the hands of charismatic

:01:08. > :01:12.individuals. And if you've got a Boris Johnson or a Ken Livingstone

:01:12. > :01:15.in London and if you've got a Mayor Bloomberg in New York, you can pull

:01:15. > :01:25.it off, but actually most people want somebody at very local level,

:01:25. > :01:28.their councillor, that they can hold to account. In May next year,

:01:28. > :01:31.11 of England's biggest cities will be asked if they'd like an elected

:01:31. > :01:36.mayor. A consultation is underway about exactly what powers they

:01:36. > :01:41.should have. The pay? Not formally set yet, although so far, the

:01:41. > :01:45.average is just under �70,000 a year. But 38 cities have already

:01:45. > :01:52.held referendums in the last few years. 13 have said yes, but 25

:01:52. > :01:57.said no. Outside London, there'll be 41 police commissioners in

:01:57. > :02:00.England and Wales. Salary? Between �65-100 grand. Chief Constables

:02:00. > :02:02.will still run the police, but the Commissioner will control the

:02:02. > :02:08.budget, hold senior officers to account and set local policing

:02:08. > :02:15.priorities. But recent polls have suggested that few members of the

:02:15. > :02:18.public actually realise they'll be here in less than a year's time.

:02:18. > :02:26.And some Coalition MPs think mayors and elected police chiefs are an

:02:26. > :02:29.idea best left alone. I think Nick and Dave both come back from a sort

:02:29. > :02:33.of PR background so something which to me is polishing the shiny bits

:02:33. > :02:37.to them sounds a good idea. The problem is the good idea is to

:02:37. > :02:40.elect somebody and then leave them to get on with it for four years

:02:40. > :02:45.without any checks and balances, so if they go off the rails there's no

:02:45. > :02:48.one to put them back on the rails, unless they get sectioned. Even

:02:48. > :02:53.some of the high priests of people power are a bit sniffy about

:02:53. > :02:57.elected police chiefs. What do they want? Super-mayors with super

:02:57. > :03:00.powers! I don't support individual public services having elected

:03:00. > :03:06.chiefs. What you want is mayors or local authorities which can join up

:03:06. > :03:09.across the public services. If you have individual elected head of the

:03:09. > :03:12.police, why not have an individual elected head of the education

:03:12. > :03:16.service or the NHS and so on? And that really just isn't feasible and

:03:16. > :03:19.wouldn't bring the joining up that you need. So I hope in due course

:03:19. > :03:21.we'll have not just mayors of city councils but of regional, metro

:03:21. > :03:23.mayoral authorities where you could bring together the police,

:03:23. > :03:31.transport, urban regeneration, housing other regional functions,

:03:32. > :03:34.as happens with the Mayor of London. And guess what that mayor thinks

:03:34. > :03:41.that Nick, Dave, and especially George here, have to do if they

:03:41. > :03:44.really believe in power to the people. I think the most important

:03:44. > :03:46.thing that central government needs to do is to recognise that all

:03:46. > :03:49.other big cities in Europe, around the world which have successful

:03:49. > :03:52.mayoralties have a greater ability by the central city authority to

:03:52. > :04:00.spend taxes that are raised locally and for that tax money to be

:04:00. > :04:03.democratically accountable and that's the way, I think... The

:04:03. > :04:06.Treasury's got to relax and the Treasury's got to accept that

:04:06. > :04:09.there's got to be real devolution in this country. Good luck with

:04:09. > :04:14.that Boris - because some critics think that for all the talk of

:04:14. > :04:17.people power, these Westminster types speak with forked tongue.

:04:17. > :04:20.of the absolute paradoxes at the moment is that the Government are

:04:20. > :04:22.preaching localism when every step they take from mayors and police

:04:22. > :04:25.commissioners through determining whether local government should

:04:25. > :04:32.empty the bins one week or two, they're actually determining the

:04:32. > :04:35.major policies from the centre. They've also got the idea that you

:04:35. > :04:44.can centralise the power and devolve the pain and individuals -

:04:44. > :04:48.police commissioner or mayors - take the flak. Gesture politics or

:04:49. > :04:51.a real desire to listen to the people? Ultimately, the success of

:04:51. > :05:01.elected mayors and police commissioners might just depend on

:05:01. > :05:03.

:05:03. > :05:07.how much power really flows from this place to your place.

:05:07. > :05:11.The Police Minister and the man who has pioneered this whole idea is

:05:11. > :05:17.Nick Herbert, and he joins me now from his rather lovely looking

:05:17. > :05:21.constituency in Sussex. Thank you for being with us. Who wants these

:05:21. > :05:26.police commissioners? There is plenty of survey evidence that

:05:26. > :05:29.people feel they don't have enough say over policing and would like

:05:29. > :05:35.more of a say and they are attracted to the idea of being

:05:35. > :05:37.given one. We know from London that this has been broadly very popular.

:05:37. > :05:42.The mayor has been given responsibility for policing in

:05:42. > :05:47.London, that is a quarter of all police officers in the country, and

:05:47. > :05:52.that means the mayor can respond to what the public are saying. He has

:05:52. > :05:56.responded on things like knife crime, keeping police officers on

:05:56. > :06:01.the street. If you were to ask Londoners now if they wanted that

:06:01. > :06:06.taken away and given a quango, people invisible, unaccountable to

:06:06. > :06:10.you, deciding those priorities, people would give a pretty dusty

:06:10. > :06:14.response. We want to extend it across the rest of England and

:06:14. > :06:19.Wales, and that will happen with elections in November next year.

:06:19. > :06:24.What if they are elected on a very low Democratic turnout, does that

:06:24. > :06:33.give them legitimacy? Any turnout will confirm a greater legitimacy

:06:33. > :06:38.that we -- than we have at the moment. The public simply don't

:06:38. > :06:41.know who to go to, they can't name their police authority chair, so

:06:41. > :06:46.there will be a greater legitimacy. It is interesting that a poll

:06:46. > :06:49.recently conducted found that two thirds of the public, when asked,

:06:49. > :06:55.said they would vote, and we know there is a great deal of concern

:06:55. > :06:59.about crime. It is always a top priority for the public, and people

:06:59. > :07:03.will be motivated turnout because they care about these matters

:07:03. > :07:07.aren't there will be a lot of local media interest as we approach the

:07:07. > :07:12.elections next November. Who will be funding the campaigns for these

:07:12. > :07:18.people? I know that it sounds a very granular question, but

:07:18. > :07:22.political parties are strapped for cash so they will not one to. Who

:07:22. > :07:26.will run these campaigns? Were have been clear that political parties

:07:26. > :07:30.are free to field candidates if they want to, but we have also

:07:30. > :07:34.served as the government that we are more than happy for

:07:34. > :07:41.independents to stand. We are looking for people of real Kaaba,

:07:41. > :07:45.people who have run big organisations, who have a track

:07:45. > :07:50.record of success, to put their names forward for election. They

:07:50. > :07:53.don't need to be party candidate. What matters is that we have Virk

:07:53. > :07:58.group of people who think they can make a difference and it is

:07:58. > :08:00.important to understand they won't be interfering in the operational

:08:00. > :08:05.independence of police officers but they will be holding them to

:08:05. > :08:10.account and they will be the voice of the people. Have you got big

:08:10. > :08:15.figures coming forward? I think there will be. We have already seen

:08:15. > :08:19.a lot of interest in these elections. Can you name a few?

:08:19. > :08:24.know that Colonel Tim Collins has put his name forward in Kent.

:08:24. > :08:32.know that - any other names? just wait, I think there will be

:08:32. > :08:38.them, and parliament has just agreed this policy. You will find

:08:38. > :08:42.that interesting people put their names forward, and it is not you or

:08:42. > :08:46.me deciding who will be elected, it is the people deciding who they

:08:46. > :08:51.want to put in office to hold the police to account, to make sure

:08:51. > :08:56.there is a better deal for victims, and that people's priorities are

:08:56. > :09:01.reflected in policing. People have not had a say outside London in

:09:01. > :09:07.that before. This policy is about people power. Don't you worry about

:09:07. > :09:09.the populism that might follow from this, that you might have elected

:09:09. > :09:14.police commissioners coming to the end of their term, they will need

:09:14. > :09:22.to come up with an eye-catching initiative. If the case hasn't been

:09:22. > :09:25.sold, they will be calling for heads to roll - is that the best

:09:25. > :09:30.way to do policing? They can't interfere with individual

:09:30. > :09:34.operations, but we have not seen that in London. The mayor stood on

:09:34. > :09:38.a platform of wanting to deal with things like a knife crime,

:09:38. > :09:42.responding to public concern. In the end, I trust the people to

:09:42. > :09:46.elect who they think will be best to hold the police to account. I

:09:47. > :09:52.don't believe this argument about extremism is a valid one because it

:09:52. > :09:57.is tantamount to saying you can't trust the public to make a decision

:09:57. > :10:01.in their area so we will leave this to be decided by independent or

:10:01. > :10:06.unelected bodies with no accountability at all. Let's trust

:10:06. > :10:15.the people, give them the say for the first time outside of London.

:10:15. > :10:19.Thank you. A pint designed -- behind you looks quite enticing.

:10:19. > :10:23.Didn't David Blunkett have it right in that film that politicians love

:10:23. > :10:28.to talk the talk of handing power down, and hate the idea of it in

:10:28. > :10:31.practice? Yes, having said that we must give the coalition a fair

:10:31. > :10:38.hearing on this. They have said from the beginning they wanted to

:10:38. > :10:42.do this. The question is how this works in practice and how they then

:10:42. > :10:49.feel about it because they have these things they want to deal of

:10:49. > :10:53.local mayors and police commissioners. In Birmingham they

:10:53. > :10:59.have a strong candidate for mayor, among many, but she wouldn't

:10:59. > :11:02.control policing buyer would tease. How can this makes sense? This

:11:02. > :11:09.person is capable senior political person, and then she has to deal

:11:09. > :11:16.with another police commissioner. It seems you could add more layers

:11:16. > :11:21.than you have suggested. I agree, the London model is of course where

:11:21. > :11:26.Boris is in charge of the police but also in charge of transport and

:11:26. > :11:30.budget as well. What we are lacking is almost a lack of integration. We

:11:30. > :11:34.have too many people being elected here. I think it is a good idea,

:11:34. > :11:39.but the question you asked about, there have candidates would be

:11:39. > :11:46.addressed if it was integrated. Both of you, thank you. That is it

:11:46. > :11:50.for this week. Thank you took all of our guests. By next week, two

:11:50. > :11:57.giant pandas will be installed in London Zoo. They had just landed

:11:57. > :12:00.from China. They first are the first of these creatures to live in

:12:00. > :12:05.this country for many years, but let's face it the most dangerous