15/12/2011

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:00:10. > :00:18.Tonight, This Week is walking in the air and floating in the

:00:18. > :00:21.Westminster sky. The people far below are sleeping as we fly

:00:21. > :00:27.through the top stories of the year. Which political snowman will end

:00:27. > :00:30.the year on top and which one is in danger of melting away? We'll be

:00:30. > :00:36.joined by two jolly Fleet Street men of snow - Quentin Letts and

:00:36. > :00:42.Kevin Maguire. Swimming in the frozen sky, leading actor David

:00:42. > :00:52.Morrissey. Providing the Christmas X-Factor - the voice of an angel,

:00:52. > :00:57.

:00:57. > :01:00.Johnny Robinson. And everyone who sees us, greets us as we fly.

:01:00. > :01:03.Evening all and a special welcome to our special Christmas edition of

:01:03. > :01:08.This Week. The show that exists, much like British foreign policy,

:01:08. > :01:10.in glorious isolation from the rest of the civilised world. In fact,

:01:10. > :01:16.parallels between us and Call-Me- Dave's undiplomatic statecraft

:01:16. > :01:21.don't end there. We too refuse to sign up to bureaucratic rules that

:01:21. > :01:24.limit our sovereign right to cock everything up, all on our own. We

:01:24. > :01:27.too kid ourselves that we punch above our weight, with a global

:01:27. > :01:31.reach, and a fleet of imaginary aircraft carriers, though at least

:01:31. > :01:34.we're not counting on the French to share one with us. And when we too

:01:34. > :01:38.fail miserably to get our own way, just like Dave, we're always ready

:01:38. > :01:42.to claim it was a cunning plan all along and blame everything else on

:01:43. > :01:46.the cheese-eating surrender monkeys. And, at the end of the day, who

:01:46. > :01:54.doesn't get a kick out of making prank phone calls to Nick Clegg at

:01:54. > :01:57.4am saying, "You've just re-taken Calais?" It never ever gets boring.

:01:57. > :02:00.Speaking of those weary souls who are locked in a political prison of

:02:00. > :02:05.their own making, I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two of

:02:05. > :02:12.Westminster's oldest lags. The Lennie Godber and Norman Stanley

:02:12. > :02:14.Fletcher of late-night political chat. I speak, of course, of

:02:14. > :02:24.Michael Portillo, and back by absolutely no public demand

:02:24. > :02:24.

:02:24. > :02:27.whatsoever, and currently trending as #leftieontheleft - Diane Abbott.

:02:27. > :02:32.And with little chance of being outdone, and currently trending as

:02:32. > :02:36.#maninthemiddle - Charles Kennedy. And a very warm welcome to an actor

:02:36. > :02:46.who does the impossible - yes, he's the man who made Gordon Brown

:02:46. > :02:49.

:02:49. > :02:57.televisua - actor and director, David Morrissey. Michael, your

:02:57. > :03:03.moment of the year. The killing of Osama Bin Laden. It may be a

:03:03. > :03:07.bitterlyy or paradox, but it wasn't the moment -- a bit early, or par

:03:07. > :03:11.box, but it wasn't the moment of the year, but this was the number

:03:11. > :03:15.one objective of the fight against terror, but funnily enough when I

:03:15. > :03:19.wad ask to think of my moment, it was hard to remember that this his

:03:19. > :03:23.even happened, because although it seemed quite big at the time, what

:03:23. > :03:28.sort of consequence what's it had? No political consequence in America.

:03:28. > :03:35.It kind of died, that is not the bet analogy, but I know what you

:03:35. > :03:38.mean. That's Andrew for you. takes me very literally. It did

:03:38. > :03:42.have the great photograph. You remember the photograph of the

:03:42. > :03:46.operations room and Hillary Clinton with her hand over her mouth?

:03:46. > :03:52.didn't appear to be quite what it is. That's life and politics.

:03:52. > :03:57.a bit naive. They were all terrified it was all going to be

:03:57. > :04:02.another Jimmy Carter helicopters in the desert. Diane? I was at home,

:04:02. > :04:07.Saturday night I looked at Twitter and realised there were riots in

:04:07. > :04:11.Tottenham. Turned on my TV. Took me back all the years back to

:04:11. > :04:16.Broadwater Farm. The riots haven't had longevity in terms of the

:04:16. > :04:22.political impact. But we'll have riots again next summer. We will?

:04:22. > :04:29.Lucky you weren't in the Caribbean at the time. On the spot for once,

:04:29. > :04:33.in the summer. I thought it was the Tottenham district of Jamaica. Have

:04:33. > :04:37.you noticed what's above you. SREAMING

:04:37. > :04:47.We haven't got one. You did, but I cut it down. David, your moment of

:04:47. > :04:49.

:04:49. > :04:53.the year. My moment, is similar. In the summer I was driving out of

:04:53. > :05:00.London with my son on the Monday and just seeing London burning, as

:05:00. > :05:04.I was driving out. Just seeing the pockets of fire. That was a very -

:05:04. > :05:08.Stays in the memory? Very strange time to be leaving London and

:05:08. > :05:13.feeling like getting out and feeling safe about getting out and

:05:13. > :05:20.thinking I shouldn't be feeling safe about driving away. You are

:05:20. > :05:28.making a drama? It is out on 22nd. Next week. Channel 4 9pm. Channel 4.

:05:28. > :05:35.Excellent. I will set the sky plus. Charles? I think if you look at UK

:05:35. > :05:39.politics at the moment, fascinating and unpredictable as it, the one

:05:39. > :05:43.constant light in the sky and it grieves me to say this, but it was

:05:44. > :05:48.confirmed this year, is the primacy of First Minister Alex Salmond. He

:05:48. > :05:52.is far and away the most successful politician in terms of having an

:05:52. > :05:55.absolute majority of his own and having a renewed mandate and

:05:55. > :06:03.effectively next to no opposition whatsoever. In the land of the

:06:03. > :06:07.blind, the one-eyed man is king? shall see. At the moment, there is

:06:07. > :06:14.no alternative, to coin a phrase, from Alex Salmond. Equally, it's

:06:14. > :06:20.going to have ramifications for the rest of the United Kingdom, because

:06:20. > :06:28.the issues are internal. It will be a developing story. Very much so.

:06:28. > :06:30.Thank you for those. Now, we've got an extra treat for you tonight. As

:06:30. > :06:32.forelock-tugging corporate lickspittles of the highest order,

:06:32. > :06:35.we're contractually obliged to favour all BBC light entertainment

:06:35. > :06:38.over its ITV rivals. That's why, naturally, we've decided to round

:06:38. > :06:40.off the year with, what else, a Political X-Factor Quiz, with X-

:06:40. > :06:50.Factor singing sensation, it's the X-Factor's Johnny Robinson from the

:06:50. > :06:55.

:06:55. > :07:01.X-Factor! APPLAUSE

:07:01. > :07:05.Hello. Pleased to meet you. Factor is on the BBC, isn't it?

:07:05. > :07:12.ITV, love. You got that wrong. We'll be fired. Naughty boy. Are

:07:12. > :07:20.you ready? What are you going to be doing? We are going to give you a

:07:20. > :07:24.question, because it's a quiz. Start us off. Here we go. First

:07:24. > :07:34.question is - which naughty Baroness, who spooked the Lords,

:07:34. > :07:38.

:07:38. > :07:48.has the X Factor? He's got no idea. Let's roll the type and let's see

:07:48. > :07:48.

:07:48. > :07:50.what the answer is. It's Baroness Trum tonne there. She is one of the

:07:51. > :07:55.only ones... LAUGHTER

:07:55. > :08:01.I can just watch that again and again. I want to see that on a loop.

:08:01. > :08:05.Jonny, come back and we'll do some more. Thank you. Now, never let it

:08:05. > :08:09.be said that we take the take-off too far on this programme.

:08:09. > :08:13.Absolutely not, we buy a first- class ticket and send it half way

:08:13. > :08:23.around the world to tiny states of microkneesia, so that must mean

:08:23. > :08:31.it's time for the Downturn Abbey Christmas special. There have been

:08:31. > :08:35.big changes since we visited last Christmas. Times have moved on

:08:35. > :08:39.faster that Nick Clegg's bottom when Europe is debated. Kevin

:08:39. > :08:43.Maguire has been sent off to fight in Brussels and Lord Quentin Letts,

:08:43. > :08:50.for it is he, is coming to terms with a dramatic change in fortunes,

:08:50. > :09:00.so sit back and enjoy our first of three visits to double-dip Downturn

:09:00. > :09:28.

:09:28. > :09:34.Abbey at Christmas. MUSIC I remember Christmas Eve 2011. A new

:09:34. > :09:38.front had opened up in the war in Europe. For months the bankers had

:09:38. > :09:44.been shelling the Germans, who were shooting the French, sniping at the

:09:44. > :09:51.Greeks and Italians. But when Field Marshal Lord Cameron signalled the

:09:51. > :09:56.retreat, everyone started shooting at us. I came back to Downturn

:09:56. > :10:01.where I had hoped to spend the holidays recuperating with my old

:10:01. > :10:11.master, but life back home had changed. Hang on a minute, this

:10:11. > :10:18.

:10:18. > :10:25.doesn't look right. Hello. Maguire, I'm so glad you're home.

:10:25. > :10:35.We have been repossessed. Yaild Mr May, the house keep -- wailed Mr

:10:35. > :10:35.

:10:35. > :10:39.May, the housekeeper and look Hizbollah Lordship. -- look at his

:10:39. > :10:43.Lordship. So the newsreels were right and Field Marshal Lord

:10:43. > :10:53.Cameron did win the great European war and the boys are coming home

:10:53. > :10:54.

:10:54. > :10:58.for Christmas. Yes, something like that. I said before coming to

:10:58. > :11:04.Brussels that if I couldn't get adequate safeguards for Britain in

:11:04. > :11:11.a new European treaty, then I wouldn't agree to it. So much for

:11:11. > :11:16.all that high- fluting talk and using the veto. Lord Cameron's done

:11:16. > :11:23.what no British Prime Minister, not even Lady Thatcher, ever dared do.

:11:23. > :11:28.I know, it's great, isn't it? I say, this calls for a celebration. Mrs

:11:28. > :11:35.May, break open the drinks from the cellar. Shouldn't we remember the

:11:35. > :11:39.fallen? Yes, you're right. And those missing in action. How can

:11:39. > :11:47.the Prime Minister expect to persuade anyone else it's a good

:11:47. > :11:50.outcome when he can't persuade his own deputy? Being aced as one is

:11:50. > :11:56.bad for jobs and growth and the millions of people in this country,

:11:56. > :12:03.but the coalition is here to stay. Shame, shellshock does funny things

:12:03. > :12:09.to a good footman. Let's drink. Lords Letts believed the good old

:12:09. > :12:13.days were just around the corner. But what had happened to Downturn?

:12:13. > :12:20.Tricky one, I'm afraid. I'm afraid my accountant, young Lord Osborne,

:12:20. > :12:23.had a little bit of trouble with his sums. They have unsurprisingly

:12:23. > :12:29.revised down their short-term growth prospects for our country,

:12:29. > :12:37.for Europe and for the world. They expect GDP if Britain to grow this

:12:37. > :12:42.year by 0.9%. 0.9%? I've had stronger supermarket own-brand

:12:42. > :12:46.value lager than that. I fear the Boy George in a man's job is

:12:46. > :12:50.pushing us into a double-dip recession. The trouble is Labour

:12:50. > :12:53.ballsed up the economy and they are still Ed Ballsing it up. Until they

:12:53. > :13:03.get rid of the people who made a mess they are not going to be

:13:03. > :13:04.

:13:04. > :13:10.trusted on the economy. Bah, my Lord?! It must be hard for you to

:13:10. > :13:20.get by on just under 150 K a year. We squeezed middle must make the

:13:20. > :13:20.

:13:20. > :13:25.best of things. Polysays we can stay until 2015. -- polly here says

:13:25. > :13:29.we can stay until 2015. I'm going down with something, it must be the

:13:29. > :13:39.Spanish flu, or Greek or German. Blasted conned nepbtals. I'm off to

:13:39. > :13:46.

:13:46. > :13:50.bed. -- continentals. I'm off to TV magic. Public service

:13:50. > :13:54.broadcasting at its finest. Michael, do you think David Cameron is

:13:54. > :13:58.pinching himself tonight? It looks like we're on the brink of another

:13:58. > :14:02.recession. The Chancellor has had to admit his plans are off course.

:14:02. > :14:07.We were one against 26 last week. He's now ahead in the polls and the

:14:07. > :14:10.darling of his party. No, I don't think he's pinching himself,

:14:10. > :14:13.because he's done something no Prime Minister has done before,

:14:13. > :14:16.which is to say no to another treaty. This touches on the

:14:16. > :14:20.relationship between the British people and the European Union. We

:14:20. > :14:28.never expected to have one treaty after another, after another. We

:14:28. > :14:33.thought we had joined a club. The European Union's rules are changing

:14:33. > :14:40.all the time. Also, I think the treaty he didn't sign will shortly

:14:40. > :14:43.be seen as a treaty of infan mi. What it will do is impose the most

:14:43. > :14:48.austere austerity on countries when it is not the appropriate thing to

:14:48. > :14:55.do. When the countries refuse to respond, then their Governments

:14:55. > :15:03.will be replaced, as we have seen in Italy and Greece. This is not

:15:03. > :15:08.only economically illiterate. We are well out of it.

:15:08. > :15:13.Diane, inflation is high, living standards have been squeezed more

:15:13. > :15:18.severely than any time since 1925. Unemployment is rising. There is

:15:18. > :15:24.virtually no growth in the economy. Why is Labour and Mr Miliband doing

:15:24. > :15:29.so badly? We're going to win... We have won all our by-elections so

:15:29. > :15:32.far. We have 65,000 new members. However, you are right, if you look

:15:33. > :15:38.at the overall number polling numbers for Ed, they are not as

:15:38. > :15:44.high as we would like them to be. Things are going to get worse. You

:15:44. > :15:49.are saying the eurozone will crash. It may well do. However,... High

:15:49. > :15:56.are things not as high. Things have got worse and your ratings have got

:15:56. > :16:01.worse. No. The Tories are ahead. It's a margin of error.

:16:01. > :16:11.My leg has not been petted since you were last on the show. There

:16:11. > :16:16.you go! Aren't you glad I'm back! I like it when you say to me,

:16:16. > :16:20.you're right. Every answer tonight just say, "You're right." I will

:16:20. > :16:27.take that mistletoe down. You will see that public opinion will come

:16:27. > :16:32.to us when people see how bankrupt Osborne's plan is. There There's no

:16:32. > :16:36.evidence of that. By all normal criteria Labour

:16:36. > :16:42.should be doing well, it is mid- term, it has gone badly for the

:16:42. > :16:46.Government. It is when oppositions always come through. My thing is to

:16:46. > :16:51.ask you about opinion polls in general. How serious do you take

:16:51. > :16:56.opinion polls as politicians? Are they really sweated over? Are they,

:16:56. > :17:03.in that way? Then denied in public. Sniefplt you see David Cameron's

:17:03. > :17:06.lead in the run-up is he was streets ahead. That.... They take

:17:06. > :17:12.them seriously. If they are behind they are not important. The's only

:17:12. > :17:15.one poll that is important, that is election day. If they are ahead,

:17:15. > :17:20.they are on top of the world. If you are doing badly the support

:17:20. > :17:23.is not there. It's like watching the share price. Same thing.

:17:23. > :17:29.had a few doubts, I seem to remember, about this coalition

:17:29. > :17:36.being formed at the time. Yes. One or two. Would you like to say

:17:36. > :17:40.tonight, I stand totally vindicated, Charles Kennedy. I stand partly

:17:40. > :17:46.vindicated? I stand a wee bit vindicated?

:17:46. > :17:53.I'm a great believer in the economy of expression. You feel vindicated?

:17:53. > :17:58.I don't feel vindicated. You just said you did. Answering the point,

:17:58. > :18:05.seriously - I think the anxieties some of us expressed have been

:18:05. > :18:10.vindicated. I mention Scotland. The night we aagreed to the deal I said

:18:10. > :18:15.I cannot raise my hand from this. I am a Democrat. This will play badly

:18:15. > :18:20.at the next elections in Scotland. We lost a lot. It is not just

:18:20. > :18:24.Scotland. Mr Clegg told your party, peers and MPs, he said he didn't

:18:24. > :18:29.want to go down in history as the last leader of the Liberal

:18:29. > :18:33.Democrats by calling a general election. In other words, if there

:18:33. > :18:37.was an election, you lot are stuffed. And when the original

:18:37. > :18:43.coalition agreement was made, the argument I was putting forward was

:18:43. > :18:46.we'd be better off in opposition, have a minority Tory Government.

:18:46. > :18:53.Vote with them when you think it is right.

:18:53. > :18:58.Hold on a minute. Let me finish. great compatriot and a great man.

:18:58. > :19:03.He recognised.... Are you implying I am not democratic! You are trying

:19:03. > :19:08.to wind Charles up. I am not. I believe this. He recognised the

:19:08. > :19:14.deficit was the major problem. There had to be an austerity

:19:14. > :19:19.Government. It had to last to 2015. He will stick through it through --

:19:19. > :19:23.to it through thick and thin. that decision was taken I was of

:19:24. > :19:26.the view it would last through thick and thin. Eremain of that

:19:26. > :19:31.view despite the Europe difficulties last week. Is there

:19:31. > :19:37.not a danger for Labour it will be seen as too pro Europe and there

:19:37. > :19:41.are too votes on the left or right by being too pro Europe? We have to

:19:41. > :19:45.be careful of that T I am pro Europe in the general sense. What

:19:45. > :19:50.is happening to the euro was always going to happen. Actually, what we

:19:50. > :19:54.have to look at now is what's going to happen to the euro, because the

:19:54. > :19:58.survival of the euro depends on the German voting public being prepared

:19:58. > :20:02.to put its hand in its pocket and bail out Mediterranean countries.

:20:02. > :20:07.They show no sign they want to do that. Labour ought to remind us

:20:07. > :20:13.that the man David played on the television, Tony Blair, kept us out

:20:13. > :20:18.of the euro. He is a great man. grateful nation would like to thank

:20:18. > :20:26.you for that. Not me. Thank him personally, I think.

:20:26. > :20:30.We are running out of time. Come back in. Give them another question.

:20:30. > :20:36.Right, which cowboy, who shot from the hip, and missed, has the X

:20:36. > :20:44.Factor? Charles looks lost. Can't you get

:20:44. > :20:52.it? He always looks lost! Give them a clue. He's a bit of a

:20:52. > :21:02.Dick. George Bush. Get it? answer is the republic and

:21:02. > :21:02.

:21:02. > :21:07.Presidential candidate Perry. Commerce, education and the -

:21:07. > :21:15.what's the third one there? The third agency of Government, I would

:21:15. > :21:21.do away with education, the.... Um.... Commerce and, let's see... I

:21:21. > :21:27.can't, the third one, I can't. Sorry. Whoops!

:21:27. > :21:34.This is not as bad as the candidate who had to admit he tied the dog to

:21:34. > :21:40.the roof of his car when they drove to Canada. At least Sarah Palin was

:21:40. > :21:50.honest about shooting animals. Now back to Downturn Abbey as we return

:21:50. > :21:51.

:21:51. > :21:55.to Lord Letwin and Butler Kevin Maguire dreaming of better days.

:21:55. > :22:05.It was the night before Christmas, when all through the flat not a

:22:05. > :22:07.

:22:07. > :22:17.creature was stirring, well almost. SNORING

:22:17. > :22:19.

:22:19. > :22:26.sleep. Do you think Father Christmas has been along yet?

:22:26. > :22:33.sure soon. My Lord, I have been thinking, why are we fighting the

:22:33. > :22:43.French? It seems only like yesterday that Cameron and Sarkozy

:22:43. > :22:44.

:22:44. > :22:50.were the best of friends. # Ding, dong merryly on high #

:22:50. > :22:56.No more holding of hands now. Cameron gambled taking on Gaddafi.

:22:56. > :23:00.Even the Americans had their doubts. It wasn't an easy start. Probably

:23:00. > :23:06.not the best idea to helicopter in Special Forces to talk to the

:23:06. > :23:08.opposition. The British public are entitled to wonder if some new

:23:08. > :23:12.neighbours moved into the Foreign Secretary's street he would

:23:12. > :23:16.introduce himself by ringing the door bell or choose to climb over

:23:16. > :23:22.the fence in the middle of the night. You have to say it paid off,

:23:22. > :23:30.even if no-one knows where the Arab Spring is heading, I think

:23:30. > :23:35.Britain's top brass handled the matter quite well. In with arm

:23:35. > :23:38.manufacturers is going to get growth back. Are we saying for all

:23:38. > :23:43.time, countries like Kuwait have to manufacture and maintain every

:23:43. > :23:47.single part of their own defences? Lord Letwin was trying to drift

:23:47. > :23:52.back to sleep to dream of the good old days of Downturn. The Troubles

:23:52. > :23:58.of the world were keeping me awake. If you are going abroad you should

:23:58. > :24:04.let the staff know when you'll be back. Thank you! Gave me my

:24:04. > :24:09.favourite quotation of the year. What's the point of Nick Clegg?

:24:09. > :24:13.The first Deputy Prime Minister in British history to fail to turn up

:24:13. > :24:20.to work when the Prime Minister's across for a week.

:24:20. > :24:25.I think I am wanting to ask - what's the point of Nick Clegg?

:24:25. > :24:30.Still, I suppose travelling abroad does have its perils. You have to

:24:30. > :24:35.be careful who you meet. Last week's media frenzy was not

:24:35. > :24:41.unprecedented. It happens. We're a necessary free press and politics

:24:41. > :24:45.collide. I believe, there was in some quarters, a personal

:24:45. > :24:50.vindictiveness, that should worry all of us. Yes, it was all the

:24:50. > :25:00.press's fault. My duvet, I think. No, it's not.

:25:00. > :25:03.

:25:03. > :25:11.It's mine. No, it's not. It's mine. What would Christmas Day and the

:25:11. > :25:16.New Year bring? Who said social mobility is dead? So long as it is

:25:16. > :25:21.downwards. The Prime Minister took a risk in Libya. It went right. The

:25:21. > :25:26.gamble paid off. Yes, some do. This Week, we have been thinking about

:25:26. > :25:29.Iraq with the Americans withdrawing. There's one that didn't come off. I

:25:29. > :25:35.was very surprised that David Cameron after the experiences of

:25:35. > :25:39.Iraq and Afghanistan would commit forces. He said you cannot enforce

:25:39. > :25:43.democracy from 30,000 feet. It did come off. I think British foreign

:25:43. > :25:47.policy is hard to understand. I think the rule of Bahrain was

:25:47. > :25:50.recently welcomed in Downing Street. So, some dictators who have been op

:25:50. > :25:55.pressing their people are welcome in Downing Street. Others are

:25:55. > :26:01.bombed. I think there's a message there. If you expect consistency

:26:01. > :26:06.you'll have a long wait. The most embarrassing pictures involve your

:26:06. > :26:11.former leader and Mr Gaddafi. Blair and Mr Gaddafi. Best of

:26:11. > :26:15.friends. They were embarrassing. There you go. That was new Labour

:26:15. > :26:25.for you. All down to new Labour! Old Labour would not have touched

:26:25. > :26:26.

:26:26. > :26:32.him with a barge pole. Mr Scargill tried to get money out of it

:26:32. > :26:37.think it was Napoleon who said, give me lucky generals. He was

:26:37. > :26:46.lucky it did not turn into a ground war. There was consensus in the

:26:46. > :26:51.House against that. Is the Arab Spring still spring, or is it now

:26:51. > :26:57.winter Where I have been is in the south of Lebanon. It's on the

:26:57. > :27:02.border of the north, it is kicking off. I run a charity for children

:27:02. > :27:06.in camps in the south. I don't get much of a sense, once you are in

:27:06. > :27:13.the camps you are not getting -- you are dealing the day-to-day

:27:13. > :27:19.really. You do it and keep it going.

:27:19. > :27:23.We have done things in those camps. Conditions are tough. Certainly for

:27:23. > :27:28.the Palestinian refugees there. As the country as large I don't get

:27:28. > :27:35.much of a sense. Don't you worry that all liberal revolutions devour

:27:35. > :27:41.their own children. We've had the Muslim Brotherhood win in Tunisia.

:27:41. > :27:47.The second biggest party, the party which came second, hard-line, much

:27:47. > :27:56.more so than the Muslim Brotherhood. Syria, a clampdown, the Gulf run by

:27:56. > :27:58.kings. It's not going great, is it? There's no sense, I don't think the

:27:58. > :28:02.most crack-pot right-wingers in the Bushill administration, in the

:28:02. > :28:07.States would have argued if you could somehow shove bits of the

:28:07. > :28:11.Middle East in the direction of something resembleing democracy,

:28:11. > :28:15.that would be democracy of a liberal democratic nature. It's not

:28:15. > :28:19.just going to happen. It's all relative. There is a kind of

:28:19. > :28:23.democracy in that region. It's called Iraq. A kind of democracy,

:28:23. > :28:27.yes. Well, I suppose that's better than

:28:27. > :28:31.what went before. I think the price that's got to be weighed is the

:28:31. > :28:38.fact that of all those uncounted, unnamed, tens of thousands, perhaps

:28:38. > :28:45.hundreds of thousands.... Certainly tens and tens.

:28:45. > :28:50.The price was high. The memorys of that, in those families -- memories

:28:50. > :28:55.of that in those families, will go beyond our grandchildren's lifetime.

:28:55. > :29:00.You are in danger of saying because the Tunisian and Egyptian elections

:29:00. > :29:04.have not worked out how we would have liked, that's not democracy.

:29:04. > :29:09.Is a challenge. It is still democracy.

:29:09. > :29:12.That's like saying Hitler was elected. When you elect people who

:29:13. > :29:18.don't believe in democracy then you're in trouble. We will see

:29:18. > :29:24.where we get to in the future. do you think the story will end, or

:29:24. > :29:27.at least not end? What is the next stage? Well, in Egypt I think it is

:29:27. > :29:31.possible that the Muslim Brotherhood will respect the

:29:31. > :29:35.election process and there will be another election when their time is

:29:35. > :29:41.up. I don't think we should despair of the Muslim Brotherhood. I don't

:29:41. > :29:47.want to be starry eyed. I don't think we should throw our hands in

:29:47. > :29:54.the air and say the whole thing is over. It is not. Yet they have

:29:54. > :30:04.banned sun bathing and not wearing too many clothes in Sharm El-Sheikh.

:30:04. > :30:05.

:30:05. > :30:10.They have not actually done that. It's a definition where you have a

:30:10. > :30:15.certain freedom to do what you want. In France, they banned the burqa.

:30:15. > :30:20.Not when you are sunbathing. We are getting lost in the sunbathing

:30:20. > :30:25.thing. We are. Certain policies decide to ban clothing and I think

:30:25. > :30:29.that's bad. Are you as optimistic as Michael My optimism is so

:30:29. > :30:34.heavily qualified, that it's not quite pessimism, but it's probably

:30:34. > :30:38.realism, let's put it like that. How do you feel? I think you have

:30:38. > :30:42.to be optimistic. That's where it's about negotiation with people

:30:42. > :30:47.talking and being open. You have to wait and see. You don't think you

:30:47. > :30:51.should make decisions here and now. There's a long way to go and you go

:30:51. > :30:57.forward hopefully. The interesting thing would be to see what the West

:30:57. > :31:02.reaction is, because we never saw this coming. Our expensive Foreign

:31:02. > :31:05.Office camel corps never told us this was going to happen. It was

:31:06. > :31:10.completely unforeseen this time last year. Maybe we have no idea

:31:10. > :31:14.what will happen next. We usually have no idea about most things.

:31:14. > :31:22.Jonny, come back in here. Show the audience how useless they are.

:31:22. > :31:32.yeah. They're not bad. It is Christmas. The spirit of Christmas

:31:32. > :31:33.

:31:33. > :31:38.is still alive and well. Here we go. Which godfather, who got his just

:31:38. > :31:43.desserts has the X Factor? better give them a clue. This would

:31:43. > :31:49.be Gaddafi, perhaps. No. Much worse than that. If I give you a clue,

:31:49. > :31:58.Michael, you will get it. It's Bashar Al-Assad. That's your two

:31:58. > :32:08.strikes and you're out. The clue. Right. The perpetrator was taken in

:32:08. > :32:13.

:32:13. > :32:19.to custardy. This would be Osama Bin Laden. Right. Run the VT. I

:32:19. > :32:23.know you did, Jonny. I was trying to make it easy. I thought it was

:32:23. > :32:29.about being accused of being a godfather. Sometimes you need to

:32:29. > :32:34.spell it out. Try another one, because we are on a roll here.

:32:34. > :32:44.got to get this one. Which conference comedian has the X

:32:44. > :32:47.

:32:47. > :32:53.Factor? Give them another clue. She's not short of material.

:32:53. > :32:59.should know this. A tall comedian. She is a conference comedian and

:32:59. > :33:02.she is short. Oh, Sarah Teather. Run the tape. I want to get back to

:33:03. > :33:09.my hotel room to watch Strictly Come Dancing. Do you watch it? Of

:33:09. > :33:14.course you do. I heard they've got Peter haun booked for the next

:33:14. > :33:20.series. He's -- Peter Hain booked for the next series. He's doing the

:33:20. > :33:23.tango or has he been tang owed. Record has been out shopping with

:33:23. > :33:27.Andy Coulson and they've bought him a pair of tap shoes for the next

:33:27. > :33:37.series. Back to George Osborne, you heard he's quite keen to get on the

:33:37. > :33:39.

:33:39. > :33:47.show as well. He wants to do a line dance. She kept going. She didn't

:33:47. > :33:55.know what to do. Jonny come back later. Sarah Teather has says she

:33:55. > :33:57.no longer wants to borrow our script writer. Time to return --

:33:57. > :34:00.Time now to open our final Christmas present and return to

:34:01. > :34:03.Downturn Abbey. Look at Michael's little face, he's so excited! What

:34:03. > :34:06.will Santa bring Lord Letts and his struggling servants? Will butler

:34:06. > :34:16.Maguire save Christmas and will they all return home to Downturn in

:34:16. > :34:29.

:34:29. > :34:33.It was Christmas morning. Lord Letts was still dreaming of a

:34:33. > :34:43.return to the good old days of boom and bust, but outside the streets

:34:43. > :34:43.

:34:43. > :34:47.were full of festive cheer. Maguire, come quickly. Look outside.

:34:47. > :34:57.Wow. Look at that. It's all kicking off down there. Looking really

:34:57. > :35:04.tasty. Our revolutionary brothers and sisters are throwing off shir

:35:05. > :35:10.shackles. Hor ray for -- their shackles. Horray for comrade

:35:10. > :35:15.Cameron. Him next door will have to start helping around here. OK,

:35:15. > :35:22.after I get his breakfast. Is it Christmas Day already? Revolution's

:35:22. > :35:25.broken out. They are revolting. The prifleplgd lot like you will soon

:35:25. > :35:34.be out db privileged lot like you will soon be out on your ear, but

:35:34. > :35:41.first would you like breakfast? boiled eggs with soldiers. After

:35:41. > :35:44.breakfast I persuaded Lord Letts to spread some good cheer. I bet

:35:44. > :35:49.there's no-one else in that tent. The real protest ez are just

:35:49. > :35:54.beginning. Remember what happened when the for -- protests are just

:35:54. > :35:59.beginning. Remember what happened when the Tories tried to steal

:35:59. > :36:05.pensions. Yes, lovely. To those considering strike action, at a

:36:05. > :36:09.time when discussions or on-going, I would say to you these strikes

:36:09. > :36:14.are wrong. Not that comrade Miliband always covered himself in

:36:14. > :36:17.glory. He needs to be fiery and louder and clearer. He was good on

:36:17. > :36:22.Murdoch and threw his lot in with the people in the tents, but then

:36:22. > :36:26.disowned the striking workers. Sometimes it just feels like he's

:36:27. > :36:32.not knowing whether he's coming or going. He had a pretty good middle

:36:32. > :36:39.of the year. I like the way he took on that rueperts Murdoch. He's got

:36:39. > :36:42.balls, but he -- Ruperts Murdoch. He's got balds, but he also has Ed

:36:42. > :36:51.Balls. He's not going to get far until he dumps that Shadow

:36:51. > :36:55.Chancellor of his. Poor old Nick Clog has gone to looking weedy. He

:36:55. > :36:59.lost his referendum on electoral reform and on Europe and he had to

:36:59. > :37:04.hide in his office instead of going to the House of Commons. You will

:37:04. > :37:09.see a strong liberal identity in a strong coalition Government. You

:37:10. > :37:14.might even call it muscular liberalism. All three have been arm

:37:14. > :37:19.wrestling with factions in their parties. Nick Clegg on the

:37:19. > :37:26.coalition. Cameron on Europe. And Ed Miliband on support for the

:37:26. > :37:29.unions and strike. I hate to admit the only man who has come out

:37:29. > :37:38.looking stronger is the man in charge and that's for all the wrong

:37:38. > :37:41.reasons, David Cameron. Don't worry, I'm sure we'll all be back in

:37:41. > :37:51.Downturn next year. Besides, I'm being paid my bonus and it's time

:37:51. > :37:54.

:37:54. > :37:59.you were given your presents. Happy Christmas. Thank you. But, my Lord,

:37:59. > :38:06.it's a P45. Exactly, it's time you all joined the self-employed and

:38:06. > :38:09.then we can all be millionaires. God save us, every one. So, dear

:38:09. > :38:14.Polly I hope you are coping with life in the work house. Maybe next

:38:15. > :38:18.year we'll all get back to Downturn. There's talk of a big push here in

:38:18. > :38:28.Europe in the new year. Whatever happens, it's a lot safer than

:38:28. > :38:30.

:38:30. > :38:33.being back home. Merry Christmas. Great stuff. You kind of think the

:38:33. > :38:37.acting profession hasn't got much to worry about. David, you

:38:37. > :38:40.mentioned at the start, the riots and leaving London when they were

:38:41. > :38:45.beginning to kick off. We have had the riots and the occupy movement

:38:45. > :38:50.and public sector strikes. But given state of the economy and how

:38:50. > :38:54.much people are hurting, isn't it surprising there's not been more

:38:55. > :38:59.protests? There is, but the big danger is apathy. That people feel

:38:59. > :39:03.they can't do anything or make any difference, that they are not being

:39:03. > :39:07.listened to. I think last year was very interesting. I felt the riots

:39:07. > :39:11.were the end of a really long list of things where people had looked

:39:11. > :39:16.at this and there was no moral guidance from anybody. They were

:39:16. > :39:20.looking at this sort of politician $and looking at the newspaper

:39:20. > :39:24.industry and it -- politicians and looking at the newspaper industry

:39:24. > :39:30.and it was as if the perfect storm had happened and then the incidents

:39:30. > :39:39.in Tottenham just set it off. we clearer to know Diane, whether

:39:39. > :39:43.the riots had some fundamental causes or were basically an abhor

:39:43. > :39:48.ration? I think the Tottenham riot was different from what happened

:39:48. > :39:52.after. It was a classic race riot. A black man died at the hapbtdz of

:39:52. > :39:59.the police. But what -- hands at the police. But what cascaded and

:39:59. > :40:03.what happened in Clapham and Salford, was different. I think

:40:03. > :40:08.these are people that feel they have nothing to lose, no stake in

:40:08. > :40:15.society. There's a horrible streak of terialism. They didn't look book

:40:15. > :40:21.shops, but trainer shops and mobile -- materialism. They didn't loot

:40:21. > :40:25.book shops, but trainer shops and mobile phone shops. Do you agree

:40:25. > :40:29.with that? Yeah, I think I do. I would like to go back on the point

:40:29. > :40:32.David made. I think public opinion is having an effect. I don't mean

:40:32. > :40:37.riots, but public opinion. The coalition is committed to splitting

:40:37. > :40:40.the high street banks from the investment arms. It is demanding

:40:40. > :40:44.greater capitalisation of the banks. I think public opinion has kept the

:40:44. > :40:47.focus on the problem of banking in this country in a serious way and

:40:47. > :40:53.we'll see more action on the banks. I think middle England actually is

:40:53. > :40:58.very cross with the bankers. It is very cross. In a sense it's

:40:58. > :41:03.splietly surprising that the capitalist party is doing so well

:41:03. > :41:08.in the polls. You were once the protest vote, the Lib Dems. That

:41:08. > :41:12.ain't going to happen for the foreseeable future? I wouldn't have

:41:12. > :41:15.thought so. There is a by-election on tonight, but I don't think there

:41:15. > :41:19.is any evident in the course of this brief campaign that the Lib

:41:19. > :41:26.Dems will be any beneficiaries of anything. You were going to come

:41:26. > :41:32.behind the BNP or something. knows. We'll see the result. That

:41:32. > :41:35.sense of escape valve has gone. Which the Liberal Democrats offered.

:41:35. > :41:38.Labour are not offering it. The Conservatives in Government and

:41:38. > :41:42.that means you have got to be careful here in England. That's

:41:43. > :41:46.there's not a non-Parliamentary. There is an extreme form of

:41:46. > :41:51.expression. That's why I just said to David it's surprising there

:41:51. > :41:57.hasn't been more of an extra Parliamentary protest. It's our

:41:57. > :42:04.yes/no interlude and I want yes or no, not maybe or ah. Will Ed

:42:04. > :42:10.Miliband survive the year. Yeah. Yes. Yes. Yes. I hate it when you

:42:10. > :42:18.all agree. Will the coalition survive not just next year, but all

:42:18. > :42:28.the way through to 2015, Charles? Yes. No. No. Yes. 50/50. I like

:42:28. > :42:29.

:42:29. > :42:34.that. Will 2012 be tougher than 2011? Yes. Yes Yes. You are all

:42:34. > :42:40.right there. We ain't seen nothing yet. Nothing about the euro.

:42:40. > :42:44.right. Will all 17 countries be members by the end of 2012

:42:44. > :42:54.answer is No. You can't wait for that to happen. Jonny come back.

:42:54. > :42:56.

:42:56. > :43:06.This is our final question. Which long, tall gadget freak has the X

:43:06. > :43:13.

:43:13. > :43:19.Factor? Give them a clue. She can't stop rab iting on. -- rab it -- rab

:43:19. > :43:27.bitting on. Mr Bercow. -- Mrs Bercow. What's that noise? It's a

:43:27. > :43:34.rabbit. Special thanks to Jonny and David for being our special guests

:43:34. > :43:37.tonight. Diane we are used to. That's your lot for tonight folks.

:43:37. > :43:40.In fact, that's your lot for 2011. It's mince-pie-and-a-pint night at

:43:40. > :43:43.Annabel's, which means that if Charles' cab can run a few red

:43:43. > :43:46.lights, within half an hour we'll all be happily snuggled-up in

:43:46. > :43:49.Diane's regular booth - watching Michael do the hokey-cokey with

:43:49. > :43:52.Alan Johnson and a drunken euro bond dealer called Stan. What a

:43:52. > :43:55.wonderful life. But we leave you with, who else, everyone's