14/11/2013

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:00:00. > :00:10.Tonight, This Week heads into the Westminster jungle. Political big

:00:11. > :00:14.beast John Major causes a rumble, claiming there are too many posh

:00:15. > :00:17.boys in Britain's top jobs. Celebrity classics professor Mary

:00:18. > :00:28.Beard has taken up the Dingo Dollar Challenge. I flirted with eye muscle

:00:29. > :00:32.to, get me out of here. To be honest, I think going on this week

:00:33. > :00:35.was humiliation enough. Green shoots in the undergrowth, as

:00:36. > :00:38.Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, says economic recovery has

:00:39. > :00:45.finally taken hold. The Guardian's Nick Watt will swallow anything in

:00:46. > :00:55.the bushtucker trial. Surviving in the outback is a tough business.

:00:56. > :00:58.There is a danger of interest rates with a sting in the tail.

:00:59. > :01:01.And it won't take us long to forget this year's celebrity contestants,

:01:02. > :01:04.but are we remembering those who paid the ultimate price in the right

:01:05. > :01:10.sort of way? Author and broadcaster Tony Parsons pays his respects. On

:01:11. > :01:15.the second Sunday of November, we remember more than the glorious

:01:16. > :01:17.dead. We also remember who we are as a nation.

:01:18. > :01:19.This Week, marginally tastier than a kangaroo testicle. Get me out of

:01:20. > :01:22.here! Evenin' all. Welcome to This Week.

:01:23. > :01:27.Please do not adjust your sets, your channel or your drinks. I'm Emily

:01:28. > :01:31.Maitlis. And if you're wondering where Andrew Ferguson Neill is,

:01:32. > :01:37.well, what can I say? We've deleted him. We did. All of him. It took a

:01:38. > :01:40.while, and some technical support. But if Tory Central Office can wipe

:01:41. > :01:43.ten years of speeches, press releases, and broken promises from

:01:44. > :01:47.our collective political memory, why can't This Week? Think of it as our

:01:48. > :01:50.own small contribution to austerity and a saving on the licence fee.

:01:51. > :01:54.We've removed every trace of AF Neill, dating back to 2003. If you

:01:55. > :01:58.try and look for him here in the studio, or online, or stuffing his

:01:59. > :02:01.pockets with free baklava in the first class lounge at Dubai Airport,

:02:02. > :02:04.you will encounter a robot blocker which stops all communication and

:02:05. > :02:08.makes a high pitched whining sound like this. "Mmmmm". Could come in

:02:09. > :02:12.handy later in the show. Speaking of those we can forgive but never

:02:13. > :02:15.forget, I'm joined on the sofa tonight by two men happy to pierce

:02:16. > :02:19.anything in the name of publicity. Think of them as the David Dimbleby

:02:20. > :02:22.and Cheryl Cole of late night political chat. I speak, of course,

:02:23. > :02:25.of #manontheleft, Alan "AJ" Johnson, #sadmanonatrain, Michael "Choo Choo"

:02:26. > :02:29.Portillo. They haven't moved from the sofa since this time last week,

:02:30. > :02:37.but its given them plenty of time to think of their Moment of the Week.

:02:38. > :02:41.Mine are contrasting moments. The interest rate decisions of the

:02:42. > :02:45.European Central Bank and the Bank of England. The Europeans are

:02:46. > :02:52.worried about prices falling, because debt is get bigger, because

:02:53. > :02:58.money is worth less. On the other hand, the Bank of England is worried

:02:59. > :03:01.about inflation. Why? Because wages are not rising so living standards

:03:02. > :03:04.are falling. I think the British Government's strategy had been,

:03:05. > :03:11.let's have inflation because it will make debt smaller. But without

:03:12. > :03:14.income rising, there has been a big about turn and now we are going to

:03:15. > :03:19.try to bring down our rate of interest. That means putting

:03:20. > :03:23.interest rates up. You think we are heading that way. The Bank of

:03:24. > :03:32.England has rotted forward by a year and a half. Last night's BBC News

:03:33. > :03:35.from Colombo in Sri Lanka. There was first of all a government

:03:36. > :03:42.spokesman, who was absolutely implacable and on movable, and

:03:43. > :03:46.conceding nothing on human rights, and was very insulting towards this

:03:47. > :03:52.country and the Prime Minister. And then the site of the BBC reporter

:03:53. > :03:55.and cameraman almost being assaulted by security guards to stop them

:03:56. > :03:59.asking a question of the President. I thought it was amazing but it also

:04:00. > :04:02.changed my mind about the Prime Minister going to Sri Lanka. If he

:04:03. > :04:07.had not been going there would have been a short news clip where they

:04:08. > :04:11.announced he was not going, and we would have seen nothing of that. I

:04:12. > :04:15.think that told the British people more about what is going on in Sri

:04:16. > :04:19.Lanka than acres of newsprint. Now this week our PM has come under

:04:20. > :04:22.attack on the same subject from both Russell Brand and former Prime

:04:23. > :04:25.Minister, John Major. One called him "a filthy dirty posh banker". I

:04:26. > :04:28.won't tell you what Russell said. They're both concerned that society

:04:29. > :04:31.is increasingly run by a public school elite, distant from the

:04:32. > :04:35.everyday concerns of the plebeian hoi polloi, to mix our classical

:04:36. > :04:39.references. So are they right to be concerned, and is there anything we

:04:40. > :04:42.can learn from the ancient world to help put things right? We turned to

:04:43. > :04:56.TV don and Cambridge professor Mary Beard. This is her Take of the Week.

:04:57. > :05:03.As a professor of classics who does some TV, I spend most of my life

:05:04. > :05:09.reminding people that Latin and Greek you might think are out of

:05:10. > :05:14.date and irrelevant, but are actually fun, interesting and really

:05:15. > :05:24.matter. It strikes me that someone needs to do that for politics.

:05:25. > :05:30.Even ex-prime minister 's are getting fed up. This week, John

:05:31. > :05:35.Major had a point when he said the country was still run by toffs and

:05:36. > :05:47.the affluent. I mean, you only have two blink and it seems like there is

:05:48. > :05:50.yet another old Etonian in power. And as for dear old Russell Brand,

:05:51. > :05:56.telling people not to vote, what a load of Tosh. My mum always used to

:05:57. > :06:06.say to me, someone died to get you your vote. You Da one well use it.

:06:07. > :06:10.-- you am well use it. But Russell Brand was right that we have got

:06:11. > :06:14.disengaged with politics. I think that is because politicians no

:06:15. > :06:20.longer seem to be speaking to us. They are just reading from a

:06:21. > :06:24.preprepared script. Try listening to a struggling junior minister on the

:06:25. > :06:28.today programme trying to remember their lines, if you want to know

:06:29. > :06:38.what I mean. What happened to ideology, passion? We don't want

:06:39. > :06:41.government I focus group. We don't want government by slogan. If I hear

:06:42. > :06:48.that phrase hard-working families one more time I will be rushing to

:06:49. > :07:02.the barricades and setting up a party for lazy singletons.

:07:03. > :07:09.It may be that ancient Athens as have something to teach us. One of

:07:10. > :07:18.their best ideas was what they called ostracism. Every year, the

:07:19. > :07:21.citizens got together and decided there was some politician they would

:07:22. > :07:27.just like to be rid of for ten years. Dead easy. They got little

:07:28. > :07:36.bits of broken pottery, scratched the name and threw it into the

:07:37. > :07:41.ballot box. Hey presto. Now, how exactly do you spell Portillo?

:07:42. > :07:43.And from the British Academy at Carlton House Terrace to our own

:07:44. > :07:53.little academy of national treasures here in the heart of Westminster,

:07:54. > :08:00.Mary Beard joins us now. Democracy has been going on for a long time.

:08:01. > :08:05.Is it really in crisis? In some ways, every Democrat always thinks

:08:06. > :08:09.democracy is in crisis. That is what being a Democrat is about, saying we

:08:10. > :08:14.could do it better. But there is a kind of commercialisation of it. I

:08:15. > :08:22.think Russell Brand is onto something when he is saying is a

:08:23. > :08:26.disconnect between us and them. The problem with them is not that they

:08:27. > :08:32.are well-meaning. But a lot of them are going into this for all the

:08:33. > :08:36.right reasons. But all they are doing is talking blasted sound

:08:37. > :08:40.bites. That is the hard-working families it. It must be ghastly.

:08:41. > :08:45.Sometimes when I am feeling generous, I think, how ghastly it

:08:46. > :08:51.must be to be one of you. You have given up. Don't worry. I think

:08:52. > :08:59.democracy is in crisis for the opposite reason. We had not had

:09:00. > :09:04.democracy for ages. We had it in the fifth century BC and put it away for

:09:05. > :09:10.2000 years. Democracy now is a new experiment. In 1941 there were 11

:09:11. > :09:13.democracies and there are now 105. It is conceivable it is in crisis

:09:14. > :09:19.because most of us have very little experience of it. What democracy

:09:20. > :09:24.tends to do, it gets competing politicians to promise too much.

:09:25. > :09:29.Because they have out bid each other. The only way you can then get

:09:30. > :09:33.high is by borrowing from future generations, which is where we have

:09:34. > :09:38.got to. We are too indebted. Our governments are far too indebted.

:09:39. > :09:43.And yet politicians go on the missing more than they can afford.

:09:44. > :09:48.You are being much too gloomy. I do not want to go that to fit century

:09:49. > :09:55.Athens. People like me did not have any say. Being a woman, no say, no

:09:56. > :10:01.vote, no nothing. When I think it was 100 years ago, I would not have

:10:02. > :10:06.had the vote. Somebody says to me that democracy has not been coming

:10:07. > :10:16.on of late. I think, we are not doing that bad in all respects. But

:10:17. > :10:21.I sit town and I think about MPs in Parliament, looking at their iPhone

:10:22. > :10:25.in the morning and being told the slogan of the day is hard-working

:10:26. > :10:32.families. They did not go into politics for that. Did you? What

:10:33. > :10:37.about the junior minister who has to come up with an alarm clock, and

:10:38. > :10:43.stick to what they have been told? It is painful, isn't it? It is

:10:44. > :10:51.painful and I was a junior minister doing it one day. But that is about

:10:52. > :10:56.the media. It is the 24-7 media that makes demands on politicians. So you

:10:57. > :11:02.are saying they have to do that? It would be unusual, or the presenter

:11:03. > :11:06.says, we invited a government minister but none was prepared to

:11:07. > :11:09.come. The way that you do it is important. You do not have to sound

:11:10. > :11:14.like a speaking clock, as if you are reading a brief. You are not usually

:11:15. > :11:18.talking about great affairs of War and peace, but about a policy you

:11:19. > :11:25.are responsible for and helped to shape. It is not difficult to put

:11:26. > :11:27.some interest into it. It is also perfectly respectable. Anybody who

:11:28. > :11:32.runs an enterprising common with others, a company, a football team,

:11:33. > :11:36.the school play, you have to agree on what your position is. In

:11:37. > :11:41.politics it is more complicated because you are trying to win the

:11:42. > :11:45.vote. So the coalition of interests is very broad. But then you have to

:11:46. > :11:48.say not what you think or believe what you have agreed with others to

:11:49. > :11:55.say. That is a perfectly respectable thing to do. But if you do it for 20

:11:56. > :12:01.or 30 years it becomes very wearing, always remembering to say what you

:12:02. > :12:06.have agreed with others. Keeps saying hard-working families and

:12:07. > :12:12.slogans like that. I think most of the electorate, we know that

:12:13. > :12:18.politics is a very inexact science. We know there are not right answers.

:12:19. > :12:27.We know there are disagreements. And we know there are mistakes. When a

:12:28. > :12:32.politician breaks a promise, like Nick Clegg on the fees. Do you

:12:33. > :12:35.think, I understand what led to him doing that, or do you think, he

:12:36. > :12:42.broke the promise I am never forgiving a Lib Dem again? You are

:12:43. > :12:49.trading in certainties. It is no good to trade in simple certainties.

:12:50. > :12:53.Better that they tell us nothing? It is always more complicated. We can

:12:54. > :12:57.take over the idea that it is complicated. We do not have to be

:12:58. > :13:01.told, whether it is in foreign policy, that this regime is nasty

:13:02. > :13:07.until we discover it is nice, or vice versa. We do not have to say we

:13:08. > :13:11.know about -- what to do about student fees, debt, inflation. We

:13:12. > :13:15.know that we do not know. What happened to Nick Clegg is an

:13:16. > :13:20.important lesson. He made promises because he never thought he would be

:13:21. > :13:23.in office. What should the electorate do with that information?

:13:24. > :13:28.They should think, who is not going to be in office next time? People

:13:29. > :13:31.like UKIP. Therefore, we should understand they are only saying

:13:32. > :13:38.things because they know they are not going to be in office. Does that

:13:39. > :13:43.apply to Russell Brand? I tried hard to find something in what Russell

:13:44. > :13:46.Brand said, because he has 7.1 million Twitter followers, all of

:13:47. > :13:52.them under 30, and younger people were telling me that he is onto

:13:53. > :13:56.something. But having read through a lot of his stuff, the New Statesman

:13:57. > :14:06.piece in particular, I could find nothing other than trying to

:14:07. > :14:11.intellectualise his apathy. I have one answer to Russell Brand which is

:14:12. > :14:14.to say, you do not not vote. You go to the polling station, cross it out

:14:15. > :14:19.if you do not like them on the ballot paper and you put, none of

:14:20. > :14:24.the above, spoiled paper. And one day the returning officer will have

:14:25. > :14:27.to get up and say, there were 20,000 spoiled ballot papers, and I think

:14:28. > :14:36.we declare the spoiled ballot the winner. Mary has made a very good

:14:37. > :14:40.point, that there is a lot of laziness in politics, but it is

:14:41. > :14:43.nothing by comparison with the laziness of the critics of politics,

:14:44. > :14:49.and Russell Brand is an example of that absolute basic intellectual

:14:50. > :14:54.laziness. So, what do you do with all of the people that want to

:14:55. > :14:58.follow him? That interview got 10 million hits on Youtube. What do you

:14:59. > :15:04.do with that integrated, enthusiastic apathy? The one thing

:15:05. > :15:09.he did have a point about is, young people today, and we were speaking

:15:10. > :15:15.about educational maintenance allowance and student fees, there

:15:16. > :15:20.seems to be, this is very broad brush, but elderly people are

:15:21. > :15:24.protected, younger people are not. As someone has pointed out, all the

:15:25. > :15:28.people vote, and therefore politicians perhaps play to that

:15:29. > :15:33.audience. So, the things which Russell Brand wants, which is, to

:15:34. > :15:37.save the planet, he says, and a more equal society, that is what I want,

:15:38. > :15:41.that is what I came into politics for. But I did not come into

:15:42. > :15:46.politics to repress all other opinions, which is what a

:15:47. > :15:51.revolution, I am afraid, actually does. Coming back to the John Major

:15:52. > :15:57.point, it is that politics looks the same, it is a leaps of school, of

:15:58. > :16:03.education and gender, which is why it is isolating so many people? --

:16:04. > :16:11.it is a leets. Yes, but you have got to face up to Russell Brand and you

:16:12. > :16:18.have got to argue about method. -- it is elites. It is no good to say,

:16:19. > :16:21.what a load of Tosh politics is. That is what you learn from the

:16:22. > :16:25.ancient world, you do not learn any single method, you learn that

:16:26. > :16:30.politics is about being a citizen, but is what we all are. Every single

:16:31. > :16:35.one of us is a politician, and it is our duty to think about it in a

:16:36. > :16:41.properly conjugated way, and to hold you guys up to account for being so

:16:42. > :16:46.simplistic! We do not like simplicity. Is it not the case than

:16:47. > :16:52.in ancient Greece, the people were obliged to participate in politics?

:16:53. > :16:58.On one occasion. Did you get an invitation to the jungle this time?

:16:59. > :17:09.I could not possibly comment. Now, it is late, and Tony Parsons joins

:17:10. > :17:23.us now to discuss the politics of remembrance. Here, I am

:17:24. > :17:27.contractually obliged to plug something on the internet, and here

:17:28. > :17:32.is the page, for those of you who still use Facebook. Not that long

:17:33. > :17:40.ago, in a studio not far away, there was Newsnight. People between eight

:17:41. > :17:45.team and 23 turned out in their hundreds this week to audition for

:17:46. > :17:49.the new Star Wars film. -- between 18 and 23. We sent Nick Watt of the

:17:50. > :18:08.Guardian to join them. Mum, I think when I grow up, I want

:18:09. > :18:20.to be Luke Skywalker, or maybe I want to be Neil Kinnock. I have not

:18:21. > :18:23.decided yet. Open auditions have started in Bristol for the next Star

:18:24. > :18:40.Wars film. Tel work I am off sick. Can I take

:18:41. > :18:45.the car? In politics, you only get one shot at realising your dreams.

:18:46. > :18:55.Everybody is after the top job, and you end up playing the hero or the

:18:56. > :18:58.villain. Let's go. Westminster's leading man, that's the Prime

:18:59. > :19:05.Minister, once told us that he takes no pleasure in imposing

:19:06. > :19:10.intergalactic spending cuts. Then he stood up in front of the City's

:19:11. > :19:15.finest and said, perhaps austerity was not that bad after all. It means

:19:16. > :19:21.building a leaner, more efficient state. We need to do more with less,

:19:22. > :19:26.not just now but permanently. It can be done. The Prime Minister would

:19:27. > :19:29.like us to think that that is what he has always believed, but it is a

:19:30. > :19:34.little difficult to know exactly what he does and after the Tories

:19:35. > :19:37.deleted nearly a decade's worth of speeches from their website. This is

:19:38. > :19:52.what he had to say about austerity in 2009. And in 2010...

:19:53. > :19:58.These are not the files you are looking for. This was jolly handy,

:19:59. > :20:02.because in 2010, the Prime Minister said that he was introducing out of

:20:03. > :20:08.necessity, not out of ideological zeal. The Prime Minister believes

:20:09. > :20:13.that his health and education reforms show that efficiency rather

:20:14. > :20:17.than cash can deliver change. The danger for him is that he sends

:20:18. > :20:22.mixed messages and hands a gift to his understudy, who is desperate to

:20:23. > :20:29.differentiate himself from the Tories. On the right of British

:20:30. > :20:35.politics, you have got a view which says, it is good to cut for its own

:20:36. > :20:39.sake. I do not think you should be ideological about trying to slash

:20:40. > :20:47.the size of the state. On the left, you have got a view which says you

:20:48. > :20:50.should spend for its own sake. But it is a brave Tory Prime Minister

:20:51. > :20:57.who says it is right to cut out of choice, when Labour is ahead in the

:20:58. > :21:05.poles on things like schools and hospitals. -- in the polls. Oh, no,

:21:06. > :21:16.iPod rocket fuel in the engine, not unleaded. Mum is going to kill me.

:21:17. > :21:20.-- I put rocket fuel. For the first time in a long time, you do not have

:21:21. > :21:30.to be an optimist to see that the glass is half full. Good economic

:21:31. > :21:34.news always comes with a health warning. The quicker than expected

:21:35. > :21:37.fall in unemployment means that the governor is going to have to bring

:21:38. > :21:43.forward his assessment of whether interest rates should rise. Mark

:21:44. > :21:47.Carney downplayed suggestions that rates would be shooting up just

:21:48. > :21:51.before the general election. Labour maintained its focus on the cost of

:21:52. > :21:55.living, and what one of its rising stars described as the pernicious

:21:56. > :22:07.effect of the bedroom tax. Sorry, the spare room subsidy.

:22:08. > :22:12.If the government sticks its head in the sand, let no one be in any

:22:13. > :22:17.doubt, this will be the beginning, not the end, of our campaign to

:22:18. > :22:20.cancel this unjust and unworkable tax, and if the Government does not

:22:21. > :22:34.repeal it, the next Labour government will.

:22:35. > :22:39.There is no danger of a winter health crisis for the Prime

:22:40. > :22:43.Minister, who jetted off to India on a trade mission this week. He is

:22:44. > :22:45.then heading to Sri Lanka for the Commonwealth Heads of Government

:22:46. > :22:50.meeting. Labour is telling the Prime Minister he should boycott it in

:22:51. > :22:57.protest at the treatment from Colombo of the Tamil minority at the

:22:58. > :23:00.end of the 26 year war. There are legitimate accusations of war crimes

:23:01. > :23:04.which need to be properly investigated. That is actually what

:23:05. > :23:08.the Sri Lankan government with its own reconciliation exercise found,

:23:09. > :23:14.that there were more questions to be answered. But that needs to be

:23:15. > :23:19.done. Great, that is my audition over. Oh, one person who will not be

:23:20. > :23:30.sending any takes any time soon is Nadine Dorries, who had to apologise

:23:31. > :23:36.for failing to declare her feet for appearing on I Am A Celebrity. I

:23:37. > :23:37.wish to apologise to the house for what was a genuinely inadvertent

:23:38. > :23:54.breach of the rules. It has arrived! They love my

:23:55. > :24:06.audition tape, and they want me to join the set in Australia.

:24:07. > :24:13.Well, whilst Nick Watt was securing his future in Star Wars, we have had

:24:14. > :24:18.Miranda Green joining us on the sofa. And you have it all to

:24:19. > :24:24.yourself, unlike these guys, bunched up together. The economy, you have

:24:25. > :24:27.already said you think there is going to be a rise in interest

:24:28. > :24:34.rates, so do you see the glass as half full? I do, but I think the

:24:35. > :24:38.growth of the economy, although it brings many benefits, also brings

:24:39. > :24:45.challenges. House prices are rising very fast in London and the

:24:46. > :24:48.south-east, but my view is that with this huge pool of unemployed

:24:49. > :24:52.labourer in the European Community, there will be a lot of immigration

:24:53. > :24:57.into this country, which will keep wage levels low. So, wages are

:24:58. > :25:01.unlikely to increase very much, and prices are increasing very fast,

:25:02. > :25:07.which is one reason interest rates have to go up. However, if interest

:25:08. > :25:10.rates go up, that drives people's mortgages up, so at least one

:25:11. > :25:20.section of the population will be hurting. What would you be saying to

:25:21. > :25:28.Labour now about Plan A, and how to counter it? I do not think they need

:25:29. > :25:31.any advice from me. We used to be asked, how come, if the economy is

:25:32. > :25:37.doing so badly, Labour are profiting from it? Turn it around, how come,

:25:38. > :25:43.coming out of recession, Labour are ten points ahead? It is obviously

:25:44. > :25:48.something to do with the switch towards standard of living, and the

:25:49. > :25:53.fact that people are not feeling any gain from this, particularly where I

:25:54. > :25:59.represent, up in the North. I do not know where I am with Cameron now. If

:26:00. > :26:03.you years ago, he was criticising us for not expanding the amount of

:26:04. > :26:06.money we were spending on education and health as quickly as he wanted

:26:07. > :26:12.to, but now, he wants a small estate. A few years ago, Osborne was

:26:13. > :26:17.talking about exports and investment, but now it looks like

:26:18. > :26:28.exactly as it did before, based on debt and a housing bubble. And yet

:26:29. > :26:31.Plan A... It is quite hard you can hardly say that Osborne has been a

:26:32. > :26:35.raving success. The fiscal deficit, which was the big issue for

:26:36. > :26:40.government, they said, that is what we have got to get down, next year

:26:41. > :26:46.it will be something like 79 billion. Our GDP is still 2.5% lower

:26:47. > :26:51.than it was before the crisis. In America, France and Germany, it is

:26:52. > :26:58.above that. But what is worrying for Labour is that Cameron is ahead of

:26:59. > :27:01.Miliband, and also, the economy. But the big question is whether the

:27:02. > :27:09.Labour strategists are right, as they are now crowing, saying, people

:27:10. > :27:12.will work on -- people will vote on Micro, not macro. It is not worth

:27:13. > :27:17.Labour getting into that conversation, I think. And they have

:27:18. > :27:21.done the smart thing, which is move on to the question of how people

:27:22. > :27:26.feel. It is the Ronald Reagan slogan, you feel better off than you

:27:27. > :27:29.did at the last election? That is the real danger for the Government.

:27:30. > :27:36.Particularly on interest rates, because so far, this recession, if

:27:37. > :27:40.you are in work and a homeowner, you have got off pretty lightly, because

:27:41. > :27:45.those mortgage rates have stayed incredibly low. And we have all got

:27:46. > :27:48.used to that, so a rate rise will feel like a horrible shock to a lot

:27:49. > :27:52.of people. What do you think the Lib Dems should do now, with this change

:27:53. > :28:00.of language coming from Cameron, which basically says, we can do this

:28:01. > :28:03.alone, forget the understudy? Well, they can do it alone if the

:28:04. > :28:07.electorate gives them the opportunity to do that. I know there

:28:08. > :28:11.have been theories that David Cameron actually prefers a coalition

:28:12. > :28:18.to dealing with his own right wing, but you can actually -- cannot

:28:19. > :28:22.actually govern alone if you do not win an election. The problem his

:28:23. > :28:28.party has with him as a leader is that so far, he has not proved

:28:29. > :28:34.himself a winner. He has had to say this because as you say, he would

:28:35. > :28:37.rather lead a coalition, because there are 30-40 people in the

:28:38. > :28:42.Conservative Party who would make his life impossible. So, he has two

:28:43. > :28:49.emphasise that he wants a Conservative majority government. Is

:28:50. > :28:53.it not just part of him taking his party back into itself. The big

:28:54. > :28:59.society seems to have disappeared, other things as well, it is very

:29:00. > :29:03.much an approach for the election, and just looking to get his core

:29:04. > :29:09.vote. Well, that is not going to win him the election. The thing which

:29:10. > :29:15.has survived, like a snowman into June, is the overseas aid. Michael

:29:16. > :29:18.was mentioning immigration, and there have been strong words from

:29:19. > :29:24.Jack Straw this week, I wonder what you're made of those, when he said

:29:25. > :29:36.opening Britain's borders to Eastern European migrants was a spectacular

:29:37. > :29:40.mistake? It was 2004. The birth rate was going down, the dependency

:29:41. > :29:44.ratio, the number of people working compared to those retired, had gone

:29:45. > :29:50.down from 12 to one, when Lloyd George introduced a pension, down to

:29:51. > :29:56.four to one, and we had a 75% employment rate, one of the highest

:29:57. > :30:03.ever seen. For Sweden, Ireland and Britain, the three most successful

:30:04. > :30:07.economies, actually, there was a lot of sense to doing that. At the same

:30:08. > :30:12.time, we initiated a review that put up the state pension age. It was

:30:13. > :30:16.trying to tackle that. There was a very good argument for doing it. The

:30:17. > :30:21.fact is that they got the sums wrong and the numbers coming over here

:30:22. > :30:28.were much greater than forecast. But the actual decision to do that... I

:30:29. > :30:32.suppose it is like good economics and bad policy, in the same way as

:30:33. > :30:38.right to buy was good politics and bad economics. The point about the

:30:39. > :30:42.dependency ratio, the ratio between those working and those claiming

:30:43. > :30:47.pensions, remains grim. The document for having large scale immigration

:30:48. > :30:52.remains very strong. But it is interesting, these lines, coupled

:30:53. > :30:58.with David Blunkett's comments about the possibility of riots unless

:30:59. > :31:03.migrants change their behaviour... I don't agree with that. I think the

:31:04. > :31:09.group who recorded I predict a riot came from Leeds, not Sheffield.

:31:10. > :31:14.David would be equally appalled by this, dark forces on the right. The

:31:15. > :31:20.fact is, when we made the decision in 2004, there were only three

:31:21. > :31:29.countries that the accession countries could have freedom of

:31:30. > :31:33.movement to. His language was more emollient but he was saying there

:31:34. > :31:35.are social cohesion problems with large-scale immigration from a

:31:36. > :31:39.particular group that does not integrate, which is a fair point.

:31:40. > :31:44.But I am very nervous about this as well. There has been a huge problem

:31:45. > :31:48.for a long time. The argument Michael makes and Allen makes, I

:31:49. > :31:53.agree with wholeheartedly, that immigration is good for the economy

:31:54. > :31:56.and the country in a lot of ways. But it has remained an elite view

:31:57. > :32:00.because the political elite have refused to address the effect that

:32:01. > :32:08.it has on those groups that have to pay for it. This is UKIP creeping

:32:09. > :32:18.into every narrative from each party. There is a substance issue,

:32:19. > :32:23.too. Well motivated, qualified men from southern Europe is one thing.

:32:24. > :32:26.People who do not integrate - and I think David Blunkett was talking

:32:27. > :32:32.about Roma communities - that is a different problem. He cited

:32:33. > :32:37.particular examples of problems of integration. I think he was probably

:32:38. > :32:41.being straightforward. But the political problem it leaves us with

:32:42. > :32:45.is government targets on bringing down immigration rates in an

:32:46. > :32:48.arbitrary way, which is costing important sectors like universities

:32:49. > :32:52.and is about nothing, really, because it is not about tackling

:32:53. > :32:57.Eastern European immigration, which is the political problem in the

:32:58. > :33:02.first place. Miranda, thank you. Now, its that point in the programme

:33:03. > :33:05.where you're flagging a bit. I'm wondering what I can get away with

:33:06. > :33:09.without losing the day job. As you've heard from Mark Carney, your

:33:10. > :33:12.glass is already half full. None of that debauched Blue Nun this week.

:33:13. > :33:16.That's been deleted too. Tonight, we proffer the warm fuzzy glow of a

:33:17. > :33:20.Panda Cola left on a corner shop shelf since the mid 1970s. So finish

:33:21. > :33:23.the job and get pouring, because its time for a handbreak turn more

:33:24. > :33:26.awkward than John McCririck turning up unnannounced at Tessa Jowell's

:33:27. > :33:40.book club. It's time for the Politics of Rememberance.

:33:41. > :33:46.The nation marked a week of remembrance with Royals,

:33:47. > :33:50.politicians, veterans and the public honouring those who served and those

:33:51. > :33:55.who paid the ultimate price. With even the Lord Mayor of Belfast

:33:56. > :34:01.paying his respects, as the first Sinn Fein politician to attend an

:34:02. > :34:04.Armistice Day ceremony in person. This is the most difficult decision

:34:05. > :34:09.I have had to make in three decades of politics and community activism.

:34:10. > :34:13.My view, and a view of my Sinn Fein colleagues in the council and the

:34:14. > :34:21.country, was that it is the correct place to be today. And strangers

:34:22. > :34:25.from all over attended a funeral after a newspaper advert called for

:34:26. > :34:31.mourners for the 99 your old veteran who had few close family and friends

:34:32. > :34:36.left. But there was criticism, too, of a war movie for shooting in the

:34:37. > :34:40.Oxfordshire countryside, and an ITV newsreader for failing to wear a

:34:41. > :34:45.poppy on air. So, is the way we remember a matter of personal

:34:46. > :34:50.choice, or an obligation on us all? And how important is it to be seen

:34:51. > :34:54.to remember the dead? At least Westminster politicians know how to

:34:55. > :35:01.deflect criticism, with not a donkey jacket insight.

:35:02. > :35:07.Tony is here now. That was quite an interesting site, that sense of the

:35:08. > :35:12.importance of being seen to commemorate in the right way. It is

:35:13. > :35:19.the one moment you cannot afford to get wrong. It is our national day. I

:35:20. > :35:24.was at the Senate after on Sunday and it really does feel like our

:35:25. > :35:27.national day, when we are not in our ghetto of April the 23rd for the

:35:28. > :35:33.English and another day for the Irish. We really do feel like a

:35:34. > :35:38.United Kingdom. I think the politicians are largely superfluous.

:35:39. > :35:41.They do not need to be there. It is about the marching and the crowds,

:35:42. > :35:47.and about the glorious dead, the fallen, the men and women who are

:35:48. > :35:52.not there. You get a sense they are holding their breath, because the

:35:53. > :35:56.ghost of Michael foot hovers over those men, with their very

:35:57. > :36:01.respectable black coats and poppies in place. You get a sense that a

:36:02. > :36:07.political career could be ruined there in a moment. They do have to

:36:08. > :36:13.turn up, don't they? These are the men who have sent young men to their

:36:14. > :36:18.deaths. Tony Blair was there, hovering in the second row. Of

:36:19. > :36:22.course they have to be there. But I don't think there is an obligation

:36:23. > :36:26.to remember. You remember because it is the right thing to do, because it

:36:27. > :36:30.is a day to reflect that many of the freedoms we take for granted were

:36:31. > :36:36.hard earned and hard-won by previous generations. It is a very moving

:36:37. > :36:40.day. When you see 80-year-old veterans from the Second World War

:36:41. > :36:46.and 20-year-old kids who have lost legs in Afghanistan, it is a

:36:47. > :36:51.difficult day to not be profoundly moved by. I wonder whether it has

:36:52. > :36:56.had a greater significance possibly in the last ten or 15 years of fans

:36:57. > :37:04.certainly when I was growing up, because of all the wars. I have just

:37:05. > :37:07.noticed it over the years I have been in Parliament. There was a

:37:08. > :37:12.bigger crowd this year than ever before. Although the memory gets

:37:13. > :37:16.fainter, and the whole of the First World War generation have now gone,

:37:17. > :37:20.and the Second World War generation, who were in their 40s when I started

:37:21. > :37:25.work and worked alongside them in the Post Office, they are now into

:37:26. > :37:28.retirement. And yet more and more of the public turn up at these

:37:29. > :37:36.remembrance day services every year. I think something has brought it to

:37:37. > :37:42.prominence and importance. Iraq and Afghanistan have been a large part

:37:43. > :37:45.of it. I can remember in the 1970s, service men could not wear their

:37:46. > :37:54.uniforms on leave. That was forbidden. That has changed. There

:37:55. > :38:02.has been an assertion of national identity. The recent wars are part

:38:03. > :38:05.of it, and the sacrifice. We see the selfless quality of those World War

:38:06. > :38:10.II veterans. They are no different from the young men and women serving

:38:11. > :38:14.in Helmand. They are no different from the people that stormed the

:38:15. > :38:22.beaches at Normandy. There was a little storm this week about one

:38:23. > :38:26.newsreader on ITV who refused to wear her poppy on hair for reasons

:38:27. > :38:32.that she gave, which was that she supports a lot of charities and did

:38:33. > :38:36.not want to do them publicly. Bullying people into wearing poppies

:38:37. > :38:41.is absolutely wrong. It has become an ostentation. When it is an

:38:42. > :38:45.ostentation, you begin to doubt the sincerity of the people caught up in

:38:46. > :38:50.it. For example, if you go to a TV studio, you are more or less not

:38:51. > :38:54.allowed in unless you are wearing a poppy. If you go to a radio studio

:38:55. > :39:01.you can be there without a poppy. And do you go to lengths to put on a

:39:02. > :39:04.public radio and TV? I wear one throughout the period, although I am

:39:05. > :39:09.slightly worried about how longer period is becoming. This year

:39:10. > :39:15.started on the 27th of October, which struck me as very early. In

:39:16. > :39:21.the House of Commons, 100% of MPs wear poppies. In the population, it

:39:22. > :39:24.may be 20 or 30%. You have people wearing the poppy because they

:39:25. > :39:28.believe they have two wear it. The poppy is a very fine symbol, but

:39:29. > :39:35.like many things it can be abused as well as used. That is true. The

:39:36. > :39:39.newsreader was strange. I feel desperately sorry for any woman, and

:39:40. > :39:45.they are mostly women, that get abused by idiots on Twitter. But it

:39:46. > :39:48.was strange, her thesis, the premise that she was not wearing a poppy

:39:49. > :39:55.because she supports other charities, as though it was the

:39:56. > :40:02.dog's trust. I think it is not another charity. It is not just

:40:03. > :40:07.another charity. Wearing your poppy and remembering, for two minutes a

:40:08. > :40:10.year, people who gave their future for you, your lifestyle and

:40:11. > :40:16.liberty, and all of the things we do not think about, it is not just

:40:17. > :40:20.another charity. I think it is wrong to say that. I agree that it is

:40:21. > :40:24.special but I still do not want to tell anybody that they have to do

:40:25. > :40:27.it. And neither do I make the mistake of looking at somebody not

:40:28. > :40:31.wearing a poppy and thinking, that person does not remember, and

:40:32. > :40:41.someone who does and thinking, that person does. In Parliament, it is a

:40:42. > :40:46.different situation. You are an elected representative. Unlike the

:40:47. > :40:51.public that are not wearing one, if my constituents see me not wearing a

:40:52. > :40:54.poppy, they think somehow my views, which matter because they elected me

:40:55. > :40:58.and I'm elected on the platform of my views, that that means I am

:40:59. > :41:05.against them. What about the conflict itself? Should that have

:41:06. > :41:09.any bearing on whether you choose... I don't know what the

:41:10. > :41:14.stats were after Iraq, whether fewer people felt that they did want to,

:41:15. > :41:19.or more people felt they would. I think more people. But if there is

:41:20. > :41:24.an anger towards whether you think something is a just war or not,

:41:25. > :41:28.should that affect it? I do not think that changes the fact that

:41:29. > :41:33.young men and women have died fighting for their country. I think

:41:34. > :41:36.people feel enormous sympathy for our fighting men and women, that

:41:37. > :41:40.they are going to wars that are really not like the war that my

:41:41. > :41:48.father fought. It is not a war of national survival. We are not forced

:41:49. > :41:59.into fighting in Iraq, or the Taliban in Afghanistan. I recently

:42:00. > :42:02.read that we are there to combat the heroin industry, but the heroin

:42:03. > :42:07.industry is booming in Afghanistan. I think a lot of the ball field

:42:08. > :42:12.desperately sad that the brightest and the best, the flower of our

:42:13. > :42:19.nation are being sent off to not a better war. There is a suspicion

:42:20. > :42:24.among some people that politicians wearing poppies and talking about

:42:25. > :42:29.heroes and heroines and so on could be using it as a way to avoid having

:42:30. > :42:32.to answer questions about the causes of the wards, or the purposes of the

:42:33. > :42:41.war to which they sending young men and women. And I think we need to

:42:42. > :42:45.bear that in mind, too. The names of the dead are read out in the House

:42:46. > :42:50.of Commons now, and that seems like an ostentation, to me. It is not

:42:51. > :42:55.necessary to take Parliamentary time. It is right that they are

:42:56. > :42:58.remembered, of course. Once you start, you can't stop, can you?

:42:59. > :43:02.That's your lot for tonight folks, but not for us. I'm taking the boys

:43:03. > :43:06.out of their Annabel's comfort zone. We're heading off to The Fruit

:43:07. > :43:09.Machine in Vauxhall. It's not Rio, but its on the Victoria line. Anyway

:43:10. > :43:12.we shouldn't be telling you this. Ministers got told off this week for

:43:13. > :43:15.announcing their Parliamentary business on Twitter, instead of

:43:16. > :43:18.before the House. Professionally, it doesn't get any better than this.

:43:19. > :43:25.What a way to sign off. Good night.